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Hisham Ihshaish

Publications and source records attributed to Hisham Ihshaish.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

The record is part of the task: matched-record evaluation of text classifiers across maintenance, safety and recall reporting

Many operational cases are documented more than once, at different workflow stages and for different purposes, yet model evaluations normally select one of these records before model comparison begins. We treat that selection as part of the evaluation and compare matched records of the same cases under fixed labels and splits in three systems: GE Aerospace repair events, NASA ASRS safety reports and NHTSA vehicle recalls. Across the three GE fields, for events whose label comes from parts transactions independently of the narratives, held-out macro-F1 ranged from 0.33 to 0.91. A difference of 0.46 separated the customer report, written before shop work, from the technician report, written after diagnosis but before the transaction that generates the label. That difference is substantially larger than the representation and architecture differences tested on the same events. The public systems showed different patterns: the NHTSA defect summary remained strongest under every model family tested, whereas the ASRS analyst synopsis outperformed the reporter narrative under learned sequence models but not under lexical baselines. Secondary analyses showed that some model comparisons were also record-dependent. Evaluations should be run on the information available at the intended decision point and should report how both the record and the label were produced.

cs.LG

Estimating defection in subscription-type markets: empirical analysis from the scholarly publishing industry

We present the first empirical study on customer churn prediction in the scholarly publishing industry. The study examines our proposed method for prediction on a customer subscription data over a period of 6.5 years, which was provided by a major academic publisher. We explore the subscription-type market within the context of customer defection and modelling, and provide analysis of the business model of such markets, and how these characterise the academic publishing business. The proposed method for prediction attempts to provide inference of customer's likelihood of defection on the basis of their re-sampled use of provider resources -in this context, the volume and frequency of content downloads. We show that this approach can be both accurate as well as uniquely useful in the business-to-business context, with which the scholarly publishing business model shares similarities. The main findings of this work suggest that whilst all predictive models examined, especially ensemble methods of machine learning, achieve substantially accurate prediction of churn, nearly a year ahead, this can be furthermore achieved even when the specific behavioural attributes that can be associated to each customer probability to churn are overlooked. Allowing as such highly accurate inference of churn from minimal possible data. We show that modelling churn on the basis of re-sampling customers' use of resources over subscription time is a better (simplified) approach than when considering the high granularity that can often characterise consumption behaviour.

cs.LG

A Machine Learning Approach to Classifying Construction Cost Documents into the International Construction Measurement Standard

We introduce the first automated models for classifying natural language descriptions provided in cost documents called "Bills of Quantities" (BoQs) popular in the infrastructure construction industry, into the International Construction Measurement Standard (ICMS). The models we deployed and systematically evaluated for multi-class text classification are learnt from a dataset of more than 50 thousand descriptions of items retrieved from 24 large infrastructure construction projects across the United Kingdom. We describe our approach to language representation and subsequent modelling to examine the strength of contextual semantics and temporal dependency of language used in construction project documentation. To do that we evaluate two experimental pipelines to inferring ICMS codes from text, on the basis of two different language representation models and a range of state-of-the-art sequence-based classification methods, including recurrent and convolutional neural network architectures. The findings indicate a highly effective and accurate ICMS automation model is within reach, with reported accuracy results above 90% F1 score on average, on 32 ICMS categories. Furthermore, due to the specific nature of language use in the BoQs text; short, largely descriptive and technical, we find that simpler models compare favourably to achieving higher accuracy results. Our analysis suggest that information is more likely embedded in local key features in the descriptive text, which explains why a simpler generic temporal convolutional network (TCN) exhibits comparable memory to recurrent architectures with the same capacity, and subsequently outperforms these at this task.

cs.CL

Analysing the Predictivity of Features to Characterise the Search Space

Exploring search spaces is one of the most unpredictable challenges that has attracted the interest of researchers for decades. One way to handle unpredictability is to characterise the search spaces and take actions accordingly. A well-characterised search space can assist in mapping the problem states to a set of operators for generating new problem states. In this paper, a landscape analysis-based set of features has been analysed using the most renown machine learning approaches to determine the optimal feature set. However, in order to deal with problem complexity and induce commonality for transferring experience across domains, the selection of the most representative features remains crucial. The proposed approach analyses the predictivity of a set of features in order to determine the best categorization.

cs.LG

Problem Classification for Tailored Helpdesk Auto-Replies

IT helpdesks are charged with the task of responding quickly to user queries. To give the user confidence that their query matters, the helpdesk will auto-reply to the user with confirmation that their query has been received and logged. This auto-reply may include generic `boiler-plate' text that addresses common problems of the day, with relevant information and links. The approach explored here is to tailor the content of the auto-reply to the user's problem, so as to increase the relevance of the information included. Problem classification is achieved by training a neural network on a suitable corpus of IT helpdesk email data. While this is no substitute for follow-up by helpdesk agents, the aim is that this system will provide a practical stop-gap.

cs.LG

Integrating wind variability to modelling wind-ramp events using a non-binary ramp function and deep learning models

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by ancillary energy sources which can include the use of fossil fuels. Improved prediction of wind power will help to reduce dependency on supplemental energy sources along with their associated costs and emissions. In this paper, we discuss limitations of current predictive practices and explore the use of Machine Learning methods to enhance wind ramp event classification and prediction. We additionally outline a design for a novel approach to wind ramp prediction, in which high-resolution wind fields are incorporated to the modelling of wind power.

cs.LG

Classification of eye-state using EEG recordings: speed-up gains using signal epochs and mutual information measure

The classification of electroencephalography (EEG) signals is useful in a wide range of applications such as seizure detection/prediction, motor imagery classification, emotion classification and drug effects diagnosis, amongst others. With the large number of EEG channels acquired, it has become vital that efficient data-reduction methods are developed, with varying importance from one application to another. It is also important that online classification is achieved during EEG recording for many applications, to monitor changes as they happen. In this paper we introduce a method based on Mutual Information (MI), for channel selection. Obtained results show that whilst there is a penalty on classification accuracy scores, promising speed-up gains can be achieved using MI techniques. Using MI with signal epochs (3secs) containing signal transitions enhances these speed-up gains. This work is exploratory and we suggest further research to be carried out for validation and development. Benefits to improving classification speed include improving application in clinical or educational settings.

eess.SP

Task-oriented Dialogue Systems: performance vs. quality-optima, a review

Task-oriented dialogue systems (TODS) are continuing to rise in popularity as various industries find ways to effectively harness their capabilities, saving both time and money. However, even state-of-the-art TODS are not yet reaching their full potential. TODS typically have a primary design focus on completing the task at hand, so the metric of task-resolution should take priority. Other conversational quality attributes that may point to the success, or otherwise, of the dialogue, may be ignored. This can cause interactions between human and dialogue system that leave the user dissatisfied or frustrated. This paper explores the literature on evaluative frameworks of dialogue systems and the role of conversational quality attributes in dialogue systems, looking at if, how, and where they are utilised, and examining their correlation with the performance of the dialogue system.

cs.CL

qNoise: A generator of non-Gaussian colored noise

We introduce a software generator for a class of colored (self-correlated) and non-Gaussian noise, whose statistics and spectrum depend on two parameters, $q$ and $τ$. Inspired by Tsallis' nonextensive formulation of statistical physics, the so-called $q$-distribution is a handy source of self-correlated noise for a large range of applications. The $q$-noise -- which tends smoothly for $q=1$ to Ornstein--Uhlenbeck noise with autocorrelation $τ$ -- is generated via a stochastic differential equation, using the Heun method (a second order Runge--Kutta type integration scheme). The algorithm is implemented as a stand-alone library in C++, and is made available as open source in the Github repository. Noise' statistics can be specified handily; by only varying parameter $q$: it has compact support for $q<1$ (sub-Gaussian regime) and finite variance up to $q=5/3$ (supra-Gaussian regime). Once $q$ is fixed, noise' autocorrelation can be tuned independently by means of parameter $τ$. The presented qNoise generator provides a readily tool to modeling wide range of real-world noise types, and is suitable to study the effects of correlation and deviations from the normal distribution in systems of stochastic differential equations, key to understand system dynamics in numerous applications. The effect of noises' statistics on the response of a range of nonlinear systems is briefly discussed. In many of these examples, the systems' response turns optimal for some $q\neq1$. Hence, this paper aims to introduce qNoise generator for C++ at the class level and evaluate the kind of noise it generates, alongside their use in a range of applications.

cond-mat.stat-mech