arXiv subjects

Guido Masarotto

Publications and source records attributed to Guido Masarotto.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Simulation-Based Fitting of Intractable Models via Sequential Sampling and Local Smoothing

This paper presents a comprehensive algorithm for fitting generative models whose likelihood, moments, and other quantities typically used for inference are not analytically or numerically tractable. The proposed method aims to provide a general solution that requires only limited prior information on the model parameters. The algorithm combines a global search phase, aimed at identifying the region of the solution, with a local search phase that mimics a trust region version of the Fisher scoring algorithm for computing a quasi-likelihood estimator. Comparisons with alternative methods demonstrate the strong performance of the proposed approach. An R package implementing the algorithm is available on CRAN.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2013

The ranking lasso and its application to sport tournaments

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the Bradley-Terry model are often used. This paper suggests fitting paired comparison models with a lasso-type procedure that forces contestants with similar abilities to be classified into the same group. Benefits of the proposed method are easier interpretation of rankings and a significant improvement of the quality of predictions with respect to the standard maximum likelihood fitting. Numerical aspects of the proposed method are discussed in detail. The methodology is illustrated through ranking of the teams of the National Football League 2010-2011 and the American College Hockey Men's Division I 2009-2010.

stat.AP↗