arXiv subjects

Hank Corbett

Publications and source records attributed to Hank Corbett.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Prospects for GRB Afterglow Discovery with the Eric and Wendy Schmidt Observatory System

Two time domain surveys, recently funded as part of the Eric and Wendy Schmidt Observatory System; the Argus Array, in the optical, and the Deep Synoptic Array (DSA), in the radio, will transform gamma-ray burst (GRB) science via the serendipitous discovery of hundreds of GRB afterglows per year. In this work, we simulate DSA and Argus observations of GRB afterglows. We find that, of the long-duration GRBs (LGRBs) detected by the Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor, (26$\pm$3)% will yield afterglow detections with Argus and (44$\pm$3)% with DSA, corresponding to rates of 51$\pm$5 and 86$\pm$8 per year respectively. We also compute rates for both upcoming and proposed GRB monitors; the forthcoming StarBurst Multi-messenger Pioneer, with 84$\pm$6 detections per year in Argus and 158$\pm$11 detections per year in DSA, and the Moon Burst Energetics All-sky Monitor (MoonBEAM) concept, with 90$\pm$9 per year in Argus and 160$\pm$14 per year in DSA. The observatory system will also detect 118$\pm$10 optical and 199$\pm$17 radio afterglows per year, independent of GRB triggers, exceeding the current annual rate with global follow-up. Afterglow counterparts to short-duration GRBs, originating from neutron star mergers, will be detected at 5-10% of the LGRB afterglow rate, which is promising for multi-messenger detections of gravitational wave sources and constraining the neutron star merger rate. The Argus Array, with its second-minute cadence, will detect afterglows before they peak $\sim$18% of the time, which will dramatically increase the sample of observed reverse shock and prompt optical emission.

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arXiv2025

Optical/infrared observations of the extraordinary GRB 250702B: a highly obscured afterglow in a massive galaxy consistent with multiple possible progenitors

GRB 250702B was the longest gamma-ray burst ever detected, with a duration that challenges standard collapsar models and suggests an exotic progenitor. We collected a rich set of optical and infrared follow-up observations of its rapidly fading afterglow using a suite of telescopes including the W. M. Keck Observatory, the Gemini telescopes, the Magellan Baade Telescope, the Victor M. Blanco 4-meter telescope, and the Fraunhofer Telescope at Wendelstein Observatory. Our analysis reveals that the afterglow emission is well described by forward shock emission from a highly obscured relativistic jet. Deep photometric observations of the host galaxy reveal a massive (10^10.66 solar masses), dusty, and extremely asymmetric system that is consistent with two galaxies undergoing a major merger. The galactocentric offset, host galaxy properties, and jet characteristics disfavor a jetted TDE around a supermassive black hole but do not definitively distinguish between competing progenitor scenarios. We find that the afterglow and host are consistent with a range of progenitors including an atypical collapsar, a merger between a helium star and a stellar mass black hole, the disruption of a star by a stellar mass compact object (micro-TDE), and the tidal disruption of a star by an off-nuclear intermediate mass black hole.

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arXiv2024

The Rise of Nova V1674 Herculis

Observational constraints on classical novae are heavily biased to phases near optical peak and later because of the simple fact that novae are not typically discovered until they become bright. The earliest phases of brightening, coming before discovery, are typically missed, but this is changing with the proliferation of wide-field optical monitoring systems including ZTF, ASAS-SN, and Evryscope. Here, we report on unprecedented observations of the fast nova V1674 Her beginning >10 mag below its optical peak and including high-cadence (2 min.) observations that chart a rise of ~8 mag in just 5 hours. Two clear breaks are identified as the light curve transitions first from rising slowly to rising rapidly, followed by a transition to an even faster, nearly linear rate of increasing flux with time. The depths of the observations allow us to place tight constraints on the size of the photosphere under the assumption of blackbody emission from a white dwarf emitting at its Eddington luminosity. We find that the white dwarf was unlikely to have overflowed its Roche lobe prior to the launch of a fast wind, which poses a challenge for explaining the Fermi $\gamma$-ray detections as the interaction of a fast wind with a slow-torus of gas stripped from the inflated white dwarf envelope by the companion. High-cadence observations of novae from Evryscope and the planned Argus Array can record the diversity of rising nova light curves and help resolve how the interplay between thermonuclear fusion, binary interaction, and shocks power their earliest light.

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arXiv2024

The ArgusSpec Prototype: Autonomous Spectroscopic Follow-up of Flares Detected by Large Array Telescopes

ArgusSpec is a prototype autonomous spectroscopic follow-up instrument designed to characterize flares detected by the Argus Pathfinder telescope array by taking short exposure (30 s) broadband spectra (370 - 750 nm) at low resolutions (R~150 at 500 nm). The instrument is built from consumer off-the-shelf astronomical equipment, assembled inside a shipping container, and deployed alongside the Argus Pathfinder at a dark sky observing site in Western North Carolina. The \$35k prototype ArgusSpec was designed, built, and deployed in under a year, largely from existing parts, and has been operating on-sky since March 2023. With current hardware and software, the system is capable of receiving an observation, slewing, performing autonomous slit acquisition, and beginning data acquisition within an average of 32 s. With Argus Pathfinder's 1-second-cadence survey reporting alerts of rising sources within 2 s of onset, ArgusSpec can reach new targets well within a minute of the start of the event. As built, ArgusSpec can observe targets down to a 20$\sigma$ limiting magnitude of $m_V$~13 at 30 s cadence with an optical resolution of R~150 (at 500 nm). With automated rapid acquisition demonstrated, later hardware upgrades will significantly improve the limiting magnitude, and potentially enable deep spectroscopy by the coaddition of data from an array of ArgusSpec systems. ArgusSpec's primary science driver is the characterization of the blackbody evolution of flares from nearby M-dwarfs. Large flares emitted by these stars could have significant impacts on the potential habitability of any orbiting exoplanets, but our current understanding of these events is in large part built on observations from a handful of active stars. ArgusSpec will characterize large numbers of flares, building a spectroscopic library of the most extreme events from a wide variety of stellar masses and ages.

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arXiv2023

The Evryscope Fast Transient Engine: Real-Time Detection for Rapidly Evolving Transients

Astrophysical transients with rapid development on sub-hour timescales are intrinsically rare. Due to their short durations, events like stellar superflares, optical flashes from gamma-ray bursts, and shock breakouts from young supernovae are difficult to identify on timescales that enable spectroscopic followup. This paper presents the Evryscope Fast Transient Engine (EFTE), a new data reduction pipeline designed to provide low-latency transient alerts from the Evryscopes, a North-South pair of ultra-wide-field telescopes with an instantaneous footprint covering 38% of the entire sky, and tools for building long-term light curves from Evryscope data. EFTE leverages the optical stability of the Evryscopes by using a simple direct image subtraction routine suited to continuously monitoring the transient sky at minute cadence. Candidates are produced within the base Evryscope two-minute cadence for 98.5% of images, and internally filtered using VetNet, a convolutional neural network real-bogus classifier. EFTE provides an extensible, robust architecture for transient surveys probing similar timescales, and serves as the software testbed for the real-time analysis pipelines and public data distribution systems for the Argus Array, a next generation all-sky observatory with a data rate 62x higher than Evryscope.

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arXiv2022

Packing the sky: coverage optimization and evaluation for large telescope arrays

Recent advancements in low-cost astronomical equipment, including high-quality medium-aperture telescopes and low-noise CMOS detectors, have made the deployment of large optical telescope arrays both financially feasible and scientifically interesting. The Argus Optical Array is one such system, composed of 900 eight-inch telescopes, which is planned to cover the entire night sky in each exposure and is capable of being the deepest and fastest Northern Hemisphere sky survey. With this new class of telescope comes new challenges: determining optimal individual telescope pointings to achieve required sky coverage and overlaps for large numbers of telescopes, and realizing those pointings using either individual mounts, larger mounting structures containing telescope subarrays, or the full array on a single mount. In this paper, we describe a method for creating a pointing pattern, and an algorithm for rapidly evaluating sky coverage and overlaps given that pattern, and apply it to the Argus Array. Using this pattern, telescopes are placed into a hemispherical arrangement, which can be mounted as a single monolithic array or split into several smaller subarrays. These methods can be applied to other large arrays where sky packing is challenging and evenly spaced array subdivisions are necessary for mounting.

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arXiv2022

The sky at one terabit per second: Architecture and implementation of the Argus Array Hierarchical Data Processing System

The Argus Optical Array is a synoptic survey observatory, currently in development, that will have a total collecting area equivalent to a 5-meter monolithic telescope and an all-sky field of view, multiplexed from 900 commercial off-the-shelf telescopes. The Array will observe 7916 deg$^2$ every second during high-speed operations ($m_g\leq16.1$) and every 30 seconds at base cadence ($m_g\leq19.1$), producing 4.3 PB and 145 TB respectively of data per night with its 55-gigapixel mosaic of cameras. The Argus Array Hierarchical Data Processing System (Argus-HDPS) is the instrument control and analysis pipeline for the Argus Array project, able to create fully-reduced data products in real time. We pair sub-arrays of cameras with co-located compute nodes, responsible for distilling the raw 11 Tbps data rate into transient alerts, full-resolution image segments around selected targets at 30-second cadence, and full-resolution coadds of the entire field of view at $15+$-min cadences. Production of long-term light curves and transient discovery in deep coadds out to 5-day cadence ($m_g\leq24.0$) will be scheduled for daytime operations. In this paper, we describe the data reduction strategy for the Argus Optical Array and demonstrate image segmentation, coaddition, and difference image analysis using the GPU-enabled Argus-HDPS pipelines on representative data from the Argus Array Technology Demonstrator.

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arXiv2022

The inside-out, upside-down telescope: the Argus Array's new pseudofocal design

The Argus Optical Array will be the first all-sky, arcsecond-resolution, 5-m class telescope. The 55 GPix Array, currently being prototyped, will consist of 900 telescopes with 61 MPix very-low-noise CMOS detectors enabling sub-second cadences. Argus will observe every part of the northern sky for 6-12 hours per night, achieving a simultaneously high-cadence and deep-sky survey. The array will build a two-color, million-epoch movie, reaching dark-sky depths of $m_g$=19.6 each minute and $m_g$=23.6 each week over 47% of the entire sky, enabling the most-sensitive-yet searches for high-speed transients, gravitational-wave counterparts, exoplanet microlensing events, and a host of other phenomena. In this paper we present our newly-developed array arrangement, which mounts all telescopes into the inside of a hemispherical bowl (turning the original dome design inside-out). The telescopes' beams thus converge at a single ``pseudofocal'' point. When placed along the telescope's polar axis, this point does not move as the telescope tracks, allowing every telescope to simultaneously look through a single, unmoving window in a fixed enclosure. This telescope bowl is suspended from a simple free-swinging pivot (turning the usual telescope mounting support upside-down), with polar alignment afforded by the creation of a virtual polar axis defined by a second mounting pivot. This new design, currently being prototyped with the 38-telescope Argus Pathfinder, eliminates the need for a movable external dome and thus greatly reduces the cost and complexity of the full Argus Array. Coupled with careful software scope control and the use of existing software pipelines, the Argus Array could thus become one of the deepest and fastest sky surveys, within a midscale-level budget.

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arXiv2021

Mysterious Dust-emitting Object Orbiting TIC 400799224

We report the discovery of a unique object of uncertain nature -- but quite possibly a disintegrating asteroid or minor planet -- orbiting one star of the widely separated binary TIC 400799224. We initially identified the system in data from TESS Sector 10 via an abnormally-shaped fading event in the light curve (hereafter 'dips'). Follow-up speckle imaging determined that TIC 400799224 is actually two stars of similar brightness at 0.62" separation, forming a likely bound binary with projected separation of ~300 au. We cannot yet determine which star in the binary is host to the dips in flux. ASAS-SN and Evryscope archival data show that there is a strong periodicity of the dips at ~19.77 days, leading us to believe that an occulting object is orbiting the host star, though the duration, depth, and shape of the dips vary substantially. Statistical analysis of the ASAS-SN data shows that the dips only occur sporadically at a detectable threshold in approximately one out of every three to five transits, lending credence to the possibility that the occulter is a sporadically-emitted dust cloud. The cloud is also fairly optically thick, blocking up to 37% or 75% of the light from the host star, depending on the true host. Further observations may allow for greater detail to be gleaned as to the origin and composition of the occulter, as well as to a determination of which of the two stars comprising TIC 400799224 is the true host star of the dips.

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arXiv2021

Low-Cost Access to the Deep, High-Cadence Sky: the Argus Optical Array

New mass-produced, wide-field, small-aperture telescopes have the potential to revolutionize ground-based astronomy by greatly reducing the cost of collecting area. In this paper, we introduce a new class of large telescope based on these advances: an all-sky, arcsecond-resolution, 1000-telescope array which builds a simultaneously high-cadence and deep survey by observing the entire sky all night. As a concrete example, we describe the Argus Array, a 5m-class telescope with an all-sky field of view and the ability to reach extremely high cadences using low-noise CMOS detectors. Each 55 GPix Argus exposure covers 20% of the entire sky to g=19.6 each minute and g=21.9 each hour; a high-speed mode will allow sub-second survey cadences for short times. Deep coadds will reach g=23.6 every five nights over 47% of the sky; a larger-aperture array telescope, with an étendue close to the Rubin Observatory, could reach g=24.3 in five nights. These arrays can build two-color, million-epoch movies of the sky, enabling sensitive and rapid searches for high-speed transients, fast-radio-burst counterparts, gravitational-wave counterparts, exoplanet microlensing events, occultations by distant solar system bodies, and myriad other phenomena. An array of O(1,000) telescopes, however, would be one of the most complex astronomical instruments yet built. Standard arrays with hundreds of tracking mounts entail thousands of moving parts and exposed optics, and maintenance costs would rapidly outpace the mass-produced-hardware cost savings compared to a monolithic large telescope. We discuss how to greatly reduce operations costs by placing all optics in a thermally controlled, sealed dome with a single moving part. Coupled with careful software scope control and use of existing pipelines, we show that the Argus Array could become the deepest and fastest Northern sky survey, with total costs below $20M.

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arXiv2021

Rotation periods of TESS Objects of Interest from the Magellan-TESS Survey with multiband photometry from Evryscope and TESS

Stellar RV jitter due to surface activity may bias the RV semi-amplitude and mass of rocky planets. The amplitude of the jitter may be estimated from the uncertainty in the rotation period, allowing the mass to be more accurately obtained. We find candidate rotation periods for 17 out of 35 TESS Objects of Interest (TOI) hosting <3 R_Earth planets as part of the Magellan-TESS Survey, which is the first-ever statistically robust study of exoplanet masses and radii across the photo-evaporation gap. Seven periods are 3+ sigma detections, two are 1.5+ sigma, and 8 show plausible variability but the periods remain unconfirmed. The other 18 TOIs are non-detections. Candidate rotators include the host stars of the confirmed planets L 168-9 b, the HD 21749 system, LTT 1445 A b, TOI 1062 b, and the L 98-59 system. 13 candidates have no counterpart in the 1000 TOI rotation catalog of Canto Martins et al. (2020). We find periods for G3-M3 dwarfs using combined light curves from TESS and the Evryscope all-sky array of small telescopes, sometimes with longer periods than would be possible with TESS alone. Secure periods range from 1.4 to 26 d with Evryscope-measured photometric amplitudes as small as 2.1 mmag in g'. We also apply Monte Carlo sampling and a Gaussian Process stellar activity model from the code exoplanet to the TESS light curves of 6 TOIs to confirm the Evryscope periods.

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arXiv2020

Revisiting the HD 21749 Planetary System with Stellar Activity Modeling

HD 21749 is a bright ($V=8.1$ mag) K dwarf at 16 pc known to host an inner terrestrial planet HD 21749c as well as an outer sub-Neptune HD 21749b, both delivered by TESS. Follow-up spectroscopic observations measured the mass of HD 21749b to be $22.7\pm2.2\ M_{\oplus}$ with a density of $7.0^{+1.6}_{-1.3}$ g~cm$^{-3}$, making it one of the densest sub-Neptunes. However, the mass measurement was suspected to be influenced by stellar rotation. Here we present new high-cadence PFS RV data to disentangle the stellar activity signal from the planetary signal. We find that HD 21749 has a similar rotational timescale as the planet's orbital period, and the amplitude of the planetary orbital RV signal is estimated to be similar to that of the stellar activity signal. We perform Gaussian Process (GP) regression on the photometry and RVs from HARPS and PFS to model the stellar activity signal. Our new models reveal that HD 21749b has a radius of $2.86\pm0.20\ R_{\oplus}$, an orbital period of $35.6133\pm0.0005$ d with a mass of $M_{b}=20.0\pm2.7\ M_{\oplus}$ and a density of $4.8^{+2.0}_{-1.4}$ g~cm$^{-3}$ on an eccentric orbit with $e=0.16\pm0.06$, which is consistent with the most recent values published for this system. HD 21749c has an orbital period of $7.7902\pm0.0006$ d, a radius of $1.13\pm0.10\ R_{\oplus}$, and a 3$σ$ mass upper limit of $3.5\ M_{\oplus}$. Our Monte Carlo simulations confirm that without properly taking stellar activity signals into account, the mass measurement of HD 21749b is likely to arrive at a significantly underestimated error bar.

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arXiv2020

Orbital Foregrounds for Ultra-Short Duration Transients

Reflections from objects in Earth orbit can produce sub-second, star-like optical flashes similar to astrophysical transients. Reflections have historically caused false alarms for transient surveys, but the population has not been systematically studied. We report event rates for these orbital flashes using the Evryscope Fast Transient Engine, a low-latency transient detection pipeline for the Evryscopes. We select single-epoch detections likely caused by Earth satellites and model the event rate as a function of both magnitude and sky position. We measure a rate of $1800^{+600}_{-280}$ sky$^{-1}$ hour$^{-1}$, peaking at $m_g = 13.0$, for flashes morphologically degenerate with real astrophysical signals in surveys like the Evryscopes. Of these, $340^{+150}_{-85}$ sky$^{-1}$ hour$^{-1}$ are bright enough to be visible to the naked eye in typical suburban skies with a visual limiting magnitude of $V\approx4$. These measurements place the event rate of orbital flashes orders of magnitude higher than the combined rate of public alerts from all active all-sky fast-timescale transient searches, including neutrino, gravitational-wave, gamma-ray, and radio observatories. Short-timescale orbital flashes form a dominating foreground for un-triggered searches for fast transients in low-resolution, wide-angle surveys. However, events like fast radio bursts (FRBs) with arcminute-scale localization have a low probability ($\sim10^{-5}$) of coincidence with an orbital flash, allowing optical surveys to place constraints on their potential optical counterparts in single images. Upcoming satellite internet constellations, like SpaceX Starlink, are unlikely to contribute significantly to the population of orbital flashes in normal operations.

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arXiv2020

EvryFlare III: Temperature Evolution and Habitability Impacts of Dozens of Superflares Observed Simultaneously by Evryscope and TESS

Superflares may provide the dominant source of biologically relevant UV radiation to rocky habitable zone M-dwarf planets (M-Earths), altering planetary atmospheres and conditions for surface life. The combined line and continuum flare emission has usually been approximated by a 9000 K blackbody. If superflares are hotter, then the UV emission may be 10X higher than predicted from the optical. However, it is unknown for how long M-dwarf superflares reach temperatures above 9000 K. Only a handful of M-dwarf superflares have been recorded with multi-wavelength high-cadence observations. We double the total number of events in the literature using simultaneous Evryscope and TESS observations to provide the first systematic exploration of the temperature evolution of M-dwarf superflares. We also increase the number of superflaring M-dwarfs with published time-resolved blackbody evolution by ~10X. We measure temperatures at 2 min cadence for 42 superflares from 27 K5-M5 dwarfs. We find superflare peak temperatures (defined as the mean of temperatures corresponding to flare FWHM) increase with flare energy and impulse. We find the amount of time flares emit at temperatures above 14,000 K depends on energy. We discover 43% of the flares emit above 14,000 K, 23% emit above 20,000 K and 5% emit above 30,000 K. The largest and hottest flare briefly reached 42,000 K. Some do not reach 14,000 K. During superflares, we estimate M-Earths orbiting <200 Myr stars typically receive a top-of-atmosphere UV-C flux of ~120 W m^-2 and up to 10^3 W m^-2, 100-1000X the time-averaged XUV flux from Proxima Cen.

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arXiv2020

Evryscope and K2 Constraints on TRAPPIST-1 Superflare Occurrence and Planetary Habitability

The nearby ultracool dwarf TRAPPIST-1 possesses several Earth-sized terrestrial planets, three of which have equilibrium temperatures that may support liquid surface water, making it a compelling target for exoplanet characterization. TRAPPIST-1 is an active star with frequent flaring, with implications for the habitability of its planets. Superflares (stellar flares whose energy exceeds 10^33 erg) can completely destroy the atmospheres of a cool star's planets, allowing ultraviolet radiation and high-energy particles to bombard their surfaces. However, ultracool dwarfs emit little ultraviolet flux when quiescent, raising the possibility of frequent flares being necessary for prebiotic chemistry that requires ultraviolet light. We combine Evryscope and Kepler observations to characterize the high-energy flare rate of TRAPPIST-1. The Evryscope is an array of 22 small telescopes imaging the entire Southern sky in g' every two minutes. Evryscope observations, spanning 170 nights over 2 years, complement the 80-day continuous short-cadence K2 observations by sampling TRAPPIST-1's long-term flare activity. We update TRAPPIST-1's superflare rate, finding a cumulative rate of 4.2 (+1.9 -0.2) superflares per year. We calculate the flare rate necessary to deplete ozone in the habitable-zone planets' atmospheres, and find that TRAPPIST-1's flare rate is insufficient to deplete ozone if present on its planets. In addition, we calculate the flare rate needed to provide enough ultraviolet flux to power prebiotic chemistry. We find TRAPPIST-1's flare rate is likely insufficient to catalyze some of the Earthlike chemical pathways thought to lead to RNA synthesis, and flux due to flares in the biologically relevant UV-B band is orders of magnitude less for any TRAPPIST-1 planet than has been experienced by Earth at any time in its history.

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arXiv2020

Multi-wavelength Photometry and Progenitor Analysis of the Nova V906 Car

We present optical and infrared photometry of the classical nova V906 Car, also known as Nova Car 2018 and ASASSN-18fv, discovered by ASASS-SN survey on 16.32 March 2018 UT (MJD 58193.0). The nova reached its maximum on MJD 58222.56 at $V_{\rm{max}} = 5.84 \pm 0.09$ mag and had decline times of $t_{2,V} = 26.2 $ d and $t_{3,V} = 33.0 $ d. The data from Evryscope shows that the nova had already brightened to $g'\simeq 13$\,mag five days before discovery, as compared to its quiescent magnitude of $g=$20.13$\pm$0.03. The extinction towards the nova, as derived from high resolution spectroscopy, shows an estimate consistent with foreground extinction to the Carina Nebula of $A_V = 1.11_{-0.39}^{+0.54}$. The light curve resembles a rare C (cusp) class nova with a steep decline slope of $α=-3.94$ post cusp flare. From the lightcurve decline rate, we estimate the mass of white dwarf to be $M_{WD}$ = $ < 0.8$M\textsubscript{$\odot$}, consistent with $M_{WD}=0.71^{+0.23}_{-0.19}$ derived from modelling the accretion disk of the system in quiescence. The donor star is likely a K-M dwarf of 0.23-0.43\,\Msun, which is being heated by its companion.

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arXiv2020

EvryFlare II: Rotation Periods of the Cool Flare Stars in TESS Across Half the Southern Sky

We measure rotation periods and sinusoidal amplitudes in Evryscope light curves for 122 two-minute K5-M4 TESS targets selected for strong flaring. The Evryscope array of telescopes has observed all bright nearby stars in the South, producing two-minute cadence light curves since 2016. Long-term, high-cadence observations of rotating flare stars probe the complex relationship between stellar rotation, starspots, and superflares. We detect periods from 0.3487 to 104 d, and observe amplitudes from 0.008 to 0.216 g' mag. We find the Evryscope amplitudes are larger than those in TESS with the effect correlated to stellar mass (p-value=0.01). We compute the Rossby number (Ro), and find our sample selected for flaring has twice as many intermediate rotators (0.04 0.44) rotators; this may be astrophysical or a result of period-detection sensitivity. We discover 30 fast, 59 intermediate, and 33 slow rotators. We measure a median starspot coverage of 13% of the stellar hemisphere and constrain the minimum magnetic field strength consistent with our flare energies and spot coverage to be 500 G, with later-type stars exhibiting lower values than earlier-types. We observe a possible change in superflare rates at intermediate periods. However, we do not conclusively confirm the increased activity of intermediate rotators seen in previous studies. We split all rotators at Ro~0.2 into Prot<10 d and Prot>10 d bins to confirm short-period rotators exhibit higher superflare rates, larger flare energies, and higher starspot coverage than do long-period rotators, at p-values of 3.2 X 10^-5, 1.0 X 10^-5, and 0.01, respectively.

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arXiv2019

EvryFlare I: Long-term Evryscope Monitoring of Flares from the Cool Stars Across Half the Southern Sky

We search for superflares from 4,068 cool stars in 2+ years of Evryscope photometry, focusing on those with high-cadence data from both Evryscope and TESS. The Evryscope array of small telescopes observed 575 flares from 284 stars, with a median energy of 10^34.0 erg. Since 2016, Evryscope has enabled the detection of rare events from all stars observed by TESS through multi-year, high-cadence continuous observing. We report ~2X the previous largest number of 10^34 erg high-cadence flares from nearby cool stars. We find 8 flares with amplitudes of 3+ g' magnitudes, with the largest reaching 5.6 magnitudes and releasing 10^36.2 erg. We observe a 10^34 erg superflare from TOI-455 (LTT 1445), a mid-M with a rocky planet candidate. We measure the superflare rate per flare-star and quantify the average flaring of active stars as a function of spectral type, including superflare rates, FFDs, and typical flare amplitudes in g'. We confirm superflare morphology is broadly consistent with magnetic re-connection. We estimate starspot coverage necessary to produce superflares, and hypothesize maximum-allowed superflare energies and waiting-times between flares corresponding to 100% coverage of the stellar hemisphere. We observe decreased flaring at high galactic latitudes. We explore the effects of superflares on ozone loss to planetary atmospheres: we observe 1 superflare with sufficient energy to photo-dissociate all ozone in an Earth-like atmosphere in one event. We find 17 stars that may deplete an Earth-like atmosphere via repeated flaring. Of the 1822 stars around which TESS may discover temperate rocky planets, we observe 14.6% +/- 2% emit large flares.

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