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Haoxiang Zhan

Publications and source records attributed to Haoxiang Zhan.

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Multi-source Learning for Target Population by High-dimensional Calibration

Multi-source learning is an emerging area of research in statistics, where information from multiple datasets with heterogeneous distributions is combined to estimate the parameter of interest for a target population without observed responses. We propose a high-dimensional debiased calibration (HDC) method and a multi-source HDC (MHDC) estimator for general estimating equations. The HDC method uses a novel approach to achieve Neyman orthogonality for the target parameter via high-dimensional covariate balancing on an augmented set of covariates. It avoids the augmented inverse probability weighting formulation and leads to an easier optimization algorithm for the target parameter in estimating equations and M-estimation. The proposed MHDC estimator integrates multi-source data while supporting flexible specifications for both density ratio and outcome regression models, achieving multiple robustness against model misspecification. Its asymptotic normality is established, and a specification test is proposed to examine the transferability condition for the multi-source data. Compared to the linear combination of single-source HDC estimators, the MHDC estimator improves efficiency by jointly utilizing all data sources. Through simulation studies, we show that the MHDC estimator accommodates multiple sources and multiple working models effectively and performs better than the existing doubly robust estimators for multi-source learning. An empirical analysis of a meteorological dataset demonstrates the utility of the proposed method in practice.

stat.ME

Constraining the dark matter interpretation of the positron excess with $γ$-ray data

The particle origin of dark matter (DM) is still one of the main puzzles in modern physics. One of the most promising search strategy to detect DM at laboratories is through the indirect search of cosmic particles that are produced from DM annihilation in space. In particular, the flux of cosmic positrons has been measured with high precision by the AMS-02 experiment demonstrating that an excess above 10 GeV, with respect to the secondary production, is present. We study in this paper the possible DM origin of the positron excess finding the values of the DM mass $M$ and annihilation cross section $\langle σv \rangle$ that are needed to fit high-energy positron data. In particular, we find that for DM annihilating into $b\bar{b}$ it is required to have $M=43$ TeV and $\langle σv \rangle = 10^{-21}$ cm$^3$/s while for $τ^+τ^-$ $M=2$ TeV and $\langle σv \rangle = 3\times 10^{-23}$ cm$^3$/s. If DM produce positrons, they are expected to generate gamma rays from the center of the Milky Way and around dwarf galaxy satellites of the Galaxy. We thus combine the values for the DM mass and annihilation cross section obtained with the fit to AMS-02 positron data with the upper limits derived with the non-detection of $γ$ rays with HESS in the direction of the Galactic center and Fermi-LAT for the combined analysis of dwarf galaxies. The main result of the paper is that only DM annihilating into $μ^+ μ^-$ with a mass around 500 GeV and $\langle σv \rangle = 4\times 10^{-24}$ cm$^3$/s can fit AMS-02 data and be compatible with the upper limits found with $γ$ rays. As for the $τ^+ τ^-$ ($b\bar{b}$) channel, DM can contribute at most at a few tens $\%$ (a few \%) level.

astro-ph.HE