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Ingrid Dæhlen

Publications and source records attributed to Ingrid Dæhlen.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The asymptotic effect of tuning parameters

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the balance parameter in hybrid methods. Typically tuning parameters are set to the minimizers of some estimator of the risk, a step which introduces additional randomness and makes standard methodology inapplicable. We derive precise asymptotic theory for this situation. Our framework allows for smooth, but otherwise arbitrary, loss functions and for the risk to be estimated by cross-validation procedures. Results include consistency of the optimal estimator towards a well-defined quantity and asymptotic normality after proper scaling and centring. We give explicit forms and estimators for the limiting variance matrix and results sharply characterizing the distance from the training error to the cross-validated estimator of the risk.

math.ST↗

Direct in-situ observations of wave-induced floe collisions in the deeper Marginal Ice Zone

Ocean waves propagating through the Marginal Ice Zone (MIZ) and the pack ice are strongly attenuated. This attenuation is critical for protecting sea ice from energetic wave events that could otherwise lead to sea ice break-up and dislocation over large areas. Despite the importance of waves-in-ice attenuation, the exact physical mechanisms involved, and their relative importance, are still uncertain. Here we present direct in situ measurements of floe-floe interactions under the influence of waves, including collisions between adjacent floes. The collision events we report are aligned with the incoming wave direction, and phase-locked to the wave signal, which indicates that the individual collisions we detect are wave-induced. The observations indicate a possible correlation between sudden increases in wave activity and the frequency of floe-floe collisions

physics.ao-ph↗

Model robust hybrid likelihood

The article concerns hybrid combinations of empirical and parametric likelihood functions. Combining the two allows classical parametric likelihood to be crucially modified via the nonparametric counterpart, making possible model misspecification less problematic. Limit theory for the maximum hybrid likelihood estimator is sorted out, also outside the parametric model conditions. Results include consistency of the estimated parameter in the parametric model towards a well-defined limit, as well as asymptotic normality after proper scaling and centring of the same quantity. Our results allow for the presence of plug-in parameters in the hybrid and empirical likelihood framework. Furthermore, the variance and mean squared error of these estimators are studied, with recipes for their estimation. The latter is used to define a focused information criterion, which can be used to choose how the parametric and empirical part of the hybrid combination should be balanced. This allows for hybrid models to be fitted in a context driven way, minimizing the estimated mean squared error for estimating any pre-specified quantity of interest.

math.ST↗