arXiv subjects

Jacob Lustig-Yaeger

Publications and source records attributed to Jacob Lustig-Yaeger.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Evidence for LP 890-9d via Transit Timing Variations

LP 890-9, also known as SPECULOOS-2 and TOI-4306, is a nearby late-M dwarf hosting two confirmed transiting rocky exoplanets. We analyze 20 JWST/NIRSpec PRISM transits of LP 890-9b and LP 890-9c obtained as part of GO program 7073 and detect statistically significant transit timing variations (TTVs), with peak-to-peak amplitudes of ~17 s and ~35 s, respectively. Using analytic linear TTV theory, we find that the known two-planet configuration cannot reproduce the measured TTV amplitudes or super-period, whereas three-planet models provide substantially better fits. The best-fit configuration places the candidate third planet, LP 890-9d, between planets b and c, with an orbital period of ~4.4 days; however, the current data do not uniquely determine its orbital architecture, and periods spanning 4.0-6.9 days remain plausible. TESS is insensitive to transits of LP 890-9d and we find no evidence for the candidate in JWST observations, although the phase coverage (ranging from ~50% to ~80%) depends strongly on the candidate orbital period. Additional high-precision transit observations of LP 890-9b and LP 890-9c are needed to refine their TTV solutions and further constrain the orbital properties of the third planet.

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arXiv2026

pyEDITH: the coronagraphic exposure time calculator for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

To support the development of next-generation missions for the search and characterization of habitable planets, high-fidelity tools for astrophysical and instrumental noise simulations are needed. In this paper, we introduce pyEDITH, the Python-based coronagraphic exposure time calculator built for the next recommended NASA flagship mission, the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO), tasked with searching for signs of habitability and life in dozens of nearby exoplanet systems. pyEDITH is designed to simulate wavelength-dependent exposure times and signal-to-noise ratios (S/N) for synthetic HWO direct imaging observations, considering realistic engineering specifications and user-defined target information. Its modular architecture ensures flexibility as mission requirements evolve. pyEDITH enables a streamlined integration with modern astronomical workflows and was designed to be used by the scientific community at all skill levels for understanding the capabilities and limitations of different HWO architectures for exoplanet analyses. The code has been validated against existing exposure time calculators and released open-source on GitHub and Zenodo, as well as made accessible through a Graphical User Interface. The pyEDITH package includes API documentation, tutorial notebooks, and has been used in forthcoming scientific publications.

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arXiv2026

A Clearer View of HAT-P-1 b: JWST NIRSpec G395H Reveals Water, Carbon Dioxide, and Possibly Hydrogen Sulfide

As part of JWST's Exoplanet Grand Tour Survey, we use panchromatic transmission spectroscopy to connect HAT-P-1 b's previously studied optical and near-infrared atmosphere to the longer-wavelength molecular bands accessible with JWST. We present JWST NIRSpec G395H transmission spectroscopy of the hot Jupiter HAT-P-1 b over 2.7--5.3~$\mu$m, and combine the new spectrum with archival HST STIS and WFC3 observations for a 0.3--5.3~$\mu$m atmospheric analysis. We independently reduce the JWST data with the Eureka!, FIREFLy, and Tswift pipelines, finding mutually consistent transmission spectra across the G395H bandpass. Atmospheric retrievals yield strong evidence for H$_2$O and CO$_2$ with Bayes factors of $\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{H_2O}}=8.9$ and $\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{CO_2}}=52.3$, while providing tentative evidence for H$_2$S ($\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{H_2S}}=1.4$). The joint H$_2$O and CO$_2$ constraints favor an atmosphere near chemical equilibrium, with $\log_{10} \text{M/H}=0.99^{+0.19}_{-0.14}$, corresponding to $\sim10\times$ Solar or $\sim9\times$ relative to the near-solar metallicity host star, and a 3$\sigma$ upper limit of C/O $<0.52$. Because H$_2$O and CO$_2$ provide a metallicity comparatively insensitive to vertical mixing in this temperature regime, their combined detection suggests the composition is dominated by bulk enrichment rather than strong disequilibrium transport. We find no significant evidence for clouds; instead, the persistence of molecular structure across the spectrum argues against strong cloud muting. The tentative H$_2$S signal, if confirmed, would further suggest limited photochemical processing at the pressures probed. Together, the molecular inventory, enriched metallicity, and low C/O ratio point to an oxygen-rich atmosphere and establish HAT-P-1 b as a benchmark for comparative studies of hot-Jupiter atmospheric composition.

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arXiv2026

Preparing for the Early eVolution Explorer: The Impact of Flare Temperature on Ozone Column Depth in Earth-Like Atmospheres

Atmospheric photochemical models incorporating the impacts of stellar flares often assume a $\sim$9,000 K spectrum at ultraviolet-optical wavelengths. Recent multiwavelength observations, however, reveal a more complex picture with temperature measurements spanning 4,000-40,000 K, although the occurrence rates for flares with different temperatures remain unknown. Here, we model the evolution of a Proterozoic Earth-like world with 0.01 bar of O$_2$ under repeated flaring to identify the impact of flare effective temperatures. We explore four scenarios - two host star types (K2V and M2.5V) and two flare temperatures (9,000 K and 19,000 K) - selected to bound the potential parameter space. The hotter flares have a larger impact on O$_3$ photochemistry for both stellar types. M-star planetary atmospheres are more volatile and exhibit rapid changes in their O$_3$ production and destruction rates. Meanwhile, K-star planetary atmospheres are more stable and are only impacted by the hottest flares, proving advantageous for biosignature searches. We simulate 0.2-1.0 $\mu$m reflected light spectra for all four scenarios, and find that 19,000 K flares can result in either production or destruction of O$_3$ depending on the host star spectral type increasing the 0.2 $\mu$m feature by $\sim$2$\times$ for the K2V star but decreasing it by 50% for the M2.5V star. Future missions such as the EVE SMEX mission concept will provide robust flare temperature constraints for young FGKM stars, which will serve as inputs to improve photochemical models to inform future HWO observations.

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arXiv2026

Leveraging Impact Parameter to Mitigate the Transit Light Source Effect: Early Insights from TRAPPIST-1

Stellar activity complicates exoplanet transmission spectra, particularly for smaller planets around M dwarfs with JWST. The transit light source (TLS) effect, the imprinting of spectral differences between the average stellar disk and the occulted transit chord onto the transmission spectrum, makes it challenging to directly use the out-of-transit spectrum to correct for stellar contamination. Theory and observations suggest that spots may concentrate towards higher latitudes when the Coriolis force is substantial relative to buoyancy, leaving the equatorial region relatively quiet. Here, we evaluate how the latitudinal distribution of active regions shapes the strength of the TLS effect for planets spanning a range of impact parameters ($b$), using TRAPPIST-1 as a testbed. We first construct a fiducial model to illustrate two distribution regimes. With our model, the moderate-$b$ outer TRAPPIST-1 planets (f, g, h) occult a more typical region of the stellar disk than the inner planets and are thereby less affected by the TLS effect, though their bias may vary more from visit-to-visit as these active regions evolve with time. More generally, our results imply an impact parameter "sweet spot" for atmospheric characterization, independent of the sign of the active region temperature contrast, whose location depends on the distribution of active regions. The distribution may be revealed by transit residuals as multiple planets probe different latitudes, while longitudes are sampled in time, such that the variance and frequency of the correlated scatter could constrain active-region filling factors, sizes, and separations.

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arXiv2026

GEMS JWST: Hold on to your HATS(-6 b), a sub-solar metallicity giant planet with water, methane and ammonia in its atmosphere

HATS-6 b is one of several recently discovered Giant Exoplanets orbiting M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) and is part of a JWST survey that aims to compare bulk and atmospheric properties of these rare planets against their FGK star counterparts. HATS-6 b is a warm ($\mathrm{T_{eq}}\sim700$ K), Saturn-mass ($M_p\sim0.3~\mathrm{M_J}$), Jupiter-radius ($R_p\sim1~\mathrm{R_J}$) planet that transits its star every $\sim$ 3 days. In this study, we present the transmission spectrum of HATS-6 b obtained with two transits using the PRISM mode of JWST Near Infrared Spectrograph (NIRSpec), spanning a wavelength range of $0.6-5.3$ um. Analyzing these JWST observations using an iterative approach between forward modeling and free chemistry retrievals, we derive a low metallicity ($\log\mathrm{[M/H]}=-1.99^{+0.2}_{-0.2}$) sub-solar C/O ($\log\mathrm{[C/O]=-0.46^{+0.2}_{-0.2}}$) atmosphere, and find strong evidence for H$_2$O, CH$_4$, and NH$_3$ at volume mixing ratios (in $\log[X]$) of $-4.88_{-0.24}^{+0.25}$, $-5.38_{-0.19}^{+0.18}$, and $-6.03_{-0.19}^{+0.18}$, respectively. We consistently retrieve a significantly lower $\mathrm{T_{eq}}$ than predicted from the orbital configuration of HATS-6 b, which was impervious to any data reduction and retrieval choices, suggesting a non-zero bond albedo. Our planetary interior models retrieve bulk metallicities three orders of magnitude larger than our retrieved atmospheric metallicity, also suggesting that the atmosphere is not well-mixed. We find an excess feature around 3 um, and expand on possible explanations for this, such as the presence of HCN or hydrocarbons like C$_2$H$_4$. Yet, due to the degeneracies present for hydrocarbon features in this wavelength region, we do not draw any conclusions about the excess feature and instead encourage further observations and follow-up of this intriguing target.

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arXiv2026

No Helium Detected in LHS 1140 b from Four JWST NIRISS/SOSS Transits

In the effort to determine which low-mass exoplanets have atmospheres, LHS 1140 b remains one of the most favorable targets. Its large size (5.6 $\rm M_{\oplus}$ and 1.7 $\rm R_{\oplus}$) and relatively long orbital period (24.7 days) imply an atmosphere may be likely, and notably, recent interior models favor either a hydrogen-dominated "mini-Neptune" or a "water world" over a true terrestrial planet. Another possibility is that it has a helium-rich atmosphere. This hypothesis is supported by recent ground-based observations that detected the metastable helium triplet during transit. These observations indicated there may be current helium escape from the planet's upper atmosphere, yet the signal was not detected during a subsequent observation, suggesting time-variable escape. Here we present four observations of LHS 1140 b with JWST NIRISS/SOSS, which covers the metastable helium triplet, obtained between 2023 and 2026. These observations span the epoch of the ground-based measurements, and although none were contemporaneous with the ground-based transits, all four are sensitive to helium absorption at the previously reported level. However, we detect no helium absorption in any visit. We reject the best-fit ground-based model at $>3\sigma$ in each visit, and find no clear trend in mass-loss with time. Our results suggest the reported ground-based detection may be spurious, although variability cannot be excluded if detectable helium absorption occurs in $\lesssim50\%$ of transits. The nature of LHS 1140 b thus remains a mystery until future transmission and emission analyses are complete.

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arXiv2026

Early Exploration of the Scientific Discovery Space for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is a future NASA flagship mission concept identified by the Astro2020 Decadal Survey as the highest priority for large space missions. HWO should conduct "transformative astrophysics" and search for biosignatures in the atmospheres of approximately 25 potentially Earth-like planets. To further the early-stage development of HWO, NASA formed the Science, Technology, Architecture Review Team (START). In turn, START invited the scientific community to join working groups to explore the potential discovery space. In this paper, we present 70 science cases that resulted from this process. The cases address four scientific pillars: growth of galaxies (15 cases), evolution of the elements (13 cases), solar systems in context (32 cases), and living worlds (10 cases). Combined, they would address 27 of the 30 science questions and discovery areas identified by Astro2020. The 140 observing programs needed for the 70 investigations encompass a rich variety of spectroscopic (for 87% of science cases) and photometric (for 30%) observations extending from the UV to the NIR. Additionally, high-contrast and polarimetric capabilities would be needed for 34% and 27% of science cases, respectively. Access to UV wavelengths is critical: 83% of science cases need data at wavelengths <400 nm, and 26% extend to <100 nm. In the NIR, 26% of science cases need observations at wavelengths >=2000 nm. Pursuing the full portfolio of science would also necessitate precise astrometry for planet mass measurement, rapid response capabilities, a large instantaneous field of regard, non-sidereal tracking, saturation mitigation strategies, and high dynamic range.

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arXiv2026

Piercing through the Haze: Characterizing Titan-like terrestrial exoplanets with JWST

As we enter a new era of using JWST to characterize exoplanet atmospheres, a top priority is defining observational needs and parameters in the search for life on an exoplanet. Although some studies have begun to consider Titan-like exoplanet atmospheres, more work is needed to prepare for the potential discovery and characterization of Titan analogues with JWST and future missions. We explore the effectiveness of exoplanet atmospheric retrieval methodologies on the Cassini/VIMS-IR spectrum of Titan assuming agnostic haze properties and tholin hazes, as well as a self-consistent photochemical model. We compare our retrieved chemical abundances and haze profiles against fiducial values and Cassini/ISS-NAC UV observations and the forward modeled truths. We generalize these findings to a Titan-like exoplanet in the TRAPPIST-1 system and find that JWST-like observations have limited potential to identify features beyond methane in a Titan-like atmosphere, but may be able to identify the presence of the haze to a few hundred kilometers. The diagnostic features which would differentiate between different haze model (scattering) properties are shortward of 1\,\micron{} and further demonstrate the important role of nUV -- optical observatories in constraining the properties of exoplanet atmospheres. We also find that agnostic priors for the bulk atmosphere can lead to a degeneracy in which a spectrally active gas ($\rm CH_4$) is erroneously favored as the dominant atmospheric constituent over a spectrally inactive molecule (N_2).

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arXiv2026

A Climate-Constrained Bayesian Inverse Method for JWST Rocky Exoplanet Eclipse Spectra: A Case Study of LTT 1445A b

Determining whether temperate rocky exoplanets orbiting M stars retain atmospheres is currently a central goal of exoplanet astronomy. To this end, the James Webb Space Telescope has begun searching for atmospheres on these worlds with MIRI secondary eclipse spectroscopy and photometry. Here, we develop a novel climate-constrained Bayesian inference framework that yields atmospheric pressure and composition constraints from these datasets, while accounting for planetary, stellar, and model uncertainties. Our approach fits observations with model spectra derived from self-consistent pressure-temperature profiles at radiative-convective equilibrium, thus maximizing the information extracted from the data and providing more robust inferences than retrievals that use parameterized pressure-temperature profiles. We demonstrate the framework on the existing MIRI LRS eclipse spectrum of LTT 1445A b (1.34 $R_\oplus$ and $T_{\mathrm{eq}} \approx 431$ K). An atmosphere does not need to be invoked to explain the data, meaning a bare rock model produces an adequate fit. If the planet has an atmosphere, the $2\sigma$ upper limits on surface partial pressures are $\lesssim 1$ bar for an optically thin gas like O$_2$, N$_2$ or CO, $\lesssim0.1$ bar for CO$_2$, $\lesssim 10^{-3}$ bar for H$_2$O, and $\lesssim 10^{-4}$ bar for SO$_2$. Scheduled MIRI F1500W observations could detect one of the thicker atmospheres permitted by the existing data (1 bar O$_2$ and 0.01 bar CO$_2$), if a precision of 20 ppm or better is achieved. This case study demonstrates that climate-constrained Bayesian inversion can turn rocky-planet eclipse spectra into the quantitative constraints necessary to test population-level atmospheric retention hypothesis, like the cosmic shoreline.

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arXiv2026

The effect of spectral resolution on biosignature detection via reflected light observations of the Earth through time

NASA's Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will search for biosignatures on Earth-like exoplanets using reflected light spectroscopy. A critical instrument design parameter is resolving power, which must balance biosignature detectability against exposure time and detector noise constraints. We assess the resolving power needed to detect and characterize key biosignature gases and habitability indicators including O$_2$, O$_3$, H$_2$O, CH$_4$, CO$_2$ and CO across atmospheres representing the Archean, Proterozoic, and Phanerozoic Earth. We combine analytical detectability calculations spanning spectral resolutions ($\lambda/\Delta{\lambda}$) $R=20$-$5000$ with atmospheric retrievals using the rfast radiative transfer model and pyEDITH exposure time calculator for realistic wavelength-dependent noise modeling. In the visible ($0.4$-$1.0$ $\mu$m), the nominal resolution $R_{Vis}=140$ is sufficient for detecting O$_2$ in Phanerozoic-like atmospheres. Higher resolutions could theoretically reduce exposure times for low-O$_2$ Proterozoic atmospheres, but require $>10\times$ reductions in dark current and could increase H$_2$O detection exposure times by $\sim 2\times$, penalizing the foundational habitability constraint that anchors downstream biosignature searches. The most efficient path for low-O$_2$ atmospheres may instead be indirect inference via O$_3$, whose Hartley-Huggins bands are detectable at $R_{UV}\sim 7$. In the near-IR ($1.0$-$1.7$ $\mu$m), $R_{NIR}\geq40$ is necessary to avoid a degeneracy between CO$_2$ and CO that could produce false positive detections of abundant CO. The nominal $R_{NIR}=70$ is sufficient for characterizing all Earth-through-time cases. These results support HWO's current baseline resolution choices and provide actionable guidance for finalizing spectrometer requirements while maintaining technological feasibility for the search for life on exoplanets.

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arXiv2026

GEMS JWST: HATS-75 b -- A giant planet with a sub-solar metallicity atmosphere orbiting an M-dwarf

HATS-75 b is one of the recently discovered Giant Exoplanets orbiting M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) with a transmission spectrum shaped by both its atmosphere and the active stellar surface it transits. As part of a JWST program studying 7 GEMS, we observed three transits of HATS-75 b with the NIRSpec PRISM instrument (0.6-5.3 um). The planet's spectra exhibit a slightly larger transit depth at shorter wavelengths, indicative of hazes or stellar contamination due to stellar heterogeneities outside the transit chord, i.e., the transit light source (TLS) effect. While both a hazy atmospheric model or TLS model can replicate the transmission spectrum, independent evidence (.e.g, stellar rotation, spot-crossing events) favors a model that includes contamination from unocculted starspots and faculae. Within this stellar heterogeneity / TLS-based framework, atmospheric retrievals yield remarkably low atmospheric metallicity (log[M/H]=-1.74^{+0.92}_{-0.76}) and super-solar carbon-to-oxygen (C/O=1.04^{+0.40}_{-0.09}), which paired with a best-fit interior model with bulk metallicity of Z_p=0.20+/-0.04, implies poor vertical mixing within the planet. Retrievals also detect robust absorption signatures of CH4, CO, and CO2. We obtain only an upper limit for H2O, consistent with its atmospheric spectral features being masked by stellar contamination. These results underscore the importance of accounting for stellar heterogeneity when interpreting exoplanet transmission spectra and highlight HATS-75 b as a significant asset to our understanding of giant exoplanets around M-dwarfs with JWST.

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arXiv2026

Three outstanding physical questions for K2-18 b and other temperate sub-Neptunes

Recent transmission spectra of the temperate sub-Neptune K2-18 b obtained with JWST have attracted significant attention. Debates have quickly arisen over the interpretation of the spectral data, particularly the recent MIRI observation where dimethyl sulfide (DMS) and dimethyl disulfide (DMDS) are claimed. Here we revisit K2-18 b as a case study to examine several key questions that are also broadly relevant to the temperate sub-Neptune population: i) Can the low water abundance be reconciled with water clouds driven by orbital eccentricity? ii) Are the observed and non-observed atmospheric compositions mutually consistent? iii) Is it kinetically possible to produce DMS under sub-Neptune conditions? To address these questions, we couple climate and photochemical models to obtain self-consistent climate-photochemistry states for K2-18 b with a moderate orbital eccentricity of 0.2, as suggested by radial-velocity measurements. In addition, we present new laboratory measurements of DMS and DMDS infrared opacities by HFML-FELIX and compile updated C$_2$H$_6$ (ethane) opacities that include weak overtone bands. Our results support the interpretation of a sub-Neptune scenario without invoking DMS, and we do not find strong evidence for a water-rich interior.

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arXiv2026

GEMS JWST: A sub-Solar metallicity atmosphere for giant planet TOI-5293Ab orbiting a rapidly changing M-dwarf

The growing sample of Giant Exoplanets around M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) helps probe the extremes of giant planet formation. Comparing the properties of this sample with their FGK counterparts can help us understand how planet formation and migration depend on stellar mass. We initiated a large Cycle 2 JWST transmission spectroscopy survey of seven GEMS. Here we present the atmospheric characterization using two JWST transits of TOI-5293Ab, a 0.5 $M_J$ planet orbiting an early M-dwarf with a period of $\sim$ 3 days. The two NIRSpec/PRISM transits indicate the planet is eclipsing a rapidly changing (heterogeneous) stellar photosphere. We see that Visit 1 had heterogeneity crossings across the entire transit chord, rendering inferences from it to be unreliable. The Visit 1 spectrum exhibits a downward slope ${<1}$ $\mu$m suggestive of stellar contamination from faculae. In contrast, for Visit 2 we are able to model the heterogeneity crossings and obtain a transmission spectrum free from stellar contamination. We therefore limit our conclusions to a detailed analysis of Visit 2, and using Bayesian free chemistry retrievals, we find a low atmospheric metallicity ($\log [\mathrm{M/H}] = -1.03^{+0.53}_{-0.44}$ $\times$ Solar) and slightly super-solar C/O ratio ($1.23^{+2.94}_{-0.75}$). The retrievals yield Bayes factors that indicate strong evidence for \ce{CH4} as well as low significance detections of \ce{CO2}, \ce{H2O}, \ce{NH3}. Finally, using thermal evolution models we find that the radius of TOI-5293Ab is inflated above theoretical expectations ($\sim$ 1.07 $R_J$), despite it having an temperature of $\sim$ 700 K, and hence we were unable to constrain its bulk composition.

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arXiv2026

Oxygenated False Positive Biosignatures in Mars-like Exoplanet Atmospheres

Oxygen is a well-studied biosignature. Studying potential abiotic pathways for O2 build-up in exoplanet atmospheres is essential for evaluating whether the detection of O2 would constitute a biosignature detection on other worlds. Previous modeling efforts in the literature demonstrated that detectable abiotic O2 and O3 can be produced through CO2 photolysis for rocky planets around M dwarf stars. Building on modeling approaches from previous studies, we use photochemical simulations to reassess the conditions under which O2 and O3 may accumulate through similar photochemical mechanisms. Using a Mars-like atmospheric composition and planetary parameters, we vary the hydrogen mole fraction to assess how changes in HOx chemistry can affect the resulting accumulation of abiotic O2 and O3. Across the range of hydrogen mole fractions explored, we obtain a maximum O2 abundance of ~2.7% for H = 0.0065 ppm, about an order of magnitude lower than reported in the literature. This reduction is consistent with the elevated water vapor abundance adopted in our simulations, which enhances HOx-driven recycling of CO and O and thereby suppresses the accumulation of O2 and O3. Our improved understanding of how this cycle results in atmospheric false positive biosignatures in crucial towards developing future exoplanet characterization strategies.

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arXiv2026

The Third Option: Color Phase Curves to Characterize the Atmospheres of Temperate Rocky Exoplanets

Detecting and characterizing the atmospheres of rocky exoplanets has proven to be challenging for JWST. Transit spectroscopy of the TRAPPIST-1 planets has been impacted by the effects of spots and faculae on the host star. Secondary eclipses have detected hot rocks, but evidence for atmospheres has been difficult to obtain. However, there is a third option that we call color phase curves. This method will apply to synchronously rotating non-transiting planets as well as transiting planets. A color phase curve uses photometry at a long-IR wavelength where the planetary thermal emission is strong (e.g., 21 microns) divided by photometry at a shorter wavelength where the star dominates (e.g., 12 microns). We avoid wavelengths having potentially strong molecular absorption (e.g., 15 microns) to minimize degeneracies in the color phase curve, and we aim to detect and characterize the planetary atmosphere via its longitudinal heat transfer. The ratio of two wavelengths observed nearly simultaneously is designed to isolate thermal emission from the planet, discriminate against the star, and largely cancel instrumental systematic effects. Moreover, we show that invoking mass-radius relations, and using self-consistent physical models, will permit the longitudinal heat transfer to be measured independent of the orbital inclination. Radial velocity surveys are detecting many new exoplanets, including temperate rocky worlds with Earth-like masses. Most of those planets will not transit, but color phase curves have the potential to detect and characterize their atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

Exomoons and Exorings with the Habitable Worlds Observatory II: Finding Endor with Lunar Eclipses

Giant planets in the habitable zone may host exomoons with conditions conducive to life. In this paper we describe a method by which the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) could detect such moons: broadband reflected-light lunar eclipses (e.g., the moon passing into the shadow of the planet). We find that an Earth-like moon orbiting a Jovian-size planet at 1au can outshine its host planet near 1 micron, producing frequent (days time-scale) lunar eclipses with depths of order 50%. We determine that single eclipse events out to $\sim$12pc may be detectable for Earth-like moons around giant planets, down to $0.9R_\oplus$. Detection of smaller moons, $\sim$0.5$R_\oplus$ (corresponding to about the size of Mars or Ganymede), may be possible, but would generally require multiple events for most systems. These several-hour events provide a clear pathway to detecting habitable moons with HWO, given sufficient stare-time on each system to detect lunar eclipses. The occurrence rate of habitable exomoons remains unconstrained, however, making the ultimate yield uncertain. HWO will be capable of placing the first meaningful constraints on the frequency of habitable exomoons around giant planets; if it is non-negligible, HWO could also search for life on these worlds, possibly with lunar eclipse spectroscopy.

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arXiv2026

Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO): Living Worlds Community Working Group: The Search for Life on Potentially Habitable Exoplanets

The discovery of a biosphere on another planet would transform how we view ourselves, and our planet Earth, in relation to the rest of the cosmos. We now know Earth is one planet among eight circling our sun; our sun is part of a swirling galaxy of over one hundred billion other suns; and our galaxy is one of untold billions in the universe. While we do not yet know how many, if any, other biospheres exist on the countless worlds orbiting countless other suns, we stand at the precipice of a new era of discovery, enabled by powerful new facilities able to peer across the light years into the atmospheres of planets similar to our own. This article is an adaptation of a science case document (SCDD) developed for the NASA Astrophysics Flagship mission the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) Science, Technology, and Architecture Review Team (START) Living Worlds Community Working Group.

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