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Guenther Walther

Publications and source records attributed to Guenther Walther.

20 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Forward stagewise regression and the monotone lasso

We consider the least angle regression and forward stagewise algorithms for solving penalized least squares regression problems. In Efron, Hastie, Johnstone & Tibshirani (2004) it is proved that the least angle regression algorithm, with a small modification, solves the lasso regression problem. Here we give an analogous result for incremental forward stagewise regression, showing that it solves a version of the lasso problem that enforces monotonicity. One consequence of this is as follows: while lasso makes optimal progress in terms of reducing the residual sum-of-squares per unit increase in $L_1$-norm of the coefficient $β$, forward stage-wise is optimal per unit $L_1$ arc-length traveled along the coefficient path. We also study a condition under which the coefficient paths of the lasso are monotone, and hence the different algorithms coincide. Finally, we compare the lasso and forward stagewise procedures in a simulation study involving a large number of correlated predictors.

math.ST↗

Absence of Correlation between the Solar Neutrino Flux and the Sunspot Number

There exists a considerable amount of research claiming a puzzling anti-correlation between the neutrino detection rate at the Homestake experiment and indicators of solar activity such as the sunspot number, giving rise to explanations involving the hypothesis of a neutrino magnetic moment. It is argued here that the claimed significant anti-correlation is due to a statistical fallacy. A proper test based on certain optimality criteria fails to detect a significant time variation of the neutrino flux in concert with the sunspot number, providing evidence that the observations are consistent with no correlation between the two series.

astro-ph↗