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Hadi Meidani

Publications and source records attributed to Hadi Meidani.

35 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Attention-based Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural ODE for Traffic Prediction

Traffic forecasting is an important issue in intelligent traffic systems (ITS). Graph neural networks (GNNs) are effective deep learning models to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependency of traffic data, achieving ideal prediction performance. In this paper, we propose attention-based graph neural ODE (ASTGODE) that explicitly learns the dynamics of the traffic system, which makes the prediction of our machine learning model more explainable. Our model aggregates traffic patterns of different periods and has satisfactory performance on two real-world traffic data sets. The results show that our model achieves the highest accuracy of the root mean square error metric among all the existing GNN models in our experiments.

cs.LG↗

GNN-based physics solver for time-independent PDEs

Physics-based deep learning frameworks have shown to be effective in accurately modeling the dynamics of complex physical systems with generalization capability across problem inputs. However, time-independent problems pose the challenge of requiring long-range exchange of information across the computational domain for obtaining accurate predictions. In the context of graph neural networks (GNNs), this calls for deeper networks, which, in turn, may compromise or slow down the training process. In this work, we present two GNN architectures to overcome this challenge - the Edge Augmented GNN and the Multi-GNN. We show that both these networks perform significantly better (by a factor of 1.5 to 2) than baseline methods when applied to time-independent solid mechanics problems. Furthermore, the proposed architectures generalize well to unseen domains, boundary conditions, and materials. Here, the treatment of variable domains is facilitated by a novel coordinate transformation that enables rotation and translation invariance. By broadening the range of problems that neural operators based on graph neural networks can tackle, this paper provides the groundwork for their application to complex scientific and industrial settings.

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Time Series Synthesis via Multi-scale Patch-based Generation of Wavelet Scalogram

A framework is proposed for the unconditional generation of synthetic time series based on learning from a single sample in low-data regime case. The framework aims at capturing the distribution of patches in wavelet scalogram of time series using single image generative models and producing realistic wavelet coefficients for the generation of synthetic time series. It is demonstrated that the framework is effective with respect to fidelity and diversity for time series with insignificant to no trends. Also, the performance is more promising for generating samples with the same duration (reshuffling) rather than longer ones (retargeting).

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Explainable Graph Pyramid Autoformer for Long-Term Traffic Forecasting

Accurate traffic forecasting is vital to an intelligent transportation system. Although many deep learning models have achieved state-of-art performance for short-term traffic forecasting of up to 1 hour, long-term traffic forecasting that spans multiple hours remains a major challenge. Moreover, most of the existing deep learning traffic forecasting models are black box, presenting additional challenges related to explainability and interpretability. We develop Graph Pyramid Autoformer (X-GPA), an explainable attention-based spatial-temporal graph neural network that uses a novel pyramid autocorrelation attention mechanism. It enables learning from long temporal sequences on graphs and improves long-term traffic forecasting accuracy. Our model can achieve up to 35 % better long-term traffic forecast accuracy than that of several state-of-the-art methods. The attention-based scores from the X-GPA model provide spatial and temporal explanations based on the traffic dynamics, which change for normal vs. peak-hour traffic and weekday vs. weekend traffic.

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PI-VAE: Physics-Informed Variational Auto-Encoder for stochastic differential equations

We propose a new class of physics-informed neural networks, called physics-informed Variational Autoencoder (PI-VAE), to solve stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or inverse problems involving SDEs. In these problems the governing equations are known but only a limited number of measurements of system parameters are available. PI-VAE consists of a variational autoencoder (VAE), which generates samples of system variables and parameters. This generative model is integrated with the governing equations. In this integration, the derivatives of VAE outputs are readily calculated using automatic differentiation, and used in the physics-based loss term. In this work, the loss function is chosen to be the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) for improved performance, and neural network parameters are updated iteratively using the stochastic gradient descent algorithm. We first test the proposed method on approximating stochastic processes. Then we study three types of problems related to SDEs: forward and inverse problems together with mixed problems where system parameters and solutions are simultaneously calculated. The satisfactory accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method are numerically demonstrated in comparison with physics-informed generative adversarial network (PI-WGAN).

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IGANI: Iterative Generative Adversarial Networks for Imputation with Application to Traffic Data

Increasing use of sensor data in intelligent transportation systems calls for accurate imputation algorithms that can enable reliable traffic management in the occasional absence of data. As one of the effective imputation approaches, generative adversarial networks (GANs) are implicit generative models that can be used for data imputation, which is formulated as an unsupervised learning problem. This work introduces a novel iterative GAN architecture, called Iterative Generative Adversarial Networks for Imputation (IGANI), for data imputation. IGANI imputes data in two steps and maintains the invertibility of the generative imputer, which will be shown to be a sufficient condition for the convergence of the proposed GAN-based imputation. The performance of our proposed method is evaluated on (1) the imputation of traffic speed data collected in the city of Guangzhou in China, and the training of short-term traffic prediction models using imputed data, and (2) the imputation of multi-variable traffic data of highways in Portland-Vancouver metropolitan region which includes volume, occupancy, and speed with different missing rates for each of them. It is shown that our proposed algorithm mostly produces more accurate results compared to those of previous GAN-based imputation architectures.

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Efficient training of physics-informed neural networks via importance sampling

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are a class of deep neural networks that are trained, using automatic differentiation, to compute the response of systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The training of PINNs is simulation-free, and does not require any training dataset to be obtained from numerical PDE solvers. Instead, it only requires the physical problem description, including the governing laws of physics, domain geometry, initial/boundary conditions, and the material properties. This training usually involves solving a non-convex optimization problem using variants of the stochastic gradient descent method, with the gradient of the loss function approximated on a batch of collocation points, selected randomly in each iteration according to a uniform distribution. Despite the success of PINNs in accurately solving a wide variety of PDEs, the method still requires improvements in terms of computational efficiency. To this end, in this paper, we study the performance of an importance sampling approach for efficient training of PINNs. Using numerical examples together with theoretical evidences, we show that in each training iteration, sampling the collocation points according to a distribution proportional to the loss function will improve the convergence behavior of the PINNs training. Additionally, we show that providing a piecewise constant approximation to the loss function for faster importance sampling can further improve the training efficiency. This importance sampling approach is straightforward and easy to implement in the existing PINN codes, and also does not introduce any new hyperparameter to calibrate. The numerical examples include elasticity, diffusion and plane stress problems, through which we numerically verify the accuracy and efficiency of the importance sampling approach compared to the predominant uniform sampling approach.

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Adaptive Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Markov-Chain Monte Carlo

In this paper, we propose the Adaptive Physics-Informed Neural Networks (APINNs) for accurate and efficient simulation-free Bayesian parameter estimation via Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We specifically focus on a class of parameter estimation problems for which computing the likelihood function requires solving a PDE. The proposed method consists of: (1) constructing an offline PINN-UQ model as an approximation to the forward model; and (2) refining this approximate model on the fly using samples generated from the MCMC sampler. The proposed APINN method constantly refines this approximate model on the fly and guarantees that the approximation error is always less than a user-defined residual error threshold. We numerically demonstrate the performance of the proposed APINN method in solving a parameter estimation problem for a system governed by the Poisson equation.

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Physics-Driven Regularization of Deep Neural Networks for Enhanced Engineering Design and Analysis

In this paper, we introduce a physics-driven regularization method for training of deep neural networks (DNNs) for use in engineering design and analysis problems. In particular, we focus on prediction of a physical system, for which in addition to training data, partial or complete information on a set of governing laws is also available. These laws often appear in the form of differential equations, derived from first principles, empirically-validated laws, or domain expertise, and are usually neglected in data-driven prediction of engineering systems. We propose a training approach that utilizes the known governing laws and regularizes data-driven DNN models by penalizing divergence from those laws. The first two numerical examples are synthetic examples, where we show that in constructing a DNN model that best fits the measurements from a physical system, the use of our proposed regularization results in DNNs that are more interpretable with smaller generalization errors, compared to other common regularization methods. The last two examples concern metamodeling for a random Burgers' system and for aerodynamic analysis of passenger vehicles, where we demonstrate that the proposed regularization provides superior generalization accuracy compared to other common alternatives.

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Efficient Collection of Connected Vehicles Data with Precision Guarantees

Connected vehicles disseminate detailed data, including their position and speed, at a very high frequency. Such data can be used for accurate real-time analysis, prediction and control of transportation systems. The outstanding challenge for such analysis is how to continuously collect and process extremely large volumes of data. To address this challenge, efficient collection of data is critical to prevent overburdening the communication systems and overreaching computational and memory capacity. In this work, we propose an efficient data collection scheme that selects and transmits only a small subset of data to alleviate data transmission burden. As a demonstration, we have used the proposed approach to select data points to be transmitted from 10,000 connected vehicles trips available in the Safety Pilot Model Deployment dataset. The presented results show that collection ratio can be as small as 0.05 depending on the required precision. Moreover, a simulation study was performed to evaluate the travel time estimation accuracy using the proposed data collection approach. Results show that the proposed data collection approach can significantly improve travel time estimation accuracy.

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A Deep Neural Network Surrogate for High-Dimensional Random Partial Differential Equations

Developing efficient numerical algorithms for the solution of high dimensional random Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) has been a challenging task due to the well-known curse of dimensionality. We present a new solution framework for these problems based on a deep learning approach. Specifically, the random PDE is approximated by a feed-forward fully-connected deep residual network, with either strong or weak enforcement of initial and boundary constraints. The framework is mesh-free, and can handle irregular computational domains. Parameters of the approximating deep neural network are determined iteratively using variants of the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm. The satisfactory accuracy of the proposed frameworks is numerically demonstrated on diffusion and heat conduction problems, in comparison with the converged Monte Carlo-based finite element results.

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A preconditioning approach for improved estimation of sparse polynomial chaos expansions

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this paper, we consider preconditioning the underdetermined system of equations that is to be solved. Premultiplying a linear equation system by a non-singular matrix results in an equivalent equation system, but it can potentially improve the incoherence properties of the resulting preconditioned measurement matrix and lead to a better recovery accuracy. When measurements are noisy, however, preconditioning can also potentially result in a worse signal-to-noise ratio, thereby deteriorating recovery accuracy. In this work, we propose a preconditioning scheme that improves the incoherence properties of measurement matrix and at the same time prevents undesirable deterioration of signal-to-noise ratio. We provide theoretical motivations and numerical examples that demonstrate the promise of the proposed approach in improving the accuracy of estimated polynomial chaos expansions.

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Inverse Uncertainty Quantification using the Modular Bayesian Approach based on Gaussian Process, Part 2: Application to TRACE

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a process to quantify the uncertainties in random input parameters while achieving consistency between code simulations and physical observations. In this paper, we performed inverse UQ using an improved modular Bayesian approach based on Gaussian Process (GP) for TRACE physical model parameters using the BWR Full-size Fine-Mesh Bundle Tests (BFBT) benchmark steady-state void fraction data. The model discrepancy is described with a GP emulator. Numerical tests have demonstrated that such treatment of model discrepancy can avoid over-fitting. Furthermore, we constructed a fast-running and accurate GP emulator to replace TRACE full model during Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. The computational cost was demonstrated to be reduced by several orders of magnitude. A sequential approach was also developed for efficient test source allocation (TSA) for inverse UQ and validation. This sequential TSA methodology first selects experimental tests for validation that has a full coverage of the test domain to avoid extrapolation of model discrepancy term when evaluated at input setting of tests for inverse UQ. Then it selects tests that tend to reside in the unfilled zones of the test domain for inverse UQ, so that one can extract the most information for posterior probability distributions of calibration parameters using only a relatively small number of tests. This research addresses the "lack of input uncertainty information" issue for TRACE physical input parameters, which was usually ignored or described using expert opinion or user self-assessment in previous work. The resulting posterior probability distributions of TRACE parameters can be used in future uncertainty, sensitivity and validation studies of TRACE code for nuclear reactor system design and safety analysis.

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Inverse Uncertainty Quantification using the Modular Bayesian Approach based on Gaussian Process, Part 1: Theory

In nuclear reactor system design and safety analysis, the Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology requires that computer model output uncertainties must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within acceptance criteria. "Expert opinion" and "user self-evaluation" have been widely used to specify computer model input uncertainties in previous uncertainty, sensitivity and validation studies. Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is the process to inversely quantify input uncertainties based on experimental data in order to more precisely quantify such ad-hoc specifications of the input uncertainty information. In this paper, we used Bayesian analysis to establish the inverse UQ formulation, with systematic and rigorously derived metamodels constructed by Gaussian Process (GP). Due to incomplete or inaccurate underlying physics, as well as numerical approximation errors, computer models always have discrepancy/bias in representing the realities, which can cause over-fitting if neglected in the inverse UQ process. The model discrepancy term is accounted for in our formulation through the "model updating equation". We provided a detailed introduction and comparison of the full and modular Bayesian approaches for inverse UQ, as well as pointed out their limitations when extrapolated to the validation/prediction domain. Finally, we proposed an improved modular Bayesian approach that can avoid extrapolating the model discrepancy that is learnt from the inverse UQ domain to the validation/prediction domain.

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A Near-Optimal Sampling Strategy for Sparse Recovery of Polynomial Chaos Expansions

Compressive sampling has become a widely used approach to construct polynomial chaos surrogates when the number of available simulation samples is limited. Originally, these expensive simulation samples would be obtained at random locations in the parameter space. It was later shown that the choice of sample locations could significantly impact the accuracy of resulting surrogates. This motivated new sampling strategies or design-of-experiment approaches, such as coherence-optimal sampling, which aim at improving the coherence property. In this paper, we propose a sampling strategy that can identify near-optimal sample locations that lead to improvement in local-coherence property and also enhancement of cross-correlation properties of measurement matrices. We provide theoretical motivations for the proposed sampling strategy along with several numerical examples that show that our near-optimal sampling strategy produces substantially more accurate results, compared to other sampling strategies.

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Deep Learning for Accelerated Reliability Analysis of Infrastructure Networks

Natural disasters can have catastrophic impacts on the functionality of infrastructure systems and cause severe physical and socio-economic losses. Given budget constraints, it is crucial to optimize decisions regarding mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery practices for these systems. This requires accurate and efficient means to evaluate the infrastructure system reliability. While numerous research efforts have addressed and quantified the impact of natural disasters on infrastructure systems, typically using the Monte Carlo approach, they still suffer from high computational cost and, thus, are of limited applicability to large systems. This paper presents a deep learning framework for accelerating infrastructure system reliability analysis. In particular, two distinct deep neural network surrogates are constructed and studied: (1) A classifier surrogate which speeds up the connectivity determination of networks, and (2) An end-to-end surrogate that replaces a number of components such as roadway status realization, connectivity determination, and connectivity averaging. The proposed approach is applied to a simulation-based study of the two-terminal connectivity of a California transportation network subject to extreme probabilistic earthquake events. Numerical results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed approach in accelerating the transportation system two-terminal reliability analysis with extremely high prediction accuracy.

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Divide and Conquer: An Incremental Sparsity Promoting Compressive Sampling Approach for Polynomial Chaos Expansions

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional expansions for a sparser recovery, and shows success when removal of uninfluential parameters that results in a lower coherence for measurement matrix, allows for a higher order and/or sparser expansion to be recovered. The incremental algorithm effectively searches for the sparsest PC approximation, and not only can it decrease the prediction error, it can also reduce the dimensionality of PCE model. Four numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the validity of the proposed approach. The results from these examples show that the incremental algorithm substantially outperforms conventional compressive sampling approaches for PCE, in terms of both solution sparsity and prediction error.

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