arXiv subjects

Giulio Scelfo

Publications and source records attributed to Giulio Scelfo.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Cosmology from Synergies Between SKAO Surveys and Gravitational Wave Observations

Both radio surveys and gravitational wave observations have the potential to probe unprecedented volumes in the Universe with systematics independent of existing cosmological probes. This gives them the potential, especially in combination, to solve some of the outstanding issues in cosmology. Here we show how the use of radio observations as electromagnetic signals tracing large scale structures can be used to provide information on gravitational wave \textit{standard sirens}. By providing a way to link luminosity distance to redshift, this combination can constrain the expansion history of the Universe, and provide information on the Hubble constant ($H_0$). We describe the utility of SKA-Mid neutral hydrogen (\hi) intensity maps, \hi\ galaxy redshift surveys, and continuum galaxy surveys compared to and in conjunction with large contemporaneous optical surveys. Such radio tracers provide a unique, large volume and high redshift information for gravitational wave source, capable of probing effectively the expansion history of the Universe $H(z)$.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Field-level multi-tracers simulation-based inference of cosmological parameters from 3D maps

Extracting maximum cosmological information from current and upcoming large-scale structure data requires going beyond summary statistics as currently used in likelihood-based inference. Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) promises to enable the exploitation of field-level information and the rich physics of modern hydrodynamical simulations. We develop a proof-of-concept SBI pipeline to explore its potential to constrain the cosmological parameters $\{\Omega_{\rm m}, \sigma_8\}$ from galaxy number counts, neutral hydrogen (HI) intensity mapping and their combination. We use neural emulators trained on full hydrodynamical simulations to generate galaxy and HI maps from fast, approximate dark matter simulations. Combined with neural posterior estimation, this enables the estimation of cosmological parameters while marginalizing over astrophysical effects. We perform inference both on the power spectrum and on representations derived from field-level 2D or 3D maps, comparing results from each probe and the combination of both tracers, and assessing the impact of data compression and multi-tracers information on cosmological constraints. Combining galaxy and HI fields improves constraints with respect to single-tracer cases by a factor 2 to 7 in terms of a Figure of Merit describing the joint precision on cosmological parameters, depending on the tracer/configuration. Moving from summary statistics to field-level inference leads to a consistent gain in constraining power of about a factor 3, with 3D maps providing the most precise and well-calibrated posteriors. This gain in precision is robust even when astrophysical parameters are marginalized over. Further developments (including realistic survey effects and improvements in emulators' faithfulness) will enable the application of this analysis pipeline to upcoming surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Testing gravity with gravitational waves $\times$ electromagnetic probes cross-correlations

In a General Relativistic framework, Gravitational Waves (GW) and Electromagnetic (EM) waves are expected to respond in the same way to the effects of matter perturbations between the emitter and the observer. A different behaviour might be a signature of alternative theories of gravity. In this work we study the cross-correlation of resolved GW events (from compact objects mergers detected by the Einstein Telescope, either assuming or excluding the detection of an EM counterpart) and EM signals (coming both from the Intensity Mapping of the neutral hydrogen distribution and resolved galaxies from the SKA Observatory), considering weak lensing, angular clustering and their cross term ($\mathrm{L \times C}$) as observable probes. Cross-correlations of these effects are expected to provide promising information on the behaviour of these two observables, hopefully shedding light on beyond GR signatures. We perform a Fisher matrix analysis with the aim of constraining the $\{μ_0,η_0,Σ_0\}$ parameters, either opening or keeping fixed the background parameters $\{w_0,w_a\}$. We find that, although lensing-only forecasts provide significantly unconstrained results, the combination with angular clustering and the cross-correlation of all three considered tracers (GW, IM, resolved galaxies) leads to interesting and competitive constraints. This offers a novel and alternative path to both multi-tracing opportunities for Cosmology and the Modified Gravity sector.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Gravitational waves $\times$ HI intensity mapping: cosmological and astrophysical applications

Two of the most rapidly growing observables in cosmology and astrophysics are gravitational waves (GW) and the neutral hydrogen (HI) distribution. In this work, we investigate the cross-correlation between resolved gravitational wave detections and HI signal from intensity mapping (IM) experiments. By using a tomographic approach with angular power spectra, including all projection effects, we explore possible applications of the combination of the Einstein Telescope and the SKAO intensity mapping surveys. We focus on three main topics: \textit{(i)} statistical inference of the observed redshift distribution of GWs; \textit{(ii)} constraints on dynamical dark energy models as an example of cosmological studies; \textit{(iii)} determination of the nature of the progenitors of merging binary black holes, distinguishing between primordial and astrophysical origin. Our results show that: \textit{(i)} the GW redshift distribution can be calibrated with good accuracy at low redshifts, without any assumptions on cosmology or astrophysics, potentially providing a way to probe astrophysical and cosmological models; \textit{(ii)} the constrains on the dynamical dark energy parameters are competitive with IM-only experiments, in a complementary way and potentially with less systematics; \textit{(iii)} it will be possible to detect a relatively small abundance of primordial black holes within the gravitational waves from resolved mergers. Our results extend towards $\mathrm{GW \times IM}$ the promising field of multi-tracing cosmology and astrophysics, which has the major advantage of allowing scientific investigations in ways that would not be possible by looking at single observables separately.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Intensity and anisotropies of the stochastic Gravitational Wave background from merging compact binaries in galaxies

We investigate the isotropic and anisotropic components of the Stochastic Gravitational Wave Background (SGWB) originated from unresolved merging compact binaries in galaxies. We base our analysis on an empirical approach to galactic astrophysics that allows to follow the evolution of individual systems. We then characterize the energy density of the SGWB as a tracer of the total matter density, in order to compute the angular power spectrum of anisotropies with the Cosmic Linear Anisotropy Solving System (CLASS) public code in full generality. We obtain predictions for the isotropic energy density and for the angular power spectrum of the SGWB anisotropies, and study the prospect for their observations with advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave and Virgo Observatories and with the Einstein Telescope. We identify the contributions coming from different type of sources (binary black holes, binary neutron stars and black hole-neutron star) and from different redshifts. We examine in detail the spectral shape of the energy density for all types of sources, comparing the results for the two detectors. We find that the power spectrum of the SGWB anisotropies behaves like a power law on large angular scales and drops at small scales: we explain this behaviour in terms of the redshift distribution of sources that contribute most to the signal, and of the sensitivities of the two detectors. Finally, we simulate a high resolution full sky map of the SGWB starting from the power spectra obtained with CLASS and including Poisson statistics and clustering properties.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Beware of commonly used approximations I: errors in forecasts

In the era of precision cosmology, establishing the correct magnitude of statistical errors in cosmological parameters is of crucial importance. However, widely used approximations in galaxy surveys analyses can lead to parameter uncertainties that are grossly mis-estimated, even in a regime where the theory is well understood (e.g., linear scales). These approximations can be introduced at three different levels: in the form of the likelihood, in the theoretical modelling of the observable and in the numerical computation of the observable. Their consequences are important both in data analysis through e.g., Markov Chain Monte Carlo parameter inference, and when survey instrument and strategy are designed and their constraining power on cosmological parameters is forecasted, for instance using Fisher matrix analyses. In this work, considering the galaxy angular power spectrum as the target observable, we report one example of approximation for each of such three categories: neglecting off-diagonal terms in the covariance matrix, neglecting cosmic magnification and using the Limber approximation on large scales. We show that these commonly used approximations affect the robustness of the analysis and lead, perhaps counter-intuitively, to unacceptably large mis-estimates of parameters errors (from few~$10\%$ up to few~$100\%$) and correlations. Furthermore, these approximations might even spoil the benefits of the nascent multi-tracer and multi-messenger cosmology. Hence we recommend that the type of analysis presented here should be repeated for every approximation adopted in survey design or data analysis, to quantify how it may affect the results. To this aim, we have developed \texttt{Multi\_CLASS}, a new extension of \texttt{CLASS} that includes the angular power spectrum for multiple (galaxy and other tracers such as gravitational waves) populations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

Exploring galaxies-gravitational waves cross-correlations as an astrophysical probe

Gravitational waves astronomy has opened a new opportunity to study the Universe. Full exploitation of this window can especially be provided by combining data coming from gravitational waves experiments with luminous tracers of the Large Scale Structure, like galaxies. In this work we investigate the cross-correlation signal between gravitational waves resolved events, as detected by the Einstein Telescope, and actively star-forming galaxies. The galaxies distribution is computed through their UV and IR luminosity functions and the gravitational waves events, assumed to be of stellar origin, are self-consistently computed from the aforementioned galaxies distribution. We provide a state-of-the-art treatment both on the astrophysical side, taking into account the impact of the star formation and chemical evolution histories of galaxies, and in computing the cross-correlation signal, for which we include lensing and relativistic effects. We find that the measured cross-correlation signal can be sufficiently strong to overcome the noise and provide a clear signal. As a possible application of this methodology, we consider a proof-of-concept case in which we aim at discriminating a metallicity dependence on the compact objects merger efficiency against a reference case with no metallicity dependence. When considering galaxies with a Star Formation Rate $ψ> 10 \: M_{\odot} /\rm{yr}$, a Signal-to-Noise ratio around a value of 2-4 is gained after a decade of observation time, depending on the observed fraction of the sky. This formalism can be exploited as an astrophysical probe and could potentially allow to test and compare different astrophysical scenarios.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

GW$\times$LSS: Chasing the Progenitors of Merging Binary Black Holes

Are the stellar-mass merging binary black holes, recently detected by their gravitational wave signal, of stellar or primordial origin? Answering this question will have profound implications for our understanding of the Universe, including the nature of dark matter, the early Universe and stellar evolution. We build on the idea that the clustering properties of merging binary black holes can provide information about binary formation mechanisms and origin. The cross-correlation of galaxy with gravitational wave catalogues carries information about whether black hole mergers trace more closely the distribution of dark matter -- indicative of primordial origin -- or that of stars harboured in luminous and massive galaxies -- indicative of a stellar origin. We forecast the detectability of such signal for several forthcoming and future gravitational wave interferometers and galaxy surveys, including, for the first time in such analyses, an accurate modelling for the different merger rates, lensing magnification and other general relativistic effects. Our results show that forthcoming experiments could allow us to test most of the parameter space of the still viable models investigated, and shed more light on the issue of binary black hole origin and evolution.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

Lyman-$α$ forest constraints on Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter

The renewed interest in the possibility that primordial black holes (PBHs) may constitute a significant part of the dark matter has motivated revisiting old observational constraints, as well as developing new ones. We present new limits on the PBH abundance, from a comprehensive analysis of high-resolution, high-redshift Lyman-$α$ forest data. Poisson fluctuations in the PBH number density induce a small-scale power enhancement which departs from the standard cold dark matter prediction. Using a grid of hydrodynamic simulations exploring different values of astrophysical parameters, {we obtain a marginalized upper limit on the PBH mass of $f_{\rm PBH}M_{\rm PBH} \sim 60~M_{\odot}$ at $2σ$, when a Gaussian prior on the reionization redshift is imposed, preventing its posterior distribution to peak on very high values, which are disfavoured by the most recent estimates obtained both through Cosmic Microwave Background and Inter-Galactic Medium observations. Such bound weakens to $f_{\rm PBH}M_{\rm PBH} \sim 170~M_{\odot}$, when a conservative flat prior is instead assumed. Both limits significantly improves previous constraints from the same physical observable.} We also extend our predictions to non-monochromatic PBH mass distributions, ruling out large regions of the parameter space for some of the most viable PBH extended mass functions.

astro-ph.CO↗