Fast Stochastic Post-Fault Replanning for Launch Vehicles under Persistent Parametric Uncertainty
Post-fault ascent replanning for launch vehicles requires rapid joint trajectory-guidance replanning under uncertainty to maintain closed-loop constraint satisfaction. In particular, propulsion performance cannot be promptly and fully identified after a fault, leaving persistent parametric uncertainty throughout the remaining flight. A fast stochastic ascent replanning method is developed to address this problem. To efficiently account for the cross-time correlation induced by persistent parametric uncertainty, a fast system level synthesis formulation is developed with a Riccati-based solution structure. The resulting feedback synthesis is complemented by a task-oriented terminal weighting method that shapes terminal covariance according to post-injection correction demand. These components are integrated with nominal trajectory replanning, chance-constraint tightening, and online feedback realization to establish a real-time joint stochastic trajectory-guidance replanning framework for launch vehicles. Nonlinear Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method effectively suppresses the influence of persistent parametric uncertainty and maintains stable convergence and high injection accuracy across parameter sweeps, with subsecond solution times. Compared with conventional ascent guidance, the empirical constraint-violation rate is substantially reduced.