arXiv subjects

J. C. Parikh

Publications and source records attributed to J. C. Parikh.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2005

Forecasting non-stationary financial time series through genetic algorithm

We utilize a recently developed genetic algorithm, in conjunction with discrete wavelets, for carrying out successful forecasts of the trend in financial time series, that includes the NASDAQ composite index. Discrete wavelets isolate the local, small scale variations in these non-stationary time series, after which the genetic algorithm's predictions are found to be quite accurate. The power law behavior in Fourier domain reveals an underlying self-affine dynamical behavior, well captured by the algorithm, in the form of an analytic equation. Remarkably, the same equation captures the trend of the Bombay stock exchange composite index quite well.

nlin.CD↗

arXiv2001

Evidence of Levy stable process in tokamak edge turbulence

In an effort to understand the fundamental physics of turbulent transport of particles and heat in a tokamak, the floating potential fluctuations in the the scrape-off layer plasma of ohmically heated ADITYA tokamak are analysed for self-similarity using distribution function approach. It is observed that the distribution function of a sum of n data points converges to a Levy distribution of scale index, alpha=1.111 for n < 40 and alpha=2.0 for larger n. In both scaling ranges, the edge fluctuation is self-similar. This observation is backed by several supporting evidences. The results indicate that the small scale fluctuations transport matter and heat dominantly by convection whereas the transport due to large scale flucuations is by a diffusive process.

physics.plasm-ph↗

arXiv1997

Dynamic Predictions from Time Series Data- An Artificial Neural Network Approach

A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic systems - time delay $τ$ and embedding dimension $d$ - for ANN modelling of time series. These features provide a theoretical basis for selecting the optimal size for the number of neurons in the input layer. The main outcome for the number of neurons in the input layer. The main outcome of the new approach for such problems is that to a large extent it defines the ANN architecture and leads to better predictions. We illustrate our method by considering computer generated periodic and chaotic time series. The ANN model developed gave excellent quality of fit for the training and test sets as well as for iterative dynamic predictions for future values of the two time series. Further, computer experiments were conducted by introducing Gaussian noise of various degrees in the two time series, to simulate real world effects. We find rather surprising results that upto a limit introduction of noise leads to a smaller network with good generalizing capability.

comp-gas↗

arXiv1994

A conformal scalar dyon black hole solution

An exact solution of Einstein - Maxwell - conformal scalar field equations is given, which is a black hole solution and has three parameters: scalar charge, electric charge, and magnetic charge. Switching off the magnetic charge parameter yields the solution given by Bekenstein. In addition the energy of the conformal scalar dyon black hole is obtained.

hep-th↗