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Giulia Binotto

Publications and source records attributed to Giulia Binotto.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Time-dependent non-homogeneous stochastic epidemic model of SIR type

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a possible quarantine of the infectious individuals. We provide an analytic description of this Markovian model and investigate its dynamics. Both a diffusion approximation and the basic reproduction number are derived. Through several simulations, we show how the evolution of a disease is affected by the distribution of the number of daily encounters and its dependence on time.

q-bio.PE

Weak symmetric integrals with respect to the fractional Brownian motion

The aim of this paper is to establish the weak convergence, in the topology of the Skorohod space, of the $ν$-symmetric Riemann sums for functionals of the fractional Brownian motion when the Hurst parameter takes the critical value $H=(4\ell+2)^{-1}$, where $\ell=\ell(ν)\geq 1$ is the largest natural number satisfying $\int_0^1 α^{2j}ν(dα)=(2j+1)^{-1}$ for all $j=0,\ldots,\ell-1$. As a consequence, we derive a change-of-variable formula in distribution, where the correction term is a stochastic integral with respect to a Brownian motion that is independent of the fractional Brownian motion.

math.PR