3D modelling of thermal loads during unmitigated vertical displacement events in ITER and JET
Predicting three-dimensional thermal loads during tokamak disruptions is essential for ITER yet remains weakly developed. We present a physics-based workflow that couples MHD simulations of vertical displacement events with field line tracing on a realistic 3D first wall model and a transient wall thermal response. The approach is validated against JET discharges with beryllium main chamber armour, reproducing key global dynamics, non-axisymmetric current features, and the occurrence (or absence) of melting, thereby building confidence in the methodology. We then apply the same workflow to ITER-relevant conditions with tungsten (W) armour, consistent with the new 2024 ITER re-baseline, to assess disruption heat loads and their 3D localization. The resulting analysis demonstrates the resilience of the ITER W first wall against these events and provides predictions for the energy deposition and current flow profiles. Beyond these studies, the workflow enables scenario-by-scenario estimates of disruption-induced thermal loading, allowing to assess the disruption-budget consumption for these events in future devices.