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Jaideep Srivastava

Publications and source records attributed to Jaideep Srivastava.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Embarrassingly Simple MixUp for Time-series

Labeling time series data is an expensive task because of domain expertise and dynamic nature of the data. Hence, we often have to deal with limited labeled data settings. Data augmentation techniques have been successfully deployed in domains like computer vision to exploit the use of existing labeled data. We adapt one of the most commonly used technique called MixUp, in the time series domain. Our proposed, MixUp++ and LatentMixUp++, use simple modifications to perform interpolation in raw time series and classification model's latent space, respectively. We also extend these methods with semi-supervised learning to exploit unlabeled data. We observe significant improvements of 1\% - 15\% on time series classification on two public datasets, for both low labeled data as well as high labeled data regimes, with LatentMixUp++.

cs.LG↗

Filling out the missing gaps: Time Series Imputation with Semi-Supervised Learning

Missing data in time series is a challenging issue affecting time series analysis. Missing data occurs due to problems like data drops or sensor malfunctioning. Imputation methods are used to fill in these values, with quality of imputation having a significant impact on downstream tasks like classification. In this work, we propose a semi-supervised imputation method, ST-Impute, that uses both unlabeled data along with downstream task's labeled data. ST-Impute is based on sparse self-attention and trains on tasks that mimic the imputation process. Our results indicate that the proposed method outperforms the existing supervised and unsupervised time series imputation methods measured on the imputation quality as well as on the downstream tasks ingesting imputed time series.

cs.LG↗

Hierarchical clustering by aggregating representatives in sub-minimum-spanning-trees

One of the main challenges for hierarchical clustering is how to appropriately identify the representative points in the lower level of the cluster tree, which are going to be utilized as the roots in the higher level of the cluster tree for further aggregation. However, conventional hierarchical clustering approaches have adopted some simple tricks to select the "representative" points which might not be as representative as enough. Thus, the constructed cluster tree is less attractive in terms of its poor robustness and weak reliability. Aiming at this issue, we propose a novel hierarchical clustering algorithm, in which, while building the clustering dendrogram, we can effectively detect the representative point based on scoring the reciprocal nearest data points in each sub-minimum-spanning-tree. Extensive experiments on UCI datasets show that the proposed algorithm is more accurate than other benchmarks. Meanwhile, under our analysis, the proposed algorithm has O(nlogn) time-complexity and O(logn) space-complexity, indicating that it has the scalability in handling massive data with less time and storage consumptions.

stat.ML↗

MOOCRep: A Unified Pre-trained Embedding of MOOC Entities

Many machine learning models have been built to tackle information overload issues on Massive Open Online Courses (MOOC) platforms. These models rely on learning powerful representations of MOOC entities. However, they suffer from the problem of scarce expert label data. To overcome this problem, we propose to learn pre-trained representations of MOOC entities using abundant unlabeled data from the structure of MOOCs which can directly be applied to the downstream tasks. While existing pre-training methods have been successful in NLP areas as they learn powerful textual representation, their models do not leverage the richer information about MOOC entities. This richer information includes the graph relationship between the lectures, concepts, and courses along with the domain knowledge about the complexity of a concept. We develop MOOCRep, a novel method based on Transformer language model trained with two pre-training objectives : 1) graph-based objective to capture the powerful signal of entities and relations that exist in the graph, and 2) domain-oriented objective to effectively incorporate the complexity level of concepts. Our experiments reveal that MOOCRep's embeddings outperform state-of-the-art representation learning methods on two tasks important for education community, concept pre-requisite prediction and lecture recommendation.

cs.LG↗

SCARLET: Explainable Attention based Graph Neural Network for Fake News spreader prediction

False information and true information fact checking it, often co-exist in social networks, each competing to influence people in their spread paths. An efficient strategy here to contain false information is to proactively identify if nodes in the spread path are likely to endorse false information (i.e. further spread it) or refutation information (thereby help contain false information spreading). In this paper, we propose SCARLET (truSt and Credibility bAsed gRaph neuraL nEtwork model using aTtention) to predict likely action of nodes in the spread path. We aggregate trust and credibility features from a node's neighborhood using historical behavioral data and network structure and explain how features of a spreader's neighborhood vary. Using real world Twitter datasets, we show that the model is able to predict false information spreaders with an accuracy of over 87%.

cs.SI↗

Assessing Individual and Community Vulnerability to Fake News in Social Networks

The plague of false information, popularly called fake news has affected lives of news consumers ever since the prevalence of social media. Thus understanding the spread of false information in social networks has gained a lot of attention in the literature. While most proposed models do content analysis of the information, no much work has been done by exploring the community structures that also play an important role in determining how people get exposed to it. In this paper we base our idea on Computational Trust in social networks to propose a novel Community Health Assessment model against fake news. Based on the concepts of neighbor, boundary and core nodes of a community, we propose novel evaluation metrics to quantify the vulnerability of nodes (individual-level) and communities (group-level) to spreading false information. Our model hypothesizes that if the boundary nodes trust the neighbor nodes of a community who are spreaders, the densely-connected core nodes of the community are highly likely to become spreaders. We test our model with communities generated using three popular community detection algorithms based on two new datasets of information spreading networks collected from Twitter. Our experimental results show that the proposed metrics perform clearly better on the networks spreading false information than on those spreading true ones, indicating our community health assessment model is effective.

cs.SI↗

Continual Deterioration Prediction for Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients

Leading up to August 2020, COVID-19 has spread to almost every country in the world, causing millions of infected and hundreds of thousands of deaths. In this paper, we first verify the assumption that clinical variables could have time-varying effects on COVID-19 outcomes. Then, we develop a temporal stratification approach to make daily predictions on patients' outcome at the end of hospital stay. Training data is segmented by the remaining length of stay, which is a proxy for the patient's overall condition. Based on this, a sequence of predictive models are built, one for each time segment. Thanks to the publicly shared data, we were able to build and evaluate prototype models. Preliminary experiments show 0.98 AUROC, 0.91 F1 score and 0.97 AUPR on continuous deterioration prediction, encouraging further development of the model as well as validations on different datasets. We also verify the key assumption which motivates our method. Clinical variables could have time-varying effects on COVID-19 outcomes. That is to say, the feature importance of a variable in the predictive model varies at different disease stages.

cs.LG↗

Learning Student Interest Trajectory for MOOCThread Recommendation

In recent years, Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) have witnessed immense growth in popularity. Now, due to the recent Covid19 pandemic situation, it is important to push the limits of online education. Discussion forums are primary means of interaction among learners and instructors. However, with growing class size, students face the challenge of finding useful and informative discussion forums. This problem can be solved by matching the interest of students with thread contents. The fundamental challenge is that the student interests drift as they progress through the course, and forum contents evolve as students or instructors update them. In our paper, we propose to predict future interest trajectories of students. Our model consists of two key operations: 1) Update operation and 2) Projection operation. Update operation models the inter-dependency between the evolution of student and thread using coupled Recurrent Neural Networks when the student posts on the thread. The projection operation learns to estimate future embedding of students and threads. For students, the projection operation learns the drift in their interests caused by the change in the course topic they study. The projection operation for threads exploits how different posts induce varying interest levels in a student according to the thread structure. Extensive experimentation on three real-world MOOC datasets shows that our model significantly outperforms other baselines for thread recommendation.

cs.IR↗

An Empirical Comparison of Deep Learning Models for Knowledge Tracing on Large-Scale Dataset

Knowledge tracing (KT) is the problem of modeling each student's mastery of knowledge concepts (KCs) as (s)he engages with a sequence of learning activities. It is an active research area to help provide learners with personalized feedback and materials. Various deep learning techniques have been proposed for solving KT. Recent release of large-scale student performance dataset \cite{choi2019ednet} motivates the analysis of performance of deep learning approaches that have been proposed to solve KT. Our analysis can help understand which method to adopt when large dataset related to student performance is available. We also show that incorporating contextual information such as relation between exercises and student forget behavior further improves the performance of deep learning models.

cs.AI↗

Detecting Fake News Spreaders in Social Networks using Inductive Representation Learning

An important aspect of preventing fake news dissemination is to proactively detect the likelihood of its spreading. Research in the domain of fake news spreader detection has not been explored much from a network analysis perspective. In this paper, we propose a graph neural network based approach to identify nodes that are likely to become spreaders of false information. Using the community health assessment model and interpersonal trust we propose an inductive representation learning framework to predict nodes of densely-connected community structures that are most likely to spread fake news, thus making the entire community vulnerable to the infection. Using topology and interaction based trust properties of nodes in real-world Twitter networks, we are able to predict false information spreaders with an accuracy of over 90%.

cs.SI↗

University Operations During a Pandemic: A Flexible Decision Analysis Toolkit

Modeling infection spread during pandemics is not new, with models using past data to tune simulation parameters for predictions. These help understand the healthcare burden posed by a pandemic and respond accordingly. However, the problem of how college/university campuses should function during a pandemic is new for the following reasons:(i) social contact in colleges are structured and can be engineered for chosen objectives, (ii) the last pandemic to cause such societal disruption was over 100 years ago, when higher education was not a critical part of society, (ii) not much was known about causes of pandemics, and hence effective ways of safe operations were not known, and (iii) today with distance learning, remote operation of an academic institution is possible. Our approach is unique in presenting a flexible simulation system, containing a suite of model libraries, one for each major component. The system integrates agent based modeling (ABM) and stochastic network approach, and models the interactions among individual entities, e.g., students, instructors, classrooms, residences, etc. in great detail. For each decision to be made, the system can be used to predict the impact of various choices, and thus enable the administrator to make informed decisions. While current approaches are good for infection modeling, they lack accuracy in social contact modeling. Our ABM approach, combined with ideas from Network Science, presents a novel approach to contact modeling. A detailed case study of the University of Minnesota's Sunrise Plan is presented. For each decisions made, its impact was assessed, and results used to get a measure of confidence. We believe this flexible tool can be a valuable asset for various kinds of organizations to assess their infection risks in pandemic-time operations, including middle and high schools, factories, warehouses, and small/medium sized businesses.

eess.SY↗

RKT : Relation-Aware Self-Attention for Knowledge Tracing

The world has transitioned into a new phase of online learning in response to the recent Covid19 pandemic. Now more than ever, it has become paramount to push the limits of online learning in every manner to keep flourishing the education system. One crucial component of online learning is Knowledge Tracing (KT). The aim of KT is to model student's knowledge level based on their answers to a sequence of exercises referred as interactions. Students acquire their skills while solving exercises and each such interaction has a distinct impact on student ability to solve a future exercise. This \textit{impact} is characterized by 1) the relation between exercises involved in the interactions and 2) student forget behavior. Traditional studies on knowledge tracing do not explicitly model both the components jointly to estimate the impact of these interactions. In this paper, we propose a novel Relation-aware self-attention model for Knowledge Tracing (RKT). We introduce a relation-aware self-attention layer that incorporates the contextual information. This contextual information integrates both the exercise relation information through their textual content as well as student performance data and the forget behavior information through modeling an exponentially decaying kernel function. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets, among which two new collections are released to the public, show that our model outperforms state-of-the-art knowledge tracing methods. Furthermore, the interpretable attention weights help visualize the relation between interactions and temporal patterns in the human learning process.

cs.LG↗

Using Clinical Notes with Time Series Data for ICU Management

Monitoring patients in ICU is a challenging and high-cost task. Hence, predicting the condition of patients during their ICU stay can help provide better acute care and plan the hospital's resources. There has been continuous progress in machine learning research for ICU management, and most of this work has focused on using time series signals recorded by ICU instruments. In our work, we show that adding clinical notes as another modality improves the performance of the model for three benchmark tasks: in-hospital mortality prediction, modeling decompensation, and length of stay forecasting that play an important role in ICU management. While the time-series data is measured at regular intervals, doctor notes are charted at irregular times, making it challenging to model them together. We propose a method to model them jointly, achieving considerable improvement across benchmark tasks over baseline time-series model. Our implementation can be found at \url{https://github.com/kaggarwal/ClinicalNotesICU}.

cs.CL↗

Adversarial Unsupervised Representation Learning for Activity Time-Series

Sufficient physical activity and restful sleep play a major role in the prevention and cure of many chronic conditions. Being able to proactively screen and monitor such chronic conditions would be a big step forward for overall health. The rapid increase in the popularity of wearable devices provides a significant new source, making it possible to track the user's lifestyle real-time. In this paper, we propose a novel unsupervised representation learning technique called activity2vec that learns and "summarizes" the discrete-valued activity time-series. It learns the representations with three components: (i) the co-occurrence and magnitude of the activity levels in a time-segment, (ii) neighboring context of the time-segment, and (iii) promoting subject-invariance with adversarial training. We evaluate our method on four disorder prediction tasks using linear classifiers. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that our proposed method scales and performs better than many strong baselines. The adversarial regime helps improve the generalizability of our representations by promoting subject invariant features. We also show that using the representations at the level of a day works the best since human activity is structured in terms of daily routines

cs.LG↗

A Structured Learning Approach with Neural Conditional Random Fields for Sleep Staging

Sleep plays a vital role in human health, both mental and physical. Sleep disorders like sleep apnea are increasing in prevalence, with the rapid increase in factors like obesity. Sleep apnea is most commonly treated with Continuous Positive Air Pressure (CPAP) therapy. Presently, however, there is no mechanism to monitor a patient's progress with CPAP. Accurate detection of sleep stages from CPAP flow signal is crucial for such a mechanism. We propose, for the first time, an automated sleep staging model based only on the flow signal. Deep neural networks have recently shown high accuracy on sleep staging by eliminating handcrafted features. However, these methods focus exclusively on extracting informative features from the input signal, without paying much attention to the dynamics of sleep stages in the output sequence. We propose an end-to-end framework that uses a combination of deep convolution and recurrent neural networks to extract high-level features from raw flow signal with a structured output layer based on a conditional random field to model the temporal transition structure of the sleep stages. We improve upon the previous methods by 10% using our model, that can be augmented to the previous sleep staging deep learning methods. We also show that our method can be used to accurately track sleep metrics like sleep efficiency calculated from sleep stages that can be deployed for monitoring the response of CPAP therapy on sleep apnea patients. Apart from the technical contributions, we expect this study to motivate new research questions in sleep science.

eess.SP↗

Impact of News Organizations' Trustworthiness and Social Media Activity on Audience Engagement

News organizations are increasingly using social media to reach out to their audience aimed at raising their attention and engagement with news. Given the continuous decrease in subscription rates and audience trust in news media, it is imperative for news organizations to understand factors contributing to their relationships with the audience. Using Twitter data of 315 U.S. newspaper organizations and their audiences, this study uses multiple regression analysis to examine the influence of key news organization characteristics on audience engagement with news: (1) trustworthiness computed by the Trust Scores in Social Media (TSM) algorithm; (2) quantity of tweets; and (3) skillfulness of Twitter use. The results show significant influence of a news organizations' trustworthiness and level of Twitter activity on its audiences' news engagement. Methods to measure trustworthiness of news organizations and audience news engagement, as well as scalable algorithms to compute them from large-scale datasets, are also proposed.

cs.SI↗

Co-Morbidity Exploration on Wearables Activity Data Using Unsupervised Pre-training and Multi-Task Learning

Physical activity and sleep play a major role in the prevention and management of many chronic conditions. It is not a trivial task to understand their impact on chronic conditions. Currently, data from electronic health records (EHRs), sleep lab studies, and activity/sleep logs are used. The rapid increase in the popularity of wearable health devices provides a significant new data source, making it possible to track the user's lifestyle real-time through web interfaces, both to consumer as well as their healthcare provider, potentially. However, at present there is a gap between lifestyle data (e.g., sleep, physical activity) and clinical outcomes normally captured in EHRs. This is a critical barrier for the use of this new source of signal for healthcare decision making. Applying deep learning to wearables data provides a new opportunity to overcome this barrier. To address the problem of the unavailability of clinical data from a major fraction of subjects and unrepresentative subject populations, we propose a novel unsupervised (task-agnostic) time-series representation learning technique called act2vec. act2vec learns useful features by taking into account the co-occurrence of activity levels along with periodicity of human activity patterns. The learned representations are then exploited to boost the performance of disorder-specific supervised learning models. Furthermore, since many disorders are often related to each other, a phenomenon referred to as co-morbidity, we use a multi-task learning framework for exploiting the shared structure of disorder inducing life-style choices partially captured in the wearables data. Empirical evaluation using actigraphy data from 4,124 subjects shows that our proposed method performs and generalizes substantially better than the conventional time-series symbolic representational methods and task-specific deep learning models.

cs.LG↗

Leveraging web resources for keyword assignment to short text documents

Assigning relevant keywords to documents is very important for efficient retrieval, clustering and management of the documents. Especially with the web corpus deluged with digital documents, automation of this task is of prime importance. Keyword assignment is a broad topic of research which refers to tagging of document with keywords, key-phrases or topics. For text documents, the keyword assignment techniques have been developed under two sub-topics: automatic keyword extraction (AKE) and automatic key-phrase abstraction. However, the approaches developed in the literature for full text documents cannot be used to assign keywords to low text content documents like twitter feeds, news clips, product reviews or even short scholarly text. In this work, we point out several practical challenges encountered in tagging such low text content documents. As a solution to these challenges, we show that the proposed approaches which leverage knowledge from several open source web resources enhance the quality of the tags (keywords) assigned to the low text content documents. The performance of the proposed approach is tested on real world corpus consisting of scholarly documents with text content ranging from only the text in the title of the document (5-10 words) to the summary text/abstract (100- 150 words). We find that the proposed approach not just improves the accuracy of keyword assignment but offer a computationally efficient solution which can be used in real world applications.

cs.IR↗