arXiv subjects

Ilias Cholis

Publications and source records attributed to Ilias Cholis.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Low-energy antinuclei measurements for background-free indirect dark matter searches and PBH signatures

Light low-energy cosmic ray antinuclei constitute powerful probes for detecting dark matter or other sources of new physics in our Galaxy. This ASTRA Initiative Mission Concept reviews the theoretical motivation, highlighting the transformative potential and current experimental status. Motivated by exciting tentative results, it makes a clear case for the need for the next flagship mission to confirm or refute claims of cosmic antinuclei as signs of new physics.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

On the orbital eccentricities of primordial black hole binaries inside and outside of dark matter halos

Primordial black hole (PBH) binaries in the stellar mass range may still contribute a fraction of the detectable compact object binaries by LIGO and future GW observatories. PBH binaries at formation typically have very high eccentricities. In this paper, we study the eccentricity of stellar mass range PBH binaries from all formation channels and account for all evolutionary pathways. We simulate large samples of PBH binaries, tracking their full orbital evolution up to their merger or to the present day. For those that merge, we compute their GW strain, detectability, and eccentricity distributions for LISA, DECIGO, ET, CE, and aLIGO. We find that PBH binaries that evolve in isolation completely circularize by the time their GWs enter any GW band except for LISA's, where residual eccentricities of order $O(10^{-2})$ can exist. Binaries that become part of dark matter halos can have multiple binary-single interactions with other PBHs, especially if they reside in the more dense environments among them and can have higher eccentricities even at their late inspiral phase, probed by the GW observatories. Considering the current limits on the abundance of stellar mass range PBHs, we predict that LISA and DECIGO together would be able to probe $O(10^2)$ such binaries with $e>0.01$. If these future GW observatories in space can exclude such eccentric binaries, then limits on the PBH abundance can be improved by an order of magnitude.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

A Multimessenger Analysis of the High-Energy Milky Way: Source Populations Contribute Significantly to IceCube's Galactic Neutrino Flux

We perform a joint analysis of the high-energy neutrino emission observed from the Galactic Plane by IceCube and the diffuse ultra-high-energy gamma-ray emission measured by LHAASO. We compare this data to models that include diffuse emission from cosmic-ray interactions in the interstellar medium, unresolved TeV halos, and unresolved Galactic neutrino sources. We find that the gamma-ray emission can be explained by a combination of diffuse processes and unresolved TeV halos. The observed neutrino emission cannot be generated by cosmic-ray interactions in the interstellar medium alone, but requires contributions from one or more unresolved source populations. Across a wide range of assumptions about Galactic cosmic-ray transport, we find that Galactic neutrino sources contribute significantly to the neutrino flux observed from the Galactic Plane and are likely responsible for most of this emission.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Limits on primordial black holes from the extragalactic gamma-ray background; current status and future projections

Primordial black holes (PBHs), possibly formed from the collapse of early universe perturbations, will evaporate via Hawking radiation with a lifetime comparable to the age of the universe, if their mass is $O(10^{14})$ g. Such black holes can contribute to the observed gamma-ray fluxes in the MeV and GeV range. Using the observed extragalactic gamma-ray background (EGRB) from the \textit{Fermi} Large Area Telescope, the \textit{EGRET}, and the \textit{COMPTEL} telescopes that cover gamma-ray energies from 0.5 MeV to 1 TeV, we evaluate limits on the abundance of PBHs with masses of $10^{14}$ to $10^{17}$ g. We study both monochromatic and extended mass distributions of PBHs. To model the EGRB spectrum, we calculate the contribution from extragalactic sources including blazars, star-forming galaxies and radio galaxies and also account for ultra-high-energy cosmic rays that produce gamma rays when interacting with the infrared background. Our EGRB modeling uses information from the \textit{Fermi} gamma-ray point sources catalog, from observations at X-rays, the visible spectrum, the infrared and radio waves, and also accounts for modeling uncertainties and variations on the properties within each class of these sources. Moreover, we use recent work on the modeling of the PBHs' gamma-ray emission, that includes the direct Hawking radiation, gamma rays produced in the hadronization and decay of unstable particles, final state radiation and gamma rays from pair annihilations in the interstellar medium. As the contribution of final state radiation and the annihilation of positrons enhances the low-energy part of the produced gamma-ray spectra from PBHs, we find that the EGRB observations can set the tightest limits on their abundance among all indirect dark matter probes, within the mass range of interest.[abridged]

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Binary Black Holes population synthesis based on the current LVK observations

The ongoing observations from ground based gravitational-wave observatories have led to the detection of more than a hundred merger events between black holes. We use the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) observations from 2015 to early 2024, to test the population synthesis of these merging binaries; which will allow us to probe the formation mechanisms and environments of these black holes. We test if the current sample of binary black holes can be explained only by the merger of black holes coming from the collapse of the cores of massive stars, i.e. as just first generation black holes merging with each other. Those black holes' masses will roughly follow a power-law distribution. We also test if in addition to the merger between first generation black holes, there is evidence for a second population of black hole binaries in which at least one the binaries' members is the product of an earlier merger between black holes. These binaries are typically referred to as signals of hierarchical mergers. Such a population can possibly explain the observation of very massive black hole binaries by the LVK collaboration. We find that the LVK observations give a statistical preference in log-likelihood of up to $- 2 \Delta ln\mathcal{L} = -150$ or in log-Bayes factor of up to $ln\textrm{BF} = 71$, for the full sample of black hole binaries originating from a combination of black holes following a power-law distribution and black holes from hierarchical mergers. The ratio of black holes following a power-law mass-distribution to a mass-distribution expected from hierarchical mergers is found to be as high as one-to-one. We also consider that some of the LVK black hole merging binaries are the result of primordial black holes (PBHs), merging inside dark matter halos and in the intergalactic medium. Adding a third population is preferred. [abridged]

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Galactic Center gamma-ray excess from a generic triaxial halo

Recent studies of Galactic surveys, such as Gaia, have revealed that the Milky Way's gravitational potential comes from a matter distribution that is triaxial and rotated with respect to the Galactic center-Sun axis. This, in turn, could mean that the dark matter halo also shares these properties. In this work, by fitting to the Fermi-LAT gamma-ray observations, we test the compatibility of the morphology of the Galactic Center Excess (GCE) from dark matter annihilation with a triaxial dark matter halo. In particular, we consider both untilted triaxial halos and halos whose principal axes are tilted with respect to the Galactic disk. In our fits of the Fermi-LAT data, by testing over a large library of galactic diffuse emission models, we quantify how the halo triaxiality and tilt affect the line-of-sight-integrated annihilation signal and, consequently, the preferred GCE spatial templates. We find that the GCE spectrum and inner cuspiness are robust against variations in the triaxiality and tilt of the dark matter halo. However, in terms of its overall morphology, the GCE in the gamma-ray data can discriminate between choices for the dark matter halo's triaxiality and tilt. Finally, we find that the GCE is more compatible with originating from a triaxial and tilted halo of dark matter than originating from a triaxial and tilted halo of stars, a result important for understanding the GCE's origin.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

The Merger Rate of Primordial Black Holes

The merger rate of primordial black hole (PBH) binaries can be used to understand the source population of the merging black hole binaries observable through gravitational-waves (GWs) and also to constrain the possible contribution of PBHs to dark matter. In the literature, the PBH merger rate is calculated analytically, assuming that PBH binaries stay in isolation (i.e. are unperturbed) and evolve solely via GW emission during their entire lifetime. However, if some or all of dark matter consists of PBHs, then as cosmic structures grow, PBH binaries and single PBHs fall inside dark matter halos. In those halos, the PBH binaries' interactions with their environment significantly affect the subsequent evolution of their orbital properties. In this paper, we present a numerical framework that accurately calculates the total PBH merger rate by combining the evolution of isolated binaries outside halos with the dynamics of binaries inside halos. In our work we have found that the isolated binary channel is suppressed at low redshifts and dynamical interactions in halos reshape the merger rate evolution with time, accelerating some mergers. At redshifts of $\lesssim 2$ the total merger rate is a factor of $\simeq 50 \%$ higher than the results assuming that all PBH binaries effectively stay unperturbed until their merger. Our simulations provide a definitive calculation on the total PBH merger rates, that are currently being probed and constrained from gravitational-wave observations. We make our merger rates publicly available at Zenodo

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

GammaPBHPlotter: A public code for calculating the complete Hawking evaporation gamma-ray spectra from primordial black holes

We present GammaPBHPlotter, a public Python code for calculating and plotting the Hawking radiation gamma-ray spectra of primordial black holes in the mass range of $10^{14}$ to $10^{18}$ grams. This tool allows users to compute the monochromatic and mass-averaged spectra of black holes over a range of parameters. We include the primary/direct Hawking emission, the secondary emission from the decay and hadronization of unstable particles, the final state radiation, and the in-flight annihilation gamma-ray emission components.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Conservative limits on primordial black holes from the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observations

Primordial black holes (PBH) may constitute a considerable fraction of dark matter. In this work we use the recent observations by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) collaborations to set direct limits on stellar-mass range PBHs. We evaluate the merger rates of PBH binaries by accounting for the binaries formed by two-body captures inside dark matter halos and by studying the evolution of PBH binaries inside such halos through binary-single interactions. Those type of interactions contribute to what is a minimum of PBH merger rates at low redshifts detectable by LVK. Thus, they allow us to derive what is the most conservative upper limits on the presence of merging PBH binaries in the gravitational-wave observations. We study both the case where PBHs have a monochromatic mass-distribution and the case where that distribution is described by a log-normal function. Our derived limits on the mass fraction of dark matter composed of PBHs is in the range of $10^{-4}$ to $2\times 10^{-2}$, depending on the exact assumptions relating to the PBH binaries properties. For reasonable assumptions on those PBH binaries' properties before their evolution inside dark matter halos, we get that fraction to be in the range of $10^{-3} - 10^{-2}$, for PBH masses of 5-80 $M_{\odot}$. Our work provide some of the most competitive limits in the mass range of 5-50 $M_{\odot}$. [abridged]

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

On the mass distribution of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA events

The merging black hole binaries detected by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) gravitational-wave observatories, may help us shed light on how such binaries form. In addition, these detections can help us probe the hypothesized primordial black holes, a candidate for the observed abundance of dark matter. In this work, we study the black-hole mass distribution obtained from the LVK binary black hole merger events. We obtain that distribution by first associating a skewed normal distribution to each event detected with a signal to noise ratio (SNR) $>$ 8 and then summing all such distributions. We also simulate black hole binaries from two separate populations of merging binaries. One of these is a stellar-origin population that follows a mass-distribution similar to the zero-age mass function of stars. The second population of black holes follows a Gaussian mass-distribution. Such a distribution could approximate a population of black hole binaries formed from earlier black hole mergers in dense stellar environments, or binaries of primordial black holes. For those populations, we evaluate the number of detectable events and fit their combination to the LVK observations. In our work, we rely on a wide range of stellar-origin black-hole mass distributions. We find that the observed LVK events can be fitted much better by the combination of such a stellar-origin mass distribution and a Gaussian distribution, than by the stellar-origin mass distribution alone.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Scrutinizing the Isotropic Gamma-Ray Background in Search of Dark Matter

The isotropic gamma-ray background (IGRB), measured by the Fermi Large Area Telescope, is the result of several classes of extragalactic astrophysical sources. Those sources include blazars, start-forming galaxies and radio galaxies. Also, ultra-high-energy cosmic rays interacting with the infrared background, contribute to the isotropic background. Using information from Fermi's gamma-ray sources catalog and the results of dedicated studies of these classes of sources, from observations at the infrared and radio, we model their contribution to the IGRB. In addition to conventional astrophysical sources, dark matter may be a component of the IGRB. We combine our model of conventional astrophysical sources and of dark matter annihilation in distant galaxies, marginalizing over relevant uncertainties, to derive constraints on the dark matter annihilation cross section, from the measured IGRB. In calculating the contribution from dark matter we include the flux from extragalactic halos and their substructure and also the subdominant contribution from Milky Way's halo at high galactic latitudes. The resulting constraints are competitive with the strongest current constraints from the dwarf spheroidal galaxies. Under certain dark matter assumptions, we also find an indication for a small excess flux in the isotropic background. Our results are consistent with the gamma-ray excess at GeV energies toward the galactic center.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Simulating Binary Primordial Black Hole Mergers in Dark Matter Halos

Primordial black holes (PBHs), possibly constituting a non-negligible fraction of dark matter (DM), might be responsible for a number of gravitational wave events detected by LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA. In this paper, we simulate the evolution of PBH binaries in DM halos and calculate their merger rate up to redshift of 10. We assume that DM halos are made entirely by a combination of single PBHs and PBH binaries. We present the resulting merger rates from the two main channels that lead to merging PBH binaries: two-body captures and binary-single interactions. We account for alternative assumptions on the dark matter halo mass-concentration relationship versus redshift. We also study what impact the PBH mass distribution, centered in the stellar-mass range, has on the PBH merger rate that the ground-based gravitational-wave observatories can probe. We find that under reasonable assumptions on the abundance of PBH binaries relative to single PBHs, the binary-single interaction rates can be dominant over the two-body capture channel. Our work studies in detail the dynamics of PBHs inside DM halos, advancing our understanding on how the current gravitational-wave events constrain the properties of PBHs. Moreover, we make predictions in a redshift range to be probed by future observatories.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

Robustness of the Galactic Center Excess Morphology Against Masking

The Galactic Center Excess (GCE) remains an enduring mystery, with leading explanations being annihilating dark matter or an unresolved population of millisecond pulsars. Analyzing the morphology of the GCE provides critical clues to identify its exact origin. We investigate the robustness of the inferred GCE morphology against the effects of masking, an important step in the analysis where the gamma-ray emission from point sources and the galactic disk are excluded. Using different masks constructed from Fermi point source catalogs and a wavelet method, we find that the GCE morphology, particularly its ellipticity and cuspiness, is relatively independent of the choice of mask for energies above 2-3 GeV. The GCE morphology systematically favors an approximately spherical shape, as expected for dark matter annihilation. Compared to various stellar bulge profiles, a spherical dark matter annihilation profile better fits the data across different masks and galactic diffuse emission backgrounds, except for the stellar bulge profile from Coleman et al. (2020), which provides a similar fit to the data. Modeling the GCE with two components, one from dark matter annihilation and one tracing the Coleman Bulge, we find this two-component model outperforms any single component or combinations of dark matter annihilation and other stellar bulge profiles. Uncertainty remains about the exact fraction contributed by each component across different background models and masks. However, when the Coleman Bulge dominates, its corresponding spectrum lacks characteristics typically associated with millisecond pulsars, suggesting that it mostly models the emission from other sources instead of the GCE that is still present and spherically symmetric.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

A Phantom Menace: On the Morphology of the Galactic Center Excess

The characteristics of the Galactic Center Excess (GCE) emission observed in gamma-ray energies -- especially the morphology of the GCE -- remain a hotly debated subject. The manner in which the dominant diffuse gamma-ray background is modeled has been claimed to have a determining effect on the preferred morphology. In this work, we compare two distinct approaches to the galactic diffuse gamma-ray emission background: the first approach models this emission through templates calculated from a sequence of well-defined astrophysical assumptions, while the second approach divides surrogates for the background gamma-ray emission into cylindrical galactocentric rings with free independent normalizations. At the latitudes that we focus on, we find that the former approach works better, and that the overall best fit is obtained for an astrophysically motivated fit when the GCE follows the morphology expected of dark matter annihilation. Quantitatively, the improvement compared to the best ring-based fits is roughly 6500 in the chi^2 and roughly 4000 in the log of the Bayesian evidence.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Observing Signals of Spectral Features in the Cosmic-Ray Positrons and Electrons from Milky Way Pulsars

The Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS-02) has provided unprecedented precision measurements of the electron and positron cosmic-ray fluxes and the positron fraction spectrum. At the higher energies, sources as energetic local pulsars, may contribute to both cosmic-ray species. The discreteness of the source population, can result in features both on the positron fraction measurement and in the respective electron and positron spectra. For the latter, those would coincide in energy and would contrast predictions of smooth spectra as from particle dark matter. In this work, using a library of pulsar population models for the local part of the Milky Way, we perform a power-spectrum analysis on the cosmic-ray positron fraction. We also develop a technique to cross-correlate the electron and positron fluxes. We show that both such analyses, can be used to search statistically for the presence of spectral wiggles in the cosmic-ray data. For a significant fraction of our pulsar simulations, those techniques are already sensitive enough to give a signal for the presence of those features above the regular noise, with forthcoming observations making them even more sensitive. Finally, by cross-correlating the AMS-02 electron and positron spectra, we find an intriguing first hint for a positive correlation between them, of the kind expected by a population of local pulsars.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Revisiting GeV-scale annihilating dark matter with the AMS-02 positron fraction

Antimatter cosmic-rays are used to probe new phenomena in physics, including dark matter annihilation. We use the cosmic-ray positron fraction spectrum by the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer, to search for such an annihilation signal in the Galaxy. We focus on dark matter with mass between 5 and 120 GeV, producing high-energy electrons and positrons. In these cosmic-ray energies the interplay of multiple astrophysical sources and phenomena, makes this search highly sensitive to the underlying astrophysical background assumptions. We use a vast public library of astrophysical models for the cosmic-ray positron fraction background, to derive robust upper limits on the dark matter's annihilation cross section for a number of annihilation channels. This library accounts for different types of cosmic-ray sources and uncertainties on their distribution in space and time. Also, it accounts for uncertainties on those sources' output, their injected into the interstellar medium cosmic-ray spectra and for uncertainties on cosmic-ray propagation. For any given dark matter particle mass and annihilation channel, upper limits on the annihilation cross section are given by bands that stretch a full order of magnitude in its value. Our work provides weaker limits compared to earlier results, that are however robust to all the relevant astrophysical uncertainties. Between 5 and 15 GeV, we find indications for a possible excess flux of cosmic-ray electrons and positrons. That excess is found for most, but not all of our astrophysical background parameter space, and its significance can vary appreciably. Further scrutiny is necessary to improve the understanding of these lower energy cosmic rays. Finally, we note that even if an excess signal is found in these energies, the current background uncertainties do not allow us to accurately deduce its underlying particle properties.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Possible counterpart signal of the Fermi bubbles at the cosmic-ray positrons

The inner galaxy has hosted cosmic-ray burst events including those responsible for the gamma-ray Fermi bubbles and the eROSITA bubbles in X-rays. In this work, we study the AMS-02 positron fraction and find three features around 12, 21 and 48 GeV of which the lowest energy has a 1.4 to 4.9-$σ$ significance, depending on astrophysical background assumptions. Using background simulations that explain the cosmic-ray positron fraction, positron flux and electron plus positron flux, by primary, secondary cosmic rays and cosmic rays from local pulsars, we test these spectral features as originating from electron/positron burst events from the inner galaxy. We find the 12 GeV feature, to be explained by an event of age $τ\simeq 3 - 10$ Myr; in agreement with the proposed age of the Fermi bubbles. Furthermore, the energy in cosmic-ray electrons and positrons propagating along the galactic disk and not within the Fermi bubbles volume, is estimated to be $10^{51.5}-10^{57.5}$ ergs, or $O(10^{-4}) -O(1)$ the cosmic-ray energy causing the Fermi bubbles. We advocate that these positron fraction features, are the counterpart signals of the Fermi bubbles, or of substructures in them, or of the eROSITA bubbles.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Constraining the Charge-, Time- and Rigidity-Dependence of Cosmic-Ray Solar Modulation with AMS-02 Observations during Solar Cycle 24

Our basic theoretical understanding of the sources of cosmic rays and their propagation through the interstellar medium is hindered by the Sun, that through the solar wind affects the observed cosmic-ray spectra. This effect is known as solar modulation. Recently released cosmic-ray observations from the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS-02) and publicly available measurements of the solar wind properties from the Advanced Composition Explorer and the Wilcox observatory allow us to test the analytical modeling of the time-, charge- and rigidity-dependence of solar modulation. We rely on associating measurements on the local heliospheric magnetic field and the heliospheric current sheet's tilt angle, to model the time-dependence and amplitude of cosmic-ray solar modulation. We find evidence for the solar modulation's charge- and rigidity-dependence during the era of solar cycle 24. Our analytic prescription to model solar modulation can explain well the large-scale time-evolution of positively charged cosmic-ray fluxes in the range of rigidities from 1 to 10 GV. We also find that cosmic-ray electron fluxes measured during the first years of cycle 24 are less trivial to explain, due to the complex and rapidly evolving structure of the Heliosphere's magnetic field that they experienced as they propagated inwards.

astro-ph.SR↗