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HaiYing Wang

Publications and source records attributed to HaiYing Wang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Scale-invariant Optimal Sampling for Rare-events Data with Sparse Models

Subsampling is effective in tackling computational challenges for massive data with rare events. Overly aggressive subsampling may adversely affect estimation efficiency, and optimal subsampling is essential to mitigate the information loss. However, existing optimal subsampling probabilities depend on data scales, and some scaling transformations may result in inefficient subsamples. This problem is more significant when there are inactive features, because their influence on the subsampling probabilities can be arbitrarily magnified by inappropriate scaling transformations. We tackle this challenge and introduce a scale-invariant optimal subsampling function in the context of sparse models, where inactive features are commonly assumed. Instead of focusing on estimating model parameters, we define an optimal subsampling function to minimize the prediction error, using adaptive lasso to outline the estimation procedure and study its theoretical guarantee. We first introduce the adaptive lasso estimator for rare-events data and establish its oracle properties, thereby validating the use of subsampling. Then we derive a scale-invariant optimal subsampling function that minimizes the prediction error of the inverse probability weighted (IPW) adaptive lasso. Finally, we present an estimator based on the maximum sampled conditional likelihood (MSCL) to further improve the estimation efficiency. We conduct numerical experiments using both simulated and real-world data sets to demonstrate the performance of the proposed methods.

stat.ML

Efficient Poisson Subsampling for the Partially Linear Additive Cox Model

To address the computational and storage challenges often encountered in large-scale survival data analysis, we propose an efficient Poisson subsampling method for the partially linear additive Cox model. This model provides a flexible yet interpretable framework by incorporating linear covariate effects, additive nonparametric components for nonlinear covariates, and a nonparametric baseline hazard function. The proposed method adopts B-spline basis functions to approximate the nonparametric components and employs the decorrelated score technique to construct a Poisson subsampling-based estimation equation, based on which we establish the asymptotic normality of the resulting estimator and derive the optimal subsampling probabilities according to the L-optimality criterion. Furthermore, we design a two-step adaptive algorithm for practical implementation. The proposed approach enables computationally efficient statistical inference for large-scale survival analysis without processing the full dataset. We validate the performance of the proposed method through extensive simulation studies and a real-world application to a lymphoma cancer dataset, demonstrating its efficiency and accuracy in large-scale settings.

stat.ME

Robust Data Fusion via Subsampling

Data fusion and transfer learning are rapidly growing fields that enhance model performance for a target population by leveraging other related data sources or tasks. The challenges lie in the various potential heterogeneities between the target and external data, as well as various practical concerns that prevent a naïve data integration. We consider a realistic scenario where the target data is limited in size while the external data is large but contaminated with outliers; such data contamination, along with other computational and operational constraints, necessitates proper selection or subsampling of the external data for transfer learning. To our knowledge,transfer learning and subsampling under data contamination have not been thoroughly investigated. We address this gap by studying various transfer learning methods with subsamples of the external data, accounting for outliers deviating from the underlying true model due to arbitrary mean shifts. Two subsampling strategies are investigated: one aimed at reducing biases and the other at minimizing variances. Approaches to combine these strategies are also introduced to enhance the performance of the estimators. We provide non-asymptotic error bounds for the transfer learning estimators, clarifying the roles of sample sizes, signal strength, sampling rates, magnitude of outliers, and tail behaviors of model error distributions, among other factors. Extensive simulations show the superior performance of the proposed methods. Additionally, we apply our methods to analyze the risk of hard landings in A380 airplanes by utilizing data from other airplane types,demonstrating that robust transfer learning can improve estimation efficiency for relatively rare airplane types with the help of data from other types of airplanes.

stat.ML

Data Jamboree: A Party of Open-Source Software Solving Real-World Data Science Problems

The evolving focus in statistics and data science education highlights the growing importance of computing. This paper presents the Data Jamboree, a live event that combines computational methods with traditional statistical techniques to address real-world data science problems. Participants, ranging from novices to experienced users, followed workshop leaders in using open-source tools like Julia, Python, and R to perform tasks such as data cleaning, manipulation, and predictive modeling. The Jamboree showcased the educational benefits of working with open data, providing participants with practical, hands-on experience. We compared the tools in terms of efficiency, flexibility, and statistical power, with Julia excelling in performance, Python in versatility, and R in statistical analysis and visualization. The paper concludes with recommendations for designing similar events to encourage collaborative learning and critical thinking in data science.

stat.OT

DsubCox: A Fast Subsampling Algorithm for Cox Model with Distributed and Massive Survival Data

To ensure privacy protection and alleviate computational burden, we propose a fast subsmaling procedure for the Cox model with massive survival datasets from multi-centered, decentralized sources. The proposed estimator is computed based on optimal subsampling probabilities that we derived and enables transmission of subsample-based summary level statistics between different storage sites with only one round of communication. For inference, the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator were rigorously established. An extensive simulation study demonstrated that the proposed approach is effective. The methodology was applied to analyze a large dataset from the U.S. airlines.

stat.CO

Refitted cross-validation estimation for high-dimensional subsamples from low-dimension full data

The technique of subsampling has been extensively employed to address the challenges posed by limited computing resources and meet the needs for expedite data analysis. Various subsampling methods have been developed to meet the challenges characterized by a large sample size with a small number of parameters. However, direct applications of these subsampling methods may not be suitable when the dimension is also high and available computing facilities at hand are only able to analyze a subsample of size similar or even smaller than the dimension. In this case, although there is no high-dimensional problem in the full data, the subsample may have a sample size smaller or smaller than the number of parameters, making it a high-dimensional problem. We call this scenario the high-dimensional subsample from low-dimension full data problem. In this paper, we tackle this problem by proposing a novel subsampling-based approach that combines penalty-based dimension reduction and refitted cross-validation. The asymptotic normality of the refitted cross-validation subsample estimator is established, which plays a crucial role in statistical inference. The proposed method demonstrates appealing performance in numerical experiments on simulated data and a real data application.

stat.ME

Approximating Partial Likelihood Estimators via Optimal Subsampling

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling method to effectively approximate the full data maximum partial likelihood estimator in Cox's model, which largely reduces the computational burden when analyzing massive survival data. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of a general subsample-based estimator. The optimal subsampling probabilities with explicit expressions are determined via minimizing the trace of the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix for a linearly transformed parameter estimator. We propose a two-step subsampling algorithm for practical implementation, which has a significant reduction in computing time compared to the full data method. The asymptotic properties of the resulting two-step subsample-based estimator is also established. Extensive numerical experiments and a real-world example are provided to assess our subsampling strategy.

stat.ME

Independence-Encouraging Subsampling for Nonparametric Additive Models

The additive model is a popular nonparametric regression method due to its ability to retain modeling flexibility while avoiding the curse of dimensionality. The backfitting algorithm is an intuitive and widely used numerical approach for fitting additive models. However, its application to large datasets may incur a high computational cost and is thus infeasible in practice. To address this problem, we propose a novel approach called independence-encouraging subsampling (IES) to select a subsample from big data for training additive models. Inspired by the minimax optimality of an orthogonal array (OA) due to its pairwise independent predictors and uniform coverage for the range of each predictor, the IES approach selects a subsample that approximates an OA to achieve the minimax optimality. Our asymptotic analyses demonstrate that an IES subsample converges to an OA and that the backfitting algorithm over the subsample converges to a unique solution even if the predictors are highly dependent in the original big data. The proposed IES method is also shown to be numerically appealing via simulations and a real data application.

stat.ME

Maximum sampled conditional likelihood for informative subsampling

Subsampling is a computationally effective approach to extract information from massive data sets when computing resources are limited. After a subsample is taken from the full data, most available methods use an inverse probability weighted (IPW) objective function to estimate the model parameters. The IPW estimator does not fully utilize the information in the selected subsample. In this paper, we propose to use the maximum sampled conditional likelihood estimator (MSCLE) based on the sampled data. We established the asymptotic normality of the MSCLE and prove that its asymptotic variance covariance matrix is the smallest among a class of asymptotically unbiased estimators, including the IPW estimator. We further discuss the asymptotic results with the L-optimal subsampling probabilities and illustrate the estimation procedure with generalized linear models. Numerical experiments are provided to evaluate the practical performance of the proposed method.

math.ST

Unweighted estimation based on optimal sample under measurement constraints

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling approach under measurement constraints was developed to meet this challenge. This method uses the inverses of optimal sampling probabilities to reweight the objective function, which assigns smaller weights to the more important data points. Thus the estimation efficiency of the resulting estimator can be improved. In this paper, we propose an unweighted estimating procedure based on optimal subsamples to obtain a more efficient estimator. We obtain the unconditional asymptotic distribution of the estimator via martingale techniques without conditioning on the pilot estimate, which has been less investigated in the existing subsampling literature. Both asymptotic results and numerical results show that the unweighted estimator is more efficient in parameter estimation.

stat.CO

A note on centering in subsample selection for linear regression

Centering is a commonly used technique in linear regression analysis. With centered data on both the responses and covariates, the ordinary least squares estimator of the slope parameter can be calculated from a model without the intercept. If a subsample is selected from a centered full data, the subsample is typically un-centered. In this case, is it still appropriate to fit a model without the intercept? The answer is yes, and we show that the least squares estimator on the slope parameter obtained from a model without the intercept is unbiased and it has a smaller variance covariance matrix in the Loewner order than that obtained from a model with the intercept. We further show that for noninformative weighted subsampling when a weighted least squares estimator is used, using the full data weighted means to relocate the subsample improves the estimation efficiency.

stat.ME

Sampling with replacement vs Poisson sampling: a comparative study in optimal subsampling

Faced with massive data, subsampling is a commonly used technique to improve computational efficiency, and using nonuniform subsampling probabilities is an effective approach to improve estimation efficiency. For computational efficiency, subsampling is often implemented with replacement or through Poisson subsampling. However, no rigorous investigation has been performed to study the difference between the two subsampling procedures such as their estimation efficiency and computational convenience. This paper performs a comparative study on these two different sampling procedures. In the context of maximizing a general target function, we first derive asymptotic distributions for estimators obtained from the two sampling procedures. The results show that the Poisson subsampling may have a higher estimation efficiency. Based on the asymptotic distributions for both subsampling with replacement and Poisson subsampling, we derive optimal subsampling probabilities that minimize the variance functions of the subsampling estimators. These subsampling probabilities further reveal the similarities and differences between subsampling with replacement and Poisson subsampling. The theoretical characterizations and comparisons on the two subsampling procedures provide guidance to select a more appropriate subsampling approach in practice. Furthermore, practically implementable algorithms are proposed based on the optimal structural results, which are evaluated through both theoretical and empirical analyses.

math.ST

Nonuniform Negative Sampling and Log Odds Correction with Rare Events Data

We investigate the issue of parameter estimation with nonuniform negative sampling for imbalanced data. We first prove that, with imbalanced data, the available information about unknown parameters is only tied to the relatively small number of positive instances, which justifies the usage of negative sampling. However, if the negative instances are subsampled to the same level of the positive cases, there is information loss. To maintain more information, we derive the asymptotic distribution of a general inverse probability weighted (IPW) estimator and obtain the optimal sampling probability that minimizes its variance. To further improve the estimation efficiency over the IPW method, we propose a likelihood-based estimator by correcting log odds for the sampled data and prove that the improved estimator has the smallest asymptotic variance among a large class of estimators. It is also more robust to pilot misspecification. We validate our approach on simulated data as well as a real click-through rate dataset with more than 0.3 trillion instances, collected over a period of a month. Both theoretical and empirical results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

stat.ML

Optimal Distributed Subsampling for Maximum Quasi-Likelihood Estimators with Massive Data

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the data volume is so large that nonuniform subsampling probabilities cannot be calculated all at once, then subsampling with replacement is infeasible to implement. This paper solves this problem using Poisson subsampling. We first derive optimal Poisson subsampling probabilities in the context of quasi-likelihood estimation under the A- and L-optimality criteria. For a practically implementable algorithm with approximated optimal subsampling probabilities, we establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the resultant estimators. To deal with the situation that the full data are stored in different blocks or at multiple locations, we develop a distributed subsampling framework, in which statistics are computed simultaneously on smaller partitions of the full data. Asymptotic properties of the resultant aggregated estimator are investigated. We illustrate and evaluate the proposed strategies through numerical experiments on simulated and real data sets.

stat.ME

More Efficient Estimation for Logistic Regression with Optimal Subsample

In this paper, we propose improved estimation method for logistic regression based on subsamples taken according the optimal subsampling probabilities developed in Wang et al. 2018 Both asymptotic results and numerical results show that the new estimator has a higher estimation efficiency. We also develop a new algorithm based on Poisson subsampling, which does not require to approximate the optimal subsampling probabilities all at once. This is computationally advantageous when available random-access memory is not enough to hold the full data. Interestingly, asymptotic distributions also show that Poisson subsampling produces a more efficient estimator if the sampling rate, the ratio of the subsample size to the full data sample size, does not converge to zero. We also obtain the unconditional asymptotic distribution for the estimator based on Poisson subsampling. The proposed approach requires to use a pilot estimator to correct biases of un-weighted estimators. We further show that even if the pilot estimator is inconsistent, the resulting estimators are still consistent and asymptotically normal if the model is correctly specified.

stat.ME

An Online Updating Approach for Testing the Proportional Hazards Assumption with Streams of Survival Data

The Cox model, which remains as the first choice in analyzing time-to-event data even for large datasets, relies on the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. When survival data arrive sequentially in chunks, a fast and minimally storage intensive approach to test the PH assumption is desirable. We propose an online updating approach that updates the standard test statistic as each new block of data becomes available, and greatly lightens the computational burden. Under the null hypothesis of PH, the proposed statistic is shown to have the same asymptotic distribution as the standard version computed on the entire data stream with the data blocks pooled into one dataset. In simulation studies, the test and its variant based on most recent data blocks maintain their sizes when the PH assumption holds and have substantial power to detect different violations of the PH assumption. We also show in simulation that our approach can be used successfully with "big data" that exceed a single computer's computational resources. The approach is illustrated with the survival analysis of patients with lymphoma cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. The proposed test promptly identified deviation from the PH assumption that was not captured by the test based on the entire data.

stat.ME

Reproducible Science with LaTeX

This paper proposes a procedure to execute external source codes from a LaTeX document and include the calculation outputs in the resulting Portable Document Format (pdf) file automatically. It integrates programming tools into the LaTeX writing tool to facilitate the production of reproducible research. In our proposed approach to a LaTeX-based scientific notebook the user can easily invoke any programming language or a command-line program when compiling the LaTeX document, while using their favorite LaTeX editor in the writing process. The required LaTeX setup, a new Python package, and the defined preamble are discussed in detail, and working examples using R, Julia, and MatLab to reproduce existing research are provided to illustrate the proposed procedure. We also demonstrate how to include system setting information in a paper by invoking shell scripts when compiling the document.

cs.SE

Sequential online subsampling for thinning experimental designs

We consider a design problem where experimental conditions (design points $X_i$) are presented in the form of a sequence of i.i.d.\ random variables, generated with an unknown probability measure $μ$, and only a given proportion $α\in(0,1)$ can be selected. The objective is to select good candidates $X_i$ on the fly and maximize a concave function $Φ$ of the corresponding information matrix. The optimal solution corresponds to the construction of an optimal bounded design measure $ξ_α^*\leq μ/α$, with the difficulty that $μ$ is unknown and $ξ_α^*$ must be constructed online. The construction proposed relies on the definition of a threshold $τ$ on the directional derivative of $Φ$ at the current information matrix, the value of $τ$ being fixed by a certain quantile of the distribution of this directional derivative. Combination with recursive quantile estimation yields a nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation method. It can be applied to very long design sequences since only the current information matrix and estimated quantile need to be stored. Convergence to an optimum design is proved. Various illustrative examples are presented.

stat.ME