Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Iain M. Johnstone

Publications and source records attributed to Iain M. Johnstone.

30 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Joint density of eigenvalues in spiked multivariate models

The classical methods of multivariate analysis are based on the eigenvalues of one or two sample covariance matrices. In many applications of these methods, for example to high dimensional data, it is natural to consider alternative hypotheses which are a low rank departure from the null hypothesis. For rank one alternatives, this note provides a representation for the joint eigenvalue density in terms of a single contour integral. This will be of use for deriving approximate distributions for likelihood ratios and linear statistics used in testing.

math.ST↗

On the within-family Kullback-Leibler risk in Gaussian Predictive models

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model. Decision theoretic properties of the within-family prediction error -- the minimal risk among estimates in the class $\mathcal{G}$ of all Gaussian densities are discussed. We show that in sparse models, the class $\mathcal{G}$ is minimax sub-optimal. We produce asymptotically sharp upper and lower bounds on the within-family prediction errors for various subfamilies of $\mathcal{G}$. Under mild regularity conditions, in the sub-family where the covariance structure is represented by a single data dependent parameter $\Shat=\dhat \cdot I$, the Kullback-Leiber risk has a tractable decomposition which can be subsequently minimized to yield optimally flattened predictive density estimates. The optimal predictive risk can be explicitly expressed in terms of the corresponding mean square error of the location estimate, and so, the role of shrinkage in the predictive regime can be determined based on point estimation theory results. Our results demonstrate that some of the decision theoretic parallels between predictive density estimation and point estimation regimes can be explained by second moment based concentration properties of the quadratic loss.

math.ST↗

Fast approach to the Tracy-Widom law at the edge of GOE and GUE

We study the rate of convergence for the largest eigenvalue distributions in the Gaussian unitary and orthogonal ensembles to their Tracy-Widom limits. We show that one can achieve an $O(N^{-2/3})$ rate with particular choices of the centering and scaling constants. The arguments here also shed light on more complicated cases of Laguerre and Jacobi ensembles, in both unitary and orthogonal versions. Numerical work shows that the suggested constants yield reasonable approximations, even for surprisingly small values of N.

math.PR↗

Minimax bounds for sparse PCA with noisy high-dimensional data

We study the problem of estimating the leading eigenvectors of a high-dimensional population covariance matrix based on independent Gaussian observations. We establish a lower bound on the minimax risk of estimators under the $l_2$ loss, in the joint limit as dimension and sample size increase to infinity, under various models of sparsity for the population eigenvectors. The lower bound on the risk points to the existence of different regimes of sparsity of the eigenvectors. We also propose a new method for estimating the eigenvectors by a two-stage coordinate selection scheme.

math.ST↗

Augmented sparse principal component analysis for high dimensional data

We study the problem of estimating the leading eigenvectors of a high-dimensional population covariance matrix based on independent Gaussian observations. We establish lower bounds on the rates of convergence of the estimators of the leading eigenvectors under $l^q$-sparsity constraints when an $l^2$ loss function is used. We also propose an estimator of the leading eigenvectors based on a coordinate selection scheme combined with PCA and show that the proposed estimator achieves the optimal rate of convergence under a sparsity regime. Moreover, we establish that under certain scenarios, the usual PCA achieves the minimax convergence rate.

math.ST↗

Approximate null distribution of the largest root in multivariate analysis

The greatest root distribution occurs everywhere in classical multivariate analysis, but even under the null hypothesis the exact distribution has required extensive tables or special purpose software. We describe a simple approximation, based on the Tracy--Widom distribution, that in many cases can be used instead of tables or software, at least for initial screening. The quality of approximation is studied, and its use illustrated in a variety of setttings.

stat.AP↗

Multivariate analysis and Jacobi ensembles: largest eigenvalue, Tracy--Widom limits and rates of convergence

Let $A$ and $B$ be independent, central Wishart matrices in $p$ variables with common covariance and having $m$ and $n$ degrees of freedom, respectively. The distribution of the largest eigenvalue of $(A+B)^{-1}B$ has numerous applications in multivariate statistics, but is difficult to calculate exactly. Suppose that $m$ and $n$ grow in proportion to $p$. We show that after centering and scaling, the distribution is approximated to second-order, $O(p^{-2/3})$, by the Tracy--Widom law. The results are obtained for both complex and then real-valued data by using methods of random matrix theory to study the largest eigenvalue of the Jacobi unitary and orthogonal ensembles. Asymptotic approximations of Jacobi polynomials near the largest zero play a central role.

math.ST↗

High Dimensional Statistical Inference and Random Matrices

Multivariate statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of inter-dependence. Driven by problems in genetics and the social sciences, it first flowered in the earlier half of the last century. Subsequently, random matrix theory (RMT) developed, initially within physics, and more recently widely in mathematics. While some of the central objects of study in RMT are identical to those of multivariate statistics, statistical theory was slow to exploit the connection. However, with vast data collection ever more common, data sets now often have as many or more variables than the number of individuals observed. In such contexts, the techniques and results of RMT have much to offer multivariate statistics. The paper reviews some of the progress to date.

math.ST↗

Empirical Bayes selection of wavelet thresholds

This paper explores a class of empirical Bayes methods for level-dependent threshold selection in wavelet shrinkage. The prior considered for each wavelet coefficient is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density. The mixing weight, or sparsity parameter, for each level of the transform is chosen by marginal maximum likelihood. If estimation is carried out using the posterior median, this is a random thresholding procedure; the estimation can also be carried out using other thresholding rules with the same threshold. Details of the calculations needed for implementing the procedure are included. In practice, the estimates are quick to compute and there is software available. Simulations on the standard model functions show excellent performance, and applications to data drawn from various fields of application are used to explore the practical performance of the approach. By using a general result on the risk of the corresponding marginal maximum likelihood approach for a single sequence, overall bounds on the risk of the method are found subject to membership of the unknown function in one of a wide range of Besov classes, covering also the case of f of bounded variation. The rates obtained are optimal for any value of the parameter p in (0,\infty], simultaneously for a wide range of loss functions, each dominating the L_q norm of the \sigmath derivative, with σ\ge0 and 0<q\le2.

math.ST↗

Adapting to Unknown Sparsity by controlling the False Discovery Rate

We attempt to recover an $n$-dimensional vector observed in white noise, where $n$ is large and the vector is known to be sparse, but the degree of sparsity is unknown. We consider three different ways of defining sparsity of a vector: using the fraction of nonzero terms; imposing power-law decay bounds on the ordered entries; and controlling the $\ell_p$ norm for $p$ small. We obtain a procedure which is asymptotically minimax for $\ell^r$ loss, simultaneously throughout a range of such sparsity classes. The optimal procedure is a data-adaptive thresholding scheme, driven by control of the {\it False Discovery Rate} (FDR). FDR control is a relatively recent innovation in simultaneous testing, ensuring that at most a certain fraction of the rejected null hypotheses will correspond to false rejections. In our treatment, the FDR control parameter $q_n$ also plays a determining role in asymptotic minimaxity. If $q = \lim q_n \in [0,1/2]$ and also $q_n > γ/\log(n)$ we get sharp asymptotic minimaxity, simultaneously, over a wide range of sparse parameter spaces and loss functions. On the other hand, $ q = \lim q_n \in (1/2,1]$, forces the risk to exceed the minimax risk by a factor growing with $q$. To our knowledge, this relation between ideas in simultaneous inference and asymptotic decision theory is new. Our work provides a new perspective on a class of model selection rules which has been introduced recently by several authors. These new rules impose complexity penalization of the form $2 \cdot \log({potential model size} / {actual model size})$. We exhibit a close connection with FDR-controlling procedures under stringent control of the false discovery rate.

math.ST↗

Periodic boxcar deconvolution and diophantine approximation

We consider the nonparametric estimation of a periodic function that is observed in additive Gaussian white noise after convolution with a ``boxcar,'' the indicator function of an interval. This is an idealized model for the problem of recovery of noisy signals and images observed with ``motion blur.'' If the length of the boxcar is rational, then certain frequencies are irretreviably lost in the periodic model. We consider the rate of convergence of estimators when the length of the boxcar is irrational, using classical results on approximation of irrationals by continued fractions. A basic question of interest is whether the minimax rate of convergence is slower than for nonperiodic problems with 1/f-like convolution filters. The answer turns out to depend on the type and smoothness of functions being estimated in a manner not seen with ``homogeneous'' filters.

math.ST↗

Needles and straw in haystacks: Empirical Bayes estimates of possibly sparse sequences

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density γ, with the mixing weight chosen by marginal maximum likelihood, in the hope of adapting between sparse and dense sequences. If estimation is then carried out using the posterior median, this is a random thresholding procedure. Other thresholding rules employing the same threshold can also be used. Probability bounds on the threshold chosen by the marginal maximum likelihood approach lead to overall risk bounds over classes of signal sequences of length n, allowing for sparsity of various kinds and degrees. The signal classes considered are ``nearly black'' sequences where only a proportion ηis allowed to be nonzero, and sequences with normalized \ell_p norm bounded by η, for η>0 and 0 1. Simulations show excellent performance.

math.ST↗