arXiv subjects

Ian Marius Peters

Publications and source records attributed to Ian Marius Peters.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

Introducing flexible perovskites to the IoT world using photovoltaic-powered wireless tags

Billions of everyday objects could become part of the Internet of Things (IoT) by augmentation with low-cost, long-range, maintenance-free wireless sensors. Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) is a low-cost wireless technology that could enable this vision, but it is constrained by short communication range and lack of sufficient energy available to power auxiliary electronics and sensors. Here, we explore the use of flexible perovskite photovoltaic cells to provide external power to semi-passive RFID tags to increase range and energy availability for external electronics such as microcontrollers and digital sensors. Perovskites are intriguing materials that hold the possibility to develop high-performance, low-cost, optically tunable (to absorb different light spectra), and flexible light energy harvesters. Our prototype perovskite photovoltaic cells on plastic substrates have an efficiency of 13% and a voltage of 0.88 V at maximum power under standard testing conditions. We built prototypes of RFID sensors powered with these flexible photovoltaic cells to demonstrate real-world applications. Our evaluation of the prototypes suggests that: i) flexible PV cells are durable up to a bending radius of 5 mm with only a 20 % drop in relative efficiency; ii) RFID communication range increased by 5x, and meets the energy needs (10-350 microwatt) to enable self-powered wireless sensors; iii) perovskite powered wireless sensors enable many battery-less sensing applications (e.g., perishable good monitoring, warehouse automation)

eess.SP↗

arXiv2022

Georeferencing of Photovoltaic Modules from Aerial Infrared Videos using Structure-from-Motion

To identify abnormal photovoltaic (PV) modules in large-scale PV plants economically, drone-mounted infrared (IR) cameras and automated video processing algorithms are frequently used. While most related works focus on the detection of abnormal modules, little has been done to automatically localize those modules within the plant. In this work, we use incremental structure-from-motion to automatically obtain geocoordinates of all PV modules in a plant based on visual cues and the measured GPS trajectory of the drone. In addition, we extract multiple IR images of each PV module. Using our method, we successfully map 99.3 % of the 35084 modules in four large-scale and one rooftop plant and extract over 2.2 million module images. As compared to our previous work, extraction misses 18 times less modules (one in 140 modules as compared to one in eight). Furthermore, two or three plant rows can be processed simultaneously, increasing module throughput and reducing flight duration by a factor of 2.1 and 3.7, respectively. Comparison with an accurate orthophoto of one of the large-scale plants yields a root mean square error of the estimated module geocoordinates of 5.87 m and a relative error within each plant row of 0.22 m to 0.82 m. Finally, we use the module geocoordinates and extracted IR images to visualize distributions of module temperatures and anomaly predictions of a deep learning classifier on a map. While the temperature distribution helps to identify disconnected strings, we also find that its detection accuracy for module anomalies reaches, or even exceeds, that of a deep learning classifier for seven out of ten common anomaly types. The software is published at https://github.com/LukasBommes/PV-Hawk.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

Anomaly Detection in IR Images of PV Modules using Supervised Contrastive Learning

Increasing deployment of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires methods for automatic detection of faulty PV modules in modalities, such as infrared (IR) images. Recently, deep learning has become popular for this. However, related works typically sample train and test data from the same distribution ignoring the presence of domain shift between data of different PV plants. Instead, we frame fault detection as more realistic unsupervised domain adaptation problem where we train on labelled data of one source PV plant and make predictions on another target plant. We train a ResNet-34 convolutional neural network with a supervised contrastive loss, on top of which we employ a k-nearest neighbor classifier to detect anomalies. Our method achieves a satisfactory area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 73.3 % to 96.6 % on nine combinations of four source and target datasets with 2.92 million IR images of which 8.5 % are anomalous. It even outperforms a binary cross-entropy classifier in some cases. With a fixed decision threshold this results in 79.4 % and 77.1 % correctly classified normal and anomalous images, respectively. Most misclassified anomalies are of low severity, such as hot diodes and small hot spots. Our method is insensitive to hyperparameter settings, converges quickly and reliably detects unknown types of anomalies making it well suited for practice. Possible uses are in automatic PV plant inspection systems or to streamline manual labelling of IR datasets by filtering out normal images. Furthermore, our work serves the community with a more realistic view on PV module fault detection using unsupervised domain adaptation to develop more performant methods with favorable generalization capabilities.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

Module-Power Prediction from PL Measurements using Deep Learning

The individual causes for power loss of photovoltaic modules are investigated for quite some time. Recently, it has been shown that the power loss of a module is, for example, related to the fraction of inactive areas. While these areas can be easily identified from electroluminescense (EL) images, this is much harder for photoluminescence (PL) images. With this work, we close the gap between power regression from EL and PL images. We apply a deep convolutional neural network to predict the module power from PL images with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.4% or 11.7WP. Furthermore, we depict that regression maps computed from the embeddings of the trained network can be used to compute the localized power loss. Finally, we show that these regression maps can be used to identify inactive regions in PL images as well.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

Computer Vision Tool for Detection, Mapping and Fault Classification of PV Modules in Aerial IR Videos

Increasing deployment of photovoltaics (PV) plants demands for cheap and fast inspection. A viable tool for this task is thermographic imaging by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV). In this work, we develop a computer vision tool for the semi-automatic extraction of PV modules from thermographic UAV videos. We use it to curate a dataset containing 4.3 million IR images of 107842 PV modules from thermographic videos of seven different PV plants. To demonstrate its use for automated PV plant inspection, we train a ResNet-50 to classify ten common module anomalies with more than 90 % test accuracy. Experiments show that our tool generalizes well to different PV plants. It successfully extracts PV modules from 512 out of 561 plant rows. Failures are mostly due to an inappropriate UAV trajectory and erroneous module segmentation. Including all manual steps our tool enables inspection of 3.5 MW p to 9 MW p of PV installations per day, potentially scaling to multi-gigawatt plants due to its parallel nature. While we present an effective method for automated PV plant inspection, we are also confident that our approach helps to meet the growing demand for large thermographic datasets for machine learning tasks, such as power prediction or unsupervised defect identification.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

PV Modules and Their Backsheets -- A Case Study of a Multi-MW PV Power Station

Degradation of backsheets (BS) and encapsulant polymer components of silicon PV modules is recognized as one of the main reasons for losses in PV plant performance and lifetime expectations. Here, we report first insights into the correlation between BS composition of PV-modules and PV power station performance by using a combination of lab- and field-imaging, as well as spectroscopic and electrical characterizations. Using field-suitable near-infrared absorption (NIRA) spectroscopy, the BS structure of 518 PV-modules, 2.5 percent of the PV-modules in a 5 MWp PV power station, was identified on-site. The variance of the BS composition was found to be heterogeneous across PV-modules of the same power class from the same manufacturer. Polymaide-based BS cause in 10 out of 100 inverters ground impedance values below 400 kOhm, which is a typical threshold for inverters connecting to the grid. For primer-based BS this low value is reached 20 times. We conclude these numbers best as possible from the available monitoring data of inverters associated with BS-types from NIRA. Challenging is the identification of degraded primer-based BSs, since visually they look healthy and undistinguishable to well performing BSs. The present results demonstrate that a deeper understanding of the relationship between bill-of-materials and performance of PV-modules is necessary to avoid/minimize inverter shut-downs, and that it can be achieved by using combinations of selected field and lab characterization methods with monitoring data.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

arXiv2021

Joint Super-Resolution and Rectification for Solar Cell Inspection

Visual inspection of solar modules is an important monitoring facility in photovoltaic power plants. Since a single measurement of fast CMOS sensors is limited in spatial resolution and often not sufficient to reliably detect small defects, we apply multi-frame super-resolution (MFSR) to a sequence of low resolution measurements. In addition, the rectification and removal of lens distortion simplifies subsequent analysis. Therefore, we propose to fuse this pre-processing with standard MFSR algorithms. This is advantageous, because we omit a separate processing step, the motion estimation becomes more stable and the spacing of high-resolution (HR) pixels on the rectified module image becomes uniform w. r. t. the module plane, regardless of perspective distortion. We present a comprehensive user study showing that MFSR is beneficial for defect recognition by human experts and that the proposed method performs better than the state of the art. Furthermore, we apply automated crack segmentation and show that the proposed method performs 3x better than bicubic upsampling and 2x better than the state of the art for automated inspection.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

Deep Learning-based Pipeline for Module Power Prediction from EL Measurements

Automated inspection plays an important role in monitoring large-scale photovoltaic power plants. Commonly, electroluminescense measurements are used to identify various types of defects on solar modules but have not been used to determine the power of a module. However, knowledge of the power at maximum power point is important as well, since drops in the power of a single module can affect the performance of an entire string. By now, this is commonly determined by measurements that require to discontact or even dismount the module, rendering a regular inspection of individual modules infeasible. In this work, we bridge the gap between electroluminescense measurements and the power determination of a module. We compile a large dataset of 719 electroluminescense measurementsof modules at various stages of degradation, especially cell cracks and fractures, and the corresponding power at maximum power point. Here,we focus on inactive regions and cracks as the predominant type of defect. We set up a baseline regression model to predict the power from electroluminescense measurements with a mean absolute error of 9.0+/-3.7$W_P$ (4.0+/-8.4%). Then, we show that deep-learning can be used to train a model that performs significantly better (7.3+/-2.7$W_P$ or 3.2+/-6.5%) and propose a variant of class activation maps to obtain the per cell power loss, as predicted by the model. With this work, we aim to open a new research topic. Therefore, we publicly release the dataset, the code and trained models to empower other researchers to compare against our results. Finally, we present a thorough evaluation of certain boundary conditions like the dataset size and an automated preprocessing pipeline for on-site measurements showing multiple modules at once.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

Bridging the gap between photovoltaics R&D and manufacturing with data-driven optimization

Novel photovoltaics, such as perovskites and perovskite-inspired materials, have shown great promise due to high efficiency and potentially low manufacturing cost. So far, solar cell R&D has mostly focused on achieving record efficiencies, a process that often results in small batches, large variance, and limited understanding of the physical causes of underperformance. This approach is intensive in time and resources, and ignores many relevant factors for industrial production, particularly the need for high reproducibility and high manufacturing yield, and the accompanying need of physical insights. The record-efficiency paradigm is effective in early-stage R&D, but becomes unsuitable for industrial translation, requiring a repetition of the optimization procedure in the industrial setting. This mismatch between optimization objectives, combined with the complexity of physical root-cause analysis, contributes to decade-long timelines to transfer new technologies into the market. Based on recent machine learning and technoeconomic advances, our perspective articulates a data-driven optimization framework to bridge R&D and manufacturing optimization approaches. We extend the maximum-efficiency optimization paradigm by considering two additional dimensions: a technoeconomic figure of merit and scalable physical inference. Our framework naturally aligns different stages of technology development with shared optimization objectives, and accelerates the optimization process by providing physical insights.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2020

Techno-economic model of a second-life energy storage system for utility-scale solar power considering li-ion calendar and cycle aging

While the use of energy storage combined with grid-scale photovoltaic power plants continues to grow, given current lithium-ion battery prices, there remains uncertainty about the profitability of these solar-plus-storage projects. At the same time, the rapid proliferation of electric vehicles is creating a fleet of millions of lithium-ion batteries that will be deemed unsuitable for the transportation industry once they reach 80 percent of their original capacity. The repurposing and deployment of these batteries as stationary energy storage provides an opportunity to reduce the cost of solar-plus-storage systems, if the economics can be proven. We present a techno-economic model of a solar-plus-second-life energy storage project in California, including a data-based model of lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide battery degradation, to predict its capacity fade over time, and compare it to a project that uses a new lithium-ion battery. By setting certain control policy limits, to minimize cycle aging, we show that a system with SOC limits in a 65 to 15 percent range, extends the project life to over 16 years, assuming a battery reaches its end-of-life at 60 percent of its original capacity. Under these conditions, a second-life project is more economically favorable than a project that uses a new battery and 85 to 20 percent SOC limits, for second-life battery costs that are less than 80 percent of the new battery. The same system reaches break-even and profitability for second-life battery costs that are less than 60 percent of the new battery. Our model shows that using current benchmarked data for the capital and O&M costs of solar-plus-storage systems, and a semi-empirical data-based degradation model, it is possible for EV manufacturers to sell second-life batteries for less than 60 percent of their original price to developers of profitable solar-plus-storage projects.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2019

Embedding Physics Domain Knowledge into a Bayesian Network Enables Layer-by-Layer Process Innovation for Photovoltaics

Process optimization of photovoltaic devices is a time-intensive, trial and error endeavor, without full transparency of the underlying physics, and with user-imposed constraints that may or may not lead to a global optimum. Herein, we demonstrate that embedding physics domain knowledge into a Bayesian network enables an optimization approach that identifies the root cause(s) of underperformance with layer by-layer resolution and reveals alternative optimal process windows beyond global black-box optimization. Our Bayesian-network approach links process conditions to materials descriptors (bulk and interface properties, e.g., bulk lifetime, doping, and surface recombination) and device performance parameters (e.g., cell efficiency), using a Bayesian inference framework with an autoencoder-based surrogate device-physics model that is 100x faster than numerical solvers. With the trained surrogate model, our approach is robust and reduces significantly the time consuming experimentalist intervention, even with small numbers of fabricated samples. To demonstrate our method, we perform layer-by-layer optimization of GaAs solar cells. In a single cycle of learning, we find an improved growth temperature for the GaAs solar cells without any secondary measurements, and demonstrate a 6.5% relative AM1.5G efficiency improvement above baseline and traditional black-box optimization methods.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2019

Revisiting Thin Silicon for Photovoltaics: A Technoeconomic Perspective

Adopting thin Si wafers for PV reduces capital expenditure (capex) and manufacturing cost, and accelerates the growth of PV manufacturing. There are two key questions about thin Si today: (a) how much can we still benefit economically from thinning wafers? (b) what are the technological challenges to transition to thin wafers? In this work, we re-evaluate the benefits and challenges of thin Si for current and future PV modules using a comprehensive techno-economic framework that couples device simulation, bottom-up cost modeling, and a cash-flow growth model. When adopting an advanced technology concept that features sufficiently good surface passivation, similarly high efficiencies are achievable for 50-um wafers as for 160-um ones. We then quantify the economic benefits for thin Si wafers in terms of poly-Si-to-module manufacturing capex, module cost, and levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for utility PV systems. Particularly, LCOE favors thinner wafers for all investigated device architectures, and can potentially be reduced by more than 5% from the value of 160-um wafers. With further improvements in module efficiency, an advanced thin-wafer device concept with 50-um wafers could reduce manufacturing capex by 48%, module cost by 28%, and LCOE by 24%. Furthermore, we apply a sustainable growth model to investigate PV deployment scenarios in 2030. It is found that the state-of-the-art industry concept could not achieve the climate targets even with very aggressive financial scenarios, therefore the capex reduction benefit of thin wafers is needed to facilitate more rapid PV growth. Lastly, we discuss the remaining technological challenges and areas for innovation to enable high-yield manufacturing of high-efficiency PV modules with thin Si wafers.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2019

Perovskite PV-powered RFID: enabling low-cost self-powered IoT sensors

Photovoltaic (PV) cells have the potential to serve as on-board power sources for low-power IoT devices. Here, we explore the use of perovskite solar cells to power Radio Frequency (RF) backscatter-based IoT devices with a few μW power demand. Perovskites are suitable for low-cost, high-performance, low-temperature processing, and flexible light energy harvesting that hold the possibility to significantly extend the range and lifetime of current backscatter techniques such as Radio Frequency Identification (RFID). For these reasons, perovskite solar cells are prominent candidates for future low-power wireless applications. We report on realizing a functional perovskite-powered wireless temperature sensor with 4 m communication range. We use a 10.1% efficient perovskite PV module generating an output voltage of 4.3 V with an active area of 1.06 cm2 under 1 sun illumination, with AM 1.5G spectrum, to power a commercial off-the-shelf RFID IC, requiring 10 - 45 μW of power. Having an on-board energy harvester provides extra-energy to boost the range of the sensor (5x) in addition to providing energy to carry out high-volume sensor measurements (hundreds of measurements per min). Our evaluation of the prototype suggests that perovskite photovoltaic cells are able to meet the energy needs to enable fully autonomous low-power RF backscatter applications of the future. We conclude with an outlook into a range of applications that we envision to leverage the synergies offered by combining perovskite photovoltaics and RFID.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2019

Self-powered sensors enabled by wide-bandgap perovskite indoor photovoltaic cells

We present a new approach to ubiquitous sensing for indoor applications, using high-efficiency and low-cost indoor perovksite photovoltaic cells as external power sources for backscatter sensors. We demonstrate wide-bandgap perovskite photovoltaic cells for indoor light energy harvesting with the 1.63eV and 1.84 eV devices demonstrate efficiencies of 21% and 18.5% respectively under indoor compact fluorescent lighting, with a champion open-circuit voltage of 0.95 V in a 1.84 eV cell under a light intensity of 0.16 mW/cm2. Subsequently, we demonstrate a wireless temperature sensor self-powered by a perovskite indoor light-harvesting module. We connect three perovskite photovoltaic cells in series to create a module that produces 14.5 uW output power under 0.16 mW/cm2 of compact fluorescent illumination with an efficiency of 13.2%. We use this module as an external power source for a battery-assisted RFID temperature sensor and demonstrate a read range by of 5.1 meters while maintaining very high frequency measurements every 1.24 seconds. Our combined indoor perovskite photovoltaic modules and backscatter radio-frequency sensors are further discussed as a route to ubiquitous sensing in buildings given their potential to be manufactured in an integrated manner at very low-cost, their lack of a need for battery replacement and the high frequency data collection possible.

physics.app-ph↗

arXiv2019

Long range battery-less PV-powered RFID tag sensors

Communication range in passive Radio-Frequency Identification (RFID) front-end devices is a critical barrier in the real-world implementation of this low-cost technology. Purely passive RFID tags power up by harvesting the limited RF energy transmitted by the interrogator, and communicate by backscattering the incident signal. This mode of communication keeps manufacturing costs below a few cents per tag, but the limited power available at the tag undermines long-range deployment. In this paper, we present an approach to use Photovoltaics (PV) to augment the available energy at the tag to improve read range and sensing capabilities. We provide this extra-energy to the RFID integrated circuit (IC) using minimum additional electronics yet enabling persistent sensor-data acquisition. Current and emerging thin-film PV technologies have significant potential for being very low-cost, hence eliminating the barrier for implementation and making of PV-RFID wireless sensors. We reduce the long-range PV-RFID idea to practice by creating functional prototypes of i) a wireless building environment sensor to monitor temperature, and ii) an embedded tracker to find lost golf balls. The read range of PV-RFID is enhanced 8 times compared to conventional passive devices. In addition, the PV-RFID tags persistently transmit large volumes of sensor data (>0.14 million measurements per day) without using batteries. For communication range and energy persistence, we observe good agreement between calculated estimates and experimental results. We have also identified avenues for future research to develop low-cost PV-RFID devices for wireless sensing in the midst of the other competitive wireless technologies such as Bluetooth, Zigbee, Long Range (LoRa) backscatter etc.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2019

The Impact of Global Warming on Silicon PV Energy Yield in 2100

While the installed photovoltaic capacity grows to a terawatt scale, effects of global climate change unfold. The question arises, how a changing climate, and especially raising temperatures, will affect the performance of PV installations in the future. In this paper we present an estimate of the reduction in energy yield for silicon PV installations due to global warming in the year 2100. Using IPCC global warming scenarios and published temperature coefficients for todays silicon PV panels, we project median reductions in annual energy output of today's silicon solar panel of 15kWh per kWP, with reductions up to 50kWh per kWP in some areas. Higher efficiency cells and advanced cell and module architectures can significantly reduce these losses. Cell concepts with higher voltage are particularly effective in reducing temperature induced losses.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2019

On Climate Change and Photovoltaic Energy Production

As the 21st century progresses, photovoltaic technology is becoming a major provider of the worlds electricity, while effects of global climate change unfold. This development begs the question: is climate change affecting the energy production of solar cells? In this article, we attempt to answer this question looking backward and forward. We start by analyzing recent trends for global meteorological conditions and solar cell performance parameters, covering the ten-year period between 20016 and 2015. We leverage a field-verified performance model for two of the most well-established solar cell technologies that also feature very different sensitivities to changing operating conditions: silicon and cadmium telluride. We find that climate change has already left its mark: ten years ago, silicon solar panels -- on average -- generated 4 kWh per m2 more power than today. Correlating solar cell performance ratio changes and changes in operating conditions, we find that temperature globally is the leading factor for silicon (-0.52 pm 0.03% per K), accounting for approx. 85% of the observed effect. Water related light absorption in the atmosphere is most likely responsible for much of the remaining contribution. To predict how future solar cell performance is affected, we focus on the implications of raising temperatures. For the end of the 21st century, we project that silicon PV panels globally will suffer performance reductions of between 0.7% and 2.5% (8 to 30 kWh per kWp in North America), depending on the global warming scenario. These reductions will result in significant socioeconomic penalties, particularly in a world that produces a significant portion of its electricity from PV panels, and especially if additional effects of global warming, like accelerated panel degradation and extreme weather are considered.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2019

Meeting Global Cooling Demand with Photovoltaics during the 21st Century

Space conditioning, and cooling in particular, is a key factor in human productivity and well-being across the globe. During the 21st century, global cooling demand is expected to grow significantly due to the increase in wealth and population in sunny nations across the globe and the advance of global warming. The same locations that see high demand for cooling are also ideal for electricity generation via photovoltaics (PV). Despite the apparent synergy between cooling demand and PV generation, the potential of the cooling sector to sustain PV generation has not been assessed on a global scale. Here, we perform a global assessment of increased PV electricity adoption enabled by the residential cooling sector during the 21st century. Already today, utilizing PV production for cooling could facilitate an additional installed PV capacity of approximately 540 GW, more than the global PV capacity of today. Using established scenarios of population and income growth, as well as accounting for future global warming, we further project that the global residential cooling sector could sustain an added PV capacity between 20-200 GW each year for most of the 21st century, on par with the current global manufacturing capacity of 100 GW. Furthermore, we find that without storage, PV could directly power approximately 50% of cooling demand, and that this fraction is set to increase from 49% to 56% during the 21st century, as cooling demand grows in locations where PV and cooling have a higher synergy. With this geographic shift in demand, the potential of distributed storage also grows. We simulate that with a 1 m$^3$ water-based latent thermal storage per household, the fraction of cooling demand met with PV would increase from 55% to 70% during the century. These results show that the synergy between cooling and PV is notable and could significantly accelerate the growth of the global PV industry.

econ.GN↗