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Giorgos Stamatopoulos

Publications and source records attributed to Giorgos Stamatopoulos.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

How a Cooperative-Override Circuit Suppresses Nash Play in Large Language Models

On the named Prisoner's Dilemma under direct prompting, three larger instruction-tuned models, Llama-3-70B, Qwen2.5-32B, and Qwen2.5-72B, lock at full cooperation, the metric's maximum distance from Nash with zero variance across replicates, while Llama-3-8B plays near-Nash. Opening the models, a logit-lens analysis finds a distributed cooperative override. Intermediate readouts lean toward the Nash action through roughly three quarters of network depth before a late surge toward cooperation, and the final layer settles the contest. The size of that final correction, not the surge, rank-matches chain-of-thought behavior across scale and two architectures. In the 8B the override is a single causally controllable direction in the residual stream; steering it dials the decision, and clamping its component at one position of one layer moves the choice strictly monotonically, Spearman rho = 1.000, with generation fluent. The circuit is lexical. It survives name removal and payoff rescaling but disengages when Cooperate and Defect are replaced with neutral labels, and on 48 payoff-random games with neutral surfaces no model locks cooperative on any dilemma or shows general equilibrium competence. In mixed-model populations a single Nash-playing agent collapses cooperation contagiously. What suppresses Nash play in large language models is a word-triggered circuit rather than missing competence, and it can be measured, bounded, and controlled.

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Partition function form games with probabilistic beliefs

We revisit games in partition function form, i.e. cooperative games where the payoff of a coalition depends on the partition of the entire set of players. We assume that each coalition computes its worth having probabilistic beliefs over the coalitional behavior of the outsiders, i.e., it assigns various probability distributions over the set of partitions that the outsiders can form. These beliefs are not necessarily consistent with respect to the actual choices of the outsiders. We apply this framework to symmetric partition function form games characterized by either positive or negative externalities and we derive conditions on coalitional beliefs that guarantee the non-emptiness of the core of the induced games.

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Cooperative oligopoly games with boundedly rational firms

We analyze cooperative Cournot games with boundedly rational firms. Due to cogni- tive constraints, the members of a coalition cannot accurately predict the coalitional structure of the non-members. Thus, they compute their value using simple heuris- tics. In particular, they assign various non-equilibrium probability distributions over the outsiders' set of partitions. We construct the characteristic function of a coalition in such an environment and we analyze the core of the corresponding games. We show that the core is non-empty provided the number of firms in the market is sufficiently large. Moreover, we show that if two distributions over the set of partitions are related via first-order dominance, then the core of the game under the dominated distribution is a subset of the core under the dominant distribution.

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Strategic delegation in a sequential model with multiple stages

We analyze strategic delegation in a Stackelberg model with an arbitrary number, n, of firms. We show that the n-1 last movers delegate their production decisions to managers whereas the first mover does not. Equilibrium incentive rates are increasing in the order with which managers select quantities. Letting u_i^* denote the equilibrium payoff of the firm whose manager moves in the i-th place, we show that u_n^*>u_{n-1}^*>...>u_2^*>u_1^*. We also compare the delegation outcome of our game with that of a Cournot oligopoly and show that the late (early) moving firms choose higher (lower) incentive rates than the Cournot firms.

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Cooperative oligopoly games: a probabilistic approach

We analyze the core of a cooperative Cournot game. We assume that when contemplating a deviation, the members of a coalition assign positive probability over all possible coalition structures that the non-members can form. We show that when the number of firms in the market is sufficiently large then the core of the underlying cooperative game is non-empty. Moreover, we show that the core of our game is a subset of the γ- core.

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