arXiv subjects

Giulia Bertaglia

Publications and source records attributed to Giulia Bertaglia.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Asymptotic-Preserving Neural Networks for Viscoelastic Parameter Identification in Multiscale Blood Flow Modeling

Mathematical models and numerical simulations offer a non-invasive way to explore cardiovascular phenomena, providing access to quantities that cannot be measured directly. In this study, we start with a one-dimensional multiscale blood flow model that describes the viscoelastic properties of arterial walls, and we focus on improving its practical applicability by addressing a major challenge: determining, in a reliable way, the viscoelastic parameters that control how arteries deform under pulsatile pressure. To achieve this, we employ Asymptotic-Preserving Neural Networks that embed the governing physical principles of the multiscale viscoelastic blood flow model within the learning procedure. This framework allows us to infer the viscoelastic parameters while simultaneously reconstructing the time-dependent evolution of the state variables of blood vessels. With this approach, pressure waveforms are estimated from readily accessible patient-specific data, i.e., cross-sectional area and velocity measurements from Doppler ultrasound, in vascular segments where direct pressure measurements are not available. Different numerical simulations, conducted in both synthetic and patient-specific scenarios, show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Multi-Order Monte Carlo IMEX hierarchies for uncertainty quantification in multiscale hyperbolic systems

We introduce a novel Multi-Order Monte Carlo approach for uncertainty quantification in the context of multiscale time-dependent partial differential equations. The new framework leverages Implicit-Explicit Runge-Kutta time integrators to satisfy the asymptotic-preserving property across different discretization orders of accuracy. In contrast to traditional Multi-Level Monte Carlo methods, which require costly hierarchical re-meshing, our method constructs a multi-order hierarchy by varying both spatial and temporal discretization orders within the Monte Carlo framework. This enables efficient variance reduction while naturally adapting to the multiple scales inherent in the problem ensuring asymptotic consistency. The proposed method is particularly well-suited for hyperbolic systems with stiff relaxation, kinetic equations, and low Mach number flows, where standard Multi-Level Monte Carlo techniques often encounter computational challenges. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the novel Multi-Order Monte Carlo approach achieves substantial reduction of both error and variance while maintaining asymptotic consistency in the asymptotic limit.

math.NA↗

arXiv2025

Ensemble-Based Estimation of Alzheimer's Disease Incidence from Dynamic Population Reconstructions

We present a two-stage methodology for reconstructing Alzheimer's disease (AD) incidence over time using ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) applied to mortality data. In the first stage, we use EKI to infer temporal trends in all-cause and Alzheimer's-specific mortality by fitting an age-structured demographic model to observed death counts. This yields posterior estimates of evolving population structure and age-specific AD mortality rates. In the second stage, we apply a back-calculation procedure that uses these estimates, along with the hazard of AD-related death following disease onset, to infer time- and age-specific incidence rates. This reverse-inference framework enables the reconstruction of latent disease dynamics in the absence of direct incidence surveillance. By integrating demographic structure, disease-specific hazards, and observed mortality into a coherent inferential pipeline, our approach offers a principled and flexible tool for monitoring chronic disease trends and estimating historical disease burden.

math.DS↗

arXiv2025

A PINN approach for the online identification and control of unknown PDEs

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have revolutionized solving differential equations by integrating physical laws into neural networks training. This paper explores PINNs for open-loop optimal control problems (OCPs) with incomplete information, such as sparse initial and boundary data and partially unknown system parameters. We derive optimality conditions from the Lagrangian multipliers and use PINNs to predict the state, adjoint, and control variables. In contrast with previous methods, our approach integrates these elements into a single neural network and addresses scenarios with consistently limited data. In addition, we address the study of partially unknown equations identifying underlying parameters online by searching for the optimal solution recurring to a 2-in-series architecture of PINNs, in which scattered data of the uncontrolled solution is used. Numerical examples show the effectiveness of the proposed method even in scenarios characterized by a considerable lack of information.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

New Trends on the Systems Approach to Modeling SARS-CoV-2 Pandemics in a Globally Connected Planet

This paper presents a critical analysis of the literature and perspective research ideas for modeling the epidemics caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It goes beyond deterministic population dynamics to consider several key complexity features of the system under consideration. In particular, the multiscale features of the dynamics from contagion to the subsequent dynamics of competition between the immune system and the proliferating virus. Other topics addressed in this work include the propagation of epidemics in a territory, taking into account local transportation networks, the heterogeneity of the population, and the study of social and economic problems in populations involved in the spread of epidemics. The overall content aims to show how new mathematical tools can be developed to address the above topics and how mathematical models and simulations can contribute to the decision making of crisis managers.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2024

Modelling contagious viral dynamics: a kinetic approach based on mutual utility

The temporal evolution of a contagious viral disease is modelled as the dynamic progression of different classes of population with individuals interacting pairwise. This interaction follows a binary mechanism typical of kinetic theory, wherein agents aim to improve their condition with respect to a mutual utility target. To this end, we introduce kinetic equations of Boltzmann-type to describe the time evolution of the probability distributions of the multi-agent system. The interactions between agents are defined using principles from price theory, specifically employing Cobb-Douglas utility functions for binary exchange and the Edgeworth box to depict the common exchange area where utility increases for both agents. Several numerical experiments presented in the paper highlight the significance of this mechanism in driving the phenomenon toward endemicity.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2023

Nonconforming Virtual Element basis functions for space-time Discontinuous Galerkin schemes on unstructured Voronoi meshes

We introduce a new class of Discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods for solving nonlinear conservation laws on unstructured Voronoi meshes that use a nonconforming Virtual Element basis defined within each polygonal control volume. The basis functions are evaluated as an L2 projection of the virtual basis which remains unknown, along the lines of the Virtual Element Method (VEM). Contrarily to the VEM approach, the new basis functions lead to a nonconforming representation of the solution with discontinuous data across the element boundaries, as typically employed in DG discretizations. To improve the condition number of the resulting mass matrix, an orthogonalization of the full basis is proposed. The discretization in time is carried out following the ADER (Arbitrary order DERivative Riemann problem) methodology, which yields one-step fully discrete schemes that make use of a coupled space-time representation of the numerical solution. The space-time basis functions are constructed as a tensor product of the virtual basis in space and a one-dimensional Lagrange nodal basis in time. The resulting space-time stiffness matrix is stabilized by an extension of the dof-dof stabilization technique adopted in the VEM framework, hence allowing an element-local space-time Galerkin finite element predictor to be evaluated. The novel methods are referred to as VEM-DG schemes, and they are arbitrarily high order accurate in space and time. The new VEM-DG algorithms are rigorously validated against a series of benchmarks in the context of compressible Euler and Navier-Stokes equations. Numerical results are verified with respect to literature reference solutions and compared in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency to those obtained using a standard modal DG scheme with Taylor basis functions. An analysis of the condition number of the mass and space-time stiffness matrix is also forwarded.

math.NA↗

arXiv2023

Multiscale constitutive framework of 1D blood flow modeling: Asymptotic limits and numerical methods

In this paper, a multiscale constitutive framework for one-dimensional blood flow modeling is presented and discussed. By analyzing the asymptotic limits of the proposed model, it is shown that different types of blood propagation phenomena in arteries and veins can be described through an appropriate choice of scaling parameters, which are related to distinct characterizations of the fluid-structure interaction mechanism (whether elastic or viscoelastic) that exist between vessel walls and blood flow. In these asymptotic limits, well-known blood flow models from the literature are recovered. Additionally, by analyzing the perturbation of the local elastic equilibrium of the system, a new viscoelastic blood flow model is derived. The proposed approach is highly flexible and suitable for studying the human cardiovascular system, which is composed of vessels with high morphological and mechanical variability. The resulting multiscale hyperbolic model of blood flow is solved using an asymptotic-preserving Implicit-Explicit Runge-Kutta Finite Volume method, which ensures the consistency of the numerical scheme with the different asymptotic limits of the mathematical model without affecting the choice of the time step by restrictions related to the smallness of the scaling parameters. Several numerical tests confirm the validity of the proposed methodology, including a case study investigating the hemodynamics of a thoracic aorta in the presence of a stent.

math.NA↗

arXiv2023

Gradient-based Monte Carlo methods for relaxation approximations of hyperbolic conservation laws

Particle methods based on evolving the spatial derivatives of the solution were originally introduced to simulate reaction-diffusion processes, inspired by vortex methods for the Navier--Stokes equations. Such methods, referred to as gradient random walk methods, were extensively studied in the '90s and have several interesting features, such as being grid free, automatically adapting to the solution by concentrating elements where the gradient is large and significantly reducing the variance of the standard random walk approach. In this work, we revive these ideas by showing how to generalize the approach to a larger class of partial differential equations, including hyperbolic systems of conservation laws. To achieve this goal, we first extend the classical Monte Carlo method to relaxation approximation of systems of conservation laws, and subsequently consider a novel particle dynamics based on the spatial derivatives of the solution. The methodology, combined with asymptotic-preserving splitting discretization, yields a way to construct a new class of gradient-based Monte Carlo methods for hyperbolic systems of conservation laws. Several results in one spatial dimension for scalar equations and systems of conservation laws show that the new methods are very promising and yield remarkable improvements compared to standard Monte Carlo approaches, either in terms of variance reduction as well as in describing the shock structure.

math.NA↗

arXiv2023

A new family of semi-implicit Finite Volume / Virtual Element methods for incompressible flows on unstructured meshes

We introduce a new family of high order accurate semi-implicit schemes for the solution of non-linear hyperbolic partial differential equations on unstructured polygonal meshes. The time discretization is based on a splitting between explicit and implicit terms that may arise either from the multi-scale nature of the governing equations, which involve both slow and fast scales, or in the context of projection methods, where the numerical solution is projected onto the physically meaningful solution manifold. We propose to use a high order finite volume (FV) scheme for the explicit terms, ensuring conservation property and robustness across shock waves, while the virtual element method (VEM) is employed to deal with the discretization of the implicit terms, which typically requires an elliptic problem to be solved. The numerical solution is then transferred via suitable L2 projection operators from the FV to the VEM solution space and vice-versa. High order time accuracy is achieved using the semi-implicit IMEX Runge-Kutta schemes, and the novel schemes are proven to be asymptotic preserving and well-balanced. As representative models, we choose the shallow water equations (SWE), thus handling multiple time scales characterized by a different Froude number, and the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations (INS), which are solved at the aid of a projection method to satisfy the solenoidal constraint of the velocity field. Furthermore, an implicit discretization for the viscous terms is devised for the INS model, which is based on the VEM technique. Consequently, the CFL-type stability condition on the maximum admissible time step is based only on the fluid velocity and not on the celerity nor on the viscous eigenvalues. A large suite of test cases demonstrates the accuracy and the capabilities of the new family of schemes to solve relevant benchmarks in the field of incompressible fluids.

math.NA↗

arXiv2022

Asymptotic-Preserving Neural Networks for hyperbolic systems with diffusive scaling

With the rapid advance of Machine Learning techniques and the deep increase of availability of scientific data, data-driven approaches have started to become progressively popular across science, causing a fundamental shift in the scientific method after proving to be powerful tools with a direct impact in many areas of society. Nevertheless, when attempting to analyze dynamics of complex multiscale systems, the usage of standard Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and even standard Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) may lead to incorrect inferences and predictions, due to the presence of small scales leading to reduced or simplified models in the system that have to be applied consistently during the learning process. In this Chapter, we will address these issues in light of recent results obtained in the development of Asymptotic-Preserving Neural Networks (APNNs) for hyperbolic models with diffusive scaling. Several numerical tests show how APNNs provide considerably better results with respect to the different scales of the problem when compared with standard DNNs and PINNs, especially when analyzing scenarios in which only little and scattered information is available.

math.NA↗

arXiv2022

Asymptotic-Preserving Neural Networks for multiscale hyperbolic models of epidemic spread

When investigating epidemic dynamics through differential models, the parameters needed to understand the phenomenon and to simulate forecast scenarios require a delicate calibration phase, often made even more challenging by the scarcity and uncertainty of the observed data reported by official sources. In this context, Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), by embedding the knowledge of the differential model that governs the physical phenomenon in the learning process, can effectively address the inverse and forward problem of data-driven learning and solving the corresponding epidemic problem. In many circumstances, however, the spatial propagation of an infectious disease is characterized by movements of individuals at different scales governed by multiscale PDEs. This reflects the heterogeneity of a region or territory in relation to the dynamics within cities and in neighboring zones. In presence of multiple scales, a direct application of PINNs generally leads to poor results due to the multiscale nature of the differential model in the loss function of the neural network. To allow the neural network to operate uniformly with respect to the small scales, it is desirable that the neural network satisfies an Asymptotic-Preservation (AP) property in the learning process. To this end, we consider a new class of AP Neural Networks (APNNs) for multiscale hyperbolic transport models of epidemic spread that, thanks to an appropriate AP formulation of the loss function, is capable to work uniformly at the different scales of the system. A series of numerical tests for different epidemic scenarios confirms the validity of the proposed approach, highlighting the importance of the AP property in the neural network when dealing with multiscale problems especially in presence of sparse and partially observed systems.

math.NA↗

arXiv2022

Modeling blood flow in networks of viscoelastic vessels with the 1-D augmented fluid-structure interaction system

A noteworthy aspect in blood flow modeling is the definition of the mechanical interaction between the fluid flow and the biological structure that contains it, namely the vessel wall. It has been demonstrated that the addition of a viscous contribution to the mechanical characterization of vessels brings positive results when compared to in-vivo measurements. In this context, the numerical implementation of boundary conditions able to keep memory of the viscoelastic contribution of vessel walls assumes an important role, especially when dealing with large circulatory systems. In this work, viscoelasticity is taken into account in entire networks via the Standard Linear Solid Model. The implementation of the viscoelastic contribution at boundaries (inlet, outlet and junctions), is carried out considering the hyperbolic nature of the mathematical model. A non-linear system is established based on the definition of the Riemann Problem at junctions, characterized by rarefaction waves separated by contact discontinuities, among which the mass and the total energy are conserved. Basic junction tests are analyzed, such as a trivial 2-vessels junction, for both a generic artery and vein, and a simple 3-vessels junction, considering an aortic bifurcation scenario. The chosen asymptotic-preserving IMEX Runge-Kutta Finite Volume scheme is demonstrated to be second-order accurate in the whole domain and well-balanced, even when including junctions. Two different benchmark models of the arterial network are implemented, differing in number of vessels and in viscoelastic parameters. Comparison of the results obtained in the two networks underlines the high sensitivity of the model to the chosen viscoelastic parameters. The conservation of the contribution provided by the viscoelastic characterization of vessel walls is assessed in the whole network, including junctions and boundary conditions.

physics.flu-dyn↗

arXiv2021

Bi-fidelity stochastic collocation methods for epidemic transport models with uncertainties

Uncertainty in data is certainly one of the main problems in epidemiology, as shown by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. The need for efficient methods capable of quantifying uncertainty in the mathematical model is essential in order to produce realistic scenarios of the spread of infection. In this paper, we introduce a bi-fidelity approach to quantify uncertainty in spatially dependent epidemic models. The approach is based on evaluating a high-fidelity model on a small number of samples properly selected from a large number of evaluations of a low-fidelity model. In particular, we will consider the class of multiscale transport models recently introduced in Bertaglia, Boscheri, Dimarco & Pareschi, Math. Biosci. Eng. (2021) and Boscheri, Dimarco & Pareschi, Math. Mod. Meth. App. Scie. (2021) as the high-fidelity reference and use simple two-velocity discrete models for low-fidelity evaluations. Both models share the same diffusive behavior and are solved with ad-hoc asymptotic-preserving numerical discretizations. A series of numerical experiments confirm the validity of the approach.

math.NA↗

arXiv2021

Kinetic modelling of epidemic dynamics: social contacts, control with uncertain data, and multiscale spatial dynamics

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role in the spread of an epidemic, such as the age of individuals, the number of social contacts, and their economic wealth. Subsequently, for such models, we discuss the possibility of containing the epidemic through an appropriate optimal control formulation based on the policy maker's perception of the progress of the epidemic. The role of uncertainty in the data is also discussed and addressed. Finally, the kinetic modeling is extended to spatially dependent settings using multiscale transport models that can characterize the impact of movement dynamics on epidemic advancement on both one-dimensional networks and realistic two-dimensional geographic settings.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2021

Spatial spread of COVID-19 outbreak in Italy using multiscale kinetic transport equations with uncertainty

In this paper we introduce a space-dependent multiscale model to describe the spatial spread of an infectious disease under uncertain data with particular interest in simulating the onset of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy. While virus transmission is ruled by a SEIAR type compartmental model, within our approach the population is given by a sum of commuters moving on a extra-urban scale and non commuters interacting only on the smaller urban scale. A transport dynamic of the commuter population at large spatial scales, based on kinetic equations, is coupled with a diffusion model for non commuters at the urban scale. Thanks to a suitable scaling limit, the kinetic transport model used to describe the dynamics of commuters, within a given urban area coincides with the diffusion equations that characterize the movement of non-commuting individuals. Because of the high uncertainty in the data reported in the early phase of the epidemic, the presence of random inputs in both the initial data and the epidemic parameters is included in the model. A robust numerical method is designed to deal with the presence of multiple scales and the uncertainty quantification process. In our simulations, we considered a realistic geographical domain, describing the Lombardy region, in which the size of the cities, the number of infected individuals, the average number of daily commuters moving from one city to another, and the epidemic aspects are taken into account through a calibration of the model parameters based on the actual available data. The results show that the model is able to describe correctly the main features of the spatial expansion of the first wave of COVID-19 in northern Italy.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2021

Hyperbolic compartmental models for epidemic spread on networks with uncertain data: application to the emergence of Covid-19 in Italy

The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model must take into account the large uncertainty in the values reported by official sources, such as the amount of infectious individuals. In this paper we address the above aspects through a hyperbolic compartmental model on networks, in which nodes identify locations of interest, such as cities or regions, and arcs represent the ensemble of main mobility paths. The model describes the spatial movement and interactions of a population partitioned, from an epidemiological point of view, on the basis of an extended compartmental structure and divided into commuters, moving on a suburban scale, and non-commuters, acting on an urban scale. Through a diffusive rescaling, the model allows us to recover classical diffusion equations related to commuting dynamics. The numerical solution of the resulting multiscale hyperbolic system with uncertainty is then tackled using a stochastic collocation approach in combination with a finite-volume IMEX method. The ability of the model to correctly describe the spatial heterogeneity underlying the spread of an epidemic in a realistic city network is confirmed with a study of the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy and its spread in the Lombardy Region.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2020

Uncertainty quantification of viscoelastic parameters in arterial hemodynamics with the a-FSI blood flow model

This work aims at identifying and quantifying uncertainties related to elastic and viscoelastic parameters, which characterize the arterial wall behavior, in one-dimensional modeling of the human arterial hemodynamics. The chosen uncertain parameters are modeled as random Gaussian-distributed variables, making stochastic the system of governing equations. The proposed methodology is initially validated on a model equation, presenting a thorough convergence study which confirms the spectral accuracy of the stochastic collocation method and the second-order accuracy of the IMEX finite volume scheme chosen to solve the mathematical model. Then, univariate and multivariate uncertain quantification analyses are applied to the a-FSI blood flow model, concerning baseline and patient-specific single-artery test cases. A different sensitivity is depicted when comparing the variability of flow rate and velocity waveforms to the variability of pressure and area, the latter ones resulting much more sensitive to the parametric uncertainties underlying the mechanical characterization of vessel walls. Simulations performed considering both the simple elastic and the more realistic viscoelastic constitutive law show that the great uncertainty of the viscosity parameter plays a major role in the prediction of pressure waveforms, enlarging the confidence interval of this variable. In-vivo recorded patient-specific pressure data falls within the confidence interval of the output obtained with the proposed methodology and expectations of the computed pressures are comparable to the recorded waveforms.

physics.flu-dyn↗