arXiv subjects

Irina Penner

Publications and source records attributed to Irina Penner.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

Modeling and Pricing Cyber Insurance -- Idiosyncratic, Systematic, and Systemic Risks

The paper provides a comprehensive overview of modeling and pricing cyber insurance and includes clear and easily understandable explanations of the underlying mathematical concepts. We distinguish three main types of cyber risks: idiosyncratic, systematic, and systemic cyber risks. While for idiosyncratic and systematic cyber risks, classical actuarial and financial mathematics appear to be well-suited, systemic cyber risks require more sophisticated approaches that capture both network and strategic interactions. In the context of pricing cyber insurance policies, issues of interdependence arise for both systematic and systemic cyber risks; classical actuarial valuation needs to be extended to include more complex methods, such as concepts of risk-neutral valuation and (set-valued) monetary risk measures.

q-fin.RM↗

arXiv2016

Characterization of max-continuous local martingales vanishing at infinity

We provide a characterization of the family of non-negative local martingales that have continuous running supremum and vanish at infinity. This is done by describing the class of random times that identify the times of maximum of such processes. In this way we extend to the case of general filtrations a result proved by Nikeghbali and Yor [NY06] for continuous filtrations. Our generalization is complementary to the one presented by Kardaras [Kar14], and is obtained by means of similar tools.

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

Risk measures for processes and BSDEs

The paper analyzes risk assessment for cash flows in continuous time using the notion of convex risk measures for processes. By combining a decomposition result for optional measures, and a dual representation of a convex risk measure for bounded \cd processes, we show that this framework provides a systematic approach to the both issues of model ambiguity, and uncertainty about the time value of money. We also establish a link between risk measures for processes and BSDEs.

math.PR↗

arXiv2010

Risk assessment for uncertain cash flows: Model ambiguity, discounting ambiguity, and the role of bubbles

We study the risk assessment of uncertain cash flows in terms of dynamic convex risk measures for processes as introduced in Cheridito, Delbaen, and Kupper (2006). These risk measures take into account not only the amounts but also the timing of a cash flow. We discuss their robust representation in terms of suitably penalized probability measures on the optional sigma-field. This yields an explicit analysis both of model and discounting ambiguity. We focus on supermartingale criteria for different notions of time consistency. In particular we show how bubbles may appear in the dynamic penalization, and how they cause a breakdown of asymptotic safety of the risk assessment procedure.

q-fin.RM↗

arXiv2010

Dynamic risk measures

This paper gives an overview of the theory of dynamic convex risk measures for random variables in discrete time setting. We summarize robust representation results of conditional convex risk measures, and we characterize various time consistency properties of dynamic risk measures in terms of acceptance sets, penalty functions, and by supermartingale properties of risk processes and penalty functions.

q-fin.RM↗

arXiv2008

Hedging of claims with physical delivery under convex transaction costs

We study superhedging of contingent claims with physical delivery in a discrete-time market model with convex transaction costs. Our model extends Kabanov's currency market model by allowing for nonlinear illiquidity effects. We show that an appropriate generalization of Schachermayer's robust no arbitrage condition implies that the set of claims hedgeable with zero cost is closed in probability. Combined with classical techniques of convex analysis, the closedness yields a dual characterization of premium processes that are sufficient to superhedge a given claim process. We also extend the fundamental theorem of asset pricing for general conical models.

q-fin.PR↗