arXiv subjects

Harsh Kamath

Publications and source records attributed to Harsh Kamath.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

AirCast-SR: A Foundation Model for Kilometer-Scale Atmospheric Super-Resolution via Latent Consistency Diffusion

Operational weather prediction at kilometer scales remains computationally prohibitive for traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, limiting forecast access for applications in energy, agriculture, and disaster management that require fine-grained spatiotemporal detail. Here we introduce AirCast-SR, a foundation model for atmospheric super-resolution that downscales global AI weather forecasts from 0.25 degree (~28 km) to 1 km horizontal resolution at hourly temporal resolution, producing 67-hour forecasts of eight coupled surface variables simultaneously. EarthMind-SR employs a three-dimensional U-Net conditioned within a Latent Consistency Model (LCM) diffusion framework, trained on patch-based samples over the contiguous United States (CONUS) using GraphCast forecasts as input and NOAA's Analysis of Record for Calibration (AORC) as the target. The model achieves near-zero bias across all variables and lead times, and its radial power spectral density analysis demonstrates preservation of fine-scale atmospheric structure at wavelengths of 10 km to 100 km where coarser models lose spectral power. We validate EarthMind-SR across three CONUS case studies spanning winter, summer, and spring seasons, and demonstrate zero-shot global transferability over India and Germany using independent surface station observations without any retraining or fine-tuning. As an open-weights foundation model, EarthMind-SR establishes a new paradigm for kilometer-scale AI weather prediction and provides a platform for regional fine-tuning, distillation, and downstream applications in climate services and hazard forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

CoolPath Tool: A Thermal Comfort Path Planning Tool for Urban Mobility

Extreme heat poses a growing challenge for active transportation in cities where conventional weather reporting (e.g. limited air temperature measurement for the whole city) fails to capture the large microclimate variations that pedestrians and cyclists experience. We present a novel walking and biking route planning tool (''CoolPath Tool'') that selects paths based on thermal comfort using the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) rather than just distance or travel time. This system combines high-resolution thermal modeling with real-time route mapping. We generate city-scale UTCI maps using GPU version of Solar and LongWave Environmental Irradiance Geometry (SOLWEIG) model, to account for urban features (buildings, trees,) and weather conditions. The urban features are pre-mapped using satellite data products and the routes are the roadways. For any given origin and destination, our tool calculates the average UTCI along each possible route and recommends the ''coolest'' route, i.e. the path with the lowest heat stress (often the most shaded or otherwise thermally comfortable), while still being reasonably direct. We demonstrate this in a case study for Austin, Texas. The approach identifies routes that significantly reduce pedestrians' heat exposure (often recommending routes with a much larger proportion of shade). Such thermally-informed route planning has important public well-being, and economic implications: by helping people avoid dangerous heat hotspots and sun-exposed areas, it can reduce the risk of heat-related illness and make walking or biking a safer choice even on hot days. This tool is part of the Austin Digital Twin efforts developed as part the UT-City CoLab needs. The work while demonstrated for Austin, TX is scalable, and transferrable to other cities globally.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2025

Exploring the design space of diffusion and flow models for data fusion

Data fusion is an essential task in various domains, enabling the integration of multi-source information to enhance data quality and insights. One key application is in satellite remote sensing, where fusing multi-sensor observations can improve spatial and temporal resolution. In this study, we explore the design space of diffusion and flow models for data fusion, focusing on the integration of Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's Operational Linescan System (DMSP-OLS) and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) nighttime lights data. Our approach leverages a diverse set of 2D image-to-image generative models, including UNET, diffusion, and flow modeling architectures. We evaluate the effectiveness of these architectures in satellite remote sensing data fusion, identifying diffusion models based on UNet as particularly adept at preserving fine-grained spatial details and generating high-fidelity fused images. We also provide guidance on the selection of noise schedulers in diffusion-based models, highlighting the trade-offs between iterative solvers for faster inference and discrete schedulers for higher-quality reconstructions. Additionally, we explore quantization techniques to optimize memory efficiency and computational cost without compromising performance. Our findings offer practical insights into selecting the most effective diffusion and flow model architectures for data fusion tasks, particularly in remote sensing applications, and provide recommendations for leveraging noise scheduling strategies to enhance fusion quality.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

UT-GraphCast Hindcast Dataset: A Global AI Forecast Archive from UT Austin for Weather and Climate Applications

The UT GraphCast Hindcast Dataset from 1979 to 2024 is a comprehensive global weather forecast archive generated using the Google DeepMind GraphCast Operational model. Developed by researchers at The University of Texas at Austin under the WCRP umbrella, this dataset provides daily 15 day deterministic forecasts at 00UTC on an approximately 25 km global grid for a 45 year period. GraphCast is a physics informed graph neural network that was trained on ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis. It predicts more than a dozen key atmospheric and surface variables on 37 vertical levels, delivering a full medium range forecast in under one minute on modern hardware.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2025

Enhancing Near Real Time AI-NWP Hurricane Forecasts: Improving Explainability and Performance Through Physics-Based Models and Land Surface Feedback

Hurricane track forecasting remains a significant challenge due to the complex interactions between the atmosphere, land, and ocean. Although AI-based numerical weather prediction models, such as Google Graphcast operation, have significantly improved hurricane track forecasts, they currently function as atmosphere-only models, omitting critical land and ocean interactions. To investigate the impact of land feedback, we conducted independent simulations using the physics-based Hurricane WRF experimental model to assess how soil moisture variations influence storm trajectories. Our results show that land surface conditions significantly alter storm paths, demonstrating the importance of land-atmosphere coupling in hurricane prediction. Although recent advances have introduced AI-based atmosphere-ocean coupled models, a fully functional AI-driven atmosphere-land-ocean model does not yet exist. Our findings suggest that AI-NWP models could be further improved by incorporating land surface interactions, improving both forecast accuracy and explainability. Developing a fully coupled AI-based weather model would mark a critical step toward more reliable and physically consistent hurricane forecasting, with direct applications for disaster preparedness and risk mitigation.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2024

Developing Gridded Emission Inventory from High-Resolution Satellite Object Detection for Improved Air Quality Forecasts

This study presents an innovative approach to creating a dynamic, AI based emission inventory system for use with the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF Chem), designed to simulate vehicular and other anthropogenic emissions at satellite detectable resolution. The methodology leverages state of the art deep learning based computer vision models, primarily employing YOLO (You Only Look Once) architectures (v8 to v10) and T Rex, for high precision object detection. Through extensive data collection, model training, and finetuning, the system achieved significant improvements in detection accuracy, with F1 scores increasing from an initial 0.15 at 0.131 confidence to 0.72 at 0.414 confidence. A custom pipeline converts model outputs into netCDF files storing latitude, longitude, and vehicular count data, enabling real time processing and visualization of emission patterns. The resulting system offers unprecedented temporal and spatial resolution in emission estimates, facilitating more accurate short term air quality forecasts and deeper insights into urban emission dynamics. This research not only enhances WRF Chem simulations but also bridges the gap between AI technologies and atmospheric science methodologies, potentially improving urban air quality management and environmental policymaking. Future work will focus on expanding the system's capabilities to non vehicular sources and further improving detection accuracy in challenging environmental conditions.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

NDUI+: A fused DMSP-VIIRS based global normalized difference urban index dataset

Urbanization is advancing rapidly, covering less than 2% of Earth's surface yet profoundly influencing global environments and experiencing disproportionate impacts from extreme weather events. Effective urban management and planning require high-resolution, temporally consistent datasets that capture the complexity of urban growth and dynamics. This study presents NDUI+, a novel global urban dataset addressing critical gaps in urban data continuity and quality. NDUI+ integrates data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's Operational Linescan System (DMSP-OLS), VIIRS Nighttime Light, and Landsat 7 NDVI using advanced remote sensing and deep learning techniques. The dataset resolves sensor discontinuity challenges, offering a seamless 30-meter spatial and annual temporal resolution time series from 1999 to the present. NDUI+ demonstrates high precision and granularity, aligning closely with high-resolution satellite data and capturing urban dynamics effectively. The dataset provides valuable insights for urban climate studies, IPCC assessments, and urbanization research, complementing resources like UT-GLOBUS for urban modeling.

physics.soc-ph↗