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Haoxian Chen

Publications and source records attributed to Haoxian Chen.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

Sequential Probabilistic Uncertainty Estimation for Parallel Multi-Agent Reasoning Systems

LLM-based multi-agent systems (MAS) have attracted growing attention for improving reasoning through interaction among multiple agents. In this work, we focus on parallel multi-agent reasoning systems, where several agents solve the same problem over multiple rounds and aggregate their outputs into a final answer. Despite their strong reasoning performance, uncertainty estimation for such systems remains underexplored: the reliability of a MAS depends not only on individual generations, but also on how agents interact and evolve across rounds. We propose SAUCE (Sequential Agent Uncertainty through Consensus Evolution), a lightweight, training-free uncertainty estimator that formulates MAS uncertainty as sequential inference over a latent system-level belief. SAUCE aggregates round-level agreement and generation-uncertainty signals through a filtering-style update. Across five backbones, five benchmarks, and two MAS protocols, SAUCE improves misclassification detection, selective prediction, and calibration over a broad set of uncertainty estimation baselines, including standard log-likelihood-based methods and MAS-specific estimators.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

CoWindow Attention: Full Causal Coverage Is a Collective Property

FullAttn repeatedly exposes the complete causal history to every attention head, creating substantial redundant computation and memory traffic even with IO-efficient dense kernels. We introduce CoWA, a structured attention architecture that distributes access to the causal history across KV heads. All heads share near-diagonal and prefix-sink windows, while complementary long-range windows partition the remaining history. Their union provides full causal coverage although each head attends sparsely to distant tokens. This position-defined attention pattern requires no learned router or indexer, is used consistently during training and inference, and aligns with KV-head tensor parallelism. A window-matched ablation at 8K isolates the effect of complementary long-range allocation: CoWA with 100% collective coverage reaches 89.73% accuracy, compared with 89.97% for FullAttn, while duplicated long-range windows perform substantially worse. Across a broader controlled associative-recall comparison with matched token budgets, CoWA closely tracks FullAttn as the context grows, whereas other sparse patterns lose a substantial fraction of the associations. In an attention-operator benchmark at 128K tokens with tensor parallelism, CoWA reduces forward and backward latency during training by 7.4x and 8.6x and decoding latency during inference by 3.0x over FullAttn. Its per-rank peak operator memory matches FullAttn during training and is 7.6x lower during decoding. Across scaling-law training from 0.6B to 14B parameters, CoWA closely tracks FullAttn in perplexity while reducing total training FLOPs. The resulting 14B models and 32B models from separate continued training achieve comparable knowledge, reasoning, and long-context retrieval scores to FullAttn. These results show that full causal coverage can be a collective property of the head ensemble rather than a duplicated property of every head.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

MassAlloc Attention: Let Attention Allocate Its Own Compute

FullAttn often assigns negligible normalized mass to much of the causal score space, yet dense kernels execute the complete post-score path after forming each QK tile. We introduce MALA, a fused attention primitive that preserves score access to every legal causal interaction and uses normalized contribution to allocate post-score computation. Forward uses its evolving online-softmax normalizer, while backward reuses the finalized normalizer to derive nested retained support using only standard attention state. A common tolerance governs training and inference, allowing for adaptive retention of the work. MALA reduces low-contribution post-score computation. A matched-work study at 8K isolates the benefit of distribution-adaptive allocation: under exactly matched total post-score work, MALA approaches a per-instance reference-mass oracle, with mean omitted mass of 0.0188% versus 0.0182%. Across context lengths from 1K to 32K tokens, the same tolerance maintains low output and gradient errors relative to the reference. Across a broader controlled associative-recall comparison, MALA closely tracks FullAttn as context grows, reaching 89.67% accuracy at 8K compared with 89.97% for FullAttn. In an attention-operator benchmark at 128K tokens with tensor parallelism, MALA reduces forward and backward latency during training by 2.2x and 3.0x and decoding latency during inference by 1.6x relative to FullAttn. Across scaling-law training from 0.6B to 14B parameters, MALA closely tracks FullAttn in perplexity while reducing total training FLOPs. The resulting 14B models and 32B models from separate continued training achieve comparable knowledge, reasoning, and long-context retrieval scores to FullAttn. These results indicate that allocating post-score computation according to normalized attention contributions can retain the evaluated capabilities of FullAttn while reducing attention computation.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

EVAGE: Autonomous MEV Generation and Adaptation via Multi-Agent Harness

Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) has evolved into a major economic force in blockchain ecosystems, yet its capture is dominated by experienced teams, and both strategy design and implementation rely on manual expert work that scales poorly across heterogeneous protocols and chains. We present EVAGE, the first fully autonomous multi-agent framework for end-to-end MEV strategy generation and adaptation. Equipped with three specialized operation modes, it automatically discovers novel MEV variants, adapts execution logic across disparate protocols, and ports strategies between chains, including Layer-1 and Layer-2 networks. To avoid inference latency on the critical MEV execution path, EVAGE generates and refines MEV bot code offline rather than making real-time decisions directly. Under the coordination of an orchestrator agent, three specialized subagents collectively implement and repair the full MEV bot workflow via closed-loop diagnostics, eliminating human intervention while producing validated and deterministic Proof-of-Concept implementations. We evaluate EVAGE on over 1.5M blocks from each of Ethereum, Base, and BNB Smart Chain (BSC). On Ethereum, EVAGE uncovers five novel MEV strategy variants, yielding a profit increase of 1.02$\times$ to 15.97$\times$. It also successfully adapts 11 MEV strategies from CPMM to both CLMM and Balancer V2 and ports strategies from Ethereum to Base and BSC, all with less than 60 dollars in LLM token costs.

cs.CR↗
arXiv2026

Spec2Twin-Chain: Orchestrating Bi-Level Optimization with LLMs for Blockchain Digital Twin Construction

Building a blockchain digital twin largely requires translating domain knowledge and specific system descriptions into a simulator architecture, calibrating its parameters against behavioral evidence, and validating the constructed twin. These steps are commonly performed through application-specific modeling efforts that can be difficult to reuse across systems and downstream decision problems. We consider automating this process through Spec2Twin-Chain, a framework that formulates blockchain digital-twin construction as a bi-level optimization problem. At the upper level, a large language model proposes and revises structurally admissible architectures using system specifications, behavioral evidence, and feedback from evaluated designs. At the lower level, a simulation-based optimizer calibrates the architecture-conditioned parameters under explicit objectives and guardrail constraints. The two levels iterate. The evaluated candidates at lower levels are retained in a global archive and used to guide subsequent proposals at upper levels. We conduct controlled experiments involving twin calibration, feedback-driven recovery, stress analysis, downstream policy optimization, and policy updating. The results demonstrate that the framework can construct behaviorally accurate twins, improve initial designs through iterative feedback, and reuse calibrated twins to support downstream decisions.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Prediction-Enhanced Monte Carlo: A Machine Learning View on Control Variate

For many complex simulation tasks spanning areas such as healthcare, engineering, and finance, Monte Carlo (MC) methods are invaluable due to their unbiased estimates and precise error quantification. Nevertheless, Monte Carlo simulations often become computationally prohibitive, especially for nested, multi-level, or path-dependent evaluations lacking effective variance reduction techniques. While machine learning (ML) surrogates appear as natural alternatives, naive replacements typically introduce unquantifiable biases. We address this challenge by introducing Prediction-Enhanced Monte Carlo (PEMC), a framework that leverages modern ML models as learned predictors, using cheap and parallelizable simulation as features, to output unbiased evaluation with reduced variance and runtime. PEMC can also be viewed as a "modernized" view of control variates, where we consider the overall computation-cost-aware variance reduction instead of per-replication reduction, while bypassing the closed-form mean function requirement and maintaining the advantageous unbiasedness and uncertainty quantifiability of Monte Carlo. We illustrate PEMC's broader efficacy and versatility through three examples: first, equity derivatives such as variance swaps under stochastic local volatility models; second, interest rate derivatives such as swaption pricing under the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest-rate model. Finally, we showcase PEMC in a socially significant context - ambulance dispatch and hospital load balancing - where accurate mortality rate estimates are key for ethically sensitive decision-making. Across these diverse scenarios, PEMC consistently reduces variance while preserving unbiasedness, highlighting its potential as a powerful enhancement to standard Monte Carlo baselines.

stat.ML↗
arXiv2026

OPD+: Rethinking the Advantage Design for On-Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) is a widely used technique to transfer capabilities from capable teacher language models to the base student models, and can be formulated in a reinforcement learning style objective using student generated rollouts. Yet, despite the divergence reward being dependent on student model likelihood, existing works usually adopt a stop gradient design primarily for stability, which makes the resulting advantage estimation questionable. In this work, we provide a generic optimization framework based on f-divergence between the student and teacher, and mathematically revisit whether such design space is valid. We prove that general stop-gradient operation would lead to biased estimates of the reward objective and corresponding gradient for general divergence functions. We propose OPD+, the corrected version of OPD that demonstrates improved performance over the baseline KL approach and also supports the choice of various f-divergence. We validate our findings on mathematical reasoning and tool-use benchmarks.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

TokUR: Token-Level Uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Model Reasoning

While Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities, their output quality remains inconsistent across various application scenarios, making it difficult to identify trustworthy responses, especially in complex tasks requiring multi-step reasoning. In this paper, we propose a Token-level Uncertainty estimation framework for Reasoning (TokUR) that enables LLMs to self-assess and self-improve their responses in mathematical reasoning. Specifically, we introduce low-rank random weight perturbation during LLM decoding to generate predictive distributions for token-level uncertainty estimation, and we aggregate these uncertainty quantities to capture the semantic uncertainty of generated responses. Experiments on mathematical reasoning datasets of varying difficulty demonstrate that TokUR exhibits a strong correlation with answer correctness and model robustness, and the uncertainty signals produced by TokUR can be leveraged to enhance the model's reasoning performance at test time. These results highlight the effectiveness of TokUR as a principled and scalable approach for improving the reliability and interpretability of LLMs in challenging reasoning tasks.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

VMonarch: Efficient Video Diffusion Transformers with Structured Attention

The quadratic complexity of the attention mechanism severely limits the context scalability of Video Diffusion Transformers (DiTs). We find that the highly sparse spatio-temporal attention patterns exhibited in Video DiTs can be naturally represented by the Monarch matrix. It is a class of structured matrices with flexible sparsity, enabling sub-quadratic attention via an alternating minimization algorithm. Accordingly, we propose VMonarch, a novel attention mechanism for Video DiTs that enables efficient computation over the dynamic sparse patterns with structured Monarch matrices. First, we adapt spatio-temporal Monarch factorization to explicitly capture the intra-frame and inter-frame correlations of the video data. Second, we introduce a recomputation strategy to mitigate artifacts arising from instabilities during alternating minimization of Monarch matrices. Third, we propose a novel online entropy algorithm fused into FlashAttention, enabling fast Monarch matrix updates for long sequences. Extensive experiments demonstrate that VMonarch achieves comparable or superior generation quality to full attention on VBench after minimal tuning. It overcomes the attention bottleneck in Video DiTs, reduces attention FLOPs by a factor of 17.5, and achieves a speedup of over 5x in attention computation for long videos, surpassing state-of-the-art sparse attention methods at 90% sparsity.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2026

RPO: Fine-Tuning Visual Generative Models via Rich Vision-Language Preferences

Traditional preference tuning methods for LLMs/Visual Generative Models often rely solely on reward model labeling, which can be opaque, offer limited insights into the rationale behind preferences, and are prone to issues such as reward hacking or overfitting. We introduce Rich Preference Optimization (RPO), a novel pipeline that leverages rich feedback signals from Vision Language Models (VLMs) to improve the curation of preference pairs for fine-tuning visual generative models like text-to-image diffusion models. Our approach begins with prompting VLMs to generate detailed critiques of synthesized images, from which we further prompt VLMs to extract reliable and actionable image editing instructions. By implementing these instructions, we create refined images, resulting in synthetic, informative preference pairs that serve as enhanced tuning datasets. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our pipeline and the resulting datasets in fine-tuning state-of-the-art diffusion models.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

Understanding Sampler Stochasticity in Training Diffusion Models for RLHF

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) is increasingly used to fine-tune diffusion models, but a key challenge arises from the mismatch between stochastic samplers used during training and deterministic samplers used during inference. In practice, models are fine-tuned using stochastic SDE samplers to encourage exploration, while inference typically relies on deterministic ODE samplers for efficiency and stability. This discrepancy induces a reward gap, raising concerns about whether high-quality outputs can be expected during inference. In this paper, we theoretically characterize this reward gap and provide non-vacuous bounds for general diffusion models, along with sharper convergence rates for Variance Exploding (VE) and Variance Preserving (VP) Gaussian models. Methodologically, we adopt the generalized denoising diffusion implicit models (gDDIM) framework to support arbitrarily high levels of stochasticity, preserving data marginals throughout. Empirically, our findings through large-scale experiments on text-to-image models using denoising diffusion policy optimization (DDPO) and mixed group relative policy optimization (MixGRPO) validate that reward gaps consistently narrow over training, and ODE sampling quality improves when models are updated using higher-stochasticity SDE training.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

SOCRATES: Simulation Optimization with Correlated Replicas and Adaptive Trajectory Evaluations

The field of simulation optimization (SO) encompasses various methods developed to optimize complex, expensive-to-sample stochastic systems. Established methods include, but are not limited to, ranking-and-selection for finite alternatives and surrogate-based methods for continuous domains, with broad applications in engineering and operations management. The recent advent of large language models (LLMs) offers a new paradigm for exploiting system structure and automating the strategic selection and composition of these established SO methods into a tailored optimization procedure. This work introduces SOCRATES (Simulation Optimization with Correlated Replicas and Adaptive Trajectory Evaluations), a novel two-stage procedure that leverages LLMs to automate the design of tailored SO algorithms. The first stage constructs an ensemble of digital replicas of the real system. An LLM is employed to implement causal discovery from a textual description of the system, generating a structural `skeleton' that guides the sample-efficient learning of the replicas. In the second stage, this replica ensemble is used as an inexpensive testbed to evaluate a set of baseline SO algorithms. An LLM then acts as a meta-optimizer, analyzing the performance trajectories of these algorithms to iteratively revise and compose a final, hybrid optimization schedule. This schedule is designed to be adaptive, with the ability to be updated during the final execution on the real system when the optimization performance deviates from expectations. By integrating LLM-driven reasoning with LLM-assisted trajectory-aware meta-optimization, SOCRATES creates an effective and sample-efficient solution for complex SO optimization problems.

stat.ML↗
arXiv2025

Score as Action: Fine-Tuning Diffusion Generative Models by Continuous-time Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF), which aligns a diffusion model with input prompt, has become a crucial step in building reliable generative AI models. Most works in this area use a discrete-time formulation, which is prone to induced discretization errors, and often not applicable to models with higher-order/black-box solvers. The objective of this study is to develop a disciplined approach to fine-tune diffusion models using continuous-time RL, formulated as a stochastic control problem with a reward function that aligns the end result (terminal state) with input prompt. The key idea is to treat score matching as controls or actions, and thereby making connections to policy optimization and regularization in continuous-time RL. To carry out this idea, we lay out a new policy optimization framework for continuous-time RL, and illustrate its potential in enhancing the value networks design space via leveraging the structural property of diffusion models. We validate the advantages of our method by experiments in downstream tasks of fine-tuning large-scale Text2Image models of Stable Diffusion v1.5.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

MallowsPO: Fine-Tune Your LLM with Preference Dispersions

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has recently emerged as a popular approach to improve reinforcement learning with human feedback (RLHF), leading to better techniques to fine-tune large language models (LLM). A weakness of DPO, however, lies in its lack of capability to characterize the diversity of human preferences. Inspired by Mallows' theory of preference ranking, we develop in this paper a new approach, the MallowsPO. A distinct feature of this approach is a dispersion index, which reflects the dispersion of human preference to prompts. We show that existing DPO models can be reduced to special cases of this dispersion index, thus unified with MallowsPO. More importantly, we demonstrate (empirically) how to use this dispersion index to enhance the performance of DPO in a broad array of benchmark tasks, from synthetic bandit selection to controllable generations and dialogues, while maintaining great generalization capabilities. MallowsPO is also compatible with other SOTA offline preference optimization methods, boosting nearly 2\% extra LC win rate when used as a plugin for fine-tuning Llama3-Instruct.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2025

Pseudo-Bayesian Optimization

Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential search of query points that balance exploitation-exploration. Gaussian process (GP) has been a primary candidate for the surrogate model, thanks to its Bayesian-principled uncertainty quantification power and modeling flexibility. However, its challenges have also spurred an array of alternatives whose convergence properties could be more opaque. Motivated by these, we study in this paper an axiomatic framework that elicits the minimal requirements to guarantee black-box optimization convergence that could apply beyond GP-based methods. Moreover, we leverage the design freedom in our framework, which we call Pseudo-Bayesian Optimization, to construct empirically superior algorithms. In particular, we show how using simple local regression, and a suitable "randomized prior" construction to quantify uncertainty, not only guarantees convergence but also consistently outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in examples ranging from high-dimensional synthetic experiments to realistic hyperparameter tuning and robotic applications.

stat.ML↗
arXiv2024

Scores as Actions: a framework of fine-tuning diffusion models by continuous-time reinforcement learning

Reinforcement Learning from human feedback (RLHF) has been shown a promising direction for aligning generative models with human intent and has also been explored in recent works for alignment of diffusion generative models. In this work, we provide a rigorous treatment by formulating the task of fine-tuning diffusion models, with reward functions learned from human feedback, as an exploratory continuous-time stochastic control problem. Our key idea lies in treating the score-matching functions as controls/actions, and upon this, we develop a unified framework from a continuous-time perspective, to employ reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms in terms of improving the generation quality of diffusion models. We also develop the corresponding continuous-time RL theory for policy optimization and regularization under assumptions of stochastic different equations driven environment. Experiments on the text-to-image (T2I) generation will be reported in the accompanied paper.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2023

Safety Verification of Declarative Smart Contracts

Smart contracts manage a large number of digital assets nowadays. Bugs in these contracts have led to significant financial loss. Verifying the correctness of smart contracts is, therefore, an important task. This paper presents an automated safety verification tool, DCV, that targets declarative smart contracts written in DeCon, a logic-based domain-specific language for smart contract implementation and specification. DCV proves safety properties by mathematical induction and can automatically infer inductive invariants using heuristic patterns, without annotations from the developer. Our evaluation on 20 benchmark contracts shows that DCV is effective in verifying smart contracts adapted from public repositories, and can verify contracts not supported by other tools. Furthermore, DCV significantly outperforms baseline tools in verification time.

cs.SE↗
arXiv2023

From block-Toeplitz matrices to differential equations on graphs: towards a general theory for scalable masked Transformers

In this paper we provide, to the best of our knowledge, the first comprehensive approach for incorporating various masking mechanisms into Transformers architectures in a scalable way. We show that recent results on linear causal attention (Choromanski et al., 2021) and log-linear RPE-attention (Luo et al., 2021) are special cases of this general mechanism. However by casting the problem as a topological (graph-based) modulation of unmasked attention, we obtain several results unknown before, including efficient d-dimensional RPE-masking and graph-kernel masking. We leverage many mathematical techniques ranging from spectral analysis through dynamic programming and random walks to new algorithms for solving Markov processes on graphs. We provide a corresponding empirical evaluation.

cs.LG↗