arXiv subjects

Hongyu Lin

Publications and source records attributed to Hongyu Lin.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Beyond Isolated Dots: Benchmarking Structured Table Construction as Deep Knowledge Extraction

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly expected to extract and synthesize structured information from complex real-world documents, yet they typically produce unstructured, hard-to-verify paragraph-style outputs. We introduce AOE (Arranged and Organized Extraction), a bilingual benchmark that evaluates LLMs' ability to distill long-form, multi-document inputs (64k to 1.8M tokens) into structured tables. AOE comprises 12 tasks across four domains (academic, financial, legal, and medical), each grounded in genuine analytical needs, with schema guidance provided to isolate extraction quality from formatting variance. We evaluate 12 frontier LLMs (both open-weight and proprietary) under four generation settings of increasing autonomy: direct full-document input, RAG-based retrieval, offline document-browsing agent, and online web-search agent. Even the best-performing model achieves only 42.7% Cell F1, and retrieval-augmented approaches often degrade rather than improve performance, revealing that structured extraction from long contexts remains a fundamental challenge - an "Area of Effect" (AOE) that impacts all tested systems.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Towards Real-world Human Behavior Simulation: Benchmarking Large Language Models on Long-horizon, Cross-scenario, Heterogeneous Behavior Traces

The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) has illuminated the potential for a general-purpose user simulator. However, existing benchmarks remain constrained to isolated scenarios, narrow action spaces, or synthetic data, failing to capture the holistic nature of authentic human behavior. To bridge this gap, we introduce OmniBehavior, the first predictive user simulation benchmark constructed entirely from real-world data, integrating long-horizon, cross-scenario, and heterogeneous behavioral patterns into a unified framework. Based on this benchmark, we first provide empirical evidence that previous datasets with isolated scenarios suffer from tunnel vision, whereas real-world decision-making relies on long-term, cross-scenario causal chains. Extensive evaluations of state-of-the-art LLMs reveal that current models struggle to accurately predict these complex behaviors, with performance plateauing even as context windows expand. Crucially, a systematic comparison between simulated and authentic behaviors uncovers a fundamental structural bias: LLMs tend to converge towards a positive average person, exhibiting hyper-activity, persona homogenization, and a utopian bias. This results in the loss of individual differences and long-tail behaviors, highlighting critical directions for future high-fidelity simulation research.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

SCI-AGENT-EXAM: Benchmarking Agents on Scientific Research Tasks

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly capable of supporting scientific workflows, but their capabilities across diverse research activities remain difficult to assess systematically. Existing benchmarks often focus on selected scientific capabilities or task types, limiting a comprehensive characterization of scientific agents' strengths and weaknesses in realistic research workflows. We introduce SCI-AGENT-EXAM, a workflow-oriented benchmark comprising 120 expert-curated tasks across 11 scientific fields and 7 research task types defined by the Scientific Workflow Task Taxonomy (SWTT). Each task requires both executable artifacts (e.g., code and scripts) and textual artifacts (e.g., reports and explanations). To evaluate the heterogeneous task outputs, we develop a hybrid evaluation protocol combining deterministic programmatic verification for executable artifacts with a calibrated, expert-validated LLM-based judge for textual artifacts. Beyond outcome assessment, we analyze progress and solution stability along execution trajectories to characterize how agents reach their final results. Experiments with 10 frontier LLM agents reveal substantial performance gaps: GPT-6 Astra achieves the highest overall score of 80.9, yet only 26.0% of its runs exceed the 0.95 success threshold. Further analyses uncover distinct capability profiles across scientific task types and substantial variation in execution efficiency and stability. Our code and data are available at https://github.com/SKYLENAGE-AI/Sci-Agent-Exam.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

OmniSimulator: Aligning Small Language Models for Authentic Heterogeneous Behavior Modeling

Large language models (LLMs) have shown great potential as general-purpose user simulators for interactive systems. Prior studies have demonstrated that training on high-quality data can substantially improve model reasoning and downstream task performance. However, the upper bound of user simulation is still constrained by the model's reasoning paradigm: native chain-of-thought often degenerates into shallow pattern matching and fails to adequately model the behavioral factors underlying real user decisions. In this paper, we propose OmniSimulator, a novel training framework designed to improve the predictive ability of small LLMs for realistic user simulation on short-video platform environments. Specifically, OmniSimulator organizes behavior-oriented reasoning through a structured schema with five dimensions, carefully selects data from real user-behavior scenarios, and introduces a teacher model to generate high-quality reasoning traces under the proposed schema, helping small models learn behavior-relevant reasoning patterns rather than relying on superficial behavioral correlations. Based on this process, we construct 9,881 high-quality training instances from three months of historical interaction trajectories of 200 real users, averaging about 50 distilled examples per user. Experimental results show that OmniSimulator improves the average score of Qwen3-8B by 34.33%, achieves performance competitive with Claude-Sonnet-4.5, and supports smaller-scale, self-hosted deployment. These results suggest that learning structured behavior-oriented reasoning patterns is a promising direction towards scalable and high-fidelity LLM-based user simulation.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

P^2O: Joint Policy and Prompt Optimization

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) enhances Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning but is suffer from advantage collapse: when all rollouts of a query receive identical rewards, the group variance vanishes, most damagingly on hard samples, where scaling rollout budgets yields little. We introduce Joint Policy and Prompt Optimization (P O) to mitigate this collapse by alternating continuous policy updates with discrete prompt evolution. P O mines hard samples with a success-rate threshold, evolves reasoning prompts for them with GEPA, and internalizes the elicited trajectories via context distillation, which optimizes each trajectory under the original query and thus removes inference-time prompting, with a Context Ratio Mask (CRM) filtering out extreme likelihood ratios. P O restores critical advantage signals and surpasses the GRPO baseline by up to 8.2 points in average accuracy on six held-out benchmarks across all training datasets and backbones, while also outperforming DAPO and other baselines. The gains are especially pronounced on hard benchmarks, reaching up to 16.3 points above GRPO on average across AIME24 and AIME25. Our findings expose the limits of standard exploration in sparse-reward environments, illuminating the potential of unifying evolutionary algorithms with reinforcement learning. This integration of discrete semantic search and continuous parameter updates provides a self-reinforcing framework that facilitates more effective LLM alignment.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Average Error through Oracle-Informed Stress Tests for Time-Series Forecasting

Average squared error cannot reveal whether forecasting performance degrades because the future becomes less predictable or because forecasts move farther from the conditional mean. We introduce paired, mechanism-controlled stress tests that decompose changes in expected squared error at each lead time into environmental risk and forecast-oracle distance, using an origin-conditioned predictive oracle unavailable to the evaluated models. Three end-to-end controls have known attribution. Specifically, the null, environmental-only, and information-gap controls verify that the pipeline assigns changes to the correct component. We then apply the benchmark to 24 deployable forecasters. Under frequent switching, 14 methods have higher realized MSE but lower oracle distance; under outlier-variance feedback, 19 have higher MSE but lower scale-standardized MSE. Short- and long-lead stress-response rankings have Spearman correlation 0.624, revealing substantial horizon-dependent reordering. We then study multivariate relation shifts. Across six models and three coupling severities, oracle distance accounts for only 0.7-3.9% of the decomposed expected-risk increase, and environmental-risk majority persists in an eight-channel system and a matched-difficulty audit of Ring, Block, and Hub relations. Finally, prespecified contrasts on independent data-generating process (DGP) realizations show that several visually compelling discovery profiles, including trend accumulation and the hypothesized switching reversal, do not replicate. The benchmark thus combines component-wise diagnosis with a held-out stability audit. It complements real-data out-of-distribution evaluation, which measures performance under realistic shifts when exact oracle attribution is unavailable.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

From Sequence to Structure: Relational Uncertainty Propagation for LLM Agents

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for deploying large language model (LLM) agents in complex interactive environments. Existing UQ methods largely rely on local signals, such as token probabilities, predictive entropy, or per-step confidence, and therefore overlook the long-range dependencies through which errors accumulate across an execution trajectory. As a result, they may fail to identify agent failures whose causes originate several reasoning or interaction steps before the final answer. We propose RUPA (Relational Uncertainty Propagation for Agents), a trajectory-level UQ framework for LLM agents. RUPA represents an execution history as a directed trajectory graph in which reasoning states, tool interactions, and environment feedback are nodes connected by temporal and semantic dependency edges. It then propagates uncertainty over this graph to capture how execution risk accumulates and transfers across interaction steps. The propagated signal is combined with trajectory-level behavioral features and goal-alignment information to produce a confidence estimate for the full agent trajectory. We evaluate RUPA on representative agent benchmarks, including $τ$-2, Terminal-Bench-2, and GAIA, using 6 open-source LLMs spanning multiple model families. Experimental results show that RUPA consistently outperforms existing UQ methods by providing more accurate uncertainty estimates, enabling earlier failure detection, and improving uncertainty-guided agent execution across diverse agent tasks. These results demonstrate that explicitly modeling relational dependency is crucial to reliable UQ for long-horizon LLM agents, providing a practical foundation for trustworthy agent execution.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Speculative Rollback Correction for Quality-Diverse Web Agent Imitation

Training interactive web agents through imitation learning from expert trajectories has emerged as a highly effective approach. However, determining the optimal timing for expert intervention presents a critical challenge in this context. Delayed intervention often leads to the accumulation of early-stage errors, pushing the page state into an irrecoverable regime. Conversely, premature or excessive intervention causes the agent to become overly reliant on expert policies, trapping the model in local optima characterized by a single, rigid trajectory. We propose Speculative Rollback Correction (SRC), a branch-level imitation framework for resettable agent environments. Instead of requesting teacher labels at every visited state or correcting only after a completed trajectory, SRC uses fixed-horizon branch review: the student executes a short speculative segment before teacher review, and the teacher localizes the first harmful deviation only when local progress breaks. Rollback preserves useful prefixes, while successful rollouts are filtered by a hard verifier and retained in a lightweight quality-diversity archive. The resulting data supports next-action supervised fine-tuning on both localized corrections and verifier-passing trajectories. On WebArena-Infinity, SRC collects 977 verifier-passing trajectories and 9,183 next-action examples; fixed-horizon review improves the recovery-versus-query tradeoff over step-level review while retaining verifier-passing solution variants. Code is available at https://github.com/LongkunHao/SRC_gui_agent.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

ShortOPD: Recovering Pruned LLMs with Short-to-Long On-Policy Distillation

Structured pruning is a hardware-friendly way to compress LLMs, but it is mostly validated on multiple-choice recognition tasks, while the same compressed checkpoints can collapse on the free-form generation that deployment actually requires. Two observations trace this gap. First, greedy \textsc{pass}@$1$ nearly vanishes after compression, yet \textsc{pass}@$k$ recovers substantially under repeated sampling: useful generations are demoted, not erased. Second, the recoverable regime fails mainly through suffix repetition. Recovery should therefore train on the compressed model's own on-policy states with dense token-level supervision, which On-Policy Distillation (OPD) provides by reusing the pre-compression model as a frozen teacher. However, long on-policy rollouts spend early recovery budget on low-information repetitive suffixes, delaying loss descent. To mitigate this waste, we propose \textbf{\shortopd}, a short-to-long OPD schedule that detects teacher-confirmed repetitive suffixes, treats the surviving prefix as each rollout's effective length, and allocates future rollout budgets to the effective lengths the policy can currently use. Across math, code, and open-ended generation, \shortopd\ raises the compressed model's score to about $9\times$ its unrecovered value and $1.6$--$4.4\times$ standard recovery recipes (SFT w/o KD, KD, and SeqKD), and it matches a fixed $8192$-token rollout horizon within two points using a quarter of the training time ($8.5$ vs.\ $35.9$ hours) and $71\%$ fewer rollout tokens. We hope this recipe helps move structured pruning beyond marginal gains on perplexity and multiple-choice benchmarks, a step closer to deployment-ready generation quality.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Correcting What You Cannot See: Credit Assignment for Perception Distillation in Multimodal Reasoners

On-policy distillation provides dense supervision for multimodal reasoners, but its trajectory-level reward cannot determine whether a failed answer arose from perception or subsequent reasoning. Perception Success Rate (PSR), estimated from multiple reasonings sharing one perception, remains ambiguous because low success conflates perceptual insufficiency with reasoning difficulty. We introduce \textbf{Perception-Correction Distillation (PCD)}, a label-free method that identifies correctable perception failures using downstream failure and teacher--student disagreement as complementary witnesses. Their product, , forms a soft AND gate that strengthens distillation only when both witnesses are present. We motivate this rule through Bayesian evidence combination and show that multiplication is the unique normalized bilinear gate that vanishes when either witness is absent. PCD uses separated perception--reasoning rollouts and mean-preserving weights, leaving the reasoning objective unchanged. Across eight benchmarks, PCD improves the 8B 2B macro average from 44.50 with OPD to 47.28 and the 32B 8B result from 56.94 to 61.22. In matched 2B ablations, removing PCD and separated rollout reduces held-out average by 2.22 and 0.88 points, respectively. Effective multimodal distillation therefore depends not only on what the teacher predicts, but also on identifying when perception is the appropriate target of correction.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Dependence-Informed Sparse Neural Architecture for Stock Return Prediction

Using neural networks for stock return prediction typically requires choices about depth and hidden-layer width that are difficult to connect to financial interpretation. We study an alternative: estimate dependence among firm characteristics with a Maximally Filtered Clique Forest (MFCF), then map its clique structure to a Homological Neural Network (HNN). The MFCF maximum clique size K is the only parameter controlling architectural complexity, and it has a clear graphical meaning: it bounds the number of characteristics in each maximal clique and hence the highest interaction order the network can represent. The filtered graph then fixes the neural network's depth, layer widths, and sparse connections before training, in place of a separately chosen depth and width sequence. We apply two HNN variants to annual out-of-sample forecasts of U.S. stock excess returns from 1987 to 2016 using 94 firm characteristics. The HNN models match a three-hidden-layer benchmark on pooled predictive accuracy, rank the cross-section more accurately, and use roughly 80 times fewer parameters than a fully connected network with the same induced layer widths. Two structural ablations indicate that both the sparse connectivity and the estimated grouping of characteristics contribute to the ranking advantage, and both effects remain significant after correcting for multiple testing. These findings show that HNNs offer a practical and interpretable way to incorporate estimated dependence among firm characteristics into neural architecture design.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2026

Knowing When to Quit: Diagnosing and Training LLMs to Abort Futile Reasoning

Large language models generate computationally expensive yet semantically void reasoning on beyond-capability tasks, creating risks where plausible-sounding but incorrect derivations mislead users. We characterize this \textit{futile reasoning} phenomenon through systematic analysis, revealing universal capability overreach and systematic miscalibration between capability and behavior. The dominant failure mode is specious reasoning, which outputs look superficially valid but contain subtle errors, escalating with task difficulty. To address this, we introduce \textbf{CaRL} (\textbf{Ca}pability-\textbf{a}ligned \textbf{R}einforcement \textbf{L}earning), which aligns model behavior with capability boundaries through reward shaping that incentivizes refusal over futile reasoning and hindsight refusal augmentation that converts failures into refusal supervision. Experiments demonstrate a substantial reduction in futile reasoning while preserving performance across task difficulties, effectively achieving capability-aligned behavior without sacrificing utility. \footnote{https://github.com/icip-cas/Knowing-When-to-Quit}

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

DocOps: A Verifiable Benchmark for Autonomous Agents in Complex Document Operations

As autonomous agents rapidly evolve, their ability to reliably manipulate ubiquitous digital documents has become critical for enabling general-purpose AI assistants and automating complex workspace workflows. In this paper, we introduce DocOps, a deterministically verifiable evaluation framework underpinned by a hierarchical taxonomy that deconstructs document operations inspired by real-world practices into atomic dimensions and escalating workflow complexities. Based on DocOps, we systematically evaluate representative closed- and open-source models across various agentic harnesses, revealing that even the most advanced frontier configurations still exhibit profound limitations when handling highly coupled, long-range tasks. Furthermore, a fine-grained analysis of existing agents' manipulation behaviors uncovers 3 key failure modes: long-term state tracking collapse, shallow semantic verification, and destructive editing of structural metadata. Ultimately, our work exposes the capability boundaries of agents in maintaining global document consistency, shedding light on the future design of robust, non-destructive agents for complex digital ecosystems.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

SCA: Segment-Wise CoT Compression with Answer Alignment

Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning improves problem solving, but long think traces increase inference cost. Existing CoT compression methods usually optimize completion-level length. For structured thinking models, however, a completion contains both a think segment and an answer segment, so completion-level compression can save tokens by compressing not only the CoT but also the answer. We call this failure mode answer drift. We propose Segment-wise CoT Compression with Answer Alignment (SCA), an answer-preserving think-compression method. SCA parses completions into functional segments, routes compression rewards only to successful think tokens, and protects answer tokens through length and distribution alignment to a frozen base model. Experiments show that, across datasets from multiple domains, SCA achieves state-of-the-art-level chain-of-thought compression while preserving the base model's performance and answer alignment. Training data and code are included in the supplementary code and data package.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Before the Action: Benchmarking LLMs on Prospective Hypothesis Discovery

Large language models (LLMs) excel at answering pre-specified questions, yet their ability to navigate the open-ended, pre-conclusion stage of discovery remains largely unmeasured. We introduce Prospective Hypothesis Discovery (PHD), which asks models to autonomously construct grounded, discriminative, and testable hypothesis spaces from inconclusive evidence, including anomalous observations and fragmented records, to guide subsequent investigation. To evaluate this capability, we introduce HypoArena, comprising HypoData, a benchmark of 988 cases across six scientific and analytical domains, and HypoEval, an evaluation framework for open-ended hypothesis sets. To construct HypoData at scale, we propose Retrospective Context Regression, a Forge--Audit pipeline that reconstructs pre-conclusion contexts from completed expert documents by removing explicit conclusions, target hypotheses, and retrospective causal attributions while preserving the factual substrate. Because PHD admits multiple valid outputs, HypoEval combines bidirectional pairwise judgments with Bradley--Terry--Davidson aggregation for ranking and six-dimensional rubric scoring for diagnosis. Experiments on 15 frontier LLMs reveal clear capability stratification and model-dependent effects of structured analytical skills, with gains for several lower-performing models on HypoArena but regressions for other systems, including a top-performing model. Compared with absolute rubric scoring, arena evaluation resolves finer-grained differences among models, with aggregated rankings showing strong agreement with human experts and an independent judge. Together, these results support treating PHD as a distinct target for evaluating how LLMs formulate investigative directions when final conclusions are withheld. Our code and data are publicly available at github.com/SKYLENAGE-AI/HypoArena and github.com/SKYLENAGE-AI/HypoArena.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

PraMem: Practice-derived Experiential Memory for Long-horizon Behavior Prediction

Long-horizon behavior prediction aims to infer a user's next action based on a lengthy historical sequence, playing a crucial role in artificial intelligence field. The rise of large language models (LLMs) offers a promising direction for sequential behavior prediction, yet LLMs struggle with latent behavioral pattern induction and model-intrinsic cognitive biases when tackling long-horizon behavior prediction. Prior memory management methods follow a context-compression paradigm that attempts to address this task by alleviating the historical sequence burden, yet fail to resolve the core challenges. In this paper, we advocate a paradigm shift that reframes the lengthy historical sequence from a burden into a valuable resource to be exploited, and accordingly propose PraMem, which conducts beforehand practice over the lengthy historical sequence to build an experiential memory, thereby serving as the assisted input for accurate long-horizon behavior prediction. Extensive experiments across diverse tasks demonstrate that PraMem achieves superior performance than prior methods, and more in-depth analyses provide valuable insights into the mechanism and evolution of the experiential memory. Code: https://github.com/icip-cas/PraMem.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

OmniFocus: Query-Guided Modality-Balanced Token Compression for Omni-Modal Large Language Models

Omni modal large language models (OmniLLMs) have attracted wide attention for their ability to jointly process audio and video, but they generate large token sequences under audio-visual inputs, leading to substantial inference cost. Existing audio-visual token compression methods often rely on unimodal guidance, overlooking the temporal locality of query-relevant evidence in audio-visual inputs and implicitly assuming that the two modalities share a temporally aligned information density distribution. We propose \textbf{OmniFocus}, a training-free query-guided token compression method for OmniLLMs that performs independent importance estimation for video and audio, enabling a modality-symmetric compression design that preserves modality-specific salient evidence while maintaining audio-visual alignment, thereby mitigating the modality bias issue that can arise from unimodal-guided compression. Experiments on the Qwen2.5-Omni model family across four audio-visual benchmarks show that OmniFocus maintains strong compressed performance at low token retention ratios and outperforms existing baselines on several major benchmark scores at 25\% token retention. On DailyOmni with Qwen2.5-Omni-7B at 25\% token retention, OmniFocus maintains 59.40 accuracy while delivering up to 1.38$\times$ prefill speedup relative to the full-token baseline, highlighting a favorable practical accuracy-efficiency trade-off.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

ReasoningLens: Hierarchical Visualization and Diagnostic Auditing for Large Reasoning Models

The emergence of Large Reasoning Models has introduced exceptionally long Chain-of-Thought traces, creating a transparency burden where critical logic is often buried under massive procedural text. To address this, we present ReasoningLens, an open-source framework designed for the hierarchical visualization and diagnostic auditing of complex reasoning chains. ReasoningLens addresses information necropsy by: (1) structuring traces into interactive hierarchies that separate high-level strategy from low-level execution; (2) leveraging an agentic auditor for automated error detection and tool-augmented verification; and (3) synthesizing systemic reasoning profiles to reveal model-specific blind spots. By transforming unstructured walls of text into actionable insights, ReasoningLens provides a modular foundation for interpreting, debugging, and optimizing the next generation of reasoning-centric AI.

cs.CL↗