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Grietus Mulder

Publications and source records attributed to Grietus Mulder.

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Rapid and robust parameter estimation for electrochemical battery models via BOLT: A batch-optimized local-to-global technique

Accurate and efficient parameter estimation is essential for applying electrochemical battery models in simulation, state estimation, control, and repeated model updating. However, conventional optimization methods, such as particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithms (GA), often require many model evaluations and show considerable run-to-run variability, limiting their use in time-sensitive calibration scenarios. This study proposes a Batch-Optimized Local-to-Global Technique (BOLT) for rapid and robust parameter estimation of electrochemical battery models. BOLT combines diversified candidate initialization, batch-parallel trust-region reflective (TRF) local refinement, JIT-accelerated model evaluation, and multi-condition consistency screening within a unified calibration workflow. Comparative experiments based on a grouped single-particle model and measured data from a commercial 18650 NMC lithium-ion cell show that BOLT achieves a favorable trade-off among voltage-response accuracy, computational efficiency, and repeated-run stability. BOLT(32) achieves an average mean absolute error of \(12.4 \pm 0.1\) mV over five operating conditions, requiring only \(20636 \pm 3081\) model calls and \(8.97 \pm 1.20\) s per run. Synthetic-data validation with a known parameter vector in the grouped SPM formulation further shows that BOLT recovers the reference parameter vector under model-consistent conditions and remains robust under 1--3 mV voltage-noise perturbations, with the mean parameter absolute relative error below \(0.6\%\). These results indicate that BOLT provides a practical calibration framework for BMS parameter updating, control-oriented battery digital twins, and second-life battery screening.

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Optimizing Parameter Estimation for Electrochemical Battery Model: A Comparative Analysis of Operating Profiles on Computational Efficiency and Accuracy

Parameter estimation in electrochemical models remains a significant challenge in their application. This study investigates the impact of different operating profiles on electrochemical model parameter estimation to identify the optimal conditions. In particular, the present study is focused on Nickel Manganese Cobalt Oxide(NMC) lithium-ion batteries. Based on five fundamental current profiles (C/5, C/2, 1C, Pulse, DST), 31 combinations of conditions were generated and used for parameter estimation and validation, resulting in 961 evaluation outcomes. The Particle Swarm Optimization is employed for parameter identification in electrochemical models, specifically using the Single Particle Model (SPM). The analysis considered three dimensions: model voltage output error, parameter estimation error, and time cost. Results show that using all five profiles (C/5, C/2, 1C, Pulse, DST) minimizes voltage output error, while {C/5, C/2, Pulse, DST} minimizes parameter estimation error. The shortest time cost is achieved with {1C}. When considering both model voltage output and parameter errors, {C/5, C/2, 1C, DST} is optimal. For minimizing model voltage output error and time cost, {C/2, 1C} is best, while {1C} is ideal for parameter error and time cost. The comprehensive optimal condition is {C/5, C/2, 1C, DST}. These findings provide guidance for selecting current conditions tailored to specific needs.

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Unlocking Extra Value from Grid Batteries Using Advanced Models

Lithium-ion batteries are increasingly being deployed in liberalised electricity systems, where their use is driven by economic optimisation in a specific market context. However, battery degradation depends strongly on operational profile, and this is particularly variable in energy trading applications. Here, we present results from a year-long experiment where pairs of batteries were cycled with profiles calculated by solving an economic optimisation problem for wholesale energy trading, including a physically-motivated degradation model as a constraint. The results confirm the conclusions of previous simulations and show that this approach can increase revenue by 20% whilst simultaneously decreasing degradation by 30% compared to existing methods. Analysis of the data shows that conventional approaches cannot increase the number of cycles a battery can manage over its lifetime, but the physics-based approach increases the lifetime both in terms of years and number of cycles, as well as the revenue per year, increasing the possible lifetime revenue by 70%. Finally, the results demonstrate the economic impact of model inaccuracies, showing that the physics-based model can reduce the discrepancy in the overall business case from 170% to 13%. There is potential to unlock significant extra performance using control engineering incorporating physical models of battery ageing.

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Improving optimal control of grid-connected lithium-ion batteries through more accurate battery and degradation modelling

The increased deployment of intermittent renewable energy generators opens up opportunities for grid-connected energy storage. Batteries offer significant flexibility but are relatively expensive at present. Battery lifetime is a key factor in the business case, and it depends on usage, but most techno-economic analyses do not account for this. For the first time, this paper quantifies the annual benefits of grid-connected batteries including realistic physical dynamics and nonlinear electrochemical degradation. Three lithium-ion battery models of increasing realism are formulated, and the predicted degradation of each is compared with a large-scale experimental degradation data set (Mat4Bat). A respective improvement in RMS capacity prediction error from 11\% to 5\% is found by increasing the model accuracy. The three models are then used within an optimal control algorithm to perform price arbitrage over one year, including degradation. Results show that the revenue can be increased substantially while degradation can be reduced by using more realistic models. The estimated best case profit using a sophisticated model is a 175% improvement compared with the simplest model. This illustrates that using a simplistic battery model in a techno-economic assessment of grid-connected batteries might substantially underestimate the business case and lead to erroneous conclusions.

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