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Guanhao Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Guanhao Xu.

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Memory-Guided Trust-Region Bayesian Optimization (MG-TuRBO) for High Dimensions

Traffic simulation and digital-twin calibration is a challenging optimization problem with a limited simulation budget. Each trial requires an expensive simulation run, and the relationship between calibration inputs and model error is often nonconvex, and noisy. The problem becomes more difficult as the number of calibration parameters increases. We compare a commonly used automatic calibration method, a genetic algorithm (GA), with Bayesian optimization methods (BOMs): classical Bayesian optimization (BO), Trust-Region BO (TuRBO), Multi-TuRBO, and a proposed Memory-Guided TuRBO (MG-TuRBO) method. We compare performance on 2 real-world traffic simulation calibration problems with 14 and 84 decision variables, representing lower- and higher-dimensional (14D and 84D) settings. For BOMs, we study two acquisition strategies, Thompson sampling and a novel adaptive strategy. We evaluate performance using final calibration quality, convergence behavior, and consistency across runs. The results show that BOMs reach good calibration targets much faster than GA in the lower-D problem. MG-TuRBO performs comparably in our 14D setting, it demonstrates noticeable advantages in the 84D problem, particularly when paired with our adaptive strategy. Our results suggest that MG-TuRBO is especially useful for high-D traffic simulation calibration and potentially for high-D problems in general.

cs.LG

Large Language Models for Traffic and Transportation Research: Methodologies, State of the Art, and Future Opportunities

The rapid rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) is transforming traffic and transportation research, with significant advancements emerging between the years 2023 and 2025 -- a period marked by the inception and swift growth of adopting and adapting LLMs for various traffic and transportation applications. However, despite these significant advancements, a systematic review and synthesis of the existing studies remain lacking. To address this gap, this paper provides a comprehensive review of the methodologies and applications of LLMs in traffic and transportation, highlighting their ability to process unstructured textual data to advance transportation research. We explore key applications, including autonomous driving, travel behavior prediction, and general transportation-related queries, alongside methodologies such as zero- or few-shot learning, prompt engineering, and fine-tuning. Our analysis identifies critical research gaps. From the methodological perspective, many research gaps can be addressed by integrating LLMs with existing tools and refining LLM architectures. From the application perspective, we identify numerous opportunities for LLMs to tackle a variety of traffic and transportation challenges, building upon existing research. By synthesizing these findings, this review not only clarifies the current state of LLM adoption and adaptation in traffic and transportation but also proposes future research directions, paving the way for smarter and more sustainable transportation systems.

cs.CE

Enhancing Traffic Safety Analysis with Digital Twin Technology: Integrating Vehicle Dynamics and Environmental Factors into Microscopic Traffic Simulation

Traffic safety is a critical concern in transportation engineering and urban planning. Traditional traffic safety analysis requires trained observers to collect data in the field, which is time-consuming, labor-intensive, and sometimes inaccurate. In recent years, microscopic traffic simulation, which simulates individual vehicles' movements within a transportation network, have been utilized to study traffic safety. However, microscopic traffic simulation only focuses on traffic-related factors, such as traffic volume, traffic signals, and lane configurations, neglecting vehicle dynamics and environment-related factors like weather and lighting conditions, which can significantly impact traffic safety. In light of this, this paper explores the application of digital twin technology in traffic safety analysis, integrating vehicle simulators, which consider vehicle dynamics and environmental factors, and microscopic traffic simulators, which simulate the operations of traffic flow, for enhanced safety evaluations. Various scenarios, including different weather conditions and visibility levels, are simulated using a digital twin of a road segment in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. The simulations employ Surrogate Safety Measures (SSMs) like Time to Collision (TTC) and Deceleration Rate to Avoid a Crash (DRAC) to assess safety under varying conditions. The results demonstrate that traffic digital twin can identify potential safety issues that traditional microscopic simulation cannot, providing insights for improving traffic control strategies and transportation infrastructure to enhance traffic safety.

eess.SY

Airport Delay Prediction with Temporal Fusion Transformers

Since flight delay hurts passengers, airlines, and airports, its prediction becomes crucial for the decision-making of all stakeholders in the aviation industry and thus has been attempted by various previous research. However, previous delay predictions are often categorical and at a highly aggregated level. To improve that, this study proposes to apply the novel Temporal Fusion Transformer model and predict numerical airport arrival delays at quarter hour level for U.S. top 30 airports. Inputs to our model include airport demand and capacity forecasts, historic airport operation efficiency information, airport wind and visibility conditions, as well as enroute weather and traffic conditions. The results show that our model achieves satisfactory performance measured by small prediction errors on the test set. In addition, the interpretability analysis of the model outputs identifies the important input factors for delay prediction.

cs.LG

GenAI-powered Multi-Agent Paradigm for Smart Urban Mobility: Opportunities and Challenges for Integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) and Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) with Intelligent Transportation Systems

Leveraging recent advances in generative AI, multi-agent systems are increasingly being developed to enhance the functionality and efficiency of smart city applications. This paper explores the transformative potential of large language models (LLMs) and emerging Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) technologies in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), paving the way for innovative solutions to address critical challenges in urban mobility. We begin by providing a comprehensive overview of the current state-of-the-art in mobility data, ITS, and Connected Vehicles (CV) applications. Building on this review, we discuss the rationale behind RAG and examine the opportunities for integrating these Generative AI (GenAI) technologies into the smart mobility sector. We propose a conceptual framework aimed at developing multi-agent systems capable of intelligently and conversationally delivering smart mobility services to urban commuters, transportation operators, and decision-makers. Our approach seeks to foster an autonomous and intelligent approach that (a) promotes science-based advisory to reduce traffic congestion, accidents, and carbon emissions at multiple scales, (b) facilitates public education and engagement in participatory mobility management, and (c) automates specialized transportation management tasks and the development of critical ITS platforms, such as data analytics and interpretation, knowledge representation, and traffic simulations. By integrating LLM and RAG, our approach seeks to overcome the limitations of traditional rule-based multi-agent systems, which rely on fixed knowledge bases and limited reasoning capabilities. This integration paves the way for a more scalable, intuitive, and automated multi-agent paradigm, driving advancements in ITS and urban mobility.

cs.AI