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Hu Sun

Publications and source records attributed to Hu Sun.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

From Empathy to Personalized Empathy: Adapting Empathetic Strategies to Individual Users

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in long-term interactions with users, empathy has become an increasingly important capability. However, existing research overlooks the influence of users' personality traits on empathetic strategies during long-term interactions. To address this gap, we introduce the task of personalized empathy, which focuses on adapting empathetic strategies according to users' personalized characteristics derived from history. To study and enhance this capability, we construct PersonaEmp, a personalized empathy dataset built from long-term user-AI interactions, featuring rich user histories, persona information, and empathy-seeking queries. We further propose PereGRM, a reward modeling framework that combines the empathy evaluation structure with dynamic evaluation criteria generation for fine-grained reward modeling. Experimental results across different settings and multiple judge models show that PereGRM consistently achieves the strongest performance improvements, indicating its effectiveness for enhancing personalized empathetic capabilities.

cs.CL

HyKid: An Open MRI Dataset with Expert-Annotated Multi-Structure and Choroid Plexus in Pediatric Hydrocephalus

Evaluation of hydrocephalus in children is challenging, and the related research is limited by a lack of publicly available, expert-annotated datasets, particularly those with segmentation of the choroid plexus. To address this, we present HyKid, an open-source dataset from 48 pediatric patients with hydrocephalus. 3D MRIs were provided with 1mm isotropic resolution, which was reconstructed from routine low-resolution images using a slice-to-volume algorithm. Manually corrected segmentations of brain tissues, including white matter, grey matter, lateral ventricle, external CSF, and the choroid plexus, were provided by an experienced neurologist. Additionally, structured data was extracted from clinical radiology reports using a Retrieval-Augmented Generation framework. The strong correlation between choroid plexus volume and total CSF volume provided a potential biomarker for hydrocephalus evaluation, achieving excellent performance in a predictive model (AUC = 0.87). The proposed HyKid dataset provided a high-quality benchmark for neuroimaging algorithms development, and it revealed the choroid plexus-related features in hydrocephalus assessments. Our datasets are publicly available at https://www.synapse.org/Synapse:syn68544889.

cs.CV

Compression-thinning behavior of bubble suspensions

Rheology of bubble suspensions is critical for the prediction and control of bubbly flows in a wide range of industrial processes. It is well-known that the bubble suspension exhibits a shear-thinning behavior due to the bubble shape deformation under pure shear, but how the shear rheology response to dilatation remains unexplored. Here, we report a compression-thinning behavior that the bubble suspension exhibits a decreasing shear viscosity upon compressing. This peculiar rheological behavior is microscopically due to that a shrinking bubble surface effectively weakens the flow resistance of the surrounding liquid. We theoretically propose a constitutive equation for dilute bubble suspensions considering both shear and dilatation effects, and demonstrate that the contribution of dilatation effect on the shear viscosity can be significant at a changing pressure.

physics.flu-dyn

Conformalized Tensor Completion with Riemannian Optimization

Tensor data, or multi-dimensional arrays, is a data format popular in multiple fields such as social network analysis, recommender systems, and brain imaging. It is not uncommon to observe tensor data containing missing values, and tensor completion aims at estimating the missing values given the partially observed tensor. Sufficient efforts have been spared on devising scalable tensor completion algorithms, but few on quantifying the uncertainty of the estimator. In this paper, we nest the uncertainty quantification (UQ) of tensor completion under a split conformal prediction framework and establish the connection of the UQ problem to a problem of estimating the missing propensity of each tensor entry. We model the data missingness of the tensor with a tensor Ising model parameterized by a low-rank tensor parameter. We propose to estimate the tensor parameter by maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation (MPLE) with a Riemannian gradient descent algorithm. Extensive simulation studies have been conducted to justify the validity of the resulting conformal interval. We apply our method to the regional total electron content (TEC) reconstruction problem. Supplemental materials of the paper are available online.

stat.ME

Matrix Autoregressive Model with Vector Time Series Covariates for Spatio-Temporal Data

We develop a new methodology for forecasting matrix-valued time series with historical matrix data and auxiliary vector time series data. We focus on a time series of matrices defined on a static 2-D spatial grid and an auxiliary time series of non-spatial vectors. The proposed model, Matrix AutoRegression with Auxiliary Covariates (MARAC), contains an autoregressive component for the historical matrix predictors and an additive component that maps the auxiliary vector predictors to a matrix response via tensor-vector product. The autoregressive component adopts a bi-linear transformation framework following Chen et al. (2021), significantly reducing the number of parameters. The auxiliary component posits that the tensor coefficient, which maps non-spatial predictors to a spatial response, contains slices of spatially smooth matrix coefficients that are discrete evaluations of smooth functions on a spatial grid from a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We propose to estimate the model parameters under a penalized maximum likelihood estimation framework coupled with an alternating minimization algorithm. We establish the joint asymptotics of the autoregressive and tensor parameters under fixed and high-dimensional regimes. Extensive simulations and a geophysical application for forecasting the global Total Electron Content (TEC) are conducted to validate the performance of MARAC.

stat.ME

Tensor Gaussian Process with Contraction for Multi-Channel Imaging Analysis

Multi-channel imaging data is a prevalent data format in scientific fields such as astronomy and biology. The structured information and the high dimensionality of these 3-D tensor data makes the analysis an intriguing but challenging topic for statisticians and practitioners. The low-rank scalar-on-tensor regression model, in particular, has received widespread attention and has been re-formulated as a tensor Gaussian Process (Tensor-GP) model with multi-linear kernel in Yu et al.(2018). In this paper, we extend the Tensor-GP model by introducing an integrative dimensionality reduction technique, called tensor contraction, with a Tensor-GP for a scalar-on-tensor regression task with multi-channel imaging data. This is motivated by the solar flare forecasting problem with high dimensional multi-channel imaging data. We first estimate a latent, reduced-size tensor for each data tensor and then apply a multi-linear Tensor-GP on the latent tensor data for prediction. We introduce an anisotropic total-variation regularization when conducting the tensor contraction to obtain a sparse and smooth latent tensor. We then propose an alternating proximal gradient descent algorithm for estimation. We validate our approach via extensive simulation studies and applying it to the solar flare forecasting problem.

stat.ME

Predicting Solar Flares Using CNN and LSTM on Two Solar Cycles of Active Region Data

We consider the flare prediction problem that distinguishes flare-imminent active regions that produce an M- or X-class flare in the future 24 hours, from quiet active regions that do not produce any flare within $\pm 24$ hours. Using line-of-sight magnetograms and parameters of active regions in two data products covering Solar Cycle 23 and 24, we train and evaluate two deep learning algorithms -- CNN and LSTM -- and their stacking ensembles. The decisions of CNN are explained using visual attribution methods. We have the following three main findings. (1) LSTM trained on data from two solar cycles achieves significantly higher True Skill Scores (TSS) than that trained on data from a single solar cycle with a confidence level of at least 0.95. (2) On data from Solar Cycle 23, a stacking ensemble that combines predictions from LSTM and CNN using the TSS criterion achieves significantly higher TSS than the "select-best" strategy with a confidence level of at least 0.95. (3) A visual attribution method called Integrated Gradients is able to attribute the CNN's predictions of flares to the emerging magnetic flux in the active region. It also reveals a limitation of CNN as a flare prediction method using line-of-sight magnetograms: it treats the polarity artifact of line-of-sight magnetograms as positive evidence of flares.

astro-ph.SR

Matrix Completion Methods for the Total Electron Content Video Reconstruction

The total electron content (TEC) maps can be used to estimate the signal delay of GPS due to the ionospheric electron content between a receiver and satellite. This delay can result in GPS positioning error. Thus it is important to monitor the TEC maps. The observed TEC maps have big patches of missingness in the ocean and scattered small areas of missingness on the land. In this paper, we propose several extensions of existing matrix completion algorithms to achieve TEC map reconstruction, accounting for spatial smoothness and temporal consistency while preserving important structures of the TEC maps. We call the proposed method Video Imputation with SoftImpute, Temporal smoothing and Auxiliary data (VISTA). Numerical simulations that mimic patterns of real data are given. We show that our proposed method achieves better reconstructed TEC maps as compared to existing methods in literature. Our proposed computational algorithm is general and can be readily applied for other problems besides TEC map reconstruction.

stat.AP

Interpreting LSTM Prediction on Solar Flare Eruption with Time-series Clustering

We conduct a post hoc analysis of solar flare predictions made by a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model employing data in the form of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) parameters calculated from data in proximity to the magnetic polarity inversion line where the flares originate. We train the the LSTM model for binary classification to provide a prediction score for the probability of M/X class flares to occur in next hour. We then develop a dimension-reduction technique to reduce the dimensions of SHARP parameter (LSTM inputs) and demonstrate the different patterns of SHARP parameters corresponding to the transition from low to high prediction score. Our work shows that a subset of SHARP parameters contain the key signals that strong solar flare eruptions are imminent. The dynamics of these parameters have a highly uniform trajectory for many events whose LSTM prediction scores for M/X class flares transition from very low to very high. The results demonstrate the existence of a few threshold values of SHARP parameters that when surpassed indicate a high probability of the eruption of a strong flare. Our method has distilled the knowledge of solar flare eruption learnt by deep learning model and provides a more interpretable approximation, which provides physical insight to processes driving solar flares.

astro-ph.SR

Solar Flare Intensity Prediction with Machine Learning Models

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of data (predictors) for each Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) Active Region Patch (HARP). The model makes use of (1) the Space-weather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) parameters as predictors and (2) the exact flare intensities instead of class labels recorded in the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) data set, which serves as the source of the response variables. Compared to solar flare classification, the model offers us more detailed information about the exact maximum flux level, i.e. intensity, for each occurrence of a flare. We also consider classification models built on top of the regression model and obtain better results in solar flare classifications. Our results suggest that the most efficient time period for predicting the solar activity is within 24 hours before the prediction time using the SHARP parameters and the LSTM model.

astro-ph.SR

Predicting solar flares with machine learning: investigating solar cycle dependence

A deep learning network, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network, is used in this work to predict whether the maximum flare class an active region (AR) will produce in the next 24 hours is class $\Gamma$. We considered $\Gamma$ are $\ge M$, $\ge C$ and any flare class. The essence of using LSTM, which is a recurrent neural network, is its capability to capture temporal information of the data samples. The input features are time sequences of 20 magnetic parameters from SHARPs - Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches. We analyzed active regions from June 2010 to Dec 2018, using the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) X-ray flare catalogs and label the data samples with identified ARs in the GOES X-ray flare catalogs. Our results (i) shows consistent skill scores with recently published results using LSTMs and better than the previous work using single time input (eg. DeFN) (ii) The skill scores from the model show essential differences when different years of data was chosen for training and testing.

astro-ph.SR