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Ivan Conjeaud

Publications and source records attributed to Ivan Conjeaud.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Algorithmic collusion under asynchronous price updating

This paper investigates the effect of asynchrony in agents' updates in the emergence of algorithmic collusion. We present a continuous-time model for algorithmic collusion in which two firms use $Q$-learning algorithms to set prices asynchronously in a Bertrand duopoly. The firms update their prices at times dictated by a Poisson clock. By controlling the extent of agents' asynchrony, we run extensive numerical experiments with three specifications of the algorithm to investigate the emergence of algorithmic collusion. The strength of collusion is measured by a standard collusion index, as well as by automatically detecting the reward-punishment schemes. This is done by recording a large number of algorithms' reactions to unilateral price cuts and comparing them with the reactions of untrained algorithms. Our findings indicate that asynchrony hampers collusion, especially when the algorithms are stateless. When they condition on their competitor's previous prices, the sensitivity of algorithmic collusion to asynchrony varies depending on the type of information they have access to. The implications of these results for the regulation of algorithmic pricing are discussed.

econ.TH

Algorithmic collusion with endogenous exploration

I study a two-stage model in which two players simultaneously choose an exploration parameter for their Q-learning algorithms, which then repeatedly play a one-shot game chosen from a class of social dilemmas including the prisoner's dilemma, first and second-price auctions as well as Bertrand competition with horizontally differentiated products. The players collect the limit average payoffs obtained by their algorithms. I show that all equilibria are collusive: both players receive payoffs that are strictly higher than the payoffs received in the unique strict Nash equilibrium of the one-shot game. I then use extensive numerical simulations in a Bertrand duopoly and a parameterized prisoner's dilemma. Their results allow to gain insight on (i) the mechanism causing algorithmic collusion and (ii) the strategic role of exploration levels in the game. They reveal that in equilibrium, the players tend to choose algorithms that \textit{over-explore}, which comes at the detriment of joint payoff. These findings have important implications for algorithmic collusion.

econ.TH

DeGroot-based opinion formation under a global steering mechanism

This paper investigates how interacting agents arrive to a consensus or a polarized state. We study the opinion formation process under the effect of a global steering mechanism (GSM), which aggregates the opinion-driven stochastic agent states at the network level and feeds back to them a form of global information. We also propose a new two-layer agent-based opinion formation model, called GSM-DeGroot, that captures the coupled dynamics between agent-to-agent local interactions and the GSM's steering effect. This way, agents are subject to the effects of a DeGroot-like local opinion propagation, as well as to a wide variety of possible aggregated information that can affect their opinions, such as trending news feeds, press coverage, polls, elections, etc. Contrary to the standard DeGroot model, our model allows polarization to emerge by letting agents react to the global information in a stubborn differential way. Moreover, the introduced stochastic agent states produce event stream dynamics that can fit to real event data. We explore numerically the model dynamics to find regimes of qualitatively different behavior. We also challenge our model by fitting it to the dynamics of real topics that attracted the public attention and were recorded on Twitter. Our experiments show that the proposed model holds explanatory power, as it evidently captures real opinion formation dynamics via a relatively small set of interpretable parameters.

cs.SI