arXiv subjects

J. A. Holyst

Publications and source records attributed to J. A. Holyst.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2007

How random is your heart beat?

We measure the content of random uncorrelated noise in heart rate variability using a general method of noise level estimation using a coarse grained entropy. We show that usually - except for atrial fibrillation - the level of such noise is within 5 - 15% of the variance of the data and that the variability due to the linearly correlated processes is dominant in all cases analysed but atrial fibrillation. The nonlinear deterministic content of heart rate variability remains significant and may not be ignored.

physics.med-ph↗

arXiv2003

Noise level estimation of time series using coarse grained entropy

We present a method of noise level estimation that is valid even for high noise levels. The method makes use of the functional dependence of coarse grained correlation entropy $K_2(\eps)$ on the threshold parameter $\eps$. We show that the function $K_2(\eps)$ depends in a characteristic way on the noise standard deviation $σ$. It follows that observing $K_2(\eps)$ one can estimate the noise level $σ$. Although the theory has been developed for the gaussian noise added to the observed variable we have checked numerically that the method is also valid for the uniform noise distribution and for the case of Langevine equation corresponding to the dynamical noise. We have verified the validity of our method by applying it to estimate the noise level in several chaotic systems and in the Chua electronic circuit contaminated by noise.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

arXiv2001

A simple model of bank bankruptcies

Interbank deposits (loans and credits) are quite common in banking system all over the world. Such interbank co-operation is profitable for banks but it can also lead to collective financial failures. In this paper we introduce a new model of directed percolation as a simple representation for contagion process and mass bankruptcies in banking systems. Directed connections that are randomly distributed between junctions of bank lattice simulate flows of money in our model. Critical values of a mean density of interbank connections as well as static and dynamic scaling laws for the statistic of avalange bankruptcies are found. Results of computer simulations for the universal profile of bankruptcies spreading are in a qualitative agreement with the third wave of bank suspensions during The Great Depression in the USA.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗