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Hiroaki Odahara

Publications and source records attributed to Hiroaki Odahara.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Exact Budget Balance via Payment-Rule Ambiguity: Incentive Preservation, Transfer Capacity, and Participation

This paper asks whether the payment side of an incentive-compatible mechanism can be repaired so that every realized settlement balances exactly while the allocation and all report-by-report comparisons under the maintained worst-case evaluation remain unchanged. Before reports, the designer commits to a menu of payment rules and a report-blind selection protocol. A pointwise preservation condition then carries over dominant-strategy incentives. Under a full-support common reference, a precisely known label law permits repair only if the original rule already balances, whereas frequency uncertainty about even one non-worst label makes every non-deficit rule repairable. Under the common residual-ambiguity benchmark, every preserving, exactly balanced finite menu at a positive-surplus state requires more transfer capacity as certified frequency information becomes tighter. In the canonical menu, fixing the transfer cap makes the best attainable balance deteriorate toward the original surplus as ambiguity vanishes. When only the possible labels are certified, two labels suffice. Suitably balanced partitions can also retain the original cap for nonnegative payments and preserve individual rationality under every realized rule. This last guarantee is impossible in positive-revenue Vickrey states when each agent's preserving distribution has full support. Frequency information therefore changes feasibility, liquidity, and realized participation in distinct ways.

econ.TH↗

The Targeted-Loss Exposure Frontier in Auctions

Pay-to-bid auctions charge participants before allocation and therefore make losing-side payments vulnerable to seller intervention. This paper introduces targeted-loss exposure, a stress test that records a designated bidder's payment when one rival's equilibrium report is fixed at an arbitrarily high level while her type distribution is preserved. Under nonnegative payments and an ordering in which a winner pays at least as much as a loser, revenue equivalence yields a sharp two-bidder bound attained by the silent war of attrition. For any number of bidders, the same format attains the upper bound among payment-ordered rank-local rules. The proof formulates payment location as a linear program and constructs a dual probability measure. With more than two bidders, complementary slackness determines the optimal loser-payment schedule almost everywhere. Winner-pay auctions have zero exposure, standard all-pay auctions lie strictly below the frontier, and frontier exposure decreases as the number of bidders rises. A loser-only rule shows that removing payment ordering can make exposure unbounded. A common-shock extension also shows that anticipating intervention changes bids but preserves the ordering of standard formats. The results separate the total interim payment fixed by revenue equivalence from the winning or losing state to which that payment is attached.

econ.TH↗

Reversing Reserve Logic: Optimal Holdback in Local Allocation under Scalable Entry

Scarce opportunities such as concert tickets and accelerator time may be contested by automated participants that can create accounts and sustain commitments beyond the reach of commitment-limited intended users. When account counts are untrusted, we study anonymous screening rules that ignore them, cap retained burdens, use only an account's commitment and strongest rival, and do not reassign after rejecting the leader. Within this class, we characterize the rule maximizing intended users' expected utility when they commit fully and a scalable entrant stays out. The optimum refunds and allocates at low congestion, retains and allocates at intermediate congestion, and retains while withholding allocation from an otherwise eligible leader when the strongest rival lies in the upper tail. Unlike a conventional reserve, which rejects a low leading bid, this rule treats an unusually strong rival as evidence of entrant imitation. A direct dual certificate proves class optimality; a benchmark shows that upper-tail holdback can raise intended-user surplus before it is necessary to support non-entry. The rule supports an equilibrium with full commitment and entrant non-entry.

cs.GT↗