arXiv subjects

J. Bel

Publications and source records attributed to J. Bel.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

\textit{Euclid} preparation. Baryon acoustic oscillations extraction techniques: comparison and optimisation

We present the first end-to-end validation of the Euclid baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) analysis pipeline, encompassing density-field reconstruction, two-point correlation function measurement, and cosmological-parameter inference. Using eight Euclid-like mock catalogues from each of four Flagship I snapshots, designed to reproduce the expected statistical properties of the first Euclid data release (DR1), we assess the two standard BAO reconstruction methods based on the Zel'dovich approximation, RecSym and RecIso, across $0.9 \leq z \leq 1.8$. The pipeline introduces several methodological advances: an emulator-based model evaluator (Bora.jl) combined with a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler (NUTS), achieving more than a 500-fold speed-up relative to standard Markov chain Monte Carlo, and a semi-analytical covariance estimator (BeXiCov+WinCov) that enables robust error estimates from only eight mock realisations while remaining stable under fiducial-cosmology variations. These components ensure computational efficiency while reducing the risk of underestimating parameter uncertainties. Both reconstruction schemes yield unbiased BAO measurements across all redshifts and analysis choices, including smoothing scale and fiducial cosmology. In each snapshot, reconstruction enhances the figure of merit for $\{\Omega_m, H_0 r_s\}$ by $\sim3$, equivalent to tripling the effective survey volume. Combining the four redshift bins, the improvement remains substantial, with BAO-only constraints reaching $\sim10\%$ precision on $\Omega_m$ and $\sim3\%$ on $H_0 r_s$. Results from RecSym and RecIso are consistent within uncertainties, though we recommend RecSym during testing due to its lower sensitivity to covariance variations. These findings establish the accuracy, robustness, and scalability of the Euclid BAO pipeline for DR1, providing a solid foundation for future cosmological analyses.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. CII. Non-Gaussianity of 2-pt statistics likelihood: Parameter inference with a non-Gaussian likelihood in Fourier and configuration space

In this work we account for this skewness in parameter inference by modelling the likelihood through an Edgeworth expansion which involves the complete skewness tensor, composed of 1-point, 2-point, and 3-point correlators. To simplify the calculations of this expansion we perform a change of basis which reduces the precision matrix to the identity. In this basis, the off-diagonal elements of the skewness tensor are consistent with zero, while the amplitude of its diagonal match the level expected for a Gaussian underlying field. We perform parameter inference with this likelihood model and find that including only the diagonal part of the skewness is sufficient, while incorporating the full skewness tensor injects noise without improving accuracy. Despite the estimated excess skewness in the original basis, the cosmological constraints remain effectively unchanged when adopting a Gaussian likelihood or considering the more complete Edgeworth expansion, with variations in the figure of merit of cosmological parameters between the two cases below $5\%$. This result remains unchanged against variations of the survey volume and geometry, scale-cut, and 2-point statistic (power spectrum or correlation function). Using $10\, 000$ cloned \Euclid large mocks based on realistic galaxy catalogues with characteristics close to future \Euclid data, we find no detectable excess skewness on intermediate scales, due to the level of shot noise expected for the \Euclid spectroscopic sample. We conclude that the Gaussian likelihood assumption is robust for \Euclid 2-point statistics analyses in both Fourier and configuration space.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 2. Code implementation

We provide a description of the code implementation and structure of Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), developed by members of the Euclid Consortium. CLOE is a modular Python code for computing the theoretical predictions of cosmological observables and evaluating them against state-of-the-art data from galaxy surveys such as Euclid in a unified likelihood. This primarily includes the core observables of weak gravitational lensing, photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering, but also extended probes such as the clusters of galaxies and cross-correlations of galaxy positions and shapes with the cosmic microwave background. While CLOE has been developed to serve as the unified framework for the parameter inferences in Euclid, it has general capabilities that can serve the broader cosmological community. It is different from other comparable cosmological tools in that it is written entirely in Python, performs the full likelihood calculation, and includes both photometric and spectroscopic observables. We will focus on the primary probes of Euclid and will describe the overall code structure, rigorous code development practices, extensive documentation, unique features, speed optimization, and future development plans. CLOE is publicly available at https://github.com/cloe-org/cloe.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation: LXXXVII. Non-Gaussianity of 2-point statistics likelihood: Precise analysis of the matter power spectrum distribution

We investigate the non-Gaussian features in the distribution of the matter power spectrum multipoles. Using the COVMOS method, we generate 100\,000 mock realisations of dark matter density fields in both real and redshift space across multiple redshifts and cosmological models. We derive an analytical framework linking the non-Gaussianity of the power spectrum distribution to higher-order statistics of the density field, including the trispectrum and pentaspectrum. We explore the effect of redshift-space distortions, the geometry of the survey, the Fourier binning, the integral constraint, and the shot noise on the skewness of the distribution of the power spectrum measurements. Our results demonstrate that the likelihood of the estimated matter power spectrum deviates significantly from a Gaussian assumption on nonlinear scales, particularly at low redshift. This departure is primarily driven by the pentaspectrum contribution, which dominates over the trispectrum at intermediate scales. We also examine the impact of the finiteness of the survey geometry in the context of the Euclid mission and find that both the shape of the survey and the integral constraint amplify the skewness.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 6: Impact of systematic uncertainties on the cosmological analysis

Extracting cosmological information from the Euclid galaxy survey will require modelling numerous systematic effects during the inference process. This implies varying a large number of nuisance parameters, which have to be marginalised over before reporting the constraints on the cosmological parameters. This is a delicate process, especially with such a large parameter space, which could result in biased cosmological results. In this work, we study the impact of different choices for modelling systematic effects and prior distribution of nuisance parameters for the final Euclid Data Release, focusing on the 3$\times$2pt analysis for photometric probes and the galaxy power spectrum multipoles for the spectroscopic probes. We explore the effect of intrinsic alignments, linear galaxy bias, magnification bias, multiplicative cosmic shear bias and shifts in the redshift distribution for the photometric probes, as well as the purity of the spectroscopic sample. We find that intrinsic alignment modelling has the most severe impact with a bias up to $6\,\sigma$ on the Hubble constant $H_0$ if neglected, followed by mis-modelling of the redshift evolution of galaxy bias, yielding up to $1.5\,\sigma$ on the parameter $S_8\equiv\sigma_8\sqrt{\Omega_{{\rm m}} /0.3}$. Choosing a too optimistic prior for multiplicative bias can also result in biases of the order of $0.7\,\sigma$ on $S_8$. We also find that the precision on the estimate of the purity of the spectroscopic sample will be an important driver for the constraining power of the galaxy clustering full-shape analysis. These results will help prioritise efforts to improve the modelling and calibration of systematic effects in Euclid.

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arXiv2025

Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in \Euclid (CLOE). 1. Theoretical recipe

As the statistical precision of cosmological measurements increases, the accuracy of the theoretical description of these measurements needs to increase correspondingly in order to infer the underlying cosmology that governs the Universe. To this end, we have created the Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), which is a novel cosmological parameter inference pipeline developed within the Euclid Consortium to translate measurements and covariances into cosmological parameter constraints. In this first in a series of six papers, we describe the theoretical recipe of this code for the Euclid primary probes. These probes are composed of the photometric 3x2pt observables of cosmic shear, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and galaxy clustering, along with spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We provide this description in both Fourier and configuration space for standard and extended summary statistics, including the wide range of systematic uncertainties that affect them. This includes systematic uncertainties such as intrinsic galaxy alignments, baryonic feedback, photometric and spectroscopic redshift uncertainties, shear calibration uncertainties, sample impurities, photometric and spectroscopic galaxy biases, as well as magnification bias. The theoretical descriptions are further able to accommodate both Gaussian and non-Gaussian likelihoods and extended cosmologies with non-zero curvature, massive neutrinos, evolving dark energy, and simple forms of modified gravity. These theoretical descriptions that underpin CLOE will form a crucial component in revealing the true nature of the Universe with next-generation cosmological surveys such as Euclid.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 4: Validation and Performance

The Euclid satellite will provide data on the clustering of galaxies and on the distortion of their measured shapes, which can be used to constrain and test the cosmological model. However, the increase in precision places strong requirements on the accuracy of the theoretical modelling for the observables and of the full analysis pipeline. In this paper, we investigate the accuracy of the calculations performed by the Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), a software able to handle both the modelling of observables and their fit against observational data for both the photometric and spectroscopic surveys of Euclid, by comparing the output of CLOE with external codes used as benchmark. We perform such a comparison on the quantities entering the calculations of the observables, as well as on the final outputs of these calculations. Our results highlight the high accuracy of CLOE when comparing its calculation against external codes for Euclid observables on an extended range of operative cases. In particular, all the summary statistics of interest always differ less than $0.1\,\sigma$ from the chosen benchmark, and CLOE predictions are statistically compatible with simulated data obtained from benchmark codes. The same holds for the comparison of correlation function in configuration space for spectroscopic and photometric observables.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. XCVI. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts

The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of the mission's scientific performance, particularly in terms of its ability to constrain cosmological parameters, as our understanding of how to model large-scale structure observables improves. In this study, we present the first scientific forecasts using CLOE (Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid), a dedicated Euclid cosmological pipeline developed to support this endeavour. Using advanced Bayesian inference techniques applied to synthetic Euclid-like data, we sample the posterior distribution of cosmological and nuisance parameters across a variety of cosmological models and Euclid primary probes: cosmic shear, angular photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We validate the capability of CLOE to produce reliable cosmological forecasts, showcasing Euclid's potential to achieve a figure of merit for the dark energy parameters $w_0$ and $w_a$ exceeding 400 when combining all primary probes. Furthermore, we illustrate the behaviour of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest given different priors and scale cuts. Finally, we emphasise the importance of addressing computational challenges, proposing further exploration of innovative data science techniques to efficiently navigate the Euclid high-dimensional parameter space in upcoming cosmological data releases.

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arXiv2024

Euclid preparation: 6x2 pt analysis of Euclid's spectroscopic and photometric data sets

We present cosmological parameter forecasts for the Euclid 6x2pt statistics, which include the galaxy clustering and weak lensing main probes together with previously neglected cross-covariance and cross-correlation signals between imaging/photometric and spectroscopic data. The aim is understanding the impact of such terms on the Euclid performance. We produce 6x2pt cosmological forecasts, considering two different techniques: the so-called harmonic and hybrid approaches, respectively. In the first, we treat all the different Euclid probes in the same way, i.e. we consider only angular 2pt-statistics for spectroscopic and photometric clustering, as well as for weak lensing, analysing all their possible cross-covariances and cross-correlations in the spherical harmonic domain. In the second, we do not account for negligible cross-covariances between the 3D and 2D data, but consider the combination of their cross-correlation with the auto-correlation signals. We find that both cross-covariances and cross-correlation signals, have a negligible impact on the cosmological parameter constraints and, therefore, on the Euclid performance. In the case of the hybrid approach, we attribute this result to the effect of the cross-correlation between weak lensing and photometric data, which is dominant with respect to other cross-correlation signals. In the case of the 2D harmonic approach, we attribute this result to two main theoretical limitations of the 2D projected statistics implemented in this work according to the analysis of official Euclid forecasts: the high shot noise and the limited redshift range of the spectroscopic sample, together with the loss of radial information from subleading terms such as redshift-space distortions and lensing magnification. Our analysis suggests that 2D and 3D Euclid data can be safely treated as independent, with a great saving in computational resources.

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arXiv2024

Euclid. I. Overview of the Euclid mission

The current standard model of cosmology successfully describes a variety of measurements, but the nature of its main ingredients, dark matter and dark energy, remains unknown. Euclid is a medium-class mission in the Cosmic Vision 2015-2025 programme of the European Space Agency (ESA) that will provide high-resolution optical imaging, as well as near-infrared imaging and spectroscopy, over about 14,000 deg^2 of extragalactic sky. In addition to accurate weak lensing and clustering measurements that probe structure formation over half of the age of the Universe, its primary probes for cosmology, these exquisite data will enable a wide range of science. This paper provides a high-level overview of the mission, summarising the survey characteristics, the various data-processing steps, and data products. We also highlight the main science objectives and expected performance.

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arXiv2023

Cosmological inference including massive neutrinos from the matter power spectrum: biases induced by uncertainties in the covariance matrix

Data analysis from upcoming large galaxy redshift surveys, such as Euclid and DESI will significantly improve constraints on cosmological parameters. To optimally extract the information from these galaxy surveys, it is important to control with a high level of confidence the uncertainty and bias arising from the estimation of the covariance that affects the inference of cosmological parameters. In this work, we are addressing two different but closely related issues: (i) the sampling noise present in a covariance matrix estimated from a finite set of simulations and (ii) the impact on cosmological constraints of the non-Gaussian contribution to the covariance matrix of the power spectrum. We focus on the parameter estimation obtained from fitting the matter power spectrum in real space, using the DEMNUni N-body simulations. Regarding the first issue, we adopt two different approaches to reduce the sampling noise in the precision matrix that propagates in the parameter space: on the one hand using an alternative estimator of the covariance matrix based on a non-linear shrinkage, NERCOME; and on the other hand employing a method of fast generation of approximate mock catalogs, COVMOS. We find that NERCOME can significantly reduce the noise induced on the posterior distribution of parameters, but at the cost of a systematic overestimation of the error bars on the cosmological parameters. We show that using a COVMOS covariance matrix estimated from a large number of realisations (10~000) results in unbiased cosmological constraints. Regarding the second issue, we quantify the impact on cosmological constraints of the non-Gaussian part of the power spectrum covariance purely coming from non-linear clustering. We find that when this term is neglected, both the errors and central values of the estimated parameters are affected for a scale cut $\kmax > 0.2\ \invMpc$.

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arXiv2022

DEMNUni: comparing nonlinear power spectra prescriptions in the presence of massive neutrinos and dynamical dark energy

We provide an accurate comparison, against large cosmological $N$-body simulations, of different prescriptions for modelling nonlinear matter power spectra in the presence of massive neutrinos and dynamical dark energy. We test the current most widely used approaches: fitting functions (HALOFIT and HMcode), the halo-model reaction (ReACT) and emulators (baccoemu and EuclidEmulator2). Focussing on redshifts $z\leq2$ and scales $k\lesssim 1 \ h/$Mpc (where the simulation mass resolution provides $\sim 1\%$ accuracy), we find that HMcode and ReACT considerably improve over the HALOFIT prescriptions of Smith and Takahashi (both combined with the Bird correction), with an overall agreement of 2\% for all the cosmological scenarios considered. Concerning emulators, we find that, especially at low redshifts, EuclidEmulator2 remarkably agrees with the simulated spectra at $\lesssim 1\%$ level in scenarios with dynamical dark energy and massless neutrinos, reaching a maximum difference of $\sim 2\%$ at $z=2$. baccoemu has a similar behaviour as EuclidEmulator2, except for a couple of dark energy models. In cosmologies with massive neutrinos, at $z=0$ all the nonlinear prescriptions improve their agreement with respect to the massless neutrino case, except for the Bird and TakaBird models which, however, are not tailored to $w_0$--$w_a$ models. At $z>0$ we do not find a similar improvement when including massive neutrinos, probably due to the lower impact of neutrino free-streaming at higher redshifts; rather at $z=2$ EuclidEmulator2 exceeds $2\%$ agreement for some dark energy equation of state. When considering ratios between the matter power spectrum computed in a given cosmological model and its $Λ$CDM counterpart, all the tested prescriptions agree with simulated data, at sub-percent or percent level, depending on $z$. [ABRIDGED]

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arXiv2019

Estimating the galaxy two-point correlation function using a split random catalog

The two-point correlation function of the galaxy distribution is a key cosmological observable that allows us to constrain the dynamical and geometrical state of our Universe. To measure the correlation function we need to know both the galaxy positions and the expected galaxy density field. The expected field is commonly specified using a Monte-Carlo sampling of the volume covered by the survey and, to minimize additional sampling errors, this random catalog has to be much larger than the data catalog. Correlation function estimators compare data-data pair counts to data-random and random-random pair counts, where random-random pairs usually dominate the computational cost. Future redshift surveys will deliver spectroscopic catalogs of tens of millions of galaxies. Given the large number of random objects required to guarantee sub-percent accuracy, it is of paramount importance to improve the efficiency of the algorithm without degrading its precision. We show both analytically and numerically that splitting the random catalog into a number of subcatalogs of the same size as the data catalog when calculating random-random pairs, and excluding pairs across different subcatalogs provides the optimal error at fixed computational cost. For a random catalog fifty times larger than the data catalog, this reduces the computation time by a factor of more than ten without affecting estimator variance or bias.

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arXiv2019

The VIMOS Public Extragalactic Redshift Survey (VIPERS) -- Environment-size relation of massive passive galaxies at 0.5 < z < 0.8

We use the statistics of the VIPERS survey to investigate the relation between the surface mean stellar mass density Sigma=Mstar/(2*pi*Re^2) of massive passive galaxies (MPGs, Mstar>10^11 Msun) and their environment in the redshift range 0.5 2*10^11 Msun, we find an excess of MPGs with low Sigma and a deficit of high-Sigma MPGs in the densest regions wrt other environments. We interpret this result as due to the migration of some high-Sigma MPGs (<1% of the total population of MPGs) into low-Sigma MPGs, probably through mergers or cannibalism of small satellites. In summary, our results imply that the accretion of satellite galaxies has a marginal role in the mass-assembly history of most MPGs. We have previously found that the number density of VIPERS massive star-forming galaxies (MSFGs) declines rapidily from z=0.8 to z=0.5, which mirrors the rapid increase in the number density of MPGs. This indicates that the MSFGs at z>0.8 migrate to the MPG population. Here, we investigate the Sigma-delta relation of MSFGs at z>0.8 and find that it is consistent within 1 sigma with that of low-Sigma MPGs at z<0.8. Thus, the results of this and our previous paper show that MSFGs at z>0.8 are consistent in terms of number and environment with being the progenitors of low-Sigma MPGs at z<0.8.

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arXiv2018

The VIMOS Public Extragalactic Redshift Survey (VIPERS). Unsupervised classification with photometric redshifts: a method to accurately classify large galaxy samples without spectroscopic information

Techniques to classify galaxies solely based on photometry will be necessary for future large cosmology missions, such as Euclid or LSST. However, the precision of classification is always lower in photometric surveys and can be systematically biased with respect to classifications based upon spectroscopic data. We verified how precisely the detailed classification scheme introduced by Siudek et al. (2018, hereafter: S1) for galaxies at z~0.7 could be reproduced if only photometric data are available. We applied the Fisher Expectation-Maximization (FEM) unsupervised clustering algorithm to 54,293 VIPERS galaxies working in a parameter space of reliable photometric redshifts and 12 corresponding rest-frame magnitudes. The FEM algorithm distinguishes four main groups: (1) red, (2) green, (3) blue, and (4) outliers. Each group is further divided into 3, 3, 4, and 2 subclasses, respectively. The accuracy of reproducing galaxy classes using spectroscopic data is high: 92%, 84%, 96% for red, green, and blue classes, respectively, except for dusty star-forming galaxies. The presented verification of the photometric classification demonstrates that large photometric samples can be used to distinguish different galaxy classes at z > 0.5 with an accuracy provided so far only by spectroscopic data except for particular galaxy classes.

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arXiv2018

The VIMOS Public Extragalactic Redshift Survey (VIPERS). The complexity of galaxy populations at 0.4< z<1.3 revealed with unsupervised machine-learning algorithms

Various galaxy classification schemes have been developed so far to constrain the main physical processes regulating evolution of different galaxy types. In the era of a deluge of astrophysical information and recent progress in machine learning, a new approach to galaxy classification becomes imperative. We employ a Fisher Expectation-Maximization unsupervised algorithm working in a parameter space of 12 rest-frame magnitudes and spectroscopic redshift. The model (DBk) and the number of classes (12) were established based on the joint analysis of standard statistical criteria and confirmed by the analysis of the galaxy distribution with respect to a number of classes and their properties. This new approach allows us to classify galaxies based just on their redshifts and UV-NIR spectral energy distributions. The FEM unsupervised algorithm has automatically distinguished 12 classes: 11 classes of VIPERS galaxies and an additional class of broad-line AGNs. After a first broad division into blue, green and red categories we obtained a further sub-division into three red, three green, and five blue galaxy classes. The FEM classes follow the galaxy sequence from the earliest to the latest types that is reflected in their colours (which are constructed from rest-frame magnitudes used in classification procedure) but also their morphological, physical, and spectroscopic properties (not included in the classification scheme). We demonstrate that the members of each class share similar physical and spectral properties. In particular, we are able to find three different classes of red passive galaxy populations. Thus, we demonstrate the potential of an unsupervised approach to galaxy classification and we retrieve the complexity of galaxy populations at z~0.7, a task that usual simpler colour-based approaches cannot fulfil.

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arXiv2018

The VIMOS Public Extragalactic Redshift Survey (VIPERS): Unbiased clustering estimate with VIPERS slit assignment

The VIPERS galaxy survey has measured the clustering of $0.5<z<1.2$ galaxies, enabling a number of measurements of galaxy properties and cosmological redshift-space distortions (RSD). Because the measurements were made using one-pass of the VIMOS instrument on the Very Large Telescope (VLT), the galaxies observed only represent approximately 47\% of the parent target sample, with a distribution imprinted with the pattern of the VIMOS slitmask. Correcting for the effect on clustering has previously been achieved using an approximate approach developed using mock catalogues. Pairwise inverse probability (PIP) weighting has recently been proposed by Bianchi & Percival to correct for missing galaxies, and we apply it to mock VIPERS catalogues to show that it accurately corrects the clustering for the VIMOS effects, matching the clustering measured from the observed sample to that of the parent. We then apply PIP-weighting to the VIPERS data, and fit the resulting monopole and quadrupole moments of the galaxy two-point correlation function with respect to the line-of-sight, making measurements of RSD. The results are close to previous measurements, showing that the previous approximate methods used by the VIPERS team are sufficient given the errors obtained on the RSD parameter.

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arXiv2018

Measuring the Universe with galaxy redshift surveys

Galaxy redshift surveys are one of the pillars of the current standard cosmological model and remain a key tool in the experimental effort to understand the origin of cosmic acceleration. To this end, the next generation of surveys aim at achieving sub-percent precision in the measurement of the equation of state of dark energy $w(z)$ and the growth rate of structure $f(z)$. This however requires comparable control over systematic errors, stressing the need for improved modelling methods. In this contribution we review at the introductory level some highlights of the work done in this direction by the {\it Darklight} project. Supported by an ERC Advanced Grant, {\it Darklight} developed novel techniques for clustering analysis, which were tested through numerical simulations before being finally applied to galaxy data as in particular those of the recently completed VIPERS redshift survey. We focus in particular on: (a) advances on estimating the growth rate of structure from redshift-space distortions; (b) parameter estimation through global Bayesian reconstruction of the density field from survey data; (c) impact of massive neutrinos on large-scale structure measurements. Overall, {\it Darklight} has contributed to paving the way for forthcoming high-precision experiments, such as {\it Euclid}, the next ESA cosmological mission.

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