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Igor Matias

Publications and source records attributed to Igor Matias.

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Representation Matters in Longitudinal Affective Computing

Longitudinal, in-the-wild, wearable sensing yields day-level physiology, sleep, activity, and environmental streams, whereas affect and cognition are labeled only episodically (per waves). We recast this cadence mismatch as a temporal representation problem and compare three wave-level mappings from dense histories to sparse labels: levels (within-wave summaries), absolute drift (change across waves), and proportional drift. Using almost a year of data from 82 adults in the Providemus alz study, we model 21 affect and cognition outcomes. Day-scale signals are reduced to compact wave-level descriptors (central tendency, dispersion, and distributional shape) and learned with four regressors under two orthogonal evaluation axes: leave-one-subject-out and leave-one-wave-out. Performance is reported as scaled MAE using both mean and median across folds. Differences emerge: affective states are best predicted by wave-to-wave absolute drift, whereas cognitive performance aligns with within-wave levels, reflecting emotion dynamic theories. Across windowing features, shape descriptors (e.g., minima, kurtosis) carry more signal than simple means/medians. We contribute a representation triad for sparse-label modelling, a wave-level feature schema applicable on-device, and a dual-axis reporting practice that separates cross-participant generalization from temporal robustness. These results convert temporal representation from an implicit preprocessing step into an explicit, testable design choice for real-world affective-computing applications in brain health.

cs.HC

Model-Twin Randomization (MoTR) for Estimating the Recurring Individual Treatment Effect

Temporally dense single-person "small data" have become widely available thanks to mobile apps and wearable sensors. Many caregivers and self-trackers want to use these data to help a specific person change their behavior to achieve desired health outcomes. Ideally, this involves discerning possible causes from correlations using that person's own observational time series data. In this paper, we estimate within-individual average treatment effects of physical activity on sleep duration, and vice-versa. We introduce the model twin randomization (MoTR; "motor") method for analyzing an individual's intensive longitudinal data. Formally, MoTR is an application of the g-formula (i.e., standardization, back-door adjustment) under serial interference. It estimates stable recurring individual treatment effects, as is done in n-of-1 trials and single case experimental designs. We compare our approach to standard methods (with possible confounding) to show how to use causal inference to make better personalized recommendations for health behavior change, and analyze up to almost eight years of the authors' own Fitbit steps and sleep data.

stat.ME