arXiv subjects

Gregory J. Gilbert

Publications and source records attributed to Gregory J. Gilbert.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

No strong associations between eccentricity and orbital architecture in Kepler compact multis

The dynamical history of a planetary system is recorded in the present day architecture of its constituent planets' sizes, orbital periods, and eccentricities. Studying the relationships between these quantities for large populations provides a window into the processes by which planetary systems form and evolve. Recently, Gilbert, Petigura, and Entrican (2025) performed a hierarchical Bayesian analysis of 1626 planets from the Kepler census, demonstrating a strong relationship between planet radius $R_p$ and orbital eccentricity $e$. Here, we build upon that work to search for correlations between eccentricity and system architecture, focusing on compact systems of small planets. We find that small planets on short orbits ($P < 4$ days) show evidence of tidal circularization. This trend is well established for Jovian planets but a novel finding for super-Earths and sub-Neptunes. We reproduce the known wherein trend single-transiting systems possess elevated eccentricities relative to their multi-transiting counterparts. We further show that systems with two transiting planets have higher eccentricities than those with three or more transiting planets. When compared to population synthesis models, these multiplicity-eccentricity relationships imply that Kepler singles have intrinsic multiplicity ${\sim}3$ and Kepler multis have intrinsic multiplicity ${\sim}4{-}6$. We detect no statistically significant associations between eccentricity and planetary period ratios, gap complexity, size inequality, or size ordering. We interpret these findings as evidence either in favor of a quiescent formation history or against dynamical processes which excite eccentricity but not inclination. Sub-significant relationships between eccentricity and architecture imply that subtle, multi-factor trends may be detectable in the future using more sophisticated statistical techniques.

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arXiv2026

The KPF-SLOPE Survey - Small, Compact Multi-Planet Systems Appear Spin-Orbit Aligned

The angle between stellar spin axes and planetary orbits -- stellar obliquity -- probes the dynamics of planetary migration and evolution. The obliquities of giant planets have been extensively studied because they are the most easily measured. Smaller planets, while more difficult to measure, have the advantage of better reflecting the dynamics of planetary systems because they trigger negligible back-reactions onto the host star. This paper introduces a new observational campaign called the Small, Low-mass Oblique Planets Experiment (SLOPE) survey with the Keck Planet Finder (KPF) spectrograph, and presents four new obliquity measurements. The SLOPE survey focuses on planets smaller than Saturn across a variety of system architectures. The sky-projected obliquities of the four planets measured -- TOI-1386b, TOI-480b, TOI-4596b, and TOI-1823b -- are all consistent with spin-orbit alignment. We validate the planetary nature of TOI-4596b with a significant obliquity detection. Including these measurements, we conducted a statistical analysis of the obliquities of sub-Saturn size planets in different planetary system architectures. Compared to other architectures, those in compact multi-planet systems reside in orbits that appear preferentially aligned with the stellar equator with 6 sigma confidence.

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arXiv2026

Planetary Architectures of Kepler Compact Multis with Binary Star Companions

Planets in binary-star systems exhibit demographic differences compared to planets in single-star systems. In particular, planets with binary-star hosts have a lower overall occurrence rate compared to their single-star counterparts, as well as a suppressed relative occurrence rate for sub-Neptunes ($R_p=2{-}4R_{\oplus}$) compared to super-Earths ($R_p=1.0{-}1.5R_{\oplus}$). These differences are most pronounced in close separation binaries ($\rho < 100$ au) which has been interpreted as a result of binary stars disrupting the protoplanetary disks of their stellar companions. The architectures of planetary systems -- i.e. the arrangements of planet sizes and orbits -- provide additional information about system formation and evolution. Architectures of single-star planetary systems are well studied, but architectures of binary-star planetary systems have not been investigated in detail. In this work, we analyzed a large sample of Kepler planetary systems (162 planets in 118 binary-star systems; 880 planets in 544 single-star systems) to compare their architectures as a function of stellar multiplicity. We found that planets with binary-star hosts follow a similar ``peas-in-a-pod'' tendency toward uniformity in planet radii and log-uniformity in period spacing as planets with single-star hosts. However, we also detected modest ($2.5-3\sigma$) differences in period spacing and planet multiplicity, with binary-star systems having higher typical gap complexities (indicating more uneven spacing) and a higher prevalence of single planets. We interpret these results as evidence that binary stars primarily influence the planetary architectures of their stellar companions by shaping the protoplanetary disk at formation, with subsequent dynamical processing more gently altering the system architectures over secular timescales.

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arXiv2025

The KPF SURFS-UP Survey I: Transmission Spectroscopy of WASP-76 b

We introduce the KPF SURFS-UP (Spectroscopy of the Upper-atmospheres and ReFractory Species in Ultra-hot Planets) Survey, a high-resolution survey to investigate the atmospheric composition and dynamics of a sample of ultra-hot Jupiters with the Keck Planet Finder (KPF). Due to the unique design of KPF, we developed a publicly available pipeline for KPF that performs blaze removal, continuum normalization, order stitching, science spectra combination, telluric correction, and atmospheric detection via cross-correlation. As a first demonstration, we applied this pipeline to a transit of WASP-76 b and achieved some of the highest signal-to-noise detections of refractory species in WASP-76 b to date (e.g., Fe I is detected at a SNR of 14.5). We confirm previous observations of an asymmetry in Fe I absorption, but find no measurable ingress-egress asymmetry in Na I and Ca II. Together, these results suggest variations within different layers of the atmosphere of WASP-76 b: neutral metals such as Fe I trace deeper regions with stronger asymmetries, while Na I and Ca II probe regions higher in the atmosphere where the ingress-egress asymmetries are weaker. Unlike some other ultra-hot Jupiters, our results are qualitatively consistent with GCM predictions of decreasing velocity asymmetry with altitude and do not require a high-altitude super-rotating jet that has been invoked for other planets (e.g., WASP-121 b). These results suggest that atmospheric circulation patterns in ultra-hot Jupiters may be more diverse than previously thought, highlighting the need for broader surveys to study how atmospheric dynamics depend on planetary and stellar properties.

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arXiv2025

Orbital Eccentricities Suggest a Gradual Transition from Giant Planets to Brown Dwarfs

To date, hundreds of sub-stellar objects with masses between $1-80\ M_{\rm Jup}$ have been detected orbiting main-sequence stars. The current convention uses the deuterium-burning limit, $M_c \approx 13 M_{\rm Jup}$ to divide this population between giant planets and brown dwarfs. However, this classification heuristic is largely divorced from any formation physics and may not accurately reflect the astrophysical nature of these objects. Previous work has suggested that a transition from ``planet-like'' to ``brown-dwarf-like'' characteristics occurs somewhere in the range $1-10 M_{\rm Jup}$, but precise the crossover mass and whether the transition is gradual or abrupt remains unknown. Here, we explore how the occurrence rate, host star metallicity, and orbital eccentricities vary as a function of mass in a sample of 70 Doppler-detected sub-stellar objects ($0.8 < M_c/M_{\rm Jup} < 80$) from the California Legacy Survey. Our population consists of objects near and beyond the water ice line ($1 < a / \text{AU} < 10$), providing valuable clues to the details of giant planet formation physics at a location in the proto-stellar disk where planet formation efficiency is thought to be enhanced. We find that occurrence rate, host star metallicity, and orbital eccentricity all change gradually across the mass range under consideration, suggesting that ``bottom-up'' core accretion mechanisms and ``top-down'' gravitational instability mechanisms produce objects that overlap in mass. The observed eccentricity distributions could arise either from different formation channels or from post-formation dynamical interactions between massive sub-stellar objects.

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arXiv2025

The Transition from Giant Planets to Brown Dwarfs beyond 1 au from the Stellar Metallicity Distribution

Giant planets and brown dwarfs are thought to form via a combination of pathways, including bottom-up mechanisms in which gas is accreted onto a solid core and top-down mechanisms in which gas collapses directly into a gravitationally-bound object. One can distinguish the prevalence of these mechanisms using host star metallicities. Bottom-up formation thrives in metal-rich environments, whereas top-down formation is weakly dependent on ambient metal content. Using a hierarchical Bayesian model and the results of the California Legacy Survey (CLS), a low-bias and homogeneously analyzed radial velocity survey, we find evidence for a transition in the stellar metallicity distribution at a companion mass of $\gamma = 27_{-8}^{+12} \, M_{\rm Jup}$ for companions with orbital separations between $1-50$ au. Companions below and above this threshold tend to orbit stars with higher ($\rm{[Fe/H]} = 0.17 \pm 0.12$ dex) and lower ($\rm{[Fe/H]} = -0.03 \pm 0.10$ dex) metallicities, respectively. Previous studies of relatively close-in companions reported evidence of a lower transition mass of $\leq 10 \, {\rm M_{\rm Jup}}$. When applied to the CLS sample, our model predicts the probability of a transition in the stellar metallicity distribution at or below $10 \, { M_{\rm Jup}}$ to be $< 1 \%$. We compare our results to estimates of $\gamma$ gleaned from other observational metrics and discuss implications for planet formation theory.

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arXiv2025

The Orbital Eccentricities of Planets in the Kinematic Thin and Thick Galactic Disks

The orbital eccentricity distribution of exoplanets is shaped by a combination of dynamical processes, reflecting both formation conditions and long-term evolution. Probing the orbital dynamics of planets in the kinematic thin and thick Galactic disks provides insight into the degree to which stellar and Galactic environmental factors affect planet formation and evolution pathways. The classification of host stars in Galactic kinematic terms constitutes a potentially useful axis for the interpretation of orbital eccentricity, when included together with stellar metallicity and age. Leveraging the photoeccentric effect, we constrain orbital eccentricities for the sample of Kepler planets and candidates orbiting F, G, K and M dwarf stars. With Gaia astrometry, inferred Galactic phase space information, and kinematic disk criteria calibrated on stellar chemical abundances, we probabilistically associate each planet host with the kinematic thin or thick Galactic disks. We then fit the underlying eccentricity distributions for the single- and multi-transit populations. We find that for single-transiting planets, kinematic thick disk planets exhibit higher eccentricities than thin disk planets, yet we find no such difference among multis. We determine that the difference in eccentricity is unlikely to be caused solely by the effects of host stellar metallicity or giant planet occurrence. We situate these findings in the context of known eccentricity relations, including its relationships with planet multiplicity, radius and metallicity. We suggest comprehensive analyses to disentangle these results from the effects of poorly understood star-planet relationships, such as that between stellar age and planetary orbital dynamics.

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arXiv2025

A Decade of Transit-Timing Measurements Confirm Resonance in the K2-19 System

K2-19 is a star, slightly smaller than the Sun, that hosts three transiting planets. Two of these, K2-19 b and c, are between the size of Neptune and Saturn and have orbital periods near a 3:2 commensurability, and exhibit strong transit-timing variations (TTVs). A previous TTV analysis reported moderate eccentricities of $\approx0.20 \pm0.03$ for the two planets, but such high values would imply rapid orbital decay for the innermost planet d. Here, we present an updated analysis that includes eight new transit times from TESS, which extends the time baseline from three years to a decade, and employ a gradient-aware TTV modeling code. We confirm that the system resides in resonance with a small libration amplitude, but find a broader constraints on eccentricity that range from a few percent up to 0.2. These revised eccentricities alleviate previous concerns regarding rapid tidal circularization and support the long-term dynamical stability of the system.

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arXiv2025

Planets larger than Neptune have elevated eccentricities

NASA's Kepler mission identified over 4000 extrasolar planets that transit (cross in front of) their host stars. This sample has revealed detailed features in the demographics of planet sizes and orbital spacings. However, knowledge of their orbital shapes - a key tracer of planetary formation and evolution - remains far more limited. We present measurements of eccentricities for 1646 Kepler planets, 92% of which are smaller than Neptune. For all planet sizes, the eccentricity distribution peaks at e=0 and falls monotonically toward zero at e=1. As planet size increases, mean population eccentricity rises from $\langle e \rangle = 0.05 \pm 0.01$ for small planets to $\langle e \rangle = 0.20 \pm 0.03$ for planets larger than $\sim$ 3.5 Earth-radii. The overall planet occurrence rate and planet-metallicity correlation also change abruptly at this size. Taken together, these patterns indicate distinct formation channels for planets above and below $\sim$ 3.5 Earth-radii. We also find size dependent associations between eccentricity, host star metallicity, and orbital period. While smaller planets generally have low eccentricities, there are hints of a noteworthy exception: eccentricities are slightly elevated in the ``radius valley,'' a narrow band of low occurrence rate density which separates rocky ``super-Earths'' (1.0-1.5 Earth-radii) from gas-rich ``sub-Neptunes'' (2.0-3.0 Earth-radii. We detect this feature at $2.1\sigma$ significance. Planets in single- and multi-transiting systems exhibit the same size-eccentricity relationship, suggesting they are drawn from the same parent population.

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arXiv2025

The Orbital Eccentricity-Radius Relation for Planets Orbiting M Dwarfs

The orbital eccentricity-radius relation for small planets is indicative of the predominant dynamical sculpting processes during late-stage orbital evolution. Previous studies have shown that planets orbiting Sun-like stars exhibit an eccentricity-radius trend such that larger planets have higher orbital eccentricities, and that radius gap planets may have modestly higher orbital eccentricities than planets on either side of the radius gap. In this work, we investigate the trend for a sample of smaller M dwarf stars. For a sample of 236 single- and multi-transit confirmed planets or candidates discovered by the TESS and Kepler missions, we constrain orbital eccentricity for each planet from the transit photometry together with a stellar density prior. We investigate the binned eccentricity-planet radius relation for the combined planet sample and present evidence for a positive eccentricity-radius relationship with elevated eccentricities for planets larger than 3.5 R_earth, similar to the trend for planets orbiting Sun-like stars. We find modest evidence that single-transit M dwarf planets near the radius gap exhibit higher eccentricity, consistent with trends for Sun-like stars. However, we see no evidence for an increased eccentricity near the radius gap among multi-transit M dwarf planets. We discuss implications for these results in the context of predominant atmospheric loss mechanisms: namely, supporting evidence for photoevaporation in M dwarf planets vs. planet-planet collisions or giant impacts in FGK dwarf planets.

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arXiv2025

TOI-6324b: An Earth-Mass Ultra-Short-Period Planet Transiting a Nearby M Dwarf

We report the confirmation of TOI-6324 b, an Earth-sized (1.059 $\pm$ 0.041 R$_\oplus$) ultra-short-period (USP) planet orbiting a nearby ($\sim$20 pc) M dwarf. Using the newly commissioned Keck Planet Finder (KPF) spectrograph, we have measured the mass of TOI-6324 b 1.17 $\pm$ 0.22 M$_\oplus$. Because of its extremely short orbit of just $\sim$6.7 hours, TOI-6324 b is intensely irradiated by its M dwarf host, and is expected to be stripped of any thick, H/He envelope. We were able to constrain its interior composition and found an iron core mass fraction (CMF = 27$\pm$37%) consistent with that of Earth ($\sim$33%) and other confirmed USPs. TOI-6324 b is the closest to Earth-sized USP confirmed to date. TOI-6324 b is a promising target for JWST phase curve and secondary eclipse observations (Emission Spectroscopy Metric = 25) which may reveal its surface mineralogy, day-night temperature contrast, and possible tidal deformation. From 7 sectors of TESS data, we report a tentative detection of the optical phase curve variation with an amplitude of 42$\pm$28 ppm.

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arXiv2024

The Compositions of Rocky Planets in Close-in Orbits Tend to be Earth-Like

Hundreds of exoplanets between 1-1.8 times the size of the Earth have been discovered on close in orbits. However, these planets show such a diversity in densities that some appear to be made entirely of iron, while others appear to host gaseous envelopes. To test this diversity in composition, we update the masses of 5 rocky exoplanets (HD 93963 A b, Kepler-10 b, Kepler-100 b, Kepler-407 b, and TOI-1444 b) and present the confirmation of a new planet (TOI-1011) using 187 high precision RVs from Gemini/MAROON-X and Keck/KPF. Our updated planet masses suggest compositions closer to that of the Earth than previous literature values for all planets in our sample. In particular, we report that two previously identified ``super-Mercuries'' (Kepler-100 b and HD 93963 A b) have lower masses that suggest less iron-rich compositions. We then compare the ratio of iron to rock-building species to the abundance ratios of those elements in their host stars. These updated planet compositions do not suggest a steep relationship between planet and host star compositions, contradictory to previous results, and suggest that planets and host stars have similar abundance ratios.

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arXiv2024

An Earth-sized Planet on the Verge of Tidal Disruption

TOI-6255~b (GJ 4256) is an Earth-sized planet (1.079$\pm0.065$ $R_\oplus$) with an orbital period of only 5.7 hours. With the newly commissioned Keck Planet Finder (KPF) and CARMENES spectrographs, we determined the planet's mass to be 1.44$\pm$0.14 $M_{\oplus}$. The planet is just outside the Roche limit, with $P_{\rm orb}/P_{\rm Roche}$ = 1.13 $\pm0.10$. The strong tidal force likely deforms the planet into a triaxial ellipsoid with a long axis that is $\sim$10\% longer than the short axis. Assuming a reduced stellar tidal quality factor $Q_\star^\prime \approx10^7$, we predict that tidal orbital decay will cause TOI-6255 to reach the Roche limit in roughly 400 Myr. Such tidal disruptions may produce the possible signatures of planet engulfment that have been on stars with anomalously high refractory elemental abundances compared to its conatal binary companion. TOI-6255 b is also a favorable target for searching for star-planet magnetic interactions, which might cause interior melting and hasten orbital decay. TOI-6255 b is a top target (Emission Spectroscopy Metric of about 24) for phase curve observations with the James Webb Space Telescope.

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arXiv2024

The Prevalence of Resonance Among Young, Close-in Planets

Multiple planets undergoing disk migration may be captured into a chain of mean-motion resonances with the innermost planet parked near the disk's inner edge. Subsequent dynamical evolution may disrupt these resonances, leading to the non-resonant configurations typically observed among {\it Kepler} planets that are Gyrs old. In this scenario, resonant configurations are expected to be more common in younger systems. This prediction can now be tested, thanks to recent discoveries of young planets, particularly those in stellar clusters, by NASA's {\it TESS} mission. We divided the known planetary systems into three age groups: young ($<$100-Myr-old), adolescent (0.1-1-Gyr-old), and mature ($>1$-Gyr-old). The fraction of neighboring planet pairs having period ratios within a few percent of a first-order commensurability (e.g.~4:3, 3:2, or 2:1) is 70$\pm$15\% for young pairs, 24$\pm$8\% for adolescent pairs, and 15$\pm$2\% for mature pairs. The fraction of systems with at least one nearly commensurable pair (either first or second-order) is 86$\pm13$\% among young systems, 38$\pm12$\% for adolescent systems, and 23$\pm3$\% for mature systems. First-order commensurabilities prevail across all age groups, with an admixture of second-order commensurabilities. Commensurabilities are more common in systems with high planet multiplicity and low mutual inclinations. Observed period ratios often deviate from perfect commensurability by $\sim$1\% even among young planets, too large to be explained by resonant repulsion with equilibrium eccentricity tides. We also find that super-Earths in the radius gap ($1.5-1.9R_\oplus$) are less likely to be near-resonant (11.9$\pm2.0\%$) compared to Earth-sized planets ($R_p<1R_\oplus$; 25.3$\pm4.4\%$) or mini-Neptunes ($1.9R_\oplus \leq R_p<2.5R_\oplus$; 14.4$\pm1.8\%$).

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arXiv2024

The Benchmark M Dwarf Eclipsing Binary CM Draconis With TESS: Spots, Flares and Ultra-Precise Parameters

A gold standard for the study of M dwarfs is the eclipsing binary CM Draconis. It is rare because it is bright ($J_{\rm mag}=8.5$) and contains twin fully convective stars on an almost perfectly edge-on orbit. Both masses and radii were previously measured to better than $1\%$ precision, amongst the best known. We use 15 sectors of data from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) to show that CM Draconis is the gift that keeps on giving. Our paper has three main components. First, we present updated parameters, with radii and masses constrained to previously unheard of precisions of $\approx 0.06\%$ and $\approx 0.12\%$, respectively. Second, we discover strong and variable spot modulation, suggestive of spot clustering and an activity cycle on the order of $\approx 4$ years. Third, we discover 163 flares. We find a relationship between the spot modulation and flare rate, with flares more likely to occur when the stars appear brighter. This may be due to a positive correlation between flares and the occurrence of bright spots (plages). The flare rate is surprisingly not reduced during eclipse, but one flare may show evidence of being occulted. We suggest the flares may be preferentially polar, which has positive implications for the habitability of planets orbiting M dwarfs.

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arXiv2023

Accurate and efficient photo-eccentric transit modeling

A planet's orbital eccentricity is fundamental to understanding the present dynamical state of a system and is a relic of its formation history. There is high scientific value in measuring eccentricities of Kepler and TESS planets given the sheer size of these samples and the diversity of their planetary systems. However, Kepler and TESS lightcurves typically only permit robust determinations of planet-to-star radius ratio $r$, orbital period $P$, and transit mid-point $t_0$. Three other orbital properties, including impact parameter $b$, eccentricity $e$, and argument of periastron $ω$, are more challenging to measure because they are all encoded in the lightcurve through subtle effects on a single observable -- the transit duration $T_{14}$. In Gilbert, MacDougall, & Petigura (2022), we showed that a five-parameter transit description $\{P, t_0, r, b, T_{14}\}$ naturally yields unbiased measurements of $r$ and $b$. Here, we build upon our previous work and introduce an accurate and efficient prescription to measure $e$ and $ω$. We validate this approach through a suite of injection-and-recovery experiments. Our method agrees with previous approaches that use a seven-parameter transit description $\{P, t_0, r, b, ρ_\star, e, ω\}$ which explicitly fits the eccentricity vector and mean stellar density. The five-parameter method is simpler than the seven-parameter method and is "future-proof" in that posterior samples can be quickly reweighted (via importance sampling) to accommodate updated priors and updated stellar properties. This method thus circumvents the need for an expensive reanalysis of the raw photometry, offering a streamlined path toward large-scale population analyses of eccentricity from transit surveys.

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arXiv2023

The TESS-Keck Survey. XV. Precise Properties of 108 TESS Planets and Their Host Stars

We present the stellar and planetary properties for 85 TESS Objects of Interest (TOIs) hosting 108 planet candidates which comprise the TESS-Keck Survey (TKS) sample. We combine photometry, high-resolution spectroscopy, and Gaia parallaxes to measure precise and accurate stellar properties. We then use these parameters as inputs to a lightcurve processing pipeline to recover planetary signals and homogeneously fit their transit properties. Among these transit fits, we detect significant transit-timing variations among at least three multi-planet systems (TOI-1136, TOI-1246, TOI-1339) and at least one single-planet system (TOI-1279). We also reduce the uncertainties on planet-to-star radius ratios $R_p/R_\star$ across our sample, from a median fractional uncertainty of 8.8$\%$ among the original TOI Catalog values to 3.0$\%$ among our updated results. With this improvement, we are able to recover the Radius Gap among small TKS planets and find that the topology of the Radius Gap among our sample is broadly consistent with that measured among Kepler planets. The stellar and planetary properties presented here will facilitate follow-up investigations of both individual TOIs and broader trends in planet properties, system dynamics, and the evolution of planetary systems.

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arXiv2022

TESS-Keck Survey XIV: Two giant exoplanets from the Distant Giants Survey

We present the Distant Giants Survey, a three-year radial velocity (RV) campaign to measure P(DG|CS), the conditional occurrence of distant giant planets (DG; M_p ~ 0.3 - 13 M_J, P > 1 year) in systems hosting a close-in small planet (CS; R_p < 10 R_E). For the past two years, we have monitored 47 Sun-like stars hosting small transiting planets detected by TESS. We present the selection criteria used to assemble our sample and report the discovery of two distant giant planets, TOI-1669 b and TOI-1694 c. For TOI-1669 b we find that Msin i = 0.573 +/- 0.074 M_J, P = 502 +/- 16 days, and e < 0.27, while for TOI-1694 c, Msin i = 1.05 +/- 0.05 M_J, P = 389.2 +/- 3.9 days, and e = 0.18 +/- 0.05. We also confirmed the 3.8-day transiting planet TOI-1694 b by measuring a true mass of M = 26.1 +/- 2.2 M_E. We also confirmed the 3.8-day transiting planet TOI-1694 b by measuring a true mass of M = 26.1 +/- 2.2 M_E. At the end of the Distant Giants Survey, we will incorporate TOI-1669 b and TOI-1694 c into our calculation of P(DG|CS), a crucial statistic for understanding the relationship between outer giants and small inner companions.

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