Asymptomatic infectives and $R_0$ for COVID
We discuss how the presence of a large set of asymptomatic infectives changes our estimate of the COVID-19 basic reproduction number, also known as $R_0$.
arXiv subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Giuseppe Gaeta.
We discuss how the presence of a large set of asymptomatic infectives changes our estimate of the COVID-19 basic reproduction number, also known as $R_0$.
In a recent report we have collected some data about the COVID-19 epidemics in Northern Italy; in this follow-up we analyze how these changed after the mild restrictive measures taken by the Government two weeks ago and the large campaign of public awareness developed in the meanwhile.
The COVID-19 epidemics, started in China in January 2020, was recognized to have reached Italy around February 20; recent estimates show that most probably the virus circulated in the country already in January, but was not recognized. Data for the early dynamics of COVID-19 in Northern Italy are analyzed.
We provide a symmetry classification of scalar stochastic equations with multiplicative noise. These equations can be integrated by means of the Kozlov procedure, by passing to symmetry adapted variables.
We apply the recently developed theory of symmetry of stochastic differential equations to a stochastic version of the logistic equation, obtaining an explicit integration, i.e. an explicit formula for the process in terms of any single realization of the driving Wiener process.
We discuss W-symmetries of Ito stochastic differential equations, introduced in a recent paper by Gaeta and Spadaro [J. Math. Phys. 2017]. In particular, we discuss the general form of acceptable generators for continuous (Lie-point) W-symmetry, arguing they are related to the (linear) conformal group, and how W-symmetries can be used in the integration of Ito stochastic equations along Kozlov theory for standard (deterministic or random) symmetries. It turns out this requires, in general, to consider more general classes of stochastic equations than just Ito ones.
We discuss some recent advances concerning the symmetry of stochastic differential equations, and in particular the interrelations between these and the integrability -- complete or partial -- of the equations.
Octupolar tensors are third order, completely symmetric and traceless tensors. Whereas in 2D an octupolar tensor has the same symmetries as an equilateral triangle and can ultimately be identified with a vector in the plane, the symmetries that it enjoys in 3D are quite different, and only exceptionally reduce to those of a regular tetrahedron. By use of the octupolar potential that is, the cubic form associated on the unit sphere with an octupolar tensor, we shall classify all inequivalent octupolar symmetries. This is a mathematical study which also reviews and incorporates some previous, less systematic attempts.
We discuss several aspects of the geometry of vector fields in (Poincare'-Dulac) normal form. Our discussion relies substantially on Michel theory and aims at a constructive approach to simplify the analysis of normal forms via a splitting based on the action of certain groups. The case, common in Physics, of systems enjoying an a priori symmetry is also discussed in some detail.
I give a short review of the theory of twisted symmetries of differential equations, emphasizing geometrical aspects. Some open problems are also mentioned.
We discuss the interrelations between symmetry of an Ito stochastic differential equations (or systems thereof) and its integrability, extending in party results by R. Kozlov [J. Phys. A ${\bf 43}$ (2010) \& ${\bf 44}$ (2011)]. Together with integrability, we also consider the relations between symmetries and reducibility of a system of SDEs to a lower dimensional one. We consider both "deterministic" symmetries and "random" ones, in the sense introduced recently by Gaeta and Spadaro [J.Math. Phys. ${\bf 58}$ (2017)].
I will sketchily illustrate how the theory of symmetry helps in determining solutions of (deterministic) differential equations, both ODEs and PDEs, staying within the classical theory. I will then present a quick discussion of some more and less recent attempts to extend this theory to the study of stochastic differential equations, and briefly mention some perspective in this direction.
We study the invariance of stochastic differential equations under random diffeomorphisms, and establish the determining equations for random Lie-point symmetries of stochastic differential equations, both in Ito and in Stratonovich form. We also discuss relations with previous results in the literature.
In the deterministic realm, both differential equations and symmetry generators are geometrical objects, and behave properly under changes of coordinates; actually this property is essential to make symmetry analysis independent of the choice of coordinates and applicable. When trying to extend symmetry analysis to stochastic (Ito) differential equations, we are faced with a problem inherent to their very nature: they are not geometrical object, and they behave in their own way (synthesized by the Ito formula) under changes of coordinates. Thus it is not obvious that symmetries are preserved under a change of coordinates. We will study when this is the case, and when it is not; the conclusion is that this is always the case for so called \emph{simple} symmetries. We will also note that Kozlov theory relating symmetry and integrability for stochastic differential equations is confirmed by our considerations and results, as symmetries of the type relevant in it are indeed of the type preserved under coordinate changes.
We discuss generalizations of the well known concept of canonical transformations for symplectic structures to the case of hyperkahler structures. Different characterizations, which are equivalent in the symplectic case, give raise to non-equivalent notions in the hyperkahler framework; we will thus distinguish between hyperkahler and canonical transformations. We also discuss the properties of hyperhamiltonian dynamics in this respect.
Given a hyperkahler manifold M, the hyperkahler structure defines a triple of symplectic structures on M; with these, a triple of Hamiltonians defines a so called hyperhamiltonian dynamical system on M. These systems are integrable when can be mapped to a system of quaternionic oscillators. We discuss the symmetry of integrable hyperhamiltonian systems, i.e. quaternionic oscillators; and conversely how these symmetries characterize, at least in the Euclidean case, integrable hyperhamiltonian systems.
The definition and structure of hyperkahler structure preserving transformations (invariance group) for quaternionic structures have been recently studied and some preliminary results on the Euclidean case discussed. In this work we present the whole structure of the invariance Lie algebra in the Euclidean case for any dimension.
We apply a recently developed technique to determine adapted coordinates for the sixth degree Landau-deGennes potential, in which the potential is specially simple, to analyze the possibility of a direct transition between the fully symmetric state and a biaxial phase in nematic liquid crystals. {Our results confirm, with simpler computations, results by Allender and Longa.