arXiv subjects

Grant C. Weldon

Publications and source records attributed to Grant C. Weldon.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Discovery of an Inflated Hot Neptune and Its Formation from Jovian Mass Loss

The production of Neptune-like planets with orbital periods of 3--6 days is challenging for conventional models of high-eccentricity migration. We present the discovery and characterization of TOI-2195~A~b, an inflated hot Neptune ($P = 4.16$ days, $m_p= 1.46M_{\rm Nep},\,R_p = 0.79R_{\rm J}$) orbiting an early K-type star with a wide binary companion at $\sim 600$~au. Detection of the Rossiter-McLaughlin effect at $\sim2.6σ$ confidence with Magellan/PFS reveals the planet is likely on a near-polar orbit with a sky-projected stellar obliquity $λ= {109^{+35}_{-53}} ^{\circ}$. We perform coupled dynamical and structural modeling that reproduces the observed characteristics of the system. We show that the planet may have originated as a cold, Jovian planet that was excited to high eccentricities via the stellar Eccentric Kozai-Lidov (EKL) mechanism, where it lost up to $\sim90\%$ of its mass via Roche lobe overflow during close periastron passages, enabling rapid tidal migration and radius inflation due to tidal heating. TOI-2195 A b provides a test for planetary migration theories, and our simulations suggest that puffy hot Neptunes originated as more massive Jovians that underwent mass loss during high-eccentricity migration.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

Saving Doomed Planets: Mass Loss and Angular Momentum Return Boost Hot Jupiter Survival Rates

The existence of giant extrasolar planets on short-period orbits ("hot Jupiters") challenges planet formation theories because such planets are difficult to form close to the star. High-eccentricity migration is a leading explanation, in which giant planets born at large separations are excited to near-unity eccentricities, enabling tidal dissipation at periastron to shrink and circularize their orbits. While observations of orbital misalignments and eccentric planets support this scenario, high-eccentricity migration models struggle to reproduce the observed hot Jupiter occurrence rate. Population synthesis studies often predict that many source "cold Jupiters" are destroyed by tidal disruption at high eccentricities. We revisit this question with improved treatments of mass loss and angular momentum return experienced by tidally perturbed planets. As a test case, we explore eccentricity excitations driven by wide stellar companions via the Eccentric Kozai-Lidov (EKL) mechanism. We show using an analytical framework that planets may avoid complete disruption and ultimately survive as stripped hot Jupiters. To capture detailed planetary mass loss over many orbits, we perform numerical studies that combine secular dynamical evolution with planetary structure evolution. Our new population synthesis studies show that hot Jupiter survival is enhanced by a factor of $\sim2-3$ relative to previous estimates, yielding occurrence rates ($\gtrsim 0.5\%$ around FGK stars) consistent with observations. Angular momentum return from mass accreted onto the star may also produce a pileup of hot Jupiters near three-day orbital periods. These results suggest that high-eccentricity migration, when accounting for tidal mass loss, may be a dominant channel for hot Jupiter formation.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

The cold Jupiter eccentricity distribution is consistent with EKL driven by stellar companions

The large eccentricities of cold Jupiters and the existence of hot Jupiters have long challenged theories of planet formation. A proposed solution to both of these puzzles is high-eccentricity migration, in which an initially cold Jupiter is excited to high eccentricities before being tidally circularized. Secular perturbations from an inclined stellar companion are a potential source of eccentricity oscillations, a phenomenon known as the Eccentric Kozai-Lidov (EKL) mechanism. Previous studies have found that the cold Jupiter eccentricity distribution produced by EKL is inconsistent with observations. However, these studies assumed all planets start on circular orbits. Here, we revisit this question, considering that an initial period of planet-planet scattering on $\sim$Myr timescales likely places planets on slightly eccentric orbits before being modulated by EKL on $\sim$Myr-Gyr timescales. Small initial eccentricities can have a dramatic effect by enabling EKL to act at lower inclinations. We numerically integrate the secular hierarchical three-body equations of motion, including general relativity and tides, for populations of cold giant planets in stellar binaries with varied initial eccentricity distributions. For populations with modest initial mean eccentricities, the simulated eccentricity distribution produced by EKL is statistically consistent with the observed eccentricities of cold single-planet systems. The lower eccentricities in a multi-planet control sample suggest planetary companions quench stellar EKL. We show that scattering alone is unlikely to reproduce the present-day eccentricity distribution. We also calculate predictions for the inclinations and stellar obliquities in binary systems with cold Jupiters.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2024

New Evidence for a Flux-independent Spectral Index of Sgr A* in the Near-infrared

In this work, we measure the spectral index of Sagittarius A* (Sgr A*) between the $H$ (1.6 $μ$m) and $K^\prime$ (2.2 $μ$m) broadband filters in the near-infrared (NIR), sampling over a factor $\sim 40$ in brightness, the largest range probed to date by a factor $\sim 3$. Sgr A*-NIR is highly variable, and studying the spectral index $α$ (with $F_ν\propto ν^α$) is essential to determine the underlying emission mechanism. For example, variations in $α$ with flux may arise from shifts in the synchrotron cutoff frequency, changes in the distribution of electrons, or multiple concurrent emission mechanisms. We investigate potential variations of $α_{H-K^\prime}$ with flux by analyzing 7 epochs (2005 to 2022) of Keck Observatory imaging observations from the Galactic Center Orbits Initiative (GCOI). We remove the flux contribution of known sources confused with Sgr A*-NIR, which can significantly impact color at faint flux levels. We interpolate between the interleaved $H$ and $K^\prime$ observations using Multi-Output Gaussian Processes. We introduce a flexible empirical model to quantify $α$ variations and probe different scenarios. The observations are best fit by an $α_{H-K^\prime} = - 0.50 \pm 0.08 _{\rm stat} \pm 0.17_{\rm sys}$ that is constant from $\sim 1$ mJy to $\sim 40$ mJy (dereddened 2 $μ$m flux). We find no evidence for a flux-dependence of Sgr A*'s intrinsic spectral index. In particular, we rule out a model explaining NIR variability purely by shifts in the synchrotron cutoff frequency. We also constrain the presence of redder, quiescent emission from the black hole, concluding that the dereddened 2 $μ$m flux contribution must be $\leq 0.3$ mJy at 95% confidence level.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Analytical models for secular descents in hierarchical triple systems

Triple body systems are prevalent in nature, from planetary to stellar to supermassive black hole scales. In a hierarchical triple system, oscillations of the inner orbit's eccentricity and inclination can be induced on secular timescales. Over many cycles, the octupole-level terms in the secular equations of motion can drive the system to extremely high eccentricities via the Eccentric Kozai-Lidov (EKL) mechanism. The overall decrease in the inner orbit's pericenter distance has potentially dramatic effects for realistic systems, such as tidal disruption events. We present an analytical approximation in the test particle limit to describe individual step-wise increases in eccentricity of the inner orbit. A second approximation, also in the test particle limit, is obtained by integrating the equations of motion and calibrating to numerical simulations to estimate the overall octupole-level time evolution of the eccentricity. The latter approach is then extended beyond the test particle to the general case. The three novel analytical approximations are compared to numerical solutions to show that the models accurately describe the form and timescale of the secular descent from large distances to a close-encounter distance (e.g., the Roche limit). By circumventing the need for numerical simulations to obtain the long-term behavior, these approximations can be used to readily estimate properties of close encounters and descent timescales for populations of systems. We demonstrate by calculating rates of EKL-driven migration for Hot Jupiters in stellar binaries.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2023

Near-Infrared Flux Distribution of Sgr A* from 2005-2022: Evidence for an Enhanced Accretion Episode in 2019

Sgr A* is the variable electromagnetic source associated with accretion onto the Galactic center supermassive black hole. While the near-infrared (NIR) variability of Sgr A* was shown to be consistent over two decades, unprecedented activity in 2019 challenges existing statistical models. We investigate the origin of this activity by re-calibrating and re-analyzing all of our Keck Observatory Sgr A* imaging observations from 2005-2022. We present light curves from 69 observation epochs using the NIRC2 imager at 2.12 $μ$m with laser guide star adaptive optics. These observations reveal that the mean luminosity of Sgr A* increased by a factor of $\sim$3 in 2019, and the 2019 light curves had higher variance than in all time periods we examined. We find that the 2020-2022 flux distribution is statistically consistent with the historical sample and model predictions, but with fewer bright measurements above 0.6 mJy at the $\sim$2$σ$ level. Since 2019, we have observed a maximum $K_s$ (2.2 $μ$m) flux of 0.9 mJy, compared to the highest pre-2019 flux of 2.0 mJy and highest 2019 flux of 5.6 mJy. Our results suggest that the 2019 activity was caused by a temporary accretion increase onto Sgr A*, possibly due to delayed accretion of tidally-stripped gas from the gaseous object G2 in 2014. We also examine faint Sgr A* fluxes over a long time baseline to search for a quasi-steady quiescent state. We find that Sgr A* displays flux variations over a factor of $\sim$500, with no evidence for a quiescent state in the NIR.

astro-ph.GA↗