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Herold Dehling

Publications and source records attributed to Herold Dehling.

27 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2014

Two-Sample U-Statistic Processes for Long-Range Dependent Data

Motivated by some common-change point tests, we investigate the asymptotic distribution of the U-statistic process $U_n(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{[nt]}\sum_{j=[nt]+1}^n h(X_i,X_j)$, $0\leq t\leq 1$, when the underlying data are long-range dependent. We present two approaches, one based on an expansion of the kernel $h(x,y)$ into Hermite polynomials, the other based on an empirical process representation of the U-statistic. Together, the two approaches cover a wide range of kernels, including all kernels commonly used in applications.

math.PR↗
arXiv2014

A fluctuation test for constant Spearman's rho with nuisance-free limit distribution

A CUSUM type test for constant correlation that goes beyond a previously suggested correlation constancy test by considering Spearman's rho in arbitrary dimensions is proposed. Since the new test does not require the existence of any moments, the applicability on usually heavy-tailed financial data is greatly improved. The asymptotic null distribution is calculated using an invariance principle for the sequential empirical copula process. The limit distribution is free of nuisance parameters and critical values can be obtained without bootstrap techniques. A local power result and an analysis of the behavior of the test in small samples is provided.

stat.ME↗
arXiv2013

Change Point Testing for the Drift Parameters of a Periodic Mean Reversion Process

In this paper we investigate the problem of detecting a change in the drift parameters of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which is defined as the solution of $dX_t=(L(t)-αX_t) dt + σdB_t$, and which is observed in continuous time. We derive an explicit representation of the generalized likelihood ratio test statistic assuming that the mean reversion function $L(t)$ is a finite linear combination of known basis functions. In the case of a periodic mean reversion function, we determine the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis.

math.ST↗
arXiv2013

Change-Point Detection under Dependence Based on Two-Sample U-Statistics

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic. The asymptotic distribution of this test can be derived from a functional central limit theorem for two-sample U-statistics. We extend a theorem of Csorgo and Horvath to the case of dependent data.

math.ST↗
arXiv2013

Power of Change-Point Tests for Long-Range Dependent Data

We investigate the power of the CUSUM test and the Wilcoxon change-point test for a shift in the mean of a process with long-range dependent noise. We derive analytiv formulas for the power of these tests under local alternatives. These results enable us to calculate the asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the CUSUM test and the Wilcoxon change point test. We obtain the surprising result that for Gaussian data, the ARE of these two tests equals 1, in contrast to the case of i.i.d. noise when the ARE is known to be $3/π$.

math.ST↗
arXiv2011

Empirical Processes of Multidimensional Systems with Multiple Mixing Properties

We establish a multivariate empirical process central limit theorem for stationary $\R^d$-valued stochastic processes $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ under very weak conditions concerning the dependence structure of the process. As an application we can prove the empirical process CLT for ergodic torus automorphisms. Our results also apply to Markov chains and dynamical systems having a spectral gap on some Banach space of functions. Our proof uses a multivariate extension of the techniques introduced by Dehling, Durieu and Volný \cite{DehDurVol09} in the univariate case. As an important technical ingredient, we prove a $(2p)$th moment bound for partial sums in multiple mixing systems.

math.PR↗
arXiv2009

Central Limit Theorem and the Bootstrap for U-Statistics of Strongly Mixing Data

The asymptotic normality of U-statistics has so far been proved for iid data and under various mixing conditions such as absolute regularity, but not for strong mixing. We use a coupling technique introduced in 1983 by Bradley to prove a new generalized covariance inequality similar to Yoshihara's. It follows from the Hoeffding-decomposition and this inequality that U-statistics of strongly mixing observations converge to a normal limit if the kernel of the U-statistic fulfills some moment and continuity conditions. The validity of the bootstrap for U-statistics has until now only been established in the case of iid data (see Bickel and Freedman). For mixing data, Politis and Romano proposed the circular block bootstrap, which leads to a consistent estimation of the sample mean's distribution. We extend these results to U-statistics of weakly dependent data and prove a CLT for the circular block bootstrap version of U-statistics under absolute regularity and strong mixing. We also calculate a rate of convergence for the bootstrap variance estimator of a U-statistic and give some simulation results.

math.PR↗
arXiv2008

New Techniques for Empirical Process of Dependent Data

We present a new technique for proving empirical process invariance principle for stationary processes $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$. The main novelty of our approach lies in the fact that we only require the central limit theorem and a moment bound for a restricted class of functions $(f(X_n))_{n\geq 0}$, not containing the indicator functions. Our approach can be applied to Markov chains and dynamical systems, using spectral properties of the transfer operator. Our proof consists of a novel application of chaining techniques.

math.PR↗