arXiv subjects

Haotian Shi

Publications and source records attributed to Haotian Shi.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2024

FollowGen: A Scaled Noise Conditional Diffusion Model for Car-Following Trajectory Prediction

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). Although deep learning-based approaches - especially those utilizing transformer-based and generative models - have markedly improved prediction accuracy by capturing complex, non-linear patterns in vehicle dynamics and traffic interactions, they frequently overlook detailed car-following behaviors and the inter-vehicle interactions critical for real-world driving applications, particularly in fully autonomous or mixed traffic scenarios. To address the issue, this study introduces a scaled noise conditional diffusion model for car-following trajectory prediction, which integrates detailed inter-vehicular interactions and car-following dynamics into a generative framework, improving both the accuracy and plausibility of predicted trajectories. The model utilizes a novel pipeline to capture historical vehicle dynamics by scaling noise with encoded historical features within the diffusion process. Particularly, it employs a cross-attention-based transformer architecture to model intricate inter-vehicle dependencies, effectively guiding the denoising process and enhancing prediction accuracy. Experimental results on diverse real-world driving scenarios demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance and robustness of the proposed method.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

VLM-MPC: Vision Language Foundation Model (VLM)-Guided Model Predictive Controller (MPC) for Autonomous Driving

Motivated by the emergent reasoning capabilities of Vision Language Models (VLMs) and their potential to improve the comprehensibility of autonomous driving systems, this paper introduces a closed-loop autonomous driving controller called VLM-MPC, which combines the Model Predictive Controller (MPC) with VLM to evaluate how model-based control could enhance VLM decision-making. The proposed VLM-MPC is structured into two asynchronous components: The upper layer VLM generates driving parameters (e.g., desired speed, desired headway) for lower-level control based on front camera images, ego vehicle state, traffic environment conditions, and reference memory; The lower-level MPC controls the vehicle in real-time using these parameters, considering engine lag and providing state feedback to the entire system. Experiments based on the nuScenes dataset validated the effectiveness of the proposed VLM-MPC across various environments (e.g., night, rain, and intersections). The results demonstrate that the VLM-MPC consistently maintains Post Encroachment Time (PET) above safe thresholds, in contrast to some scenarios where the VLM-based control posed collision risks. Additionally, the VLM-MPC enhances smoothness compared to the real-world trajectories and VLM-based control. By comparing behaviors under different environmental settings, we highlight the VLM-MPC's capability to understand the environment and make reasoned inferences. Moreover, we validate the contributions of two key components, the reference memory and the environment encoder, to the stability of responses through ablation tests.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2024

Goal-based Neural Physics Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Model

Vehicle trajectory prediction plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and autonomous driving, as it significantly affects vehicle behavior planning and control, thereby influencing traffic safety and efficiency. Numerous studies have been conducted to predict short-term vehicle trajectories in the immediate future. However, long-term trajectory prediction remains a major challenge due to accumulated errors and uncertainties. Additionally, balancing accuracy with interpretability in the prediction is another challenging issue in predicting vehicle trajectory. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a Goal-based Neural Physics Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Model (GNP). The GNP model simplifies vehicle trajectory prediction into a two-stage process: determining the vehicle's goal and then choosing the appropriate trajectory to reach this goal. The GNP model contains two sub-modules to achieve this process. The first sub-module employs a multi-head attention mechanism to accurately predict goals. The second sub-module integrates a deep learning model with a physics-based social force model to progressively predict the complete trajectory using the generated goals. The GNP demonstrates state-of-the-art long-term prediction accuracy compared to four baseline models. We provide interpretable visualization results to highlight the multi-modality and inherent nature of our neural physics framework. Additionally, ablation studies are performed to validate the effectiveness of our key designs.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Physics Enhanced Residual Policy Learning (PERPL) for safety cruising in mixed traffic platooning under actuator and communication delay

Linear control models have gained extensive application in vehicle control due to their simplicity, ease of use, and support for stability analysis. However, these models lack adaptability to the changing environment and multi-objective settings. Reinforcement learning (RL) models, on the other hand, offer adaptability but suffer from a lack of interpretability and generalization capabilities. This paper aims to develop a family of RL-based controllers enhanced by physics-informed policies, leveraging the advantages of both physics-based models (data-efficient and interpretable) and RL methods (flexible to multiple objectives and fast computing). We propose the Physics-Enhanced Residual Policy Learning (PERPL) framework, where the physics component provides model interpretability and stability. The learning-based Residual Policy adjusts the physics-based policy to adapt to the changing environment, thereby refining the decisions of the physics model. We apply our proposed model to decentralized control to mixed traffic platoon of Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) and Human-driven Vehicles (HVs) using a constant time gap (CTG) strategy for cruising and incorporating actuator and communication delays. Experimental results demonstrate that our method achieves smaller headway errors and better oscillation dampening than linear models and RL alone in scenarios with artificially extreme conditions and real preceding vehicle trajectories. At the macroscopic level, overall traffic oscillations are also reduced as the penetration rate of CAVs employing the PERPL scheme increases.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2024

Analytical Optimized Traffic Flow Recovery for Large-scale Urban Transportation Network

The implementation of intelligent transportation systems (ITS) has enhanced data collection in urban transportation through advanced traffic sensing devices. However, the high costs associated with installation and maintenance result in sparse traffic data coverage. To obtain complete, accurate, and high-resolution network-wide traffic flow data, this study introduces the Analytical Optimized Recovery (AOR) approach that leverages abundant GPS speed data alongside sparse flow data to estimate traffic flow in large-scale urban networks. The method formulates a constrained optimization framework that utilizes a quadratic objective function with l2 norm regularization terms to address the traffic flow recovery problem effectively and incorporates a Lagrangian relaxation technique to maintain non-negativity constraints. The effectiveness of this approach was validated in a large urban network in Shenzhen's Futian District using the Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO) platform. Analytical results indicate that the method achieves low estimation errors, affirming its suitability for comprehensive traffic analysis in urban settings with limited sensor deployment.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Physically Analyzable AI-Based Nonlinear Platoon Dynamics Modeling During Traffic Oscillation: A Koopman Approach

Given the complexity and nonlinearity inherent in traffic dynamics within vehicular platoons, there exists a critical need for a modeling methodology with high accuracy while concurrently achieving physical analyzability. Currently, there are two predominant approaches: the physics model-based approach and the Artificial Intelligence (AI)--based approach. Knowing the facts that the physical-based model usually lacks sufficient modeling accuracy and potential function mismatches and the pure-AI-based method lacks analyzability, this paper innovatively proposes an AI-based Koopman approach to model the unknown nonlinear platoon dynamics harnessing the power of AI and simultaneously maintain physical analyzability, with a particular focus on periods of traffic oscillation. Specifically, this research first employs a deep learning framework to generate the embedding function that lifts the original space into the embedding space. Given the embedding space descriptiveness, the platoon dynamics can be expressed as a linear dynamical system founded by the Koopman theory. Based on that, the routine of linear dynamical system analysis can be conducted on the learned traffic linear dynamics in the embedding space. By that, the physical interpretability and analyzability of model-based methods with the heightened precision inherent in data-driven approaches can be synergized. Comparative experiments have been conducted with existing modeling approaches, which suggests our method's superiority in accuracy. Additionally, a phase plane analysis is performed, further evidencing our approach's effectiveness in replicating the complex dynamic patterns. Moreover, the proposed methodology is proven to feature the capability of analyzing the stability, attesting to the physical analyzability.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Crossfusor: A Cross-Attention Transformer Enhanced Conditional Diffusion Model for Car-Following Trajectory Prediction

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), enhancing road safety and traffic efficiency. While traditional methods have laid foundational work, modern deep learning techniques, particularly transformer-based models and generative approaches, have significantly improved prediction accuracy by capturing complex and non-linear patterns in vehicle motion and traffic interactions. However, these models often overlook the detailed car-following behaviors and inter-vehicle interactions essential for real-world driving scenarios. This study introduces a Cross-Attention Transformer Enhanced Conditional Diffusion Model (Crossfusor) specifically designed for car-following trajectory prediction. Crossfusor integrates detailed inter-vehicular interactions and car-following dynamics into a robust diffusion framework, improving both the accuracy and realism of predicted trajectories. The model leverages a novel temporal feature encoding framework combining GRU, location-based attention mechanisms, and Fourier embedding to capture historical vehicle dynamics. It employs noise scaled by these encoded historical features in the forward diffusion process, and uses a cross-attention transformer to model intricate inter-vehicle dependencies in the reverse denoising process. Experimental results on the NGSIM dataset demonstrate that Crossfusor outperforms state-of-the-art models, particularly in long-term predictions, showcasing its potential for enhancing the predictive capabilities of autonomous driving systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

The expressway network design problem for multiple urban subregions based on the macroscopic fundamental diagram

As urbanization advances, cities are expanding, leading to a more decentralized urban structure and longer average commuting durations. The construction of an urban expressway system emerges as a critical strategy to tackle this challenge. However, the traditional link-level network design method faces modeling and solution challenges when dealing with the large-scale expressway network design problem (ENDP). To address the challenges, this paper proposes an expressway network design method for multiple urban subregions based on the macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD). Initially, a mixed road network traffic model that describes traffic dynamics of multiple subregions and candidate expressways is developed by integrating the MFD and the cell transmission model (CTM). Then, treating urban subregions and candidate expressways as route nodes in the mixed road network, a route choice model is established based on stochastic user equilibrium. Finally, a decision model for ENDP is proposed to minimize vehicle travel time under the construction budget constraint. The impact of financial investment and traffic demand on expressway network design schemes in the case study is explored separately. The simulation results indicate that during the initial stages of expressway planning, the construction of new expressways can significantly alleviate traffic congestion. However, as the expressway network expands further, the effectiveness of improving traffic conditions through new expressway construction gradually diminishes if traffic demand does not continue to increase. Additionally, variations in traffic demand between subregions result in different construction schemes, emphasizing the importance of adjusting budget allocations based on specific traffic demands.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Cooperative Route Guidance and Flow Control for Mixed Road Networks Comprising Expressway and Arterial Network

Facing the congestion challenges of mixed road networks comprising expressways and arterial road networks, traditional control solutions fall short. To effectively alleviate traffic congestion in mixed road networks, it is crucial to clear the interaction between expressways and arterial networks and achieve orderly coordination between them. This study employs the multi-class cell transmission model (CTM) combined with the macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) to model the traffic dynamics of expressway systems and arterial subregions, enabling vehicle path tracking across these two systems. Consequently, a comprehensive traffic transmission model suitable for mixed road networks has been integrated. Utilizing the SUMO software, a simulation platform for the mixed road network is established, and the average trip lengths within the model have been calibrated. Based on the proposed traffic model, this study constructs a route guidance model for mixed road networks and develops an integrated model predictive control (MPC) strategy that merges route guidance, perimeter control, and ramp metering to address the challenges of mixed road networks' traffic flow control. A case study of a scenario in which a bidirectional expressway connects two subregions is conducted, and the results validate the effectiveness of the proposed cooperative guidance and control (CGC) method in reducing overall congestion in mixed road networks.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Beacon-enabled TDMA Ultraviolet Communication Network System Design and Realization

Nonline of sight (NLOS) ultraviolet (UV) scattering communication can serve as a good candidate for outdoor optical wireless communication (OWC) in the cases of non-perfect transmitter-receiver alignment and radio silence. We design and demonstrate a NLOS UV scattering communication network system in this paper, where a beacon-enabled time division multiple access (TDMA) scheme is adopted. In our system, LED and PMT are employed for transmitter and receiver devices, repectivey. Furthermore, we design algorithms for beacon transmission, beacon reception, time compensation, and time slot transition for hardware realization in field-programmable gate array (FPGA) board based on master-slave structure, where master node periodically transmits beacon signals to slave nodes. Experimental results are provided to evaluate the time synchronization error and specify the system key parameters for real-time implementation. We perform field tests for real-time communication network with the transmission range over 110 multiplied by 90 square meters, where the system throughput reaches 800kbps.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

A Physics Enhanced Residual Learning (PERL) Framework for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

In vehicle trajectory prediction, physics models and data-driven models are two predominant methodologies. However, each approach presents its own set of challenges: physics models fall short in predictability, while data-driven models lack interpretability. Addressing these identified shortcomings, this paper proposes a novel framework, the Physics-Enhanced Residual Learning (PERL) model. PERL integrates the strengths of physics-based and data-driven methods for traffic state prediction. PERL contains a physics model and a residual learning model. Its prediction is the sum of the physics model result and a predicted residual as a correction to it. It preserves the interpretability inherent to physics-based models and has reduced data requirements compared to data-driven methods. Experiments were conducted using a real-world vehicle trajectory dataset. We proposed a PERL model, with the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM) as its physics car-following model and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) as its residual learning model. We compare this PERL model with the physics car-following model, data-driven model, and other physics-informed neural network (PINN) models. The result reveals that PERL achieves better prediction with a small dataset, compared to the physics model, data-driven model, and PINN model. Second, the PERL model showed faster convergence during training, offering comparable performance with fewer training samples than the data-driven model and PINN model. Sensitivity analysis also proves comparable performance of PERL using another residual learning model and a physics car-following model.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Online Physical Enhanced Residual Learning for Connected Autonomous Vehicles Platoon Centralized Control

This paper introduces an online physical enhanced residual learning (PERL) framework for Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) platoon, aimed at addressing the challenges posed by the dynamic and unpredictable nature of traffic environments. The proposed framework synergistically combines a physical model, represented by Model Predictive Control (MPC), with data-driven online Q-learning. The MPC controller, enhanced for centralized CAV platoons, employs vehicle velocity as a control input and focuses on multi-objective cooperative optimization. The learning-based residual controller enriches the MPC with prior knowledge and corrects residuals caused by traffic disturbances. The PERL framework not only retains the interpretability and transparency of physics-based models but also significantly improves computational efficiency and control accuracy in real-world scenarios. The experimental results present that the online Q-learning PERL controller, in comparison to the MPC controller and PERL controller with a neural network, exhibits significantly reduced position and velocity errors. Specifically, the PERL's cumulative absolute position and velocity errors are, on average, 86.73% and 55.28% lower than the MPC's, and 12.82% and 18.83% lower than the neural network-based PERL's, in four tests with different reference trajectories and errors. The results demonstrate our advanced framework's superior accuracy and quick convergence capabilities, proving its effectiveness in maintaining platoon stability under diverse conditions.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2023

Bi-scale Car-following Model Calibration for Corridor Based on Trajectory

The precise estimation of macroscopic traffic parameters, such as travel time and fuel consumption, is essential for the optimization of traffic management systems. Despite its importance, the comprehensive acquisition of vehicle trajectory data for the calculation of these macroscopic measures presents a challenge. To bridge this gap, this study aims to calibrate car-following models capable of predicting both microscopic measures and macroscopic measures. We conduct a numerical analysis to trace the cumulative process of model prediction errors across various measurements, and our findings indicate that macroscopic measures encapsulate the accumulation of model errors. By incorporating macroscopic measures into vehicle model calibration, we can mitigate the impact of noise on microscopic data measurements. We compare three car-following model calibration methods: MiC (using microscopic measurements), MaC (using macroscopic measurements), and BiC (using both microscopic and macroscopic measurements): utilizing real-world trajectory data. The BiC method emerges as the most successful in reconstructing vehicle trajectories and accurately estimating travel time and fuel consumption, whereas the MiC method leads to overfitting and inaccurate macro-measurement predictions. This study underscores the importance of bi-scale calibration for precise traffic and energy consumption predictions, laying the groundwork for future research aimed at enhancing traffic management strategies.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

Optimizing Bus Travel: A Novel Approach to Feature Mining with P-KMEANS and P-LDA Algorithms

Customizing services for bus travel can bolster its attractiveness, optimize usage, alleviate traffic congestion, and diminish carbon emissions. This potential is realized by harnessing recent advancements in positioning communication facilities, the Internet of Things, and artificial intelligence for feature mining in public transportation. However, the inherent complexities of disorganized and unstructured public transportation data introduce substantial challenges to travel feature extraction. This study presents a bus travel feature extraction method rooted in Point of Interest (POI) data, employing enhanced P-KMENAS and P-LDA algorithms to overcome these limitations. While the KMEANS algorithm adeptly segments passenger travel paths into distinct clusters, its outcomes can be influenced by the initial K value. On the other hand, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) excels at feature identification and probabilistic interpretations yet encounters difficulties with feature intermingling and nuanced sub-feature interactions. Incorporating the POI dimension enhances our understanding of travel behavior, aligning it more closely with passenger attributes and facilitating easier data analysis. By incorporating POI data, our refined P-KMENAS and P-LDA algorithms grant a holistic insight into travel behaviors and attributes, effectively mitigating the limitations above. Consequently, this POI-centric algorithm effectively amalgamates diverse POI attributes, delineates varied travel contexts, and imparts probabilistic metrics to feature properties. Our method successfully mines the diverse aspects of bus travel, such as age, occupation, gender, sports, cost, safety, and personality traits. It effectively calculates relationships between individual travel behaviors and assigns explanatory and evaluative probabilities to POI labels, thereby enhancing bus travel optimization.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Graph-Based Interaction-Aware Multimodal 2D Vehicle Trajectory Prediction using Diffusion Graph Convolutional Networks

Predicting vehicle trajectories is crucial for ensuring automated vehicle operation efficiency and safety, particularly on congested multi-lane highways. In such dynamic environments, a vehicle's motion is determined by its historical behaviors as well as interactions with surrounding vehicles. These intricate interactions arise from unpredictable motion patterns, leading to a wide range of driving behaviors that warrant in-depth investigation. This study presents the Graph-based Interaction-aware Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction (GIMTP) framework, designed to probabilistically predict future vehicle trajectories by effectively capturing these interactions. Within this framework, vehicles' motions are conceptualized as nodes in a time-varying graph, and the traffic interactions are represented by a dynamic adjacency matrix. To holistically capture both spatial and temporal dependencies embedded in this dynamic adjacency matrix, the methodology incorporates the Diffusion Graph Convolutional Network (DGCN), thereby providing a graph embedding of both historical states and future states. Furthermore, we employ a driving intention-specific feature fusion, enabling the adaptive integration of historical and future embeddings for enhanced intention recognition and trajectory prediction. This model gives two-dimensional predictions for each mode of longitudinal and lateral driving behaviors and offers probabilistic future paths with corresponding probabilities, addressing the challenges of complex vehicle interactions and multi-modality of driving behaviors. Validation using real-world trajectory datasets demonstrates the efficiency and potential.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Developing a Conceptual Tribal Crash Safety Dashboard: Data-Driven Strategies for Identifying High-Risk Areas and Enhancing Tribal Safety Programs

Tribal lands in the United States have consistently exhibited higher crash rates and injury severities compared to other regions. To address this issue, effective data-driven safety analysis methods are essential for resource allocation and tribal safety program development. This study outlines the minimum data requirements and presents a generic tribal crash dashboard prototype to enable feasible and reproducible tribal crash analysis. The dashboard offers statistical performance measurement techniques, tracks tribal safety trends using various indicators, and updates in with incoming data, making it adaptable for any state. Specifically, the dashboard's capabilities are showcased using Wisconsin tribal crash data, locating high-risk tribal land areas while analyzing and comparing statewide crashes and tribal crashes based on severity. The results reveal that tribal land roads, particularly rural ones, are more dangerous than those in other Wisconsin areas. The dashboard also examines crash types to uncover the causes and insights behind Wisconsin tribal crashes. Demonstrating this dashboard concept reveals its potential to facilitate a more intuitive understanding of tribal crashes from a statistical standpoint, thereby enabling more effective applications of available data sources and the development of targeted safety countermeasures.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

A Robust Integrated Multi-Strategy Bus Control System via Deep Reinforcement Learning

An efficient urban bus control system has the potential to significantly reduce travel delays and streamline the allocation of transportation resources, thereby offering enhanced and user-friendly transit services to passengers. However, bus operation efficiency can be impacted by bus bunching. This problem is notably exacerbated when the bus system operates along a signalized corridor with unpredictable travel demand. To mitigate this challenge, we introduce a multi-strategy fusion approach for the longitudinal control of connected and automated buses. The approach is driven by a physics-informed deep reinforcement learning (DRL) algorithm and takes into account a variety of traffic conditions along urban signalized corridors. Taking advantage of connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV) technology, the proposed approach can leverage real-time information regarding bus operating conditions and road traffic environment. By integrating the aforementioned information into the DRL-based bus control framework, our designed physics-informed DRL state fusion approach and reward function efficiently embed prior physics and leverage the merits of equilibrium and consensus concepts from control theory. This integration enables the framework to learn and adapt multiple control strategies to effectively manage complex traffic conditions and fluctuating passenger demands. Three control variables, i.e., dwell time at stops, speed between stations, and signal priority, are formulated to minimize travel duration and ensure bus stability with the aim of avoiding bus bunching. We present simulation results to validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, underlining its superior performance when subjected to sensitivity analysis, specifically considering factors such as traffic volume, desired speed, and traffic signal conditions.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

A Driving Risk Surrogate and Its Application in Car-Following Scenario at Expressway

Traffic safety is important in reducing death and building a harmonious society. In addition to studies of accident incidences, the perception of driving risk is significant in guiding the implementation of appropriate driving countermeasures. Risk assessment can be conducted in real-time for traffic safety due to the rapid development of communication technology and computing capabilities. This paper aims at the problems of difficult calibration and inconsistent thresholds in the existing risk assessment methods. It proposes a risk assessment model based on the potential field to quantify the driving risk of vehicles. Firstly, virtual energy is proposed as an attribute considering vehicle sizes and velocity. Secondly, the driving risk surrogate(DRS) is proposed based on potential field theory to describe the risk degree of vehicles. Risk factors are quantified by establishing submodels, including an interactive vehicle risk surrogate, a restrictions risk surrogate, and a speed risk surrogate. To unify the risk threshold, acceleration for implementation guidance is derived from the risk field strength. Finally, a naturalistic driving dataset in Nanjing, China, is selected, and 3063 pairs of following naturalistic trajectories are screened out. Based on that, the proposed model and other models use for comparisons are calibrated through the improved particle optimization algorithm. Simulations prove that the proposed model performs better than other algorithms in risk perception and response, car-following trajectory, and velocity estimation. In addition, the proposed model exhibits better car-following ability than existing car-following models.

math.NA↗