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Gianvito Pio

Publications and source records attributed to Gianvito Pio.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Modeling spatio-temporal locality in multi-step forecasting of geo-referenced time series

Forecasting future measurements from geographically distributed sensors is essential across many domains. However, the spatial distribution of these sensors raises multiple challenges, primarily due to spatial autocorrelation phenomena, that introduce inter-dependencies among nearby locations, that cannot therefore be treated independently. While some existing approaches can capture such phenomena, they generally model the spatial dimension globally across all locations. On the other hand, the method we propose in this paper, called SPALT, focuses on capturing spatial relationships among time series with similar trends, even if they occur at different times, thus modeling the spatio-temporal locality. SPALT leverages linear model trees, which allow us to consider the spatial autocorrelation locally: during the tree-building process, the adopted heuristics group time series exhibiting similar trends into the same node, on which additional features considering the spatial dimension are selectively injected. Additionally, we propose a new pruning strategy, based on Reduced Error Pruning, that also considers the spatio-temporal locality during the tree simplification. Designed for a multi-step setting, SPALT provides forecasts for multiple future time steps across multiple sensors simultaneously. The characteristics exhibited by SPALT can provide significant benefits in different domains, where measurements come from distributed sensors. In this paper, we focus on data produced by sensors located in multiple renewable power plants measuring their energy production at regular, short intervals. Experiments on 3 real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of SPALT in forecasting the production of energy at different time horizons, and its superior performance in comparison with tree-based models and state-of-the-art neural networks that incorporate both temporal and spatial dimensions.

cs.LG

IMMENSE: Inductive Multi-perspective User Classification in Social Networks

Online social networks increasingly expose people to users who propagate discriminatory, hateful, and violent content. Young users, in particular, are vulnerable to exposure to such content, which can have harmful psychological and social repercussions. Given the massive scale of today's social networks, in terms of both published content and number of users, there is an urgent need for effective systems to aid Law Enforcement Agencies (LEAs) in identifying and addressing users that disseminate malicious content. In this work we introduce IMMENSE, a machine learning-based method for detecting malicious social network users. Our approach adopts a hybrid classification strategy that integrates three perspectives: the semantics of the users' published content, their social relationships and their spatial information. Such contextual perspectives potentially enhance classification performance beyond text-only analysis. Importantly, IMMENSE employs an inductive learning approach, enabling it to classify previously unseen users or entire new networks without the need for costly and time-consuming model retraining procedures. Experiments carried out on a real-world Twitter/X dataset showed the superiority of IMMENSE against five state of the art competitors, confirming the benefits of its hybrid approach for effective deployment in social network monitoring systems.

cs.SI

Multi-view Learning for the Identification of Risky Users in Dynamic Social Networks

Technological progress in the last few decades has granted an increasing number of people access to social media platforms such as Facebook, X (formerly Twitter), and Instagram. Consequently, the potential risks associated with these services have also risen due to users exploiting these services for malicious purposes. The platforms have tools capable of detecting and blocking dangerous users, but they primarily focus on the content posted by users and usually overlook additional factors, such as the relationships among users. Another key aspect to consider is that users' beliefs and interests evolve over time. Therefore, a user who can be considered safe at one moment might later become malicious, and vice versa. This work describes a novel approach to node classification in temporal graphs, aimed at classifying users in social networks. The method was evaluated on a real-world scenario and was compared to a state-of-the-art system that treats the network as a static entity. Experiments showed that taking into account the temporal evolution of the network, in terms of node features and connections, is beneficial.

cs.SI