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Ian Hyla Jermyn

Publications and source records attributed to Ian Hyla Jermyn.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Prior selection for the precision parameter of Dirichlet Process Mixtures

Consider a Dirichlet process mixture model (DPM) with random precision parameter $α$, inducing $K_n$ clusters over $n$ observations through its latent random partition. Our goal is to specify the prior distribution $p\left(α\mid\boldsymbolη\right)$, including its fixed parameter vector $\boldsymbolη$, in a way that is meaningful. Existing approaches can be broadly categorised into three groups. Those in the first group depend on the sample size $n$, and often rely on the linkage between $p\left(α\mid\boldsymbolη\right)$ and $p\left(K_n\right)$ to draw conclusions on how to best choose $\boldsymbolη$ to reflect one's prior knowledge of $K_{n}$; we call them sample-size-dependent. Those in the second and third group consist instead of using quasi-degenerate or improper priors, respectively. In this article, we show how all three methods have limitations, especially for large $n$. Then we propose an alternative methodology which does not depend on $K_n$ or on the size of the available sample, but rather on the relationship between the largest stick lengths in the stick-breaking construction of the DPM; and which reflects those prior beliefs in $p\left(α\mid\boldsymbolη\right)$. We conclude with an example where existing sample-size-dependent approaches fail, while our sample-size-independent approach continues to be feasible.

stat.ME↗

Structured prior distributions for the covariance matrix in latent factor models

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction in the analysis of multivariate data. This is achieved through decomposition of a p x p covariance matrix into the sum of two components. Through a latent factor representation, they can be interpreted as a diagonal matrix of idiosyncratic variances and a shared variation matrix, that is, the product of a p x k factor loadings matrix and its transpose. If k << p, this defines a parsimonious factorisation of the covariance matrix. Historically, little attention has been paid to incorporating prior information in Bayesian analyses using factor models where, at best, the prior for the factor loadings is order invariant. In this work, a class of structured priors is developed that can encode ideas of dependence structure about the shared variation matrix. The construction allows data-informed shrinkage towards sensible parametric structures while also facilitating inference over the number of factors. Using an unconstrained reparameterisation of stationary vector autoregressions, the methodology is extended to stationary dynamic factor models. For computational inference, parameter-expanded Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers are proposed, including an efficient adaptive Gibbs sampler. Two substantive applications showcase the scope of the methodology and its inferential benefits.

stat.ME↗