arXiv subjects

Guy Dagan

Publications and source records attributed to Guy Dagan.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Transition to double-cell mock Walker circulations with surface warming explained by periodic convection

Idealized mock Walker simulations are widely used to study the interactions between overturning circulation and convection in the tropics. Previous studies documented a transition from a single-cell to a double-cell mock Walker circulation when the average sea surface temperature exceeds 300 K. Here, we ascribe the transition to the emergence of periodic convection with warming due to stronger convectively-coupled waves. In cold simulations, the warm pool is dominated by steady deep convection, which results in a single overturning cell. In hot simulations, the warm pool is alternately dominated by deep convection and a stratiform mode, resulting in lower and upper cells respectively. This study suggests that the Walker circulation in a warmer climate may feature complex structural changes in addition to a weakening in strength, and highlights the profound impacts of convection on overturning circulation.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2025

Periodic extreme rainfall in a warmer climate due to stronger convectively-coupled waves

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that precipitation transitions from a steady state to a periodic oscillation state in a hothouse climate when the sea surface temperature reaches 320-325 K. Here we conduct global-scale atmospheric model simulations with different complexity, and we find that tropical precipitation in convective regions already transitions to a O(10 day) periodic oscillation state with a O(100 mm/day) amplitude at 305-310 K. This temperature is substantially lower than previously reported, and within reach in a century under a high carbon emission scenario. We attribute the onset of the periodic extreme precipitation to the intensification of convectively-coupled waves, which occurs at temperatures much lower than the radiative mechanism responsible for the transition around 320-325 K identified before.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2015

Aerosol Effect on the Mobility of Cloud Droplets

Cloud droplet mobility is referred to here as a measure of the droplets ability to move with ambient air. We claim that an important part of the aerosol effect on convective clouds is driven by changes in droplet mobility. We show that the mass-weighted average droplet terminal velocity, defined here as the effective terminal velocity (eta) and its spread (sigma_eta) serve as direct measures of this effect. Moreover, we develop analytical estimations for eta and sigma_eta to show that changes in the relative dispersion of eta (epsilon_eta = sigma_eta/eta) can serve as a sensitive predictor of the onset of droplet-collection processes.

physics.ao-ph↗