Hiroki Aizawa | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Bifurcation mechanism at a sustain point of a long narrow economy

We investigate population agglomeration in a long narrow economy, in which an odd number of places are evenly distributed over a line segment. The bifurcation analysis of this economy elucidates the mechanism of the emergence of twin cities around the central city. The validity and usefulness of this analysis are confirmed using several well-known economic geography models that display various kinds of bifurcation behaviors. By this analysis, we investigate the historical change in the population distribution in a chain of cities on Japan's Main Island.

econ.TH↗

arXiv2026

Parameter Sensitivity Analysis of Hierarchical Spatial Economy: Trade Strategy around Brexit

This paper presents a systematic framework for analyzing the economic parameter sensitivity of a hierarchical spatial economy within economic geography models. Through the hierarchical reduction approach proposed in this study, the original region-level governing equation is condensed into country-level and alliance-level equations. Based on the reduced governing equation, we formulate the sensitivity of economic variables on each country's population. This approach is applied to the analysis of international trade competition -- covering both trade liberalization and protectionism around Brexit -- among the UK, France, and Germany. We find that both the UK and the EU should focus on reducing domestic transportation costs, whereas tariffs and retaliatory tariffs act as a double-edged sword that can either strengthen or weaken their trade positions.

econ.GN↗