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Hao Li

Publications and source records attributed to Hao Li.

At least 235 records · Page 13Linked to original sources
arXiv2026

SeesawNet: Towards Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting with Balanced Modeling of Common and Specific Dependencies

Instance normalization (IN) is widely used in non-stationary multivariate time series forecasting to reduce distribution shifts and highlight common patterns across samples. However, IN can over-smooth instance-specific structural information that is essential for modeling temporal and cross-channel heterogeneity. While prior methods further suppress distribution discrepancies or attempt to recover temporal specific dependencies, they often ignore a central tension: how to adaptively model common and instance-specific dependency based on each instance's non-stationary structures. To address this dilemma, we propose SeesawNet, a unified architecture that dynamically balances common and instance-specific dependency modeling in both temporal and channel dimensions. At its core is Adaptive Stationary-Nonstationary Attention (ASNA), which captures common dependencies from normalized sequences and specific dependencies from raw sequences, and adaptively fuses them according to instance-level non-stationarity. Built upon ASNA, SeesawNet alternates dedicated temporal and channel relationship modeling to jointly capture long-range and cross-variable dependencies. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world benchmarks demonstrate that SeesawNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

VMU-Diff: A Coarse-to-fine Multi-source Data Fusion Framework for Precipitation Nowcasting

Precipitation nowcasting is a vital spatio-temporal prediction task for meteorological applications but faces challenges due to the chaotic property of precipitation systems. Existing methods predominantly rely on single-source radar data to build either deterministic or probabilistic models for extrapolation. However, the single deterministic model suffers from blurring due to MSE convergence. The single probabilistic model, typically represented by diffusion models, can generate fine details but suffers from spurious artifacts that compromise accuracy and computational inefficiency. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel coarse-to-fine Vision Mamba Unet and residual Diffusion (VMU-Diff) based precipitation nowcasting framework. It realizes precipitation nowcasting through a two-stage process, i.e., a deterministic model-based coarse stage to predict global motion trends and a probabilistic model-based fine stage to generate fine prediction details. In the coarse prediction stage, rather than single-source radar data, both radar and multi-band satellite data are taken as input. A spatial-temporal attention block and several Vision mamba state-space blocks realize multi-source data fusion, and predict the future echo global dynamics. The fine-grained stage is realized by a spatio-temporal refine generator based on residual conditional diffusion models. It first obtains spatio-temporal residual features based on coarse prediction and ground truth, and further reconstructs the residual via conditional Mamba state-space module. Experiments on Jiangsu SWAN datasets demonstrate the improvements of our method over state-of-the-art methods, particularly in short-term forecasts.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

MambaRain: Multi-Scale Mamba-Attention Framework for 0-3 Hour Precipitation Nowcasting

Accurate precipitation nowcasting over extended horizons (0-3 hours) is essential for disaster mitigation and operational decision-making, yet remains a critical challenge in the field. Existing deterministic approaches are predominantly constrained to shorter prediction windows (0-2 hours), exhibiting severe performance degradation beyond 90 minutes owing to their inherent difficulty in capturing long-range spatiotemporal dependencies from radar-derived observations. To address these fundamental limitations, we propose MambaRain, a novel multi-scale encoder-decoder architecture that synergistically integrates Mamba's linear-complexity long-range temporal modeling with self-attention mechanisms for explicit spatial correlation capture. The core innovation lies in a hybrid design paradigm wherein Mamba blocks leverage selective state space mechanisms to model global temporal dynamics across extended sequences with computational efficiency, while self-attention modules explicitly characterize spatial correlations within precipitation fields - a capability inherently absent in Mamba's sequential processing paradigm. This complementary synergy enables comprehensive spatiotemporal representation learning, effectively extending the viable forecasting horizon to 2-3 hours with substantial accuracy improvements. Furthermore, we introduce a spectral loss formulation to mitigate blurring artifacts characteristic of chaotic precipitation systems, thereby preserving fine-scale motion details critical for nowcasting accuracy. Experimental validation demonstrates that MambaRain substantially outperforms existing deterministic methodologies in 0-3 hour nowcasting tasks, with particularly pronounced performance gains in the challenging 2-3 hour prediction range.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

FFAvatar: Few-Shot, Feed-Forward, and Generalizable Avatar Reconstruction

Avatar reconstruction has traditionally relied on per-subject optimization that requires hours of computation or on expensive preprocessing that limits scalability. We introduce FFAvatar, a generalizable feed-forward framework that reconstructs high-quality, animatable 3D Gaussian head avatars from few-shot unposed portrait images in seconds. FFAvatar fuses information from multiple source images into a unified canonical Gaussian representation through Multi-View Query-Former, which is animated via FLAME parameters predicted end-to-end directly from pixels, eliminating the overhead of offline FLAME extraction. We further propose a three-stage training curriculum that achieves both broad generalization and high-fidelity reconstruction: (i) scalable pretraining on extensive monocular video data with over 1M identities to learn strong generalizable priors; (ii) multi-view fine-tuning on a small but high-quality dataset of 360-degree captures to enhance geometric fidelity and extreme-view awareness; and (iii) optional personalization that adapts to specific identities for maximum fidelity within 500 optimization steps. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FFAvatar sets a new standard for identity preservation, geometric consistency, and animation fidelity. On the NeRSemble benchmark, it outperforms the state-of-the-art LAM by a substantial 5.5 PSNR gain. Furthermore, FFAvatar enables real-time deployment, reconstructing avatars in 2 seconds without personalization and 10 seconds with personalization, while supporting 49 FPS animation on a single NVIDIA A100 GPU.

cs.GR↗
arXiv2026

VIMCAN: Visual-Inertial 3D Human Pose Estimation with Hybrid Mamba-Cross-Attention Network

The rapid advances in deep learning have significantly enhanced the accuracy of multimodal 3D human pose estimation (HPE). However, the state-of-the-art (SOTA) HPE pipelines still rely on Transformers, whose quadratic complexity makes real-time processing for long sequences impractical. Mamba addresses this issue through selective state-space modeling, enabling efficient sequence processing without sacrificing representational power. Nevertheless, it struggles to capture complex spatial dependencies in multimodal settings. To bridge this gap, we propose VIMCAN, a hybrid architecture that combines the efficient sequence modeling of Mamba with the spatial reasoning of Cross-Attention, and performs robust visual-inertial fusion and human pose estimation between RGB keypoints and wearable IMU data. By leveraging Mamba's dynamic parameterization for temporal modeling and Attention for spatial dependency extraction, VIMCAN achieves superior accuracy, with mean per-joint position errors (MPJPE) of 17.2 mm on TotalCapture and 45.3 mm on 3DPW. VIMCAN outperforms prior Transformer-based and other SOTA approaches while supporting real-time inference at over 60 frames per second on consumer-grade hardware. The source code is available at \href{https://github.com/Eddieyzp/VIMCAN}{this GitHub repository}.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

PhishSigma++: Malicious Email Detection with Typed Entity Relations

Here is a further shortened version (pure text, no extra formatting, academic style preserved, no content change): Abstract. With the rise of AI-generated content (AIGC), phishing actors now possess richer linguistic capabilities and evasion techniques. Most existing detectors over-rely on mutable textual features, achieving high accuracy on clean data but degrading severely under text-focused adversarial manipulation. This mirrors the lab-to-real performance gap. We investigate invariant signals in phishing emails: even when attackers modify surface text, functional intent constrains relations among typed entities. Threat-actor tradecraft is described via high-level TTPs, but rule-based systems like Sigma express invariants only through manually curated, field-specific patterns, limiting flexibility. We introduce PhishSigma++, an entity-relation-based malicious email detector for RFC822 messages that generalizes Sigma's design. It extracts 40 typed entity classes, computes 5 cross-type relations to build a typed email graph, and uses particle swarm optimization (PSO) to select a sparse discriminative mask, supporting classification and type-level evidence summary. On 29,142 messages, PhishSigma++ achieves 0.9675 F1 on clean data and outperforms text-centric baselines under non-adaptive Good Word padding at \r{ho}=0.8. It maintains 0.9579 F1, while a token-based Bayesian filter collapses to 0.0243 and a DistilBERT phishing checkpoint falls to 0.7284. Compared with traditional Sigma rules, PhishSigma++ offers higher detection, broader relational invariance coverage, and data-driven feature selection. We also show that thresholded typed relation scores encode a useful fragment of Sigma-style field conditions, unifying hand-crafted rule logic and learned relation masks in a single-email framework.

cs.CR↗
arXiv2026

FORGE: Fragment-Oriented Ranking and Generation for Context-Aware Molecular Optimization

Molecular optimization seeks to improve a molecule through small structural edits while preserving similarity to the starting compound. Recent language-model approaches typically treat this task as prompt-conditioned sequence generation. However, relying on natural language introduces an inherent data-scaling bottleneck, often leads to chemical hallucinations, and ignores the strong context dependence of fragment effects. We present FORGE, a two-stage framework that reformulates molecular optimization as context-aware local editing. By utilizing automatically mined, verified low-to-high edit pairs instead of expensive human text annotations, Stage 1 ranks candidate fragments by their property contribution under the full molecular context to inject chemical prior, and Stage 2 generates explicit fragment replacements. Built on a compact 0.6B language model, FORGE further adapts to unseen black-box objectives through in-context demonstrations. Across Prompt-MolOpt, PMO-1k and ChemCoTBench, FORGE consistently outperforms prior methods, including substantially larger language models and graph methods. These results highlight the value of explicit fragment-level supervision as a more easily obtainable, scalable, and hallucination-less alternative to natural language training.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

QuantWeather: Quantile-Aware Probabilistic Forecasting for Subseasonal Precipitation

Subseasonal precipitation forecasting is inherently uncertain due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics, making reliable uncertainty estimation essential for real-world applications. Existing approaches typically represent uncertainty through ensemble forecasts rather than directly modeling predictive distributions. However, due to systematic model biases, raw ensemble outputs are often not well calibrated and cannot be directly interpreted as reliable uncertainty estimates. As a result, operational systems rely on post-hoc calibration based on reforecast datasets, which are computationally expensive to generate and maintain. To address these limitations, we propose QuantWeather, an end-to-end probabilistic forecasting framework with a dual-head design. The probabilistic and deterministic heads are supervised with separate objectives and optimized jointly. The framework further supports stochastic sampling, enabling probabilistic outputs even with a single stochastic forward pass and allowing optional multi-sample aggregation. Extensive experiments show that QuantWeather demonstrates superior probabilistic forecasting skill while substantially reducing inference-time computational and storage costs.

cs.CE↗
arXiv2026

SWIFT: Prompt-Adaptive Memory for Efficient Interactive Long Video Generation

Streaming long-video generation faces a central challenge in continuous semantic switching, requiring adaptive memory to preserve coherent visual evolution. Current approaches rely on cache rebuilding at prompt boundaries or fixed memory budgets, but they introduce redundant computation and limit flexible semantic adaptation. This limitation arises from a mismatch between cached video history and prompt updates, as memory preserves visual continuity while prompt switches demand rapid semantic adaptation. Motivated by this observation, we present SWIFT, Semantic Windowing and Injection for Flexible Transitions, a training-free framework for multi-prompt long-video generation that enables efficient semantic switching while preserving temporal coherence in causal video diffusion models. SWIFT introduces a lightweight Semantic Injection Cache that augments cached video memory rather than reconstructing it from scratch at every prompt boundary. To avoid uniformly perturbing all attention channels, we further perform head-wise semantic injection, so that each attention head receives a prompt update proportional to its alignment with the current video state. In addition, we introduce an Adaptive Dynamic Window that allocates temporal memory according to prompt phase, using larger local context near switching boundaries and smaller windows during stable segments to reduce average inference cost. To preserve long-range semantic consistency under compressed local attention, we further maintain segment-level semantic anchors that summarize prompt-conditioned video history and reintroduce it as compact memory tokens. Compared with current state-of-the-art methods, SWIFT preserves generation quality while achieving 22.6 FPS on a single H100 GPU, establishing a substantially more efficient solution for multi-prompt long-video generation. Our code is available at https://github.com/ShanwenTan/SWIFT.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

SynBench: A Benchmark for Differentially Private Text Generation

Synthetic text generation with Differential Privacy (DP) guarantees emerges as a principled approach that can enable the sharing of sensitive datasets across institutional and regulatory boundaries, while bounding the risks of re-identification and membership inference. LLM-based methods deliver promising results; however, comparisons are exacerbated by differing evaluation setups and "private" datasets, potential pre-training contamination is not considered and guarantees are not verified with DP audits. To advance this field, we introduce a unified evaluation framework with standardised utility and fidelity metrics and privacy audits, encompassing nine curated datasets that capture domain-specific complexities such as technical jargon, long-context dependencies, and specialised document structures. In a large-scale empirical study, we benchmark LLM-based state-of-the-art DP text generators of varying sizes (between 1--8B). Our results indicate that DP synthetic text generation remains an unsolved challenge, with quality deteriorating more as the private datasets deviate further from the generators' pre-training corpora. Our novel synthetic text membership inference attack (MIA) explains this observation: Synthetic data quality is overestimated when LLMs have been pre-trained -- without DP -- on portions of the "private" data to be generated. Finally, our work provides the first quantitative evidence that this "public pre-training and private generation" paradigm invalidates the guaranteed privacy bounds of real-world private datasets.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

AgenticSZZ: Temporal Knowledge Graph-Guided Agentic Bug-Inducing Commit Identification

Identifying Bug-Inducing Commits (BICs) is fundamental for understanding software defects and enabling downstream tasks such as defect prediction and automated program repair. Yet existing SZZ-based approaches rely on git blame, restricting the search space to commits that directly modified the fixed lines. Our preliminary study on 2,102 validated bug-fixing commits reveals this limitation is significant: 28% of BICs require traversing commit history beyond blame results and 14% are blameless. We present AgenticSZZ, the first approach to apply Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) to software evolution analysis. AgenticSZZ reframes BIC identification from ranking blame commits into a graph search problem, where temporal ordering is fundamental to causal reasoning about bug introduction. The approach operates in two phases: (1) constructing a TKG that encodes commits with temporal and structural relationships, expanding the search space by traversing file history backward from blame commits and the bug-fixing commit; and (2) leveraging an LLM agent to navigate the graph using specialized tools for candidate exploration and causal analysis. Evaluation on three datasets shows that AgenticSZZ achieves F1-scores of 0.47 to 0.79, with statistically significant F1 improvements over state-of-the-art by up to 34%. Ablation confirms that both components and context expansion each contribute: the TKG and agent form an exploration-exploitation synergy, while context expansion unlocks ancestor BIC discovery, yielding 60 additional true positives. A sensitivity analysis across five open-weight LLMs reveals that effective TKG navigation requires sufficiently capable models, and that the TKG architecture amplifies stronger LLMs, widening the advantage. By transforming BIC identification into graph search, we open a new direction for temporal and causal reasoning in software evolution analysis.

cs.SE↗
arXiv2026

AgentDyn: Are Your Agent Security Defenses Deployable in Real-World Dynamic Environments?

AI agents that autonomously interact with external tools and environments have shown great promise across real-world applications. However, their reliance on external data exposes them to serious indirect prompt injection attacks, where malicious instructions embedded in third-party content hijack agent behaviors. To mitigate this threat, a growing number of defenses have been proposed and evaluated under existing agent security benchmarks. These benchmarks provide structured environments for comparing attacks and defenses, and have become a key driver for defense design and optimization. However, as agents move toward more complex and open-ended real-world deployments, there is a pressing need for benchmarks to become more adaptive and better reflect the dynamic environments faced by real-world agentic systems. In this work, we reveal three fundamental flaws in the current benchmarks and push the frontier along these dimensions: (i) lack of dynamic open-ended tasks, (ii) lack of helpful instructions, and (iii) simplistic user tasks. To bridge this gap, we introduce AgentDyn, a manually designed benchmark featuring 60 challenging open-ended tasks and 560 injection test cases across Shopping, GitHub, and Daily Life. Unlike prior static benchmarks, AgentDyn requires dynamic planning and incorporates helpful third-party instructions. Our evaluation of ten state-of-the-art defenses suggests that almost all existing defenses are either not secure enough or suffer from significant over-defense, revealing that existing defenses are still far from real-world deployment. Our benchmark is available at https://github.com/leolee99/AgentDyn.

cs.CR↗
arXiv2026

On the Consistency of Covariant Light-Speed Variation in Doubly Special Relativity

Doubly special relativity (DSR) introduces an observer-independent energy scale while preserving a deformed relativistic notion of covariance. In many realizations, this leads to an energy-dependent speed of light (light-speed variation, LSV). We investigate the consistency of such observer-independent LSV through a thought experiment involving an inertial box emitting two photons in opposite directions. We first distinguish two classes of LSV scenarios: those with the standard velocity-composition law, and those with observer-independent speed-energy relations, as in DSR. Focusing on the latter, we perform a quantitative analysis within the DSR1 model based on the $κ$-Poincaré algebra. In the subluminal case ($\ell<0$), we derive a critical rapidity above which the boosted box overtakes its own photon, and show that this rapidity is physically attainable even after taking macroscopic effects into account. Within a standard particle interpretation, this leads to tensions in particle counting and inertial motion across frames. Unlike previously discussed issues in DSR, this effect does not appear to be resolvable by relative locality alone. Our results point to a structural tension among observer-independent LSV, relativistic covariance, and standard notions of particle propagation in DSR frameworks.

hep-ph↗
arXiv2026

Towards Generative Location Awareness for Disaster Response: A Probabilistic Cross-view Geolocalization Approach

As Earth's climate changes, it is impacting disasters and extreme weather events across the planet. Record-breaking heat waves, drenching rainfalls, extreme wildfires, and widespread flooding during hurricanes are all becoming more frequent and more intense. Rapid and efficient response to disaster events is essential for climate resilience and sustainability. A key challenge in disaster response is to accurately and quickly identify disaster locations to support decision-making and resources allocation. In this paper, we propose a Probabilistic Cross-view Geolocalization approach, called ProbGLC, exploring new pathways towards generative location awareness for rapid disaster response. Herein, we combine probabilistic and deterministic geolocalization models into a unified framework to simultaneously enhance model explainability (via uncertainty quantification) and achieve state-of-the-art geolocalization performance. Designed for rapid diaster response, the ProbGLC is able to address cross-view geolocalization across multiple disaster events as well as to offer unique features of probabilistic distribution and localizability score. To evaluate the ProbGLC, we conduct extensive experiments on two cross-view disaster datasets (i.e., MultiIAN and SAGAINDisaster), consisting diverse cross-view imagery pairs of multiple disaster types (e.g., hurricanes, wildfires, floods, to tornadoes). Preliminary results confirms the superior geolocalization accuracy (i.e., 0.86 in Acc@1km and 0.97 in Acc@25km) and model explainability (i.e., via probabilistic distributions and localizability scores) of the proposed ProbGLC approach, highlighting the great potential of leveraging generative cross-view approach to facilitate location awareness for better and faster disaster response. The data and code is publicly available at https://github.com/bobleegogogo/ProbGLC

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Robo3R: Enhancing Robotic Manipulation with Accurate Feed-Forward 3D Reconstruction

3D spatial perception is fundamental to generalizable robotic manipulation, yet obtaining reliable, high-quality 3D geometry remains challenging. Depth sensors suffer from noise and material sensitivity, while existing reconstruction models lack the precision and metric consistency required for physical interaction. We introduce Robo3R, a feed-forward, manipulation-ready 3D reconstruction model that predicts accurate, metric-scale scene geometry directly from RGB images and robot states in real time. Robo3R jointly infers scale-invariant local geometry and relative camera poses, which are unified into the scene representation in the canonical robot frame via a learned global similarity transformation. To meet the precision demands of manipulation, Robo3R employs a masked point head for sharp, fine-grained point clouds, and a keypoint-based Perspective-n-Point (PnP) formulation to refine camera extrinsics and global alignment. Trained on Robo3R-4M, a curated large-scale synthetic dataset with four million high-fidelity annotated frames, Robo3R consistently outperforms state-of-the-art reconstruction methods and depth sensors. Across downstream tasks including imitation learning, sim-to-real transfer, grasp synthesis, and collision-free motion planning, we observe consistent gains in performance, suggesting the promise of this alternative 3D sensing module for robotic manipulation.

cs.RO↗
arXiv2026

Unbox Responsible GeoAI: Navigating Climate Extreme and Disaster Mapping

As climate extreme and disaster events become more frequent and intense, Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) has emerged as a transformative approach for large-scale disaster mapping and risk reduction. However, the purely mechanical, performance-driven deployment of GeoAI models can result in amplifying inherent spatial inequalities, preventing effective emergency decision-making, and producing severe environmental carbon footprint. To unbox the concept of responsible GeoAI, this position paper examines its emerging role, e.g., in climate extreme and disaster mapping, from a critical GIS perspective. We address the nexus of responsible GeoAI into four interrelated theoretical dimensions, specifically Representativeness, Explainability, Sustainability, and Ethics, with examples from climate extreme and disaster mapping. Moreover, targeting at the operational practice, we then propose a conceptual governance Model of responsible GeoAI that categorizes its governance practices into Data, Application, and Society scopes. Last, this position paper aims to raise the attention in the broader GIS community that the future of climate resilience relies not just on building better algorithms, but on fostering a governance ecosystem where GeoAI is deployed responsibly, ethically, and sustainably.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2026

Multimode grating couplers via foundry-compliant inverse design

We apply a systematic inverse design approach to discover foundry-compliant, multilayer grating couplers that can efficiently couple a number of independent waves from free space to on-chip propagating modes. For visible- and near-infrared couplers, we find that minimum feature sizes are by far the most important constraint to tailor the design algorithms around. If, additionally, one forces the optimization to be robust to over- and under-etch errors, the resulting designs exhibit stable optimal efficiencies in the presence of other imperfections (critical dimension variations, overlay mismatch, and sidewall angle variation). The foundry-compliant designs exhibit moderate efficiency penalties as feature sizes increase, but no change to simple underlying scaling laws with respect to requisite numbers of layers and layer thicknesses. These results establish a practical, generalizable framework for high-efficiency multimode coupling within the constraints of modern semiconductor foundries.

physics.optics↗
arXiv2026

Many-mode grating couplers by avoiding undesired couplings

To couple many independent modes from free space to on chip, the key challenge is not enhancing the many necessary coupling rates (scattering-matrix elements) between targeted mode pairs. Instead, the key is to avoid additional cross-couplings to undesired modes, due to the presence of multiple simultaneously satisfied phase-matching conditions. With this principle, we identify scaling laws for the maximum number of high-efficiency multi-mode couplings that may be achievable for a given refractive index and design region, which are strongly supported by extensive numerical inverse-design experiments in 2D (one-dimensional coupler patterns, scattering in 2D). For such couplers, typical mode counts of 5--10 appear achievable. Three-dimensional couplers (patterned across two dimensions) can be markedly better, with tens of Fourier components in a single-layer device offering the possibility of high-efficiency coupling of hundreds to thousands of modes in relatively compact form factors. Numerical simulations of such a device, without any parameter optimization, predict efficiencies on the order of 5\% for 100 modes -- a collective order-of-magnitude improvement over previous designs.

physics.optics↗