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Harshad Khadilkar

Publications and source records attributed to Harshad Khadilkar.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Converting Expert Deliberation into Financial Signals Through A Context-Aware NLP Pipeline

We introduce the CDSP (context-conditional deliberation signal pipeline), converting an investment committee's meeting transcripts into structured predictive features. CDSP segments the meeting transcripts into topical chunks, assigns asset-class context labels using a large language model (LLM), maps financial keywords to a pre-determined taxonomy of labels, and constructs complementary features: sentiment polarity and mention frequency. This feature engineering framework is applied to a dataset spanning 48 monthly committee meetings to predict if global equities will perform better or worse than global bonds in the following month. In experiments with engineered features, raw transcript text, sentence embeddings, and combined representations, the prediction accuracy ranges from 62% to 73%, compared to always choosing stocks, which outperforms bonds 60.4% of the time. The best (73% accurate) model combines sentence embeddings with engineered CDSP features, achieving a 0.73 F1 score (although this is not statistically significant compared to always choosing stocks). Sentiment carries a stronger signal than mention frequency for several taxonomy categories. These findings suggest that experts' deliberations may contain forward-looking information that context-aware NLP can extract.

cs.LG

Using Common Random Numbers for Simulation-based Planning with Rollouts

Simulation-based planning with rollouts is a widely-deployed technique for decision making in stochastic environments. The primary instrument of simulation-based planning is a sampling model, which is repeatedly called to generate trajectories and estimate the utilities of available actions. Among the actions thus explored, one with the maximum estimated utility is then executed. In this paper, we examine the effect of using common random numbers in the simulation process. We obtain a simple recipe for (provably) reducing variance in relative utility when simulations invoke a rollout policy beyond some depth. Experiments on synthetic tasks confirm that our scheme improves task performance. The broader significance of our innovation is apparent from two practical applications: (1) single-step lookahead planning in a pension-disbursement task, and (2) a deployment of the well-known UCT algorithm for the game of Ludo.

cs.LG

A Meta Reinforcement Learning Approach to Goals-Based Wealth Management

Applying concepts related to zero-shot meta-learning and pre-training of foundation models, we develop a meta reinforcement learning approach (denoted MetaRL) that is pre-trained on thousands of goals-based wealth management (GBWM) problems. Each GBWM problem involves a multiple year scenario over which the investor looks to optimally choose an investment portfolio each year and choose to fulfill all, some, or none of the different financial goals that arise each year. These choices seek to maximize the expected total investor utility obtained from the fulfilled financial goals. By eliminating separate training and optimization for each new investor problem, the MetaRL model in inference mode produces near-optimal dynamic investment portfolio and goal-fulfilling strategies for a new GBWM problem within a few hundredths of a second. This delivers expected utilities that are, on average, 97.8% of the optimal expected utilities (determined via Dynamic Programming). These results are remarkably robust to capital market regime changes, even when training uses only one capital market regime. Further, the MetaRL approach can enable solving problems with larger state spaces where Dynamic Programming becomes computationally infeasible.

cs.LG

Efficiency Boost in Decentralized Optimization: Reimagining Neighborhood Aggregation with Minimal Overhead

In today's data-sensitive landscape, distributed learning emerges as a vital tool, not only fortifying privacy measures but also streamlining computational operations. This becomes especially crucial within fully decentralized infrastructures where local processing is imperative due to the absence of centralized aggregation. Here, we introduce DYNAWEIGHT, a novel framework to information aggregation in multi-agent networks. DYNAWEIGHT offers substantial acceleration in decentralized learning with minimal additional communication and memory overhead. Unlike traditional static weight assignments, such as Metropolis weights, DYNAWEIGHT dynamically allocates weights to neighboring servers based on their relative losses on local datasets. Consequently, it favors servers possessing diverse information, particularly in scenarios of substantial data heterogeneity. Our experiments on various datasets MNIST, CIFAR10, and CIFAR100 incorporating various server counts and graph topologies, demonstrate notable enhancements in training speeds. Notably, DYNAWEIGHT functions as an aggregation scheme compatible with any underlying server-level optimization algorithm, underscoring its versatility and potential for widespread integration.

cs.LG

Causal-Counterfactual RAG: The Integration of Causal-Counterfactual Reasoning into RAG

Large language models (LLMs) have transformed natural language processing (NLP), enabling diverse applications by integrating large-scale pre-trained knowledge. However, their static knowledge limits dynamic reasoning over external information, especially in knowledge-intensive domains. Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) addresses this challenge by combining retrieval mechanisms with generative modeling to improve contextual understanding. Traditional RAG systems suffer from disrupted contextual integrity due to text chunking and over-reliance on semantic similarity for retrieval, often resulting in shallow and less accurate responses. We propose Causal-Counterfactual RAG, a novel framework that integrates explicit causal graphs representing cause-effect relationships into the retrieval process and incorporates counterfactual reasoning grounded on the causal structure. Unlike conventional methods, our framework evaluates not only direct causal evidence but also the counterfactuality of associated causes, combining results from both to generate more robust, accurate, and interpretable answers. By leveraging causal pathways and associated hypothetical scenarios, Causal-Counterfactual RAG preserves contextual coherence, reduces hallucination, and enhances reasoning fidelity.

cs.CL

AEGIS: An Agent for Extraction and Geographic Identification in Scholarly Proceedings

Keeping pace with the rapid growth of academia literature presents a significant challenge for researchers, funding bodies, and academic societies. To address the time-consuming manual effort required for scholarly discovery, we present a novel, fully automated system that transitions from data discovery to direct action. Our pipeline demonstrates how a specialized AI agent, 'Agent-E', can be tasked with identifying papers from specific geographic regions within conference proceedings and then executing a Robotic Process Automation (RPA) to complete a predefined action, such as submitting a nomination form. We validated our system on 586 papers from five different conferences, where it successfully identified every target paper with a recall of 100% and a near perfect accuracy of 99.4%. This demonstration highlights the potential of task-oriented AI agents to not only filter information but also to actively participate in and accelerate the workflows of the academic community.

cs.LG

Redistributing Rewards Across Time and Agents for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Credit assignmen, disentangling each agent's contribution to a shared reward, is a critical challenge in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL). To be effective, credit assignment methods must preserve the environment's optimal policy. Some recent approaches attempt this by enforcing return equivalence, where the sum of distributed rewards must equal the team reward. However, their guarantees are conditional on a learned model's regression accuracy, making them unreliable in practice. We introduce Temporal-Agent Reward Redistribution (TAR$^2$), an approach that decouples credit modeling from this constraint. A neural network learns unnormalized contribution scores, while a separate, deterministic normalization step enforces return equivalence by construction. We demonstrate that this method is equivalent to a valid Potential-Based Reward Shaping (PBRS), which guarantees the optimal policy is preserved regardless of model accuracy. Empirically, on challenging SMACLite and Google Research Football (GRF) benchmarks, TAR$^2$ accelerates learning and achieves higher final performance than strong baselines. These results establish our method as an effective solution for the agent-temporal credit assignment problem.

cs.MA

DeepClean: Integrated Distortion Identification and Algorithm Selection for Rectifying Image Corruptions

Distortion identification and rectification in images and videos is vital for achieving good performance in downstream vision applications. Instead of relying on fixed trial-and-error based image processing pipelines, we propose a two-level sequential planning approach for automated image distortion classification and rectification. At the higher level it detects the class of corruptions present in the input image, if any. The lower level selects a specific algorithm to be applied, from a set of externally provided candidate algorithms. The entire two-level setup runs in the form of a single forward pass during inference and it is to be queried iteratively until the retrieval of the original image. We demonstrate improvements compared to three baselines on the object detection task on COCO image dataset with rich set of distortions. The advantage of our approach is its dynamic reconfiguration, conditioned on the input image and generalisability to unseen candidate algorithms at inference time, since it relies only on the comparison of their output of the image embeddings.

cs.CV

Agent-Temporal Credit Assignment for Optimal Policy Preservation in Sparse Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

In multi-agent environments, agents often struggle to learn optimal policies due to sparse or delayed global rewards, particularly in long-horizon tasks where it is challenging to evaluate actions at intermediate time steps. We introduce Temporal-Agent Reward Redistribution (TAR$^2$), a novel approach designed to address the agent-temporal credit assignment problem by redistributing sparse rewards both temporally and across agents. TAR$^2$ decomposes sparse global rewards into time-step-specific rewards and calculates agent-specific contributions to these rewards. We theoretically prove that TAR$^2$ is equivalent to potential-based reward shaping, ensuring that the optimal policy remains unchanged. Empirical results demonstrate that TAR$^2$ stabilizes and accelerates the learning process. Additionally, we show that when TAR$^2$ is integrated with single-agent reinforcement learning algorithms, it performs as well as or better than traditional multi-agent reinforcement learning methods.

cs.MA

Transformers are Expressive, But Are They Expressive Enough for Regression?

Transformers have become pivotal in Natural Language Processing, demonstrating remarkable success in applications like Machine Translation and Summarization. Given their widespread adoption, several works have attempted to analyze the expressivity of Transformers. Expressivity of a neural network is the class of functions it can approximate. A neural network is fully expressive if it can act as a universal function approximator. We attempt to analyze the same for Transformers. Contrary to existing claims, our findings reveal that Transformers struggle to reliably approximate smooth functions, relying on piecewise constant approximations with sizable intervals. The central question emerges as: ''Are Transformers truly Universal Function Approximators?'' To address this, we conduct a thorough investigation, providing theoretical insights and supporting evidence through experiments. Theoretically, we prove that Transformer Encoders cannot approximate smooth functions. Experimentally, we complement our theory and show that the full Transformer architecture cannot approximate smooth functions. By shedding light on these challenges, we advocate a refined understanding of Transformers' capabilities. Code Link: https://github.com/swaroop-nath/transformer-expressivity.

cs.LG

Leveraging Domain Knowledge for Efficient Reward Modelling in RLHF: A Case-Study in E-Commerce Opinion Summarization

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) has become a dominating strategy in aligning Language Models (LMs) with human values/goals. The key to the strategy is learning a reward model ($φ$), which can reflect the latent reward model of humans. While this strategy has proven effective, the training methodology requires a lot of human preference annotation (usually in the order of tens of thousands) to train $φ$. Such a large-scale annotation is justifiable when it's a one-time effort, and the reward model is universally applicable. However, human goals are subjective and depend on the task, requiring task-specific preference annotations, which can be impractical to fulfill. To address this challenge, we propose a novel approach to infuse domain knowledge into $φ$, which reduces the amount of preference annotation required ($21\times$), omits Alignment Tax, and provides some interpretability. We validate our approach in E-Commerce Opinion Summarization, with a significant reduction in dataset size (to just $940$ samples) while advancing the SOTA ($\sim4$ point ROUGE-L improvement, $68\%$ of times preferred by humans over SOTA). Our contributions include a novel Reward Modeling technique and two new datasets: PromptOpinSumm (supervised data for Opinion Summarization) and OpinPref (a gold-standard human preference dataset). The proposed methodology opens up avenues for efficient RLHF, making it more adaptable to applications with varying human values. We release the artifacts (Code: github.com/efficient-rlhf. PromptOpinSumm: hf.co/prompt-opin-summ. OpinPref: hf.co/opin-pref) for usage under MIT License.

cs.CL

Heuristic for Optimisation of Dark Store Facility Locations for Quick Commerce Businesses

We present a fast, flexible heuristic for setting up warehouse locations for quick commerce businesses, with the goal of serving the largest number of customers under the constraints of delivery radius and maximum daily deliveries per warehouse. Quick commerce or direct-to-customer delivery businesses guarantee delivery within a specified time. Using experiments on various scenarios, we show that the proposed algorithm is flexible enough to handle variations such as non-uniform population distributions, variable travel times, and selection of multiple warehouse locations.

math.OC

Reinforcement Replaces Supervision: Query focused Summarization using Deep Reinforcement Learning

Query-focused Summarization (QfS) deals with systems that generate summaries from document(s) based on a query. Motivated by the insight that Reinforcement Learning (RL) provides a generalization to Supervised Learning (SL) for Natural Language Generation, and thereby performs better (empirically) than SL, we use an RL-based approach for this task of QfS. Additionally, we also resolve the conflict of employing RL in Transformers with Teacher Forcing. We develop multiple Policy Gradient networks, trained on various reward signals: ROUGE, BLEU, and Semantic Similarity, which lead to a 10-point improvement over the State-of-the-Art approach on the ROUGE-L metric for a benchmark dataset (ELI5). We also show performance of our approach in zero-shot setting for another benchmark dataset (DebatePedia) -- our approach leads to results comparable to baselines, which were specifically trained on DebatePedia. To aid the RL training, we propose a better semantic similarity reward, enabled by a novel Passage Embedding scheme developed using Cluster Hypothesis. Lastly, we contribute a gold-standard test dataset to further research in QfS and Long-form Question Answering (LfQA).

cs.CL

Multi-Agent Learning of Efficient Fulfilment and Routing Strategies in E-Commerce

This paper presents an integrated algorithmic framework for minimising product delivery costs in e-commerce (known as the cost-to-serve or C2S). One of the major challenges in e-commerce is the large volume of spatio-temporally diverse orders from multiple customers, each of which has to be fulfilled from one of several warehouses using a fleet of vehicles. This results in two levels of decision-making: (i) selection of a fulfillment node for each order (including the option of deferral to a future time), and then (ii) routing of vehicles (each of which can carry multiple orders originating from the same warehouse). We propose an approach that combines graph neural networks and reinforcement learning to train the node selection and vehicle routing agents. We include real-world constraints such as warehouse inventory capacity, vehicle characteristics such as travel times, service times, carrying capacity, and customer constraints including time windows for delivery. The complexity of this problem arises from the fact that outcomes (rewards) are driven both by the fulfillment node mapping as well as the routing algorithms, and are spatio-temporally distributed. Our experiments show that this algorithmic pipeline outperforms pure heuristic policies.

cs.AI

Using General Value Functions to Learn Domain-Backed Inventory Management Policies

We consider the inventory management problem, where the goal is to balance conflicting objectives such as availability and wastage of a large range of products in a store. We propose a reinforcement learning (RL) approach that utilises General Value Functions (GVFs) to derive domain-backed inventory replenishment policies. The inventory replenishment decisions are modelled as a sequential decision making problem, which is challenging due to uncertain demand and the existence of aggregate (cross-product) constraints. In existing literature, GVFs have primarily been used for auxiliary task learning. We use this capability to train GVFs on domain-critical characteristics such as prediction of stock-out probability and wastage quantity. Using this domain expertise for more effective exploration, we train an RL agent to compute the inventory replenishment quantities for a large range of products (up to 6000 in the reported experiments), which share aggregate constraints such as the total weight/volume per delivery. Additionally, we show that the GVF predictions can be used to provide additional domain-backed insights into the decisions proposed by the RL agent. Finally, since the environment dynamics are fully transferred, the trained GVFs can be used for faster adaptation to vastly different business objectives (for example, due to the start of a promotional period or due to deployment in a new customer environment).

cs.LG

Using Linear Regression for Iteratively Training Neural Networks

We present a simple linear regression based approach for learning the weights and biases of a neural network, as an alternative to standard gradient based backpropagation. The present work is exploratory in nature, and we restrict the description and experiments to (i) simple feedforward neural networks, (ii) scalar (single output) regression problems, and (iii) invertible activation functions. However, the approach is intended to be extensible to larger, more complex architectures. The key idea is the observation that the input to every neuron in a neural network is a linear combination of the activations of neurons in the previous layer, as well as the parameters (weights and biases) of the layer. If we are able to compute the ideal total input values to every neuron by working backwards from the output, we can formulate the learning problem as a linear least squares problem which iterates between updating the parameters and the activation values. We present an explicit algorithm that implements this idea, and we show that (at least for small problems) the approach is more stable and faster than gradient-based methods.

cs.LG

DCT: Dual Channel Training of Action Embeddings for Reinforcement Learning with Large Discrete Action Spaces

The ability to learn robust policies while generalizing over large discrete action spaces is an open challenge for intelligent systems, especially in noisy environments that face the curse of dimensionality. In this paper, we present a novel framework to efficiently learn action embeddings that simultaneously allow us to reconstruct the original action as well as to predict the expected future state. We describe an encoder-decoder architecture for action embeddings with a dual channel loss that balances between action reconstruction and state prediction accuracy. We use the trained decoder in conjunction with a standard reinforcement learning algorithm that produces actions in the embedding space. Our architecture is able to outperform two competitive baselines in two diverse environments: a 2D maze environment with more than 4000 discrete noisy actions, and a product recommendation task that uses real-world e-commerce transaction data. Empirical results show that the model results in cleaner action embeddings, and the improved representations help learn better policies with earlier convergence.

cs.LG

Supplementing Gradient-Based Reinforcement Learning with Simple Evolutionary Ideas

We present a simple, sample-efficient algorithm for introducing large but directed learning steps in reinforcement learning (RL), through the use of evolutionary operators. The methodology uses a population of RL agents training with a common experience buffer, with occasional crossovers and mutations of the agents in order to search efficiently through the policy space. Unlike prior literature on combining evolutionary search (ES) with RL, this work does not generate a distribution of agents from a common mean and covariance matrix. Neither does it require the evaluation of the entire population of policies at every time step. Instead, we focus on gradient-based training throughout the life of every policy (individual), with a sparse amount of evolutionary exploration. The resulting algorithm is shown to be robust to hyperparameter variations. As a surprising corollary, we show that simply initialising and training multiple RL agents with a common memory (with no further evolutionary updates) outperforms several standard RL baselines.

cs.NE