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Haolei Weng

Publications and source records attributed to Haolei Weng.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

StaRQR-K: False Discovery Rate Controlled Regional Quantile Regression

Quantifying how genomic features influence different parts of an outcome distribution requires statistical tools that go beyond mean regression, especially in ultrahigh-dimensional settings. Motivated by the study of LINE-1 activity in cancer, we propose StaRQR-K, a stabilized regional quantile regression framework with model-X knockoffs for false discovery rate control. StaRQR-K identifies CpG sites whose methylation levels are associated with specific quantile regions of an outcome, allowing detection of heterogeneous and tail-sensitive effects. The method combines an efficient regional quantile sure independence screening procedure with a winsorizing-based model-X knockoff filter, providing false discovery rate (FDR) control for regional quantile regression. Simulation studies show that StaRQR-K achieves valid FDR control and substantially higher power than existing approaches. In an application to The Cancer Genome Atlas head and neck cancer cohort, StaRQR-K reveals quantile-region-specific associations between CpG methylation and LINE-1 activity that improve out-of-sample prediction and highlight genomic regions with known functional relevance.

stat.ME

Transfer Learning for Matrix Completion

In this paper, we explore the knowledge transfer under the setting of matrix completion, which aims to enhance the estimation of a low-rank target matrix with auxiliary data available. We propose a transfer learning procedure given prior information on which source datasets are favorable. We study its convergence rates and prove its minimax optimality. Our analysis reveals that with the source matrices close enough to the target matrix, out method outperforms the traditional method using the single target data. In particular, we leverage the advanced sharp concentration inequalities introduced in \cite{brailovskaya2024universality} to eliminate a logarithmic factor in the convergence rate, which is crucial for proving the minimax optimality. When the relevance of source datasets is unknown, we develop an efficient detection procedure to identify informative sources and establish its selection consistency. Simulations and real data analysis are conducted to support the validity of our methodology.

stat.ML

Signal-to-noise ratio aware minimax analysis of sparse linear regression

We consider parameter estimation under sparse linear regression -- an extensively studied problem in high-dimensional statistics and compressed sensing. While the minimax framework has been one of the most fundamental approaches for studying statistical optimality in this problem, we identify two important issues that the existing minimax analyses face: (i) The signal-to-noise ratio appears to have no effect on the minimax optimality, while it shows a major impact in numerical simulations. (ii) Estimators such as best subset selection and Lasso are shown to be minimax optimal, yet they exhibit significantly different performances in simulations. In this paper, we tackle the two issues by employing a minimax framework that accounts for variations in the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), termed the SNR-aware minimax framework. We adopt a delicate higher-order asymptotic analysis technique to obtain the SNR-aware minimax risk. Our theoretical findings determine three distinct SNR regimes: low-SNR, medium-SNR, and high-SNR, wherein minimax optimal estimators exhibit markedly different behaviors. The new theory not only offers much better elaborations for empirical results, but also brings new insights to the estimation of sparse signals in noisy data.

math.ST

Sharp Bounds for Multiple Models in Matrix Completion

In this paper, we demonstrate how a class of advanced matrix concentration inequalities, introduced in \cite{brailovskaya2024universality}, can be used to eliminate the dimensional factor in the convergence rate of matrix completion. This dimensional factor represents a significant gap between the upper bound and the minimax lower bound, especially in high dimension. Through a more precise spectral norm analysis, we remove the dimensional factors for three popular matrix completion estimators, thereby establishing their minimax rate optimality.

math.ST

High-dimensional partial linear model with trend filtering

Understanding the links between diet, metabolic changes, and health outcomes is a key focus in nutritional science and broader biological research. Analyzing relationships, such as those between ultra-processed food (UPF) intake and metabolites, offers insights into potential biomarkers for diet-related diseases and public health applications. However, these analyses are challenging due to high-dimensional data structures and complex, often nonlinear associations between covariates and health outcomes. Traditional linear models and conventional nonparametric methods often lack the flexibility to accurately capture such complexities in biological data. To address these challenges, we propose a high-dimensional partial linear regression model that captures both linear and nonlinear effects, combining the interpretability of linear models with the adaptability of nonparametric approaches. Our model leverages trend filtering to handle local smoothness variations effectively and achieves minimax optimal rates, making it suitable for complex biological datasets. We apply this model to data from the Interactive Diet and Activity Tracking in AARP (IDATA) Study, demonstrating its utility in identifying biomarkers associated with UPF intake and illustrating its potential for broader applications in dietary, metabolic, and health-related research.

stat.ME

A note on the minimax risk of sparse linear regression

Sparse linear regression is one of the classical and extensively studied problems in high-dimensional statistics and compressed sensing. Despite the substantial body of literature dedicated to this problem, the precise determination of its minimax risk remains elusive. This paper aims to fill this gap by deriving asymptotically constant-sharp characterization for the minimax risk of sparse linear regression. More specifically, the paper focuses on scenarios where the sparsity level, denoted as k, satisfies the condition $(k \log p)/n {\to} 0$, with p and n representing the number of features and observations respectively. We establish that the minimax risk under isotropic Gaussian random design is asymptotically equal to $2{\sigma}^2k/n log(p/k)$, where ${\sigma}$ denotes the standard deviation of the noise. In addition to this result, we will summarize the existing results in the literature, and mention some of the fundamental problems that have still remained open.

math.ST

Variable Selection in Ultra-high Dimensional Feature Space for the Cox Model with Interval-Censored Data

We develop a set of variable selection methods for the Cox model under interval censoring, in the ultra-high dimensional setting where the dimensionality can grow exponentially with the sample size. The methods select covariates via a penalized nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation with some popular penalty functions, including lasso, adaptive lasso, SCAD, and MCP. We prove that our penalized variable selection methods with folded concave penalties or adaptive lasso penalty enjoy the oracle property. Extensive numerical experiments show that the proposed methods have satisfactory empirical performance under various scenarios. The utility of the methods is illustrated through an application to a genome-wide association study of age to early childhood caries.

stat.ME

Post-Selection Inference for the Cox Model with Interval-Censored Data

We develop a post-selection inference method for the Cox proportional hazards model with interval-censored data, which provides asymptotically valid p-values and confidence intervals conditional on the model selected by lasso. The method is based on a pivotal quantity that is shown to converge to a uniform distribution under local alternatives. The proof can be adapted to many other regression models, which is illustrated by the extension to generalized linear models and the Cox model with right-censored data. Our method involves estimation of the efficient information matrix, for which several approaches are proposed with proof of their consistency. Thorough simulation studies show that our method has satisfactory performance in samples of modest sizes. The utility of the method is illustrated via an application to an Alzheimer's disease study.

stat.ME

Signal-to-noise ratio aware minimaxity and higher-order asymptotics

Since its development, the minimax framework has been one of the corner stones of theoretical statistics, and has contributed to the popularity of many well-known estimators, such as the regularized M-estimators for high-dimensional problems. In this paper, we will first show through the example of sparse Gaussian sequence model, that the theoretical results under the classical minimax framework are insufficient for explaining empirical observations. In particular, both hard and soft thresholding estimators are (asymptotically) minimax, however, in practice they often exhibit sub-optimal performances at various signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) levels. The first contribution of this paper is to demonstrate that this issue can be resolved if the signal-to-noise ratio is taken into account in the construction of the parameter space. We call the resulting minimax framework the signal-to-noise ratio aware minimaxity. The second contribution of this paper is to showcase how one can use higher-order asymptotics to obtain accurate approximations of the SNR-aware minimax risk and discover minimax estimators. The theoretical findings obtained from this refined minimax framework provide new insights and practical guidance for the estimation of sparse signals.

math.ST

Variable Selection in Latent Regression IRT Models via Knockoffs: An Application to International Large-scale Assessment in Education

International large-scale assessments (ILSAs) play an important role in educational research and policy making. They collect valuable data on education quality and performance development across many education systems, giving countries the opportunity to share techniques, organizational structures, and policies that have proven efficient and successful. To gain insights from ILSA data, we identify non-cognitive variables associated with students' academic performance. This problem has three analytical challenges: 1) academic performance is measured by cognitive items under a matrix sampling design; 2) there are many missing values in the non-cognitive variables; and 3) multiple comparisons due to a large number of non-cognitive variables. We consider an application to the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), aiming to identify non-cognitive variables associated with students' performance in science. We formulate it as a variable selection problem under a general latent variable model framework and further propose a knockoff method that conducts variable selection with a controlled error rate for false selections.

stat.ME

Towards the Theory of Unsupervised Federated Learning: Non-asymptotic Analysis of Federated EM Algorithms

While supervised federated learning approaches have enjoyed significant success, the domain of unsupervised federated learning remains relatively underexplored. Several federated EM algorithms have gained popularity in practice, however, their theoretical foundations are often lacking. In this paper, we first introduce a federated gradient EM algorithm (FedGrEM) designed for the unsupervised learning of mixture models, which supplements the existing federated EM algorithms by considering task heterogeneity and potential adversarial attacks. We present a comprehensive finite-sample theory that holds for general mixture models, then apply this general theory on specific statistical models to characterize the explicit estimation error of model parameters and mixture proportions. Our theory elucidates when and how FedGrEM outperforms local single-task learning with insights extending to existing federated EM algorithms. This bridges the gap between their practical success and theoretical understanding. Our numerical results validate our theory, and demonstrate FedGrEM's superiority over existing unsupervised federated learning benchmarks.

stat.ML

Spectral clustering via adaptive layer aggregation for multi-layer networks

One of the fundamental problems in network analysis is detecting community structure in multi-layer networks, of which each layer represents one type of edge information among the nodes. We propose integrative spectral clustering approaches based on effective convex layer aggregations. Our aggregation methods are strongly motivated by a delicate asymptotic analysis of the spectral embedding of weighted adjacency matrices and the downstream $k$-means clustering, in a challenging regime where community detection consistency is impossible. In fact, the methods are shown to estimate the optimal convex aggregation, which minimizes the mis-clustering error under some specialized multi-layer network models. Our analysis further suggests that clustering using Gaussian mixture models is generally superior to the commonly used $k$-means in spectral clustering. Extensive numerical studies demonstrate that our adaptive aggregation techniques, together with Gaussian mixture model clustering, make the new spectral clustering remarkably competitive compared to several popularly used methods.

stat.ML

Robust Unsupervised Multi-task and Transfer Learning on Gaussian Mixture Models

Unsupervised learning has been widely used in many real-world applications. One of the simplest and most important unsupervised learning models is the Gaussian mixture model (GMM). In this work, we study the multi-task learning problem on GMMs, which aims to leverage potentially similar GMM parameter structures among tasks to obtain improved learning performance compared to single-task learning. We propose a multi-task GMM learning procedure based on the EM algorithm that effectively utilizes unknown similarities between related tasks and is robust against a fraction of outlier tasks from arbitrary distributions. The proposed procedure is shown to achieve the minimax optimal rate of convergence for both parameter estimation error and the excess mis-clustering error, in a wide range of regimes. Moreover, we generalize our approach to tackle the problem of transfer learning for GMMs, where similar theoretical results are derived. Additionally, iterative unsupervised multi-task and transfer learning methods may suffer from an initialization alignment problem, and two alignment algorithms are proposed to resolve the issue. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods through simulations and real data examples. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work studying multi-task and transfer learning on GMMs with theoretical guarantees.

stat.ML

Does SLOPE outperform bridge regression?

A recently proposed SLOPE estimator (arXiv:1407.3824) has been shown to adaptively achieve the minimax $\ell_2$ estimation rate under high-dimensional sparse linear regression models (arXiv:1503.08393). Such minimax optimality holds in the regime where the sparsity level $k$, sample size $n$, and dimension $p$ satisfy $k/p \rightarrow 0$, $k\log p/n \rightarrow 0$. In this paper, we characterize the estimation error of SLOPE under the complementary regime where both $k$ and $n$ scale linearly with $p$, and provide new insights into the performance of SLOPE estimators. We first derive a concentration inequality for the finite sample mean square error (MSE) of SLOPE. The quantity that MSE concentrates around takes a complicated and implicit form. With delicate analysis of the quantity, we prove that among all SLOPE estimators, LASSO is optimal for estimating $k$-sparse parameter vectors that do not have tied non-zero components in the low noise scenario. On the other hand, in the large noise scenario, the family of SLOPE estimators are sub-optimal compared with bridge regression such as the Ridge estimator.

stat.ML

Optimal estimation of functionals of high-dimensional mean and covariance matrix

Motivated by portfolio allocation and linear discriminant analysis, we consider estimating a functional $\mathbfμ^T \mathbfΣ^{-1} \mathbfμ$ involving both the mean vector $\mathbfμ$ and covariance matrix $\mathbfΣ$. We study the minimax estimation of the functional in the high-dimensional setting where $\mathbfΣ^{-1} \mathbfμ$ is sparse. Akin to past works on functional estimation, we show that the optimal rate for estimating the functional undergoes a phase transition between regular parametric rate and some form of high-dimensional estimation rate. We further show that the optimal rate is attained by a carefully designed plug-in estimator based on de-biasing, while a family of naive plug-in estimators are proved to fall short. We further generalize the estimation problem and techniques that allow robust inputs of mean and covariance matrix estimators. Extensive numerical experiments lend further supports to our theoretical results.

math.ST

Which bridge estimator is optimal for variable selection?

We study the problem of variable selection for linear models under the high-dimensional asymptotic setting, where the number of observations $n$ grows at the same rate as the number of predictors $p$. We consider two-stage variable selection techniques (TVS) in which the first stage uses bridge estimators to obtain an estimate of the regression coefficients, and the second stage simply thresholds this estimate to select the "important" predictors. The asymptotic false discovery proportion (AFDP) and true positive proportion (ATPP) of these TVS are evaluated. We prove that for a fixed ATPP, in order to obtain a smaller AFDP, one should pick a bridge estimator with smaller asymptotic mean square error in the first stage of TVS. Based on such principled discovery, we present a sharp comparison of different TVS, via an in-depth investigation of the estimation properties of bridge estimators. Rather than "order-wise" error bounds with loose constants, our analysis focuses on precise error characterization. Various interesting signal-to-noise ratio and sparsity settings are studied. Our results offer new and thorough insights into high-dimensional variable selection. For instance, we prove that a TVS with Ridge in its first stage outperforms TVS with other bridge estimators in large noise settings; two-stage LASSO becomes inferior when the signal is rare and weak. As a by-product, we show that two-stage methods outperform some standard variable selection techniques, such as LASSO and Sure Independence Screening, under certain conditions.

math.ST

Matrix Completion with Nonconvex Regularization: Spectral Operators and Scalable Algorithms

In this paper, we study the popularly dubbed matrix completion problem, where the task is to "fill in" the unobserved entries of a matrix from a small subset of observed entries, under the assumption that the underlying matrix is of low-rank. Our contributions herein, enhance our prior work on nuclear norm regularized problems for matrix completion (Mazumder et al., 2010) by incorporating a continuum of nonconvex penalty functions between the convex nuclear norm and nonconvex rank functions. Inspired by SOFT-IMPUTE (Mazumder et al., 2010; Hastie et al., 2016), we propose NC-IMPUTE- an EM-flavored algorithmic framework for computing a family of nonconvex penalized matrix completion problems with warm-starts. We present a systematic study of the associated spectral thresholding operators, which play an important role in the overall algorithm. We study convergence properties of the algorithm. Using structured low-rank SVD computations, we demonstrate the computational scalability of our proposal for problems up to the Netflix size (approximately, a $500,000 \times 20, 000$ matrix with $10^8$ observed entries). We demonstrate that on a wide range of synthetic and real data instances, our proposed nonconvex regularization framework leads to low-rank solutions with better predictive performance when compared to those obtained from nuclear norm problems. Implementations of algorithms proposed herein, written in the R programming language, are made available on github.

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Computing the degrees of freedom of rank-regularized estimators and cousins

Estimating a low rank matrix from its linear measurements is a problem of central importance in contemporary statistical analysis. The choice of tuning parameters for estimators remains an important challenge from a theoretical and practical perspective. To this end, Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimate (SURE) framework provides a well-grounded statistical framework for degrees of freedom estimation. In this paper, we use the SURE framework to obtain degrees of freedom estimates for a general class of spectral regularized matrix estimators, generalizing beyond the class of estimators that have been studied thus far. To this end, we use a result due to Shapiro (2002) pertaining to the differentiability of symmetric matrix valued functions, developed in the context of semidefinite optimization algorithms. We rigorously verify the applicability of Stein's lemma towards the derivation of degrees of freedom estimates; and also present new techniques based on Gaussian convolution to estimate the degrees of freedom of a class of spectral estimators to which Stein's lemma is not directly applicable.

math.ST