arXiv subjects

Hany Abdulsamad

Publications and source records attributed to Hany Abdulsamad.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Discrete Diffusion Inference-Time Control with Nested Sequential Monte Carlo

We study inference-time control for text generation in discrete diffusion language models, where the goal is to steer sampling toward sequence-level rewards without retraining. Prior work in this domain has focused on particle-based methods such as best-of-$n$ sampling and bootstrap sequential Monte Carlo, which may suffer from overoptimism and weight degeneracy, respectively. We address these limitations using \emph{nested} sequential Monte Carlo methods. We formulate nested SMC (NSMC) and fully-adapted nested SMC (FA-NSMC) for Feynman--Kac steering, identifying and correcting errors in prior formulations that lead to biased final estimates. We evaluate these methods on toxicity and fluency steering tasks, showing that NSMC and FA-NSMC consistently outperform best-of-$n$ and bootstrap SMC.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Recursive Entropic Variational Inference for Nonlinear State-Space Models

We present a class of algorithms for state estimation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach is based on a variational Lagrangian formulation that casts Bayesian inference as a sequence of entropic trust-region updates subject to dynamic consistency constraints. This framework gives rise to a family of forward-backward algorithms whose structure is determined by the chosen factorization of the variational posterior. By focusing on Gauss--Markov approximations, we derive recursive schemes with favorable computational complexity. For general nonlinear, non-Gaussian models, we close the recursions using generalized statistical linear regression and Fourier--Hermite moment matching.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Maximin Robust Bayesian Experimental Design

We address the brittleness of Bayesian experimental design under model misspecification by formulating the problem as a max--min game between the experimenter and an adversarial nature subject to information-theoretic constraints. We demonstrate that this approach yields a robust objective governed by Sibson's $α$-mutual information (MI), which identifies the $α$-tilted posterior as the robust belief update and establishes the Rényi divergence as the appropriate measure of conditional information gain. To mitigate the bias and variance of nested Monte Carlo estimators needed to estimate Sibson's $α$-MI, we adopt a PAC-Bayes framework to search over stochastic design policies, yielding rigorous high-probability lower bounds on the robust expected information gain that explicitly control finite-sample error.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Sequential Monte Carlo for Policy Optimization in Continuous POMDPs

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires agents to balance reducing uncertainty (exploration) against pursuing immediate objectives (exploitation). In this paper, we introduce a novel policy optimization framework for continuous partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) that explicitly addresses this challenge. Our method casts policy learning as probabilistic inference in a non-Markovian Feynman--Kac model that inherently captures the value of information gathering by anticipating future observations, without requiring suboptimal approximations or handcrafted heuristics. To optimize policies under this model, we develop a nested sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm that efficiently estimates a history-dependent policy gradient under samples from the optimal trajectory distribution induced by the POMDP. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm across standard continuous POMDP benchmarks, where existing methods struggle to act under uncertainty.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

A Parallel-in-Time Newton's Method for Nonlinear Model Predictive Control

Model predictive control (MPC) is a powerful framework for optimal control of dynamical systems. However, MPC solvers suffer from a high computational burden that restricts their application to systems with low sampling frequency. This issue is further amplified in nonlinear and constrained systems that require nesting MPC solvers within iterative procedures. In this paper, we address these issues by developing parallel-in-time algorithms for constrained nonlinear optimization problems that take advantage of massively parallel hardware to achieve logarithmic computational time scaling over the planning horizon. We develop time-parallel second-order solvers based on interior point methods and the alternating direction method of multipliers, leveraging fast convergence and lower computational cost per iteration. The parallelization is based on a reformulation of the subproblems in terms of associative operations that can be parallelized using the associative scan algorithm. We validate our approach on numerical examples of nonlinear and constrained dynamical systems.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Recursive Nested Filtering for Efficient Amortized Bayesian Experimental Design

This paper introduces the Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF), a novel, fully recursive, algorithm for amortized sequential Bayesian experimental design in the non-exchangeable setting. We frame policy optimization as maximum likelihood estimation in a non-Markovian state-space model, achieving (at most) $\mathcal{O}(T^2)$ computational complexity in the number of experiments. We provide theoretical convergence guarantees and introduce a backward sampling algorithm to reduce trajectory degeneracy. IO-NPF offers a practical, extensible, and provably consistent approach to sequential Bayesian experimental design, demonstrating improved efficiency over existing methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2024

Nesting Particle Filters for Experimental Design in Dynamical Systems

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to Bayesian experimental design for non-exchangeable data that formulates it as risk-sensitive policy optimization. We develop the Inside-Out SMC$^2$ algorithm, a nested sequential Monte Carlo technique to infer optimal designs, and embed it into a particle Markov chain Monte Carlo framework to perform gradient-based policy amortization. Our approach is distinct from other amortized experimental design techniques, as it does not rely on contrastive estimators. Numerical validation on a set of dynamical systems showcases the efficacy of our method in comparison to other state-of-the-art strategies.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Risk-Sensitive Stochastic Optimal Control as Rao-Blackwellized Markovian Score Climbing

Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. Nonetheless, a majority of these techniques only invoke the inference-control duality to derive a modified risk objective that is then addressed within a reinforcement learning framework. This paper introduces a novel perspective by framing risk-sensitive stochastic control as Markovian score climbing under samples drawn from a conditional particle filter. Our approach, while purely inference-centric, provides asymptotically unbiased estimates for gradient-based policy optimization with optimal importance weighting and no explicit value function learning. To validate our methodology, we apply it to the task of learning neural non-Gaussian feedback policies, showcasing its efficacy on numerical benchmarks of stochastic dynamical systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Variational Hierarchical Mixtures for Probabilistic Learning of Inverse Dynamics

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic kernel machines with a flexible structure that does not scale gracefully with data or deterministic and vastly scalable automata, albeit with a restrictive parametric form and poor regularization. In this paper, we consider a probabilistic hierarchical modeling paradigm that combines the benefits of both worlds to deliver computationally efficient representations with inherent complexity regularization. The presented approaches are probabilistic interpretations of local regression techniques that approximate nonlinear functions through a set of local linear or polynomial units. Importantly, we rely on principles from Bayesian nonparametrics to formulate flexible models that adapt their complexity to the data and can potentially encompass an infinite number of components. We derive two efficient variational inference techniques to learn these representations and highlight the advantages of hierarchical infinite local regression models, such as dealing with non-smooth functions, mitigating catastrophic forgetting, and enabling parameter sharing and fast predictions. Finally, we validate this approach on large inverse dynamics datasets and test the learned models in real-world control scenarios.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Model-Based Reinforcement Learning via Stochastic Hybrid Models

Optimal control of general nonlinear systems is a central challenge in automation. Enabled by powerful function approximators, data-driven approaches to control have recently successfully tackled challenging applications. However, such methods often obscure the structure of dynamics and control behind black-box over-parameterized representations, thus limiting our ability to understand closed-loop behavior. This paper adopts a hybrid-system view of nonlinear modeling and control that lends an explicit hierarchical structure to the problem and breaks down complex dynamics into simpler localized units. We consider a sequence modeling paradigm that captures the temporal structure of the data and derive an expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm that automatically decomposes nonlinear dynamics into stochastic piecewise affine models with nonlinear transition boundaries. Furthermore, we show that these time-series models naturally admit a closed-loop extension that we use to extract local polynomial feedback controllers from nonlinear experts via behavioral cloning. Finally, we introduce a novel hybrid relative entropy policy search (Hb-REPS) technique that incorporates the hierarchical nature of hybrid models and optimizes a set of time-invariant piecewise feedback controllers derived from a piecewise polynomial approximation of a global state-value function.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Variational Gaussian filtering via Wasserstein gradient flows

We present a novel approach to approximate Gaussian and mixture-of-Gaussians filtering. Our method relies on a variational approximation via a gradient-flow representation. The gradient flow is derived from a Kullback--Leibler discrepancy minimization on the space of probability distributions equipped with the Wasserstein metric. We outline the general method and show its competitiveness in posterior representation and parameter estimation on two state-space models for which Gaussian approximations typically fail: systems with multiplicative noise and multi-modal state distributions.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2023

A Recursive Newton Method for Smoothing in Nonlinear State Space Models

In this paper, we use the optimization formulation of nonlinear Kalman filtering and smoothing problems to develop second-order variants of iterated Kalman smoother (IKS) methods. We show that Newton's method corresponds to a recursion over affine smoothing problems on a modified state-space model augmented by a pseudo measurement. The first and second derivatives required in this approach can be efficiently computed with widely available automatic differentiation tools. Furthermore, we show how to incorporate line-search and trust-region strategies into the proposed second-order IKS algorithm in order to regularize updates between iterations. Finally, we provide numerical examples to demonstrate the method's efficiency in terms of runtime compared to its batch counterpart.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2022

Active Inference for Robotic Manipulation

Robotic manipulation stands as a largely unsolved problem despite significant advances in robotics and machine learning in the last decades. One of the central challenges of manipulation is partial observability, as the agent usually does not know all physical properties of the environment and the objects it is manipulating in advance. A recently emerging theory that deals with partial observability in an explicit manner is Active Inference. It does so by driving the agent to act in a way that is not only goal-directed but also informative about the environment. In this work, we apply Active Inference to a hard-to-explore simulated robotic manipulation tasks, in which the agent has to balance a ball into a target zone. Since the reward of this task is sparse, in order to explore this environment, the agent has to learn to balance the ball without any extrinsic feedback, purely driven by its own curiosity. We show that the information-seeking behavior induced by Active Inference allows the agent to explore these challenging, sparse environments systematically. Finally, we conclude that using an information-seeking objective is beneficial in sparse environments and allows the agent to solve tasks in which methods that do not exhibit directed exploration fail.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2022

Efficient Stochastic Optimal Control through Approximate Bayesian Input Inference

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate inference techniques can be used to handle the statistical approximations principled and practically by framing the control problem as a problem of input estimation. Analyzing the Gaussian setting, we present an inference-based solver that is effective in stochastic and deterministic settings and was found to be superior to popular baselines on nonlinear simulated tasks. We draw connections that relate this inference formulation to previous approaches for stochastic optimal control and outline several advantages that this inference view brings due to its statistical nature.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Distributionally Robust Trajectory Optimization Under Uncertain Dynamics via Relative Entropy Trust-Regions

Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven approaches that infer the system dynamics online and incorporate posterior uncertainty during planning and control. Despite their success, such approaches are still susceptible to catastrophic errors that may arise due to statistical learning biases, unmodeled disturbances, or even directed adversarial attacks. In this paper, we tackle the problem of dynamics mismatch and propose a distributionally robust optimal control formulation that alternates between two relative entropy trust-region optimization problems. Our method finds the worst-case maximum entropy Gaussian posterior over the dynamics parameters and the corresponding robust policy. Furthermore, we show that our approach admits a closed-form backward-pass for a certain class of systems. Finally, we demonstrate the resulting robustness on linear and nonlinear numerical examples.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2021

A Probabilistic Interpretation of Self-Paced Learning with Applications to Reinforcement Learning

Across machine learning, the use of curricula has shown strong empirical potential to improve learning from data by avoiding local optima of training objectives. For reinforcement learning (RL), curricula are especially interesting, as the underlying optimization has a strong tendency to get stuck in local optima due to the exploration-exploitation trade-off. Recently, a number of approaches for an automatic generation of curricula for RL have been shown to increase performance while requiring less expert knowledge compared to manually designed curricula. However, these approaches are seldomly investigated from a theoretical perspective, preventing a deeper understanding of their mechanics. In this paper, we present an approach for automated curriculum generation in RL with a clear theoretical underpinning. More precisely, we formalize the well-known self-paced learning paradigm as inducing a distribution over training tasks, which trades off between task complexity and the objective to match a desired task distribution. Experiments show that training on this induced distribution helps to avoid poor local optima across RL algorithms in different tasks with uninformative rewards and challenging exploration requirements.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

A Variational Infinite Mixture for Probabilistic Inverse Dynamics Learning

Probabilistic regression techniques in control and robotics applications have to fulfill different criteria of data-driven adaptability, computational efficiency, scalability to high dimensions, and the capacity to deal with different modalities in the data. Classical regressors usually fulfill only a subset of these properties. In this work, we extend seminal work on Bayesian nonparametric mixtures and derive an efficient variational Bayes inference technique for infinite mixtures of probabilistic local polynomial models with well-calibrated certainty quantification. We highlight the model's power in combining data-driven complexity adaptation, fast prediction and the ability to deal with discontinuous functions and heteroscedastic noise. We benchmark this technique on a range of large real inverse dynamics datasets, showing that the infinite mixture formulation is competitive with classical Local Learning methods and regularizes model complexity by adapting the number of components based on data and without relying on heuristics. Moreover, to showcase the practicality of the approach, we use the learned models for online inverse dynamics control of a Barrett-WAM manipulator, significantly improving the trajectory tracking performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

A Nonparametric Off-Policy Policy Gradient

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms still suffer from high sample complexity despite outstanding recent successes. The need for intensive interactions with the environment is especially observed in many widely popular policy gradient algorithms that perform updates using on-policy samples. The price of such inefficiency becomes evident in real-world scenarios such as interaction-driven robot learning, where the success of RL has been rather limited. We address this issue by building on the general sample efficiency of off-policy algorithms. With nonparametric regression and density estimation methods we construct a nonparametric Bellman equation in a principled manner, which allows us to obtain closed-form estimates of the value function, and to analytically express the full policy gradient. We provide a theoretical analysis of our estimate to show that it is consistent under mild smoothness assumptions and empirically show that our approach has better sample efficiency than state-of-the-art policy gradient methods.

cs.LG↗