arXiv subjects

Ilham Nasiroglu

Publications and source records attributed to Ilham Nasiroglu.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Investigating the System Configuration of Kepler-451 through Orbital Period Variations: Dynamical and Magnetic Interpretations

We present an analysis of eclipse timing variations in Kepler-451 using data spanning 2004-2024 from both ground- and space-based observations. Using two datasets, DS-A and DS-B, we constructed updated O-C diagrams. By modeling both datasets with various LTT configurations, we tested for the presence of circumbinary companions. For DS-A, the two-companion model (LTT34) provides the best fit with RMS = 3.23 s and chi^2_nu = 1.23, while inclusion a fifth body (LTT345) does not improve the fit (RMS = 3.24 s, chi^2_nu = 1.28). For DS-B, the three-companion model (LTT345) yields the best fit (RMS = 2.31 s, chi^2_nu = 1.01), although the semi-amplitude of the inner companion (1.34 s) is smaller than the systematic error (1.81 s), suggesting that it may originate from observational or calibration systematics. Applegate-mechanism tests indicate that most signals exceed the available energy budget, while the outer LTT terms in both datasets remain consistent with the Standard model and may have a magnetic origin. Removing these magnetic terms yields dynamically stable configurations for at least 10^7 yr. These findings support the presence of a second-generation circumbinary planet at 3.4 AU around Kepler-451, while the origin of the remaining LTT signals remains uncertain.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

Long-term Orbital Period Variations of the Eclipsing Dwarf Nova HT Cas

We present a comprehensive analysis of the long-term orbital period variations in the short-period eclipsing dwarf nova HT Cas. By combining our new high-precision mid-eclipse times obtained between 2015 and 2026 with archival data, we constructed an updated $O-C$ diagram spanning a $\sim$48-years. Statistical analysis confirms outbursts do not cause systematic phase shifts, validating the use of all activity states. Through MCMC modeling, we show that the $O-C$ variations require a two-companion configuration. A free-eccentricity LTT model captures the variations but yields unconstrained posteriors and a highly eccentric outer orbit ($e_3 \sim 0.94$) that instantly collapses in N-body dynamical simulations. Imposing a circular constraint ($e=0$) resolves these mathematical degeneracies, yielding well-constrained posterior distributions. This dynamically stable model identifies two hypothetical circumbinary companions with minimum masses of $\sim 9.8 M_{Jup}$ and $\sim 5.0 M_{Jup}$, and periods of $\sim 32.6$ and $\sim 15.1$ years. Besides, this configuration inherently produces a negative quadratic term ($Q = -1.23 \times 10^{-14}$ days), aligning with secular period decrease predicted by standard CV evolution theory below the period gap. Refined energy-budget tests reveal that classical Applegate mechanisms require significantly more energy than the secondary star provides, indicating they cannot independently drive the modulations. While advanced magnetic frameworks may offer theoretical alternatives, our findings demonstrate that a dynamically stable two-companion architecture provides a highly robust and physically viable explanation, consistent with second-generation planet formation within a post-common-envelope disk.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

Orbital Period Variation Analysis of the HS 0705+6700 Post-Common Envelope Binary

To detect additional bodies in binary systems, we performed a potent approach of orbital period variation analysis. In this work, we present 90 new mid-eclipse times of a short-period eclipsing binary system. Observations were made using two telescopes from 2014 to 2024, extending the time span of the O-C diagram to 24 years. The data obtained in the last seven years indicate significant deviations in the O-C diagram from the models obtained in previous studies. We investigated whether this variation could be explained by mechanisms such as the LTT effect or Applegate. To investigate the cyclic behaviour observed in the system with the LTT effect, we modelled the updated O-C diagram using different models including linear/quadratic terms and additional bodies. The updated O-C diagram is statistically consistent with the most plausible solutions of models that include multiple brown dwarfs close to each other. However, it has been found that the orbit of the system is unstable on short time scales. Using three different theoretical definitions, we have found that the Applegate mechanism cannot explain the variation in the orbital period except for the model containing the fifth body. Therefore, due to the complex nature of the system, further mid-eclipse time is required before any conclusions can be drawn about the existence of additional bodies.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

New Observations of the Eclipsing Binary System NY Vir and its Candidate Circumbinary Planets

As a result of various studies, it has been determined that several post-common envelope eclipsing binaries have variations in their orbital periods. These variations are thought to be caused by the existence of additional bodies in the system (hypothetical stars or planets) and/or other physical effects (such as angular momentum loss, magnetic activity) of the binary system. It is also known that the sdB+M eclipsing system NY Vir has shown such variations in the last decade, indicating additional objects and/or other physical effects. In this work, we present 51 new eclipse times for this system, which extend the time span of it is $O-C$ diagram by about three years, obtained between 2015 and 2021 using two different telescopes in Turkey. The data obtained in the last 3 years shows a new trend in the $O-C$ diagram differently from the predictions of the previous studies. Our model is consistent with the new $O-C$ diagram, which is statistically well fitted with the quadratic term and the additional two planets with masses of $M_3=2.74 \: M_\text{Jup}$ and $M_4=5.59 \: M_\text{Jup}$. However, the orbital period variation can also be related to magnetic activity. In order to better understand the mechanism causing the changes in the orbital period, new observation data is needed that will show at least one full cycle of the change in the O-C diagram.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2017

Is there a circumbinary planet around NSVS 14256825?

The cyclic behaviour of (O-C) residuals of eclipse timings in the sdB+M eclipsing binary NSVS 14256825 was previously attributed to one or two Jovian-type circumbinary planets. We report 83 new eclipse timings that not only fill in the gaps in those already published but also extend the time span of the (O-C) diagram by three years. Based on the archival and our new data spanning over more than 17 years we re-examined the up to date system (O-C). The data revealed systematic, quasi-sinusoidal variation deviating from an older linear ephemeris by about 100 s. It also exhibits a maximum in the (O-C) near JD 2,456,400 that was previously unknown. We consider two most credible explanations of the (O-C) variability: the light propagation time due to the presence of an invisible companion in a distant circumbinary orbit, and magnetic cycles reshaping one of the binary components, known as the Applegate or Lanza-Rodono effect. We found that the latter mechanism is unlikely due to the insufficient energy budget of the M-dwarf secondary. In the framework of the third-body hypothesis, we obtained meaningful constraints on the Keplerian parameters of a putative companion and its mass. Our best-fitting model indicates that the observed quasi-periodic (O-C) variability can be explained by the presence of a brown dwarf with the minimal mass of 15 Jupiter masses rather than a planet, orbiting the binary in a moderately elliptical orbit (~ 0.175) with the period of ~ 10 years. Our analysis rules out two planets model proposed earlier.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2012

Investigating AM Her Cataclysmic Variables with OPTIMA

We focus on short--period eclipsing binaries that belong to a class of Cataclysmic Variables (CVs). They are known as polars and intermediate polars, closely resembling their prototype AM Herculis. These binaries consist of a red dwarf and a strongly magnetic white dwarf, having orbital periods of only a few hours. Monitoring eclipses of these typically faint sources demands high-time resolution photometry. We describe the very recent results obtained for two CVs, HU Aqr and DQ Her, which were observed with the Optical Pulsar Timing Analyzer (OPTIMA). The new observations of HU Aqr confirm that the O--C (Observed minus Calculated) diagrams exhibit variations known for this binary which can be explained by a single, massive Jupiter--like planet, possibly accompanied by a very distant companion.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2012

On the HU Aquarii planetary system hypothesis

In this work, we investigate the eclipse timing of the polar binary HU Aquarii that has been observed for almost two decades. Recently, Qian et al. attributed large (O-C) deviations between the eclipse ephemeris and observations to a compact system of two massive jovian companions. We improve the Keplerian, kinematic model of the Light Travel Time (LTT) effect and re-analyse the whole currently available data set. We add almost 60 new, yet unpublished, mostly precision light curves obtained using the time high-resolution photo-polarimeter OPTIMA, as well as photometric observations performed at the MONET/N, PIRATE and TCS telescopes. We determine new mid--egress times with a mean uncertainty at the level of 1 second or better. We claim that because the observations that currently exist in the literature are non-homogeneous with respect to spectral windows (ultraviolet, X-ray, visual, polarimetric mode) and the reported mid--egress measurements errors, they may introduce systematics that affect orbital fits. Indeed, we find that the published data, when taken literally, cannot be explained by any unique solution. Many qualitatively different and best-fit 2-planet configurations, including self-consistent, Newtonian N-body solutions may be able to explain the data. However, using high resolution, precision OPTIMA light curves, we find that the (O-C) deviations are best explained by the presence of a single circumbinary companion orbiting at a distance of ~4.5 AU with a small eccentricity and having ~7 Jupiter-masses. This object could be the next circumbinary planet detected from the ground, similar to the announced companions around close binaries HW Vir, NN Ser, UZ For, DP Leo or SZ Her, and planets of this type around Kepler-16, Kepler-34 and Kepler-35.

astro-ph.EP↗