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Huafu Liao

Publications and source records attributed to Huafu Liao.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

Robust mean field control: an application to optimal execution under composite uncertainty

We provide a framework for robust mean field control problems that describe multi-dimensional optimal liquidation problems under uncertainty from both the underlying stochastic process and the deterministic model parameters. The verification results are established with Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs (HJBI) equations where the variables are probability measures and the Hamiltonian nonlinearly involves the joint distribution of position and momentum. Using novel a priori estimates, we establish the well-posedness of the HJBI equations featuring general or quadratic Hamiltonians that are neither displacement convex nor concave in their momentum. The a priori estimates and well-posedness results are extended during their application to optimal liquidation problems, where we allow the Hamiltonian to have derivatives of linear growth and solve the constrained multi-dimensional linear quadratic optimal liquidation problem under composite uncertainty.

math.OC

A particle system approach towards the global well-posedness of master equations for potential mean field games of control

This paper studies the $N$-particle systems as well as the HJB/master equations for a class of generalized mean field control (MFC) problems and the corresponding potential mean field games of control (MFGC). A local in time classical solution for the HJB equation is generated via a probabilistic approach based on the mean field maximum principle. Given an extension of the so called displacement convexity condition, we obtain the uniform estimates on the HJB equation for the $N$-particle system. Such estimates imply the displacement convexity/semi-concavity and thus the prior estimates on the solution to the HJB equation for generalized MFC problems. The global well-posedness of HJB/master equation for generalized MFC/potential MFGC is then proved thanks to the local well-posedness and the prior estimates. In view of the nature of the displacement convexity condition, such well-posedness is also true for the degenerated case. Our analysis on the $N$-particle system also induces an Lipschitz approximator to the optimal feedback function in generalized MFC/potential MFGC where an algebraic convergence rate is obtained. Furthermore, an alternative approximate Nash equilibrium is proposed based on the $N$-particle system, where the approximation error is quantified thanks to the aforementioned uniform estimates.

math.OC

Convergence analysis of controlled particle systems arising in deep learning: from finite to infinite sample size

This paper deals with a class of neural SDEs and studies the limiting behavior of the associated sampled optimal control problems as the sample size grows to infinity. The neural SDEs with $N$ samples can be linked to the $N$-particle systems with centralized control. We analyze the Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation corresponding to the $N$-particle system and establish regularity results which are uniform in $N$. The uniform regularity estimates are obtained by the stochastic maximum principle and the analysis of a backward stochastic Riccati equation. Using these uniform regularity results, we show the convergence of the minima of the objective functionals and optimal parameters of the neural SDEs as the sample size $N$ tends to infinity. The limiting objects can be identified with suitable functions defined on the Wasserstein space of Borel probability measures. Furthermore, quantitative convergence rates are also obtained.

math.OC

Large Sample Mean-Field Stochastic Optimization

We study a class of sampled stochastic optimization problems, where the underlying state process has diffusive dynamics of the mean-field type. We establish the existence of optimal relaxed controls when the sample set has finite size. The core of our paper is to prove, via $Γ$-convergence, that the minimizer of the finite sample relaxed problem converges to that of the limiting optimization problem. We connect the limit of the sampled objective functional to the unique solution, in the trajectory sense, of a nonlinear Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov (FPK) equation in a random environment. We highlight the connection between the minimizers of our optimization problems and the optimal training weights of a deep residual neural network.

math.OC

Risk-Sensitive Credit Portfolio Optimization under Partial Information and Contagion Risk

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has countable states and is unobservable. The stochastic control problem is formulated under partial observations of asset prices and sequential default events. By establishing a martingale representation theorem based on incomplete and phasing out filtration, we connect the control problem to a quadratic BSDE with jumps, in which the driver term is non-standard and carries the conditional filter as an infinite-dimensional parameter. By proposing some truncation techniques and proving a uniform a priori estimates, we obtain the existence of a solution to the BSDE using the convergence of solutions associated to some truncated BSDEs. The verification theorem can be concluded with the aid of our BSDE results, which in turn yields the uniqueness of the solution to the BSDE.

q-fin.PM

Optimal Tracking Portfolio with A Ratcheting Capital Benchmark

This paper studies the finite horizon portfolio management by optimally tracking a ratcheting capital benchmark process. It is assumed that the fund manager can dynamically inject capital into the portfolio account such that the total capital dominates a non-decreasing benchmark floor process at each intermediate time. The tracking problem is formulated to minimize the cost of accumulated capital injection. We first transform the original problem with floor constraints into an unconstrained control problem, however, under a running maximum cost. By identifying a controlled state process with reflection, the problem is further shown to be equivalent to an auxiliary problem, which leads to a nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with a Neumann boundary condition. By employing the dual transform, the probabilistic representation and some stochastic flow analysis, the existence of the unique classical solution to the HJB equation is established. The verification theorem is carefully proved, which gives the complete characterization of the feedback optimal portfolio. The application to market index tracking is also discussed when the index process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion.

q-fin.PM

Optimal Dividend Strategy for an Insurance Group with Contagious Default Risk

This paper studies the optimal dividend for a multi-line insurance group, in which each subsidiary runs a product line and is exposed to some external credit risk. The default contagion is considered such that one default event may increase the default probabilities of all surviving subsidiaries. The total dividend problem for the insurance group is investigated and we find that the optimal dividend strategy is still of the barrier type. Furthermore, we show that the optimal barrier of each subsidiary is modulated by the default state. That is, how many and which subsidiaries have defaulted will determine the dividend threshold of each surviving subsidiary. These conclusions are based on the analysis of the associated recursive system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman variational inequalities (HJBVIs). The existence of the classical solution is established and the verification theorem is proved. In the case of two subsidiaries, the value function and optimal barriers are given in analytical forms, allowing us to conclude that the optimal barrier of one subsidiary decreases if the other subsidiary defaults.

q-fin.RM

Probabilistic Analysis of Replicator-Mutator Equations

This paper introduces a general class of Replicator-Mutator equations on a multi-dimensional fitness space. We establish a novel probabilistic representation of weak solutions of the equation by using the theory of Fockker-Planck-Kolmogorov (FPK) equations and a martingale extraction approach. The examples with closed-form probabilistic solutions for different fitness functions considered in the existing literature are provided. We also construct a particle system and prove a general convergence result to any solution to the FPK equation associated with the extended Replicator-Mutator equation with respect to a Wasserstein-like distance adapted to our probabilistic framework.

math.AP

Risk Sensitive Portfolio Optimization with Default Contagion and Regime-Switching

We study an open problem of risk-sensitive portfolio allocation in a regime-switching credit market with default contagion. The state space of the Markovian regime-switching process is assumed to be a countably infinite set. To characterize the value function, we investigate the corresponding recursive infinite-dimensional nonlinear dynamical programming equations (DPEs) based on default states. We propose to work in the following procedure: Applying the theory of monotone dynamical system, we first establish the existence and uniqueness of classical solutions to the recursive DPEs by a truncation argument in the finite state space. The associated optimal feedback strategy is characterized by developing a rigorous verification theorem. Building upon results in the first stage, we construct a sequence of approximating risk sensitive control problems with finite states and prove that the resulting smooth value functions will converge to the classical solution of the original system of DPEs. The construction and approximation of the optimal feedback strategy for the original problem are also thoroughly discussed.

q-fin.PM

Optimal Credit Investment and Risk Control for an Insurer with Regime-Switching

This paper studies an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer with default contagion and regime-switching. The insurer in our model allocates his/her wealth across multi-name defaultable stocks and a riskless bond under regime-switching risk. Default events have an impact on the distress state of the surviving stocks in the portfolio. The aim of the insurer is to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. We characterize the optimal trading strategy of defaultable stocks and risk control for the insurer. By developing a truncation technique, we analyze the existence and uniqueness of global (classical) solutions to the recursive HJB system. We prove the verification theorem based on the (classical) solutions of the recursive HJB system.

q-fin.MF