Ivan Gvozdanović | Searcharxiv

arXiv2025

Multilevel Sampling in Algebraic Statistics

This paper proposes a multilevel sampling algorithm for fiber sampling problems in algebraic statistics, inspired by Henry Wynn's suggestion to adapt multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) ideas to discrete models. Focusing on log-linear models, we sample from high-dimensional lattice fibers defined by algebraic constraints. Building on Markov basis methods and results from Diaconis and Sturmfels, our algorithm uses variable step sizes to accelerate exploration and reduce the need for long burn-in. We introduce a novel Fiber Coverage Score (FCS) based on Voronoi partitioning to assess sample quality, and highlight the utility of the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) quality metric. Simulations on benchmark fibers show that multilevel sampling outperforms naive MCMC approaches. Our results demonstrate that multilevel methods, when properly applied, provide practical benefits for discrete sampling in algebraic statistics.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2025

Learning to sample fibers for goodness-of-fit testing

We consider the problem of constructing exact goodness-of-fit tests for discrete exponential family models. This classical problem remains practically unsolved for many types of structured or sparse data, as it rests on a computationally difficult core task: to produce a reliable sample from lattice points in a high-dimensional polytope. We translate the problem into a Markov decision process and demonstrate a reinforcement learning approach for learning `good moves' for sampling. We illustrate the approach on data sets and models for which traditional MCMC samplers converge too slowly due to problem size, sparsity structure, and the requirement to use prohibitive non-linear algebra computations in the process. The differentiating factor is the use of scalable tools from \emph{linear} algebra in the context of theoretical guarantees provided by \emph{non-linear} algebra. Our algorithm is based on an actor-critic sampling scheme, with provable convergence. The discovered moves can be used to efficiently obtain an exchangeable sample, significantly cutting computational times with regards to statistical testing.

stat.ML↗