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Hongwei Mei

Publications and source records attributed to Hongwei Mei.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Option Pricing under Stochastic Volatility and Jumps:A PIDE Framework with Empirical Evidence

We develop a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) framework for option pricing under joint stochastic volatility and jump dynamics, and evaluate its empirical content using the S&P500 index option contracts across three maturities. The framework is derived from the infinitesimal generator of an affine L\'evy-type process and implemented via finite-difference discretization with FFT-based treatment of the nonlocal jump operator. Calibration via GMM reveals that stochastic volatility accounts for the dominant share of pricing improvement, where relative to Black-Scholes, the Heston specification reduces implied-volatility RMSE by 39%. Jump augmentation via either Merton or CGMY specifications yields marginal improvements concentrated at short maturities and in the deep out-of-the-money region. The calibrated CGMY activity index supports a compound-Poisson structure, consistent with high-frequency evidence on S&P500 index returns.

q-fin.PR

Turnpike Property of Mean-Field Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control Problems in Infinite-Horizon with Regime Switching

This paper considers an optimal control problem for a linear mean-field stochastic differential equation having regime switching with quadratic functional in the large time horizons. Our main contribution lies in establishing the strong turnpike property for the optimal pairs when the time horizon tends to infinity. To work with the mean-field terms, we apply the orthogonal decomposition method to derive a closed-loop representation of the optimal control problem in a finite time horizon. To analyze the asymptotic behavior of the optimal controls, we examine the convergence of the solutions of Riccati equations and backward differential equations as the time horizon tends to infinity. The strong turnpike property can be obtained based on these convergence results. Finally, we verify the optimality of the limit optimal pair in two cases: integrable case and local-integrable case.

math.OC

Turnpike Property of a Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control Problem in Large Horizons with Regime Switching II: Non-Homogeneous Cases

This paper is concerned with an optimal control problem for a nonhomogeneous linear stochastic differential equation having regime switching with a quadratic functional in the large time horizon. This is a continuation of the paper \cite{Mei-Wang-Yong-2025}, in which the strong turnpike property was established for homogeneous linear systems with purely quadratic cost functionals. We extend the results to the current situation. It turns out that some of the results are new even for the cases without regime switchings.

math.OC

Turnpike Property of Stochastic Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control Problems in Large Horizons with Regime Switching I: Homogeneous Cases

This paper is concerned with optimal control problems for a linear homogeneous stochastic differential equation having regime switching with purely quadratic functional in the large time horizons. We establish the so-called turnpike properties for the optimal pairs. The key is to prove a proper convergence of the solutions to the differential Riccati equations to the algebraic Riccati equation. Even for the problems without regime switchings, our result provides a refined estimate compared to those in the previous literature, which also provides a new tool for further research.

math.OC

Infinite Horizon Mean-Field Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control Problems with Switching and Indefinite-Weighted Costs

This paper is concerned with an infinite horizon stochastic linear quadratic (LQ, for short) optimal control problems with conditional mean-field terms in a switching environment. Different from [17], the cost functionals do not have positive-definite weights here. When the problems are merely finite, we construct a sequence of asymptotic optimal controls and derive their closed-loop representations. For the solvability, an equivalence result between the open-loop and closed-loop cases is established through algebraic Riccati equations and infinite horizon backward stochastic differential equations. It can be seen that the research in [17] with positive-definite weights is a special case of the current paper.

math.OC

Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control for Mean-Field Stochastic Differential Equations in Infinite-Horizon with Regime Switching

This paper is concerned with stochastic linear quadratic (LQ, for short) optimal control problems in an infinite horizon with conditional mean-field term in a switching regime environment. The orthogonal decomposition introduced in [21] has been adopted. Desired algebraic Riccati equations (AREs, for short) and a system of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs, for short) in infinite time horizon with the coefficients depending on the Markov chain have been derived. The determination of closed-loop optimal strategy follows from the solvability of ARE and BSDE. Moreover, the solvability of BSDEs leads to a characterization of open-loop solvability of the optimal control problem.

math.OC

Closed-loop Equilibria for Mean-Field Games in Randomly Switching Environments with General Discounting Costs

This work is devoted to finding the closed-loop equilibria for a class of mean-field games (MFGs) with infinitely many symmetric players in a common switching environment when the cost functional is under general discount in time. There are two key challenges in the application of the well-known Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman and Fokker-Planck (HJB-FP) approach to our problems: the path-dependence due to the conditional mean-field interaction and the time-inconsistency due to the general discounting cost. To overcome the difficulties, a theory for a class of systems of path-dependent equilibrium Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations (HJBs) is developed. Then closed-loop equilibrium strategies can be identified through a two-step verification procedure. It should be noted that the closed-loop equilibrium strategies obtained satisfy a new form of local optimality in the Nash sense. The theory obtained extends the HJB-FP approach for classical MFGs to more general conditional MFGs with general discounting costs.

math.OC

Minimax Sequential Testing for Poisson Processes

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax version of Bayesian problem of sequential testing of two simple hypotheses to minimize a linear combination of the probability of wrong detection and the expected waiting time in the worst scenario of all possible priori distributions. An equivalent characterization for the least favorable distributions is derived and a sufficient condition for the existence is concluded.

math.ST

The Minimax Wiener Sequential Testing Problem

Consider the sample path of a one-dimensional diffusion for which the diffusion coefficient is given and where the drift may take on one of two values: $\mu_0$ or $\mu_1$. Suppose that the signal-to-noise ratio (defined as the difference between the two possible drifts divided by the diffusion coefficient) is non-constant. Given an initial state for the observed process, we consider a minimax formulation of the Wiener sequential testing problem for detecting the correct drift coefficient as soon as possible and with minimal probabilities of incorrect terminal decisions. We solve the problem in the Bayesian formulation, under any prior probabilities of the process having drift $\mu_0$ or $\mu_1$, when the passage of time is penalized linearly. In the case where the signal-to-noise ratio is assumed constant, we obtain an explicit formula for the least favorable distribution.

math.OC

Linear-Quadratic Optimal Control Problem for Mean-Field Stochastic Differential Equations with a Type of Random Coefficients

Motivated by linear-quadratic optimal control problems (LQ problems, for short) for mean-field stochastic differential equations (SDEs, for short) with the coefficients containing regime switching governed by a Markov chain, we consider an LQ problem for an SDE with the coefficients being adapted to a filtration independent of the Brownian motion driving the control system. Classical approach of completing the square is applied to the current problem and obvious shortcomings are indicated. Open-loop and closed-loop solvability are introduced and characterized.

math.OC

Quickest Real-Time Detection of Multiple Brownian Drifts

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in $n$ dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, exactly $k$ of the coordinate processes get a (known) non-zero drift permanently. Given that the position of the Brownian particle is being observed in real time, the problem is to detect the time at which the $k$ coordinate processes get the drift as accurately as possible. We solve this problem in the most uncertain scenario when the random/unobservable time is (i) exponentially distributed and (ii) independent from the initial motion without drift. The solution is expressed in terms of a stopping time that minimises the probability of a false early detection and the expected delay of a missed late detection. The elliptic case $k=1$ has been settled in Ernst and Peskir (2022) where the hypoelliptic case $1 < k < n$ resolved in the present paper was left open (the case $k = n$ reduces to the classic case $n=1$ having a known solution). We also show that the methodology developed solves the problem in the general case where exactly $k$ is relaxed to any number of the coordinate processes getting the drift. To our knowledge this is the first time that such a multi-dimensional hypoelliptic problem has been solved exactly in the literature.

math.PR

Exact optimal stopping for multidimensional linear switching diffusions

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems considered: the underlying stochastic process has discontinuous paths and the cost function is not necessarily integrable on the entire time horizon, where the latter is often a key assumption in classical optimal stopping theory for diffusions, cf. [22, Corollary 2.9]. Under relatively mild conditions, we show, for the class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems under consideration, that the first entry time of the stopping region is an optimal stopping time. Further, we prove that the corresponding optimal stopping boundaries can be represented as the unique solution to a nonlinear integral equation. We conclude with an application of our results to the problem of quickest real-time detection of a Markovian drift.

math.PR

Uniqueness of Dissipative Solution for Camassa-Holm Equation with Peakon-Antipeakon Initial Data

We give a proof for the uniqueness of dissipative solution for the Camassa-Holm equation with some peakon-antipeakon initial data following Dafermos' earlier resut in [5] on the Hunter-Saxton equation. Our result shows that two existing global existence frameworks, through the vanishing viscosity method by Xin-Zhang in [11] and the transformation of coordinate method for dissipative solutions by Bressan-Constantin in [3], give the same solution, for a special but typical initial data forming finite time gradient blowup.

math.AP

Optimal Ergodic Control of Linear Stochastic Differential Equations with Quadratic Cost Functionals Having Indefinite Weights

An optimal ergodic control problem (EC problem, for short) is investigated for a linear stochastic differential equation with quadratic cost functional. Constant nonhomogeneous terms, not all zero, appear in the state equation, which lead to the asymptotic limit of the state non-zero. Under the stabilizability condition, for any (admissible) closed-loop strategy, an invariant measure is proved to exist, which makes the ergodic cost functional well-defined and the EC problem well-formulated. Sufficient conditions, including those allowing the weighting matrices of cost functional to be indefinite, are introduced for finiteness and solvability for the EC problem. Some comparisons are made between the solvability of EC problem and the closed-loop solvability of stochastic linear quadratic optimal control problem in the infinite horizon. Regularized EC problem is introduced to be used to obtain the optimal value of the EC problem.

math.OC

Closed-loop Equilibrium for Time-Inconsistent McKean-Vlasov Controlled Problem

The paper deals with a class of time-inconsistent control problems for McKean-Vlasov dynamics. By solving a backward time-inconsistent Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB for short) equation coupled with a forward distribution-dependent stochastic differential equation, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of a closed-loop equilibrium for such time-inconsistent distribution-dependent control problem. Moreover, a special case of semi-linear McKean-Vlasov dynamics with a quadratic-type cost functional is considered due to its special structure.

math.OC

Time-Inconsistent Problems for Controlled Markov Chains with Distribution-Dependent Costs: Equilibrium Solutions

This paper focuses on a class of continuous-time controlled Markov chains with time-inconsistent and distribution-dependent cost functional (in some appropriate sense). A new definition of time-inconsistent distribution-dependent equilibrium in closed-loop sense is given and its existence and uniqueness have been established. Because of the time-inconsistency, it is proved that the equilibrium is locally optimal in an appropriate sense. Moreover, it has been shown that our problem is essentially equivalent to an infinite-player mean-field game with time-inconsistent cost.

math.OC

Time-inconsistent Risk-sensitive Equilibrium for Countable-stated Markov Decision Processes

This paper is devoted to solving a time-inconsistent risk-sensitive control problem with parameter $\e$ and its limit case ($\e\rightarrow0^+$) for countable-stated Markov decision processes (MDPs for short). Since the cost functional is time-inconsistent, it is impossible to find a global optimal strategy for both cases. Instead, for each case, we will prove the existence of time-inconstant equilibrium strategies which verify the so-called step-optimality. Moreover, we prove the convergence of $\e$-equilibriums and the corresponding value functions as $\e\rightarrow0^+$.

math.OC

Equilibrium Strategies for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Switching Systems

An optimal control problem is considered for a stochastic differential equation containing a state-dependent regime switching, with a recursive cost functional. Due to the non-exponential discounting in the cost functional, the problem is time-inconsistent in general. Therefore, instead of finding a global optimal control (which is not possible), we look for a time-consistent (approximately) locally optimal equilibrium strategy. Such a strategy can be represented through the solution to a system of partial differential equations, called an equilibrium Hamilton-Jacob-Bellman (HJB, for short) equation which is constructed via a sequence of multi-person differential games. A verification theorem is proved and, under proper conditions, the well-posedness of the equilibrium HJB equation is established as well.

math.OC