arXiv subjects

Jafar Bakhshaliyev

Publications and source records attributed to Jafar Bakhshaliyev.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Sliding-Window Reordering with Overlap Averaging: A Simple Time-Domain Augmentation for Multivariate Forecasting

Augmentation has become a central technique for improving deep forecasting models, but classification-style transformations tend to break the coherence between the look-back window and its continuous future target. We describe a simple procedure that unfolds the joint input-target sequence into overlapping sliding windows, randomly reorders a controlled fraction of them-prioritized by a lightweight variance criterion-and reconstructs the sequence by averaging across the overlaps, producing synthetic samples with controlled variation while limiting temporal distortion. The procedure is model-agnostic, introduces only three interpretable hyperparameters, and achieves strong improvements over a comprehensive set of competing augmentations across nine long-term forecasting benchmarks with five backbone families (TSMixer, DLinear, PatchTST, TiDE, LightTS) and four short-term traffic benchmarks with PatchTST. Component-wise ablations, hyperparameter sensitivity studies, distributional-alignment diagnostics, probabilistic forecasting evaluation, and a transfer experiment to univariate and multivariate time series classification clarify the contribution of each design choice.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

SpikF-GO: Spiking Fourier Graph Operators for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) have emerged as an energy-efficient alternative to conventional neural networks, demonstrating strong performance in computer vision and robotics. More recently, SNNs have been applied to time series forecasting (TSF), with methods exploring spiking temporal backbones, spike-compatible positional encodings, Fourier-domain processing, and redesigned neuron dynamics. However, existing SNN forecasting approaches process variables independently, lacking explicit mechanisms for modeling inter-variable dependencies. This is a critical limitation in multivariate settings, where cross-variable correlations carry substantial predictive information. We propose Spiking Fourier Graph Operators (SpikF-GO), which addresses this gap by combining a hypervariate graph formulation in which every scalar observation becomes a graph node with spike-driven spectral processing. SpikF-GO introduces a Hard Concrete frequency gate for learnable sparse frequency selection and a Complex LIF gate that applies independent spiking neurons to real and imaginary Fourier components, preserving binary, event-driven computation throughout the spectral domain. We further present a variant incorporating Central Pattern Generator-based positional encodings for stronger long-range temporal modeling. Evaluated on eight benchmarks under a unified experimental protocol, SpikF-GO achieves the best average rank among all SNN methods and outperforms its ANN counterpart, FourierGNN, at reduced energy cost. SpikF-GO maintains competitive accuracy even at substantially smaller embedding dimensions, thereby achieving significant energy reductions. To our knowledge, this is among the first works to bring graph-based multivariate modeling into the spiking domain for TSF and the first to provide a unified comparison across SNN forecasting architectures under a common experimental protocol.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Wave-Mask/Mix: Exploring Wavelet-Based Augmentations for Time Series Forecasting

Data augmentation is important for improving machine learning model performance when faced with limited real-world data. In time series forecasting (TSF), where accurate predictions are crucial in fields like finance, healthcare, and manufacturing, traditional augmentation methods for classification tasks are insufficient to maintain temporal coherence. This research introduces two augmentation approaches using the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to adjust frequency elements while preserving temporal dependencies in time series data. Our methods, Wavelet Masking (WaveMask) and Wavelet Mixing (WaveMix), are evaluated against established baselines across various forecasting horizons. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to conduct extensive experiments on multivariate time series using Discrete Wavelet Transform as an augmentation technique. Experimental results demonstrate that our techniques achieve competitive results with previous methods. We also explore cold-start forecasting using downsampled training datasets, comparing outcomes to baseline methods.

cs.LG↗